June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[SilverFallsAndrew 15379]

Nice day

[TT-SEA 4239]

Yes... 2015 was an extreme June.   And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70.   Its not usual at all.    

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.    

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley.    I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here.   And it was 117 years ago.   Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then.    Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.   

 

[Phil 12092]

The 12Z EPS shows a little weaker ridging next weekend like the operational run but also shows the ridge holding through day 15.

 

And the most recent ECMWF weeklies run actually shows generally warmer than normal conditions through the end of July. Its certainly not indicating any return to significant anomalous troughing.

There’s a large (and growing) EPS cluster that completes the retrogression by D13-15, however. Even though it doesn’t show up on the mean (thanks to a slightly smaller cluster of insanely ridgy members).

 

Recall, the same thing happened in mid/late May and we were debating it. This is probably a re-run of that.

 

Also, I would disregard the weeklies. They’ve displayed a bias towards IPWP subsidence/faux PMM/+TNH for the last several months. Didn’t catch the current troughy pattern until it was

 

Keep an eye on the EPS mean 500mb progression for late June. In theory, you should begin to notice increasing heights offshore and lowering heights along the West Coast, for the period starting ~ June 25th. Unless there’s something I’m missing.

[ShawniganLake 5502]

Yes... 2015 was an extreme June. And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70. Its not usual at all.

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley. I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here. And it was 117 years ago. Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then. Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.

 

Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 70s

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

[TT-SEA 4239]

Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

Short period of rain... a couple inches. Probably southerly flow and thunderstorms.

[Timmy_Supercell 2315]

Yes... 2015 was an extreme June.   And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70.   Its not usual at all.    

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.    

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley.    I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here.   And it was 117 years ago.   Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then.    Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.   

 

 

June 2015 regionally was an anomaly. KLMT's average high that month is what July normally averages here (84).

Pretty sure Crater Lake didn't see snowfall that year in June, maybe a little in May.

[James Jones 498]

Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

 

That station was comically overexposed. This is Seattle from the same month

 

[Phil 12092]

Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

Good chance that station was overexposed, FWIW.

 

Edit: Ninja’d by James Jones.

[Deweydog 14243]

Overexposure exposed!

[Phil 12092]

^Overexposure exposé.

[Phil 12092]

It's not as if we've exactly been "shooting a cold wad" down here lately. EUG is actually running warmer (+0.3º) and drier (-0.07") than normal for June so far, with a big warm-up on tap for next week.

Oh wow. I honestly never could have imagined June was running a positive departure given some of the rhetoric on here.

 

The last 7+ years have been insanely anomalous up there. Nothing remotely close to climatology.

[TT-SEA 4239]

Yeah... that is pretty bad. I assume they were able to measure rain. Some months even back then were wall to wall rain.

[TT-SEA 4239]

I never said this month was cold... but it has rained for 9 days in a row here now and it has felt cold with the average being boosted by cloudy nights. So it has not seemed like summer at all around here. And that is just the way it goes in June.

[FroYoBro 2695]

Pouring out there and only 56 degrees. Brrrrr.

[Frontal Snowsquall 2622]

All this cold wad will be shot in June, some of the summer and Sept-late Oct then we will blowtorch from Nov-March...like usual. Maybe some action up north but I'm pretty meh on winter weather fun this far south. Up in Washington could be a different story at times.

 

I keep wanting to tell myself that late Dec and into Jan won't be shitt all the time and one day will deliver goodies in prime-time again...but being this far south makes it pretty tough. One of the worst inland spots for winter weather enthusiasts in Oregon, along with Douglas County. I mean, January just is always bad now down here...almost never changes outside of 16-17 it seems.

 

Down this way, at least. I realise it's been different up north.

You guys got absolutely clobbered in December 2013. You also got a ton of snow in February 2019. I agree though that you do need a good January snowstorm down there.

[Frontal Snowsquall 2622]

[Farmboy 363]

The ridge is looking even more dirty today, Ecmwf now showing rain heh

Throw it out..

[Farmboy 363]

The 12Z EPS shows a little weaker ridging next weekend like the operational run but also shows the ridge holding through day 15.

 

And the most recent ECMWF weeklies run actually shows generally warmer than normal conditions through the end of July. Its certainly not indicating any return to significant anomalous troughing.

**Breathes huge sigh of relief**

[TigerWoodsLibido 5758]

You guys got absolutely clobbered in December 2013. You also got a ton of snow in February 2019. I agree though that you do need a good January snowstorm down there.

 

Yeah, don't get me wrong, early Dec and Feb have had plenty of action and some nearly historic stuff like 2-25-19, but Christmastime and into most of January has been bush league outside of 16-17. It all flips one day though.

[TT-SEA 4239]

**Breathes huge sigh of relief**

Phil says don't believe it... so it probably won't happen.

[Phil 12092]

Phil says don't believe it... so it probably won't happen.

I wouldn’t go that far.

[TigerWoodsLibido 5758]

Downpour. Moisture building up on the Coburg Hills drops extra rain in Springfield compared to EUG.

[Frontal Snowsquall 2622]

Yes... 2015 was an extreme June. And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70. Its not usual at all.

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley. I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here. And it was 117 years ago. Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then. Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.

 

That must of been one heck of an early summer heatwave with those temperatures up there.

[TT-SEA 4239]

That must of been one heck of an early summer heatwave with those temperatures up there.

Clearly over-exposed. I usually use the Snoqualmie data primarily for rain amounts and days with rain.

[MossMan 10747]

.02” on the day, drier than I thought it was going to be today. Got a little yard work in this evening after getting back from the Bellingham airport. Was nice up there.

 

Here it’s getting dark and it’s 55 degrees currently.

[MossMan 10747]

Thunder boomers!

[Jesse 9251]

That must of been one heck of an early summer heatwave with those temperatures up there.

That is crap data.

[Jesse 9251]

Just had a nice downpour here. High of only 58 today.

[Jginmartini 3956]

Possible Tornado in Damascus area.....brother out there just reported.  I’m in SE PDX and saw the heavy showers moving off in that direction.  We were right on the fringe of the heavy downpour.

 

edit: hit near Bi-Mart out there

[Jginmartini 3956]

https://twitter.com/JR503PDX/status/1271988266846179329

 

funnel cloud

[MossMan 10747]

Dumpage.

[Omegaraptor 2440]

Could be setting up for a chilly low temp tomorrow morning. Sky is clearing up, 850 temp is pretty cold, and wind looks to die down overnight.

[jcmcgaffey 569]

Very heavy line of showers just passed over us just north of seattle.

[ShawniganLake 5502]

[TacomaWaWx 4623]

61/51 0.04” so far today.

[El_Nina 1184]

0.76" since midnight brings June to 3.01". Good for organisms that don't live in homes.

[TacomaWaWx 4623]

We’re currently riding a 5 day rain streak...7 out of the last 8 days have had measurable rain. 1.28” so far this month. Likely to be the wettest June since 2012 at this location.

[MossMan 10747]

Went from dumpage to major dumpage in the last 5 minutes!

[jcmcgaffey 569]

Wow added almost half an inch of rain from that downpour. Currently at .70” for the day.

[ShawniganLake 5502]

That is a nice line of showers north of Seattle

[seattleweatherguy 483]

heavy rain south bothell right now

[TT-SEA 4239]

Waiting for reports of snow from north of Seattle on this chilly winter evening just a week from the summer solstice.

[MossMan 10747]

Waiting for reports of snow from north of Seattle on this chilly winter evening just a week from the summer solstice.

Already down into the 40’s up here!!

And .24” on the day now! .21” coming in the last 50min.

[TT-SEA 4239]

Already down into the 40’s up here!!

And .24” on the day now! .21” coming in the last 50min.

We waited all of fall, winter, and most of spring to get to summer. So worth it!

[Frontal Snowsquall 2622]

[TigerWoodsLibido 5758]

55F with showers.

[GHweatherChris 3650]

We waited all of fall, winter, and most of spring to get to summer. So worth it!

It is what it is.

[Frontal Snowsquall 2622]

[TT-SEA 4239]

It is what it is.

Totally.

[TT-SEA 4239]

November-like pattern over the Pacific in just over a week... its been a great summer but it has to end eventually.