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June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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Nice day

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Thank you.   Sorry been a crazy day. Got the kiddos back to their mom in the central Willamette Valley and have just now gotten our cozy place somewhat back together.   Such kind words. Y'all have sav

If you crop out the date, you'd think these were early winter scenes...

I hear ya, things are good here.    Overall health is improving quite well.    Hang in there man.         

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Yes... 2015 was an extreme June.   And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70.   Its not usual at all.    

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.    

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley.    I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here.   And it was 117 years ago.   Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then.    Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.   

 

1903.png

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The 12Z EPS shows a little weaker ridging next weekend like the operational run but also shows the ridge holding through day 15.

 

And the most recent ECMWF weeklies run actually shows generally warmer than normal conditions through the end of July. Its certainly not indicating any return to significant anomalous troughing.

There’s a large (and growing) EPS cluster that completes the retrogression by D13-15, however. Even though it doesn’t show up on the mean (thanks to a slightly smaller cluster of insanely ridgy members).

 

Recall, the same thing happened in mid/late May and we were debating it. This is probably a re-run of that.

 

Also, I would disregard the weeklies. They’ve displayed a bias towards IPWP subsidence/faux PMM/+TNH for the last several months. Didn’t catch the current troughy pattern until it was

 

Keep an eye on the EPS mean 500mb progression for late June. In theory, you should begin to notice increasing heights offshore and lowering heights along the West Coast, for the period starting ~ June 25th. Unless there’s something I’m missing.

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Yes... 2015 was an extreme June. And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70. Its not usual at all.

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley. I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here. And it was 117 years ago. Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then. Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.

 

1903.png

Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 70s

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

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Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

Short period of rain... a couple inches. Probably southerly flow and thunderstorms.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Yes... 2015 was an extreme June.   And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70.   Its not usual at all.    

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.    

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley.    I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here.   And it was 117 years ago.   Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then.    Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.   

 

1903.png

 

June 2015 regionally was an anomaly. KLMT's average high that month is what July normally averages here (84).

Pretty sure Crater Lake didn't see snowfall that year in June, maybe a little in May.

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 18.50" (52%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

 

OT. I missed the May warmth when I planted some of my veggie garden this year. The seeds are rotting. I will have to replant.

 

That station was comically overexposed. This is Seattle from the same month

 

V8nmXCi.png

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Is the green inches of rain? That would be a pretty wet stretch at the end of the month while still seeing highs in the mid to upper 20s.

Good chance that station was overexposed, FWIW.

 

Edit: Ninja’d by James Jones.

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It's not as if we've exactly been "shooting a cold wad" down here lately. EUG is actually running warmer (+0.3º) and drier (-0.07") than normal for June so far, with a big warm-up on tap for next week.

Oh wow. I honestly never could have imagined June was running a positive departure given some of the rhetoric on here.

 

The last 7+ years have been insanely anomalous up there. Nothing remotely close to climatology.

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Yeah... that is pretty bad. I assume they were able to measure rain. Some months even back then were wall to wall rain.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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I never said this month was cold... but it has rained for 9 days in a row here now and it has felt cold with the average being boosted by cloudy nights. So it has not seemed like summer at all around here. And that is just the way it goes in June.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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All this cold wad will be shot in June, some of the summer and Sept-late Oct then we will blowtorch from Nov-March...like usual. Maybe some action up north but I'm pretty meh on winter weather fun this far south. Up in Washington could be a different story at times.

 

I keep wanting to tell myself that late Dec and into Jan won't be shitt all the time and one day will deliver goodies in prime-time again...but being this far south makes it pretty tough. One of the worst inland spots for winter weather enthusiasts in Oregon, along with Douglas County. I mean, January just is always bad now down here...almost never changes outside of 16-17 it seems.

 

Down this way, at least. I realise it's been different up north.

You guys got absolutely clobbered in December 2013. You also got a ton of snow in February 2019. I agree though that you do need a good January snowstorm down there.

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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The 12Z EPS shows a little weaker ridging next weekend like the operational run but also shows the ridge holding through day 15.

 

And the most recent ECMWF weeklies run actually shows generally warmer than normal conditions through the end of July. Its certainly not indicating any return to significant anomalous troughing.

**Breathes huge sigh of relief**

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"Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness."

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You guys got absolutely clobbered in December 2013. You also got a ton of snow in February 2019. I agree though that you do need a good January snowstorm down there.

 

Yeah, don't get me wrong, early Dec and Feb have had plenty of action and some nearly historic stuff like 2-25-19, but Christmastime and into most of January has been bush league outside of 16-17. It all flips one day though.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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**Breathes huge sigh of relief**

Phil says don't believe it... so it probably won't happen.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Downpour. Moisture building up on the Coburg Hills drops extra rain in Springfield compared to EUG.

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Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @357jerseys4hope

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Yes... 2015 was an extreme June. And many Junes around here feature a 1-2 week period of almost daily rain and temps failing to reach 70. Its not usual at all.

 

But there are also many really nice Junes in our local history going back to 1895 which were much drier and more summery than this June.

 

Here is one of many examples... this is June 1903 in the Snoqualmie Valley. I am sure this would have been a very unsettling June for some on here. And it was 117 years ago. Its not like June was always a rainy month even back then. Side note... June of 1904 and 1905 were almost as nice.

 

1903.png

That must of been one heck of an early summer heatwave with those temperatures up there.

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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That must of been one heck of an early summer heatwave with those temperatures up there.

Clearly over-exposed. I usually use the Snoqualmie data primarily for rain amounts and days with rain.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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.02” on the day, drier than I thought it was going to be today. Got a little yard work in this evening after getting back from the Bellingham airport. Was nice up there.

 

Here it’s getting dark and it’s 55 degrees currently.

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Possible Tornado in Damascus area.....brother out there just reported.  I’m in SE PDX and saw the heavy showers moving off in that direction.  We were right on the fringe of the heavy downpour.

 

edit: hit near Bi-Mart out there

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We’re currently riding a 5 day rain streak...7 out of the last 8 days have had measurable rain. 1.28” so far this month. Likely to be the wettest June since 2012 at this location.

Warm Season Stats

+80s-0

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-66

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Waiting for reports of snow from north of Seattle on this chilly winter evening just a week from the summer solstice.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Waiting for reports of snow from north of Seattle on this chilly winter evening just a week from the summer solstice.

Already down into the 40’s up here!!

And .24” on the day now! .21” coming in the last 50min.

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Already down into the 40’s up here!!

And .24” on the day now! .21” coming in the last 50min.

We waited all of fall, winter, and most of spring to get to summer. So worth it!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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55F with showers.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21)
  • Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 50 (Most recent: Apr 14, 2021)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7"

 

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November-like pattern over the Pacific in just over a week... its been a great summer but it has to end eventually.

 

20200613-213221.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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