June 2020 Observations and Discussion

[Tom]

Friday evening is looking pretty good for a line of storms from Iowa through Michigan.

 

After that, models are trying to cut off another upper low over the east and block up the pattern again.

I don't mind a pattern like this for the rest of summer...Active period followed by a drier period...keeps things balanced and your able to enjoy the outdoors more often.  I'm looking forward to seeing some good storms when I get back (after the holiday of course).

[james1976]

Getting hit with an isolated heavy thundershower right now

[OKwx2k4]

I don't mind a pattern like this for the rest of summer...Active period followed by a drier period...keeps things balanced and your able to enjoy the outdoors more often. I'm looking forward to seeing some good storms when I get back (after the holiday of course).

I'm with you on that. I've liked this parttern pretty well. One of the critical differences between this year and the last 4 summers here is just that. The presence of dry, cool air. (For summer at least.) I actually look for that to intensify (relative to average) as we continue and get to look past the middle of next month.

 

June has been absolutely beautiful here. Feels like its only been "hot" summer for a week or so.

[james1976]

0.09" today from the quick shower

[westMJim]

It was a very comfortable day yesterday and last night was also very comfortable The low here at my was 56. Currently it is clear and 61 here.

[Niko]

Potential for severe weather Saturday morning (perhaps in the enhanced cat by then), currently at "Slight Risk." This needs to be monitored.

[Niko]

Attm, 64F under partly sunny. Nice and comfortable.

[Niko]

TP Dolly at 30mph, now a post tropical storm will not even affect the Newfoundland area. She will head straight for the open Atlantic not not bother anyone on the EC.

[Niko]

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather OutlookNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI945 AM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020MIZ063-069-070-075-076-082-083-261345-St. Clair-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-945 AM EDT Thu Jun 25 2020This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeastMichigan..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Friday through WednesdayThere is a chance of thunderstorms with a slight risk for severestorms Friday evening into Friday night as a cold front is pulledthrough the area. Storms will be moving eastward around 50 mph.Damaging wind gusts is the primary threat but lesser threats includehail and even the possibility of an isolated tornado. Heavy rain isalso likely with around an inch of accumulation possible.

[Niko]

 

Almost, in the "Enhanced." Two days out and being in this cat means business in terms of severe weather.

 

As for today, pleasantness continues here IMBY!!

[Minny_Weather]

Last day in Ohio. I leave in the early morning tomorrow. Pretty nice out. 84.0*F.

[Niko]

Last day in Ohio. I leave in the early morning tomorrow. Pretty nice out. 84.0*F.

Bet you will miss Ohio..

[Niko]

Attm, its mostly to partly sunny w temps in the 70s. Heat is on the way, more of a typical 4th of July weekend is in stored, nothing extraordinary though in terms of hot temps.

[Minny_Weather]

Last report from Holland. 63.7°F under mostly clear skies.

[Tom]

Happy Friday!  Another action packed day of wx back home and for a lot of us Midwesterner's.  I believe this is the second Enhanced Risk for season across N IL as today's set up looks very legit to support several rounds of storms as some could be quite intense later this evening.

 

[Tom]

Next week's pattern will feature a pattern that reminds me of the good ol' Johnny Cash...."Ring of Fire"

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=QfCOJLRk2D4

 

 

Mother Nature will seemingly hold off on any organized storms for the big 4th of July holiday weekend for many of us to enjoy.  It's all about timing as they say...boy, after the holiday the wx pattern in the extended looks warm/humid with daily chances of summery pop up thunderstorms.  The A/C's will be cranking in a tropical GOM air mass.  

 

[Tom]

HRRR showing a well organized line of storms developing over N IL right around dinner time...some of the runs show a bow echo which may feature very strong winds.  Man, this is they type of day I kinda wish I was home...hot/humid and severe wx towards sunset...

 

[Hawkeye]

The SPC has the enhanced risk east and northeast of Cedar Rapids, with the entire area in the sligh risk, but the latest HRRR keeps everything south, with nothing here at all.  The morning convection missing me to the south is not going to help.

[Tom]

That's a nasty looking line...

 

[Niko]

Beautiful sunny morning here in SEMI. Absolutely fantastiko! Temps are at 73F. Humidity levels will be on the rise today, but only a bit. Not too oppressive.

 

PM storms could become severe in parts of the area. All eyes on SEMI for later this afternoon. Whooohooooooo!!!

[Niko]

Next week looks awesome. Sunny days w temps in the mid to upper 80s and possibly near 90F. Humidity will be a factor as well, but again, not too bad.

[Hawkeye]

I'm not optimistic about storms here later.  There must be a law of nature that says if the area gets put in a slight or better risk for severe, there will be showers and clouds all day, with no instability.

[St Paul Storm]

Just had a random cell pop overhead and had a good 10 downpour. Now the sun is out and it’s suddenly 85/73. Swampy.

[Stormy]

The SPC has the enhanced risk east and northeast of Cedar Rapids, with the entire area in the sligh risk, but the latest HRRR keeps everything south, with nothing here at all.  The morning convection missing me to the south is not going to help.

The morning convection was in my area but it was all around and mostly missed to the south. Only 0.06" on my digital gauge. Now it's thundering as a cell is trying to get going nearby. Probably most storms will be just south and east this evening. The HRRR is showing that.

[Tom]

Storms are firing up across N IL and heading due east towards Chitown...that severe warned cell may have up to 70 mph winds with it along with rotation...

[Hawkeye]

A big ol' dud for my area.  

[Bryan1117]

A big ol' dud for my area.

Watching storms blow up about 20 miles to the south and east of me as well... close enough to hear the distant thunder but nothing else. Story of the year around here.

[bud2380]

Storms are about a county to county and a half to my south. Big long train of them too. Southern Iowa is gonna get hit hard. Too bad.

[Stormy]

Still a bit of distant thunder now. Heard lots of thunder this morning, and again this evening with the cells close enough to see the heavy rain shafts. Had some awesome looking clouds with orange updrafts from the setting sun. Sure was hoping for some rain but only a trace here this evening and 1 mile south around a quarter of an inch. Washington county gets hammered about every time it seems like.

[snowstorm83]

Another event with heavy rain training over southern Lancaster. Some spots are gonna have like 12" of rain for the month of June lol

[Tom]

The story of hits and misses continue across our board.  I know back home, there have been more hits than misses as my place got pounded with torrential rain and wind but no hail.  I was told the grass was getting stressed before the rains came this week so timing was good.  ORD picked up 1.48" of rain and MDW reported .90" of rain in 15 minutes!  Talk about tropical downpours...speaking of the tropics, it's going to feel like that throughout the next 10 days as Summer warmth and humidity are pretty much locked in for the extended.  I'm looking forward to "feeling" some humidity.  Kinda getting bored of the persistent heat and dryness out here in the desert.  The only thing to talk about here is the cool down that is expected Mon-Thu of next week as temps dip into the upper 90's.  That will feel refreshing.  

 

I just looked at the 10-day forecast back home and temps are expected to be in the upper 80's to near 90F with daily chances of storms.  That almost looks identical to a forecast for someone living in Florida!

 

Here are some amazing photos of the storms...in some of these shots you can hear God speaking down upon us...along with picturesque Rainbow's...

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Tom]

After years of constantly missing out on severe storms or even the lack of any significant thunderstorms, this year seems to have broken that trend.  I know Jaster has brought this up many times in years past.  This year, it seems to me like nature has changed that trend.  Last nights radar blew up across S MI!

 

http://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/current/mcview.phtml?prod=lotrad&java=script&mode=archive&frames=100&interval=5&year=2020&month=6&day=26&hour=18&minute=0

[Tom]

Last nights Euro run sure did paint a magnificent picture for the upcoming 4th of July weekend around the GL's. In fact, there are other models also showing the same thing and suggesting a weak ridge of HP coming down out of Canada keeping temps in the low 80's with very comfortable DP's in the 50's/60's!  Wow, that would be about as perfect of a forecast you can ask for.

 

 

[westMJim]

Here at my house I recorded 0.73″ of rain last night. Not much in the way of storms here a few flashes of lightning, some moderate rain fall but no wind at all here. Currently cloudy and 69 here with a DP of 67. Officially June at GRR now has a mean temperature of 66.8 that is good for a departure of +0.7 and there officially has been 2.84” of rain fall with 3.30 being the average for this time in June.

[Stormy]

Scattered storms are starting to pop in the same area of the county south of me where they got 3”- 5”> overnight and this morning.They seem to be moving northeasterly now though. My brother’s organic inspector was here today and said they got 3.50” from on/off storms all night. Sometimes I wonder if huge differences in rainfall amounts over short distances ever balances out even over many years time or if localized dry areas catch up with the wet places.

[Niko]

Its disgusting outside. Temp at 84F, RF at 90F, dew at 71F. It wasn't supposed to be this humid, just a tad. Very muggy conditions will prevail throughout the next week.

 

Some power outages in SEMI from last nites severe weather. No power was lost where I am, but nearby I would imagine.

[Niko]

Scattered storms are starting to pop in the same area of the county south of me where they got 3”- 5”> overnight and this morning.They seem to be moving northeasterly now though. My brother’s organic inspector was here today and said they got 3.50” from on/off storms all night. Sometimes I wonder if huge differences in rainfall amounts over short distances ever balances out even over many years time or if localized dry areas catch up with the wet places.

Picked up a good dose of rainfall last nite. Grass definitely needed it. Not in a drought, but not far from the "Abnormally Dry Cat."

[bud2380]

Getting real lucky as a storm popped up right over my house. It’s been pouring rain for 5 minutes now. The rain is huge drops and coming straight down. No wind.

[Niko]

No big storms expected next week. Just sunny skies and hot temps w each n everyday in the upper 80s to near 90F. Hello July!

[bud2380]

The local high school is reporting .43” already and a rate of 3.52” per hour. I forgot to empty my gauge before the rain started. I ran out during the rain to empty it so my total will be low by at least a quarter inch.