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June 2020 Observations and Discussion


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I'm on your turf today. Indeed it is miserable.

Last day in Ohio. I leave in the early morning tomorrow. Pretty nice out. 84.0*F.

Mother Nature just zapped the old Sears Tower this morning, yes, I know another corporation bought it and took it over but the name "Willis Tower" doesn't jive with me...

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Just got a couple rumbles and a spritz of rain as another cell passes by to the north.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Picked up a real fast .78”

 

0.03" here.

 

It has been a different spring just up the road in far north CR/Hiawatha/Marion.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Of course, the storms have congealed into a strong cluster to the southeast of Cedar Rapids.  Cedar county is getting nailed.  One strong cell has been parked down there for quite a while.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Quad Cities NWS just tweeted that the Davenport airport received 18 straight minutes of 60 mph wind gusts in the last hour.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Quad Cities NWS just tweeted that the Davenport airport received 18 straight minutes of 60 mph wind gusts in the last hour.

That would be something!

 

I only had enough to dampen the sidewalks from this morning’s stationary cell and a bunch of distant thunder. Some storms appeared to be moving this evening while others were nearly stationary.

 

Here’s a neat time lapse of the storm that was ‘boiling’ just east of me the previous evening. I also noticed it and took a few photos.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/

 

I was awfully busy the last two days so haven’t had time to comment much.

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Of course, the storms have congealed into a strong cluster to the southeast of Cedar Rapids. Cedar county is getting nailed. One strong cell has been parked down there for quite a while.

Why do you think Cedar Rapids always struggles to get heavy rain and strong storms? I can’t recall a time when a storm parked over the city and dumped like 3-5 inches of rain and severe weather doesn’t even happen here at all.

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2nd night of a Severe Tstorm Warning. Nice cell coming in from the NW, hopefully it doesn't fall apart. 

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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Clear and fairly comfortable currently w temps at 67F/60D. Some storms possible later today, along w muggy conditions and temps nearing 90F. Lets see if they will become severe. After the storms roll on through, next shot of rain comes next wed as the remnants of CristoBal will be making a b-line towards mby w some hvy, needed rainfall.

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Pouring rain, thundering, hailing, windy as hell. I haven’t seen a storm like this in a while

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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I wasn't paying attention to Nebraska this evening.  That's a nasty storm passing through Lincoln.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Man, I hope that cell holds together, but the way these storms are behaving you never know till it's nearly apon you. Appears it will scrape by just to the sw, but I'm still hoping not. Just started thundering now. Light rain as well.

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That would be something!

 

I only had enough to dampen the sidewalks from this morning’s stationary cell and a bunch of distant thunder. Some storms appeared to be moving this evening while others were nearly stationary.

 

Here’s a neat time lapse of the storm that was ‘boiling’ just east of me the previous evening. I also noticed it and took a few photos.

https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/

 

I was awfully busy the last two days so haven’t had time to comment much.

Thanks for sending that video of the storm.  Reminds me of the Monsoon season over here when I see storms develop in the distance.  That video looked like an irrupting volcano!

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Finally, our extended Excessive Heat Warning ended yesterday evening and we are in for some delightful summer days of BN temps!  Its funny, but over here, the mets on TV actually use the words "cool" down even when temps drop 5 degrees....like you can really feel the difference, right???  LOL  I will feel the difference tomorrow when temps over here ONLY top out at 90F which is about 10F BN.   

 

Currently 80F and expecting another toasty day as temps reach 100F....can't wait for the 60's that are in the forecast for morning lows over the weekend and into early next week.  Gotta tell ya, I'm sorta missing back home and the storm action some of you are getting.  I'm thinking of coming back towards the end of the month when I pray the governor opens up the gyms, beaches and malls!

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Well that cell the looked hopeful is about crapped out and a storm to just southwest took over. Meh Might need to wait till next week's tropical interaction. That still looks hopeful.

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Both the Euro and GFS take the remnants of Cristobal into E IA/W IL/WI...quite an interesting track to say the least...meantime, the Euro weeklies are suggesting a divided Sub Forum in terms of temps over the next 30 days.  The western Sub may be stuck in the heat, while the eastern Sub remains near normal.

 

Woah, now that is an SOI crash!  That might have implications heading into Week 2...

 

Daily contribution to SOI calculation -46.68

1.png

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Wake low winds and outflow winds are gusting around 50 mph right now. 10 minute average speed is nearly 30 mph! Not even one tenth of rainfall but a lot of wind.

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Its going to be a humid, sunny and potential for PM strong to severe storms today, but they will be very scattered, so whoever is lucky enough today, will get a t'stm, otherwise, most remain dry w the CF rolling on through. Gorgeous weekend on tap, w much drier, cooler aair. Lows Sunday in mby will be in the crisp 40s. :o

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

418 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-060830-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

418 AM EDT Fri Jun 5 2020

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for southeast Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 

Isolated severe thunderstorms are possible between 4 PM - 10 PM as a

cold front sweeps through southeast Michigan. Damaging winds to 60

mph and large hail around 1 inch in diameter are the main hazards as

storms track east at 35 mph.

 

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It rained here overnight, but the band was weakening so I only picked up another 0.15".  The nickel/dimer spring continues.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Quite a stormy night up here. Started around suppertime with small hail and a quick t-storm. A bit of a break and then late evening more storms rolled through with non stop thunder and lightning. Picked up exactly 1.50"

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Quite a stormy night up here. Started around suppertime with small hail and a quick t-storm. A bit of a break and then late evening more storms rolled through with non stop thunder and lightning. Picked up exactly 1.50"

 

How many times have you received 1+" from storms this spring?  I'm still waiting for my first.  I haven't even come close.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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How many times have you received 1+" from storms this spring? I'm still waiting for my first. I haven't even come close.

Hopefully Cristobal delivers next week for ya. Trends are beginning to look like your friend.

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How many times have you received 1+" from storms this spring?  I'm still waiting for my first.  I haven't even come close.

If the Euro is right, that should change Tuesday night.  *fingers crossed*  Although the cutoff line is not far from CR, so a slight shift east could be bad news.

 

 

qpf_024h.us_mw.png

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12z UK.... has low at 975 mb over Wisconsin and then 969 mb over Lake Superior.

 

qpf_024h.us_mw.png

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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12z Euro with a 984 in SW Wisco. That's a sizable jump west with the heaviest precipitation. This is going to bounce around quite a bit over the next few days. I kind of hope the western trough moves east quick enough that most of Cristobal's remnants are shunted east of here. We need a few days to dry out after the storms this week. 

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12z UK.... has low at 975 mb over Wisconsin and then 969 mb over Lake Superior.

 

qpf_024h.us_mw.png

Yeah I like what the GFS, Euro, and UK are now showing. Might be a bad sign to be near the bullseye this far out though.
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Pouring rain, thundering, hailing, windy as hell. I haven’t seen a storm like this in a while

 

So what was the aftermath of the big storm in Lincoln?  How much rain did you get?  I saw a 3" report from the city.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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So what was the aftermath of the big storm in Lincoln?  How much rain did you get?  I saw a 3" report from the city.

Definitely did not see 3” of rain (at least on the north side town), probably more like .75”. It was a brief but very intense storm. My roommate had to bring in some plants from the balcony and a ton of rain and hail blew into the house. The hail was probably about quarter size. One difference that I noticed from midwestern storms compared to southern storms is the intensity. Storms here are shorter and crazier while storms in the south are more moderate but tend to have moderate to heavy rain training behind it for a couple hours.

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Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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00z Euro/EPS generally agree that parts of E IA/W IL and into WI will get the brunt of Cristobal's remnants early next week.  Oh ya, let's not forget Clinton!

1.png

2.png

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Looks like the remnants of Cristobal will appropinquate the west regions of my area by Wednesday and into Thursday, but hopefully, some beneficial hvy rains can make it to my area. Dry weather has been the dominate feature here and if no rainfall continues through next week, SEMI will be "Abnormally Dry."

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As far as I knew, there was zero chance of rain overnight.  Around 2-3am, I was awaken by thunder.  I had to rush outside to set up my gauge and the downspouts.  The rain mostly tracked a couple miles north of me, so I only picked up 0.05".

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The GFS just pushed much of the heavy rain west and north of Cedar Rapids.  Ugh.

 

gfs_apcpn_ncus_17.png

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Dangit!  Now the UK has jumped well nw.  James is now in line to get yet another big rain event.

qpf_acc.us_mw.png

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Dangit! Now the UK has jumped well nw. James is now in line to get yet another big rain event.

qpf_acc.us_mw.png

Sorry guys, we are running almost a 5 to 6” rainfall deficit in Eastern Nebraska... we will gladly take your heavy rains around here to stave off a potential drought.

 

Seriously though, that’s a pronounced move to the left/west for the remnants of Cristobal.

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12z Euro

 

qpf_acc.us_mw.png

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I have a bet placed with some co-workers in Mobile, AL to see who gets more rain from the remnants of Cristobal. I’m not expecting to win, but it could be close based on a few globals. 12z Euro puts a 9.25” lolly right on the MN/WI border about 12 miles from here.

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I have a bet placed with some co-workers in Mobile, AL to see who gets more rain from the remnants of Cristobal. I’m not expecting to win, but it could be close based on a few globals. 12z Euro puts a 9.25” lolly right on the MN/WI border about 12 miles from here.

Lol no way you win that bet

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Lol no way you win that bet

Thanks Mr Obvious. It’s for fun, and we’re donating the funds to a charity. We’re doing it because Mobile and here are both on the fringe at the moment. Of course they are going to win.

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NAM

 

namconus_apcpn_ncus_28.png

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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