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June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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Gfs and the Euro look wet on and off the next 10 days. Total opposite of last summer...was very dry around this time last year. This June seems set to be totally different than June 2019.

This is what we call a normal June. Doubt it lasts too long though.

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Thank you.   Sorry been a crazy day. Got the kiddos back to their mom in the central Willamette Valley and have just now gotten our cozy place somewhat back together.   Such kind words. Y'all have sav

If you crop out the date, you'd think these were early winter scenes...

I hear ya, things are good here.    Overall health is improving quite well.    Hang in there man.         

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Gfs and the Euro look wet on and off the next 10 days. Total opposite of last summer...was very dry around this time last year. This June seems set to be totally different than June 2019.

 

Normally my area has 18 or 19 dry days in June... and 11 or 12 days with measurable precip depending on elevation based on the long term historical averages.

 

Looks like we might get close to the normal number days of rain for the month by time we reach the half way point.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Contentious opinion: I personally would like to see the weekends turn a bit sunnier and warmer than they have been recently.

 

Seems like every weekend has been cold/damp/rainy for the past while. Needs to change, pronto.

 

 

I agree with this sentiment... but its not going to change any time soon.   The next 2 weekends look cold and wet again.     

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Contentious opinion: I personally would like to see the weekends turn a bit sunnier and warmer than they have been recently.

 

Seems like every weekend has been cold/damp/rainy for the past while. Needs to change, pronto.

I would say 98% of the members here would agree with you.
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Contentious opinion: I personally would like to see the weekends turn a bit sunnier and warmer than they have been recently.

 

Seems like every weekend has been cold/damp/rainy for the past while. Needs to change, pronto.

The 4th is on a weekend this year...really hoping the wet weekends theme doesn’t continue into next month as my family is doing a big get together out on Anderson island. I hope we can continue to get periodic rains through the summer but not every weekend.

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-80

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I will mention that the hourly ECMWF precip loop shows that the Puget Sound region will not be that wet this coming weekend. Most of the action is focused down south and to the north in BC. It won't be very warm though.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Really stoked about the pattern change!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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Looks like current ENSO region 3.4 anomaly is -0.5C

Snowfall                                  Precip

2020-21: 12.0"                        2020-21: 52.02"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

 

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 

 

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The running temperature mean for the last 5 days is actually above average for almost the entire PNW. Not sure what you expect?

 

Meanwhile I came down with heat exhaustion while sanding the deck on this 95°F afternoon and started puking my guts out. And then some. Y’all need to stop whining about partly sunny 70°F afternoons.

 

Yesterday had a high of 79 with blue skies and low humidity (DP under 50 for the entire afternoon, bottomed at 29) and a low of 50. Wonderful June weather.

 

Today looks to be very similar, probably will end up around 75.

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Looking like the high temp will be 65 again today. Sun never really fully came out but another nice early summer day still.

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.39”

Warm Season Rainfall-0.39”

Warmest high temp-80

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Another great day out here, perfect for golf this morning and now perfect for mowing!! Been alot of really great days lately!

Awesome!!!!

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The running temperature mean for the last 5 days is actually above average for almost the entire PNW. Not sure what you expect?

 

Meanwhile I came down with heat exhaustion while sanding the deck on this 95°F afternoon and started puking my guts out. And then some. Y’all need to stop whining about partly sunny 70°F afternoons.

 

Hydration is key.

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Low. Solar.

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perhaps you could have sanded the deck last month before it got hot.

Hindsight is 2020. Unfortunately I was still taking classes last month. Then my mom had hip replacement surgery as soon as hospitals opened up a to elective procedures.

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First derecho of the season blasted thru PA/NJ yesterday with straight line winds to 90mph. Earliest derecho in the Mid-Atl since 2008. Analog?

 

In all seriousness, I was on the 2005/2007/2010 train, but with the QBO/tropical stratosphere behaving unconventionally..who knows? Might end up skipping another heartbeat and end up with downwelling westerlies ahead of schedule again.

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Kind of OT, but the Atlantic SSTA structure is a perfect match to the “hyperactive season” analog set.

 

You just know 2020 ain’t done with the USA after the worst pandemic since 1918 and race-riots rivaling the 1960s in an election year. A few cat4/5 landfalls are a shoe-in.

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Definitely a low pass signal for upper level convergence over the Pacific (La Niña-like) already present. Anomalous convection centered in the EHEM.

 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/vp.anom.30.5S-5N.gif

 

Intriguing to note late-May saw a higher frequency convectively-coupled kelvin wave passage (or MJO if you don’t discriminate based on frequency alone), which temporarily brought the system into a more niño-like state, and the West didn’t blowtorch like it would have in previous years. That might have been thanks to the in-situ AAM transports and previous RWB cycle, but often times these tendencies towards particular wave forms over the middle latitudes reveal something. Could be that this summer’s “default” will be troughing in the west and maybe the northeast too. The latter is more questionable but I’m holding out for the possibility.

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