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June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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I know this is the June thread but any guesses on the 4th of July weekend?

 

This pattern of clouds and sun under the week with rain on the weekend will probably hold for another month.

 

I expect 4th of July weekend to be an absolute wash out.

 

Jesse, this ones for you!

Sunny highs in the 80s, going by climo
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Looks like Josh might see some flakes in the air in Lakeview on Sunday.

I wonder how often that happens in June.

 

The craziest off season snowstorm on the eastside I've heard of was a few years in Bend. They got about 5 or 6 inches on around October 5th. That was shocking to say the least. They even had an outdoor festival that weekend.

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Beautiful day out. Just about perfect. 77 degrees. Looks like a chance of convection this weekend, but I wouldn't bet the farm on it. Looks like the cascades could get some snow this weekend. That could be interesting for campers.

 

On another note, thank fuckk the June thread has started with mostly weather talk. The may thread was a constant clusterfuckk of personal attacks. Page after page. It's always the same players. You know who you are. Personally think some more forum moderation should occur. This forum becomes unreadable at times. That's why I rarely participate.

No personal attacks should ever occur. We all love weather and we are a small group of people with similar passions. You want to welcome people, not turn them away.
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I wonder how often that happens in June.

The craziest off season snowstorm on the eastside I've heard of was a few years in Bend. They got about 5 or 6 inches on around October 5th. That was shocking to say the least. They even had an outdoor festival that weekend.

It’s probably happened five days out on the models more times than it’s happened.

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September is a much more dynamic and enjoyable month here; June has never come close to anything like September 2013 for rainfall. The default pattern seems to be dry/partly sunny and cool. At least in Victoria it has also consistently failed to deliver meaningful convection, May has been much better in that respect.

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Some of the ensemble members show another heatwave though

 

 

When the mean is cool then we look at the mean.

 

When the mean is warm then we pick up apart every individual member to prove it won't really be warm.   :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The 00Z EPS still shows another cold trough parking itself over the PNW for all of next week after this weekend's trough.  

 

At this point it shows that trough finally lifting out after next weekend and then a quieter and less amplified pattern developing.   But it would not surprise me to see that change.    The west is definitely in the default trough position for the time being.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I wonder how often that happens in June.

 

The craziest off season snowstorm on the eastside I've heard of was a few years in Bend. They got about 5 or 6 inches on around October 5th. That was shocking to say the least. They even had an outdoor festival that weekend.

Spokane had snow in September last year.

A forum for the end of the world.

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57F and sunny in downtown Springfield.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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Gfs and the Euro look wet on and off the next 10 days. Total opposite of last summer...was very dry around this time last year. This June seems set to be totally different than June 2019.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Gfs and the Euro look wet on and off the next 10 days. Total opposite of last summer...was very dry around this time last year. This June seems set to be totally different than June 2019.

This is what we call a normal June. Doubt it lasts too long though.

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Gfs and the Euro look wet on and off the next 10 days. Total opposite of last summer...was very dry around this time last year. This June seems set to be totally different than June 2019.

 

Normally my area has 18 or 19 dry days in June... and 11 or 12 days with measurable precip depending on elevation based on the long term historical averages.

 

Looks like we might get close to the normal number days of rain for the month by time we reach the half way point.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Contentious opinion: I personally would like to see the weekends turn a bit sunnier and warmer than they have been recently.

 

Seems like every weekend has been cold/damp/rainy for the past while. Needs to change, pronto.

 

 

I agree with this sentiment... but its not going to change any time soon.   The next 2 weekends look cold and wet again.     

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Contentious opinion: I personally would like to see the weekends turn a bit sunnier and warmer than they have been recently.

 

Seems like every weekend has been cold/damp/rainy for the past while. Needs to change, pronto.

I would say 98% of the members here would agree with you.

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Contentious opinion: I personally would like to see the weekends turn a bit sunnier and warmer than they have been recently.

 

Seems like every weekend has been cold/damp/rainy for the past while. Needs to change, pronto.

The 4th is on a weekend this year...really hoping the wet weekends theme doesn’t continue into next month as my family is doing a big get together out on Anderson island. I hope we can continue to get periodic rains through the summer but not every weekend.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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I will mention that the hourly ECMWF precip loop shows that the Puget Sound region will not be that wet this coming weekend. Most of the action is focused down south and to the north in BC. It won't be very warm though.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Really stoked about the pattern change!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Looks like current ENSO region 3.4 anomaly is -0.5C

Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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