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June 2020 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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Yesterday was one of the wildest days this season in terms of severe wx reports across the nation.  The primary threat was wind, none moreso, was the nasty derecho that hit Philadelphia in back-to-back days.  Up to 100 mph wind gusts and a Tornado warning just outside the metro last evening was rather wild.

 

 

 

 

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Sunny attm w temps at 73F. Splendid weather for the next several days. A CF coming tomorrow could threat the area w strong to severe storms and then, its all sunshine through mid next week. Low humidity at that also. We do need to watch at the remnants of that tropical storm "CristoBal." That could pose a threat to SEMI w hvy rains and strong winds. Still plenty of time for that.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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One strong cell has been parked just west of Iowa City for the last two hours.  It appears to be barely west of Bud's home.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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My N Yorkers yesterday dodge the bullet from severe weather. The Philly area on the other hand got nailed, as relatives of mine and friends told me it got real nasty, as if a missile was approaching from the distance.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Last night's Euro shows a big snowstorm just across the Canadian border when Cristobal phases with northern stream energy.  That's not something you see every mid June.

 

prateptype_cat_ecmwf.conus.png

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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There was little wind yesterday and again today.  That makes it exceptionally sultry compared to a few days ago when the wind howled.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I wasn't even paying attention, but I just wondered why it had become fully cloudy.  Just now, a severe warning was issued for the northern part of my county.  Unfortunately, the stuff to my west is struggling to hold together.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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According to Bill Stiffens at WOOD TV 8 May 2020 had the lowest number of reported tornadoes since at least 1970. And the lowest number of EF2 or stronger in recorded history (1950). Michigan only had one tornado watch and that was for just one county (Berrien County) in the far SW corner of the stated. This is on top of last year when. Most of Michigan did not get a Tornado Watch in 2019. There were two tornado watches that covered part of Michigan…one that just included Berrien and Cass Counties and another for the western third of the UP. So yes last year and this year so far have been tornado free in Michigan. At the current time it is partly cloudy here and 85.

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The storms today are going nowhere.  If they don't pop up on top of you, you get nothing.  Waterloo is getting nailed today.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Just got a couple rumbles and a spritz of rain as another cell passes by to the north.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Picked up a real fast .78”

 

0.03" here.

 

It has been a different spring just up the road in far north CR/Hiawatha/Marion.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Of course, the storms have congealed into a strong cluster to the southeast of Cedar Rapids.  Cedar county is getting nailed.  One strong cell has been parked down there for quite a while.

season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Quad Cities NWS just tweeted that the Davenport airport received 18 straight minutes of 60 mph wind gusts in the last hour.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Quad Cities NWS just tweeted that the Davenport airport received 18 straight minutes of 60 mph wind gusts in the last hour.

That would be something!

 

I only had enough to dampen the sidewalks from this morning’s stationary cell and a bunch of distant thunder. Some storms appeared to be moving this evening while others were nearly stationary.

 

Here’s a neat time lapse of the storm that was ‘boiling’ just east of me the previous evening. I also noticed it and took a few photos.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/

 

I was awfully busy the last two days so haven’t had time to comment much.

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Of course, the storms have congealed into a strong cluster to the southeast of Cedar Rapids. Cedar county is getting nailed. One strong cell has been parked down there for quite a while.

Why do you think Cedar Rapids always struggles to get heavy rain and strong storms? I can’t recall a time when a storm parked over the city and dumped like 3-5 inches of rain and severe weather doesn’t even happen here at all.

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Clear and fairly comfortable currently w temps at 67F/60D. Some storms possible later today, along w muggy conditions and temps nearing 90F. Lets see if they will become severe. After the storms roll on through, next shot of rain comes next wed as the remnants of CristoBal will be making a b-line towards mby w some hvy, needed rainfall.

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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I wasn't paying attention to Nebraska this evening.  That's a nasty storm passing through Lincoln.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Man, I hope that cell holds together, but the way these storms are behaving you never know till it's nearly apon you. Appears it will scrape by just to the sw, but I'm still hoping not. Just started thundering now. Light rain as well.

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That would be something!

 

I only had enough to dampen the sidewalks from this morning’s stationary cell and a bunch of distant thunder. Some storms appeared to be moving this evening while others were nearly stationary.

 

Here’s a neat time lapse of the storm that was ‘boiling’ just east of me the previous evening. I also noticed it and took a few photos.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/

 

I was awfully busy the last two days so haven’t had time to comment much.

Thanks for sending that video of the storm.  Reminds me of the Monsoon season over here when I see storms develop in the distance.  That video looked like an irrupting volcano!

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Finally, our extended Excessive Heat Warning ended yesterday evening and we are in for some delightful summer days of BN temps!  Its funny, but over here, the mets on TV actually use the words "cool" down even when temps drop 5 degrees....like you can really feel the difference, right???  LOL  I will feel the difference tomorrow when temps over here ONLY top out at 90F which is about 10F BN.   

 

Currently 80F and expecting another toasty day as temps reach 100F....can't wait for the 60's that are in the forecast for morning lows over the weekend and into early next week.  Gotta tell ya, I'm sorta missing back home and the storm action some of you are getting.  I'm thinking of coming back towards the end of the month when I pray the governor opens up the gyms, beaches and malls!

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Both the Euro and GFS take the remnants of Cristobal into E IA/W IL/WI...quite an interesting track to say the least...meantime, the Euro weeklies are suggesting a divided Sub Forum in terms of temps over the next 30 days.  The western Sub may be stuck in the heat, while the eastern Sub remains near normal.

 

Woah, now that is an SOI crash!  That might have implications heading into Week 2...

 

Daily contribution to SOI calculation -46.68

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Its going to be a humid, sunny and potential for PM strong to severe storms today, but they will be very scattered, so whoever is lucky enough today, will get a t'stm, otherwise, most remain dry w the CF rolling on through. Gorgeous weekend on tap, w much drier, cooler aair. Lows Sunday in mby will be in the crisp 40s. :o

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

418 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-060830-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

418 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible between 4 PM - 10 PM as a

cold front sweeps through southeast Michigan. Damaging winds to 60

mph and large hail around 1 inch in diameter are the main hazards as

storms track east at 35 mph.

 

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area 

Oct 2023: 0.2" AN

Nov 2023: 2.2" AN

Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane!

Jan 2024: 17.0" AN

Feb 2024: 1.9"  BN

Mar 2024: 4.9" BN

April 2024:

Season So Far: 26.7"

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