June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[MossMan]

It’s over.

[Front Ranger]

Forks.

[Jesse]

Yeah the eruptions of Taal and Krakatoa earlier this year created massive amounts of volcanic particulates. This summer could be even worse than 1954.

You seemed to think last summer was during that average-ish spell in early July.

[Deweydog]

Low solar.

[MossMan]

Low solar.

Jim?

[Jesse]

Jim?

Not enough frosty nights and 4-6 degree negative monthly departures lately for him to be posting.

[Omegaraptor]

Going with -2.5 to -3.5 departures across the region for July

[TT-SEA]

Its does not look that cold here on Saturday afternoon per the 00Z ECMWF... or that hot for Phil.

 

[MossMan]

Its does not look that cold on Saturday afternoon per the 00Z ECMWF... or that hot for Phil.

 

Phil should take a road trip to Texas.

[ShawniganLake]

Going with -2.5 to -3.5 departures across the region for July

Is this a joke?

[TT-SEA]

Phil should take a road trip to Texas.

 

 

Ironically... he could also go to Maine and it would be hotter that day.   

[Phil]

A ridge out there most of the time means trough out here so we will see what happens

Maybe.

 

Though a ridge axis right along the west coast produces the most disgusting humidity here by far. Shorter wavelengths place the trough over the Plains/Midwest which leaves me trapped in the warm sector.

[Phil]

Its does not look that cold here on Saturday afternoon per the 00Z ECMWF... or that hot for Phil.

 

The weather has been beautiful under the ULL for sure. Highs in the low 80s with daily convection.

 

Doesn’t get any better than this in JJA. Which typically means we’re gonna pay for it big time. I call it the summer trough tax.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

79F and beautiful today. Pleasant night with good star-watching.

[Phil]

The EPS weeklies have the La Niña tropical forcing signature really locked in going forward. Subsidence right over the WPAC/dateline.

 

[Omegaraptor]

Is this a joke?

It is. Referencing a post Jim made at the start of April.

[Omegaraptor]

 

lolololol

[Phil]

0409F457-A348-4E7F-A6B1-2A316B6E617F.gif

 

lolololol

Yeah that’s...unlikely to verify.

 

Though I suppose if J/A/S ends up +0.1C @ PDX, then it technically verifies.

[ShawniganLake]

[ShawniganLake]

Yeah that’s...unlikely to verify.

 

Though I suppose if J/A/S ends up +0.1C @ PDX, then it technically verifies.

Yea. It only says above average not by how much.

[Meatyorologist]

Pretty sure anyone can guess what happens when it comes to next weekend...

 

For the very briefest of moments I thought it was an arctic blast lmao. Very similar look

[TT-SEA]

Precipitation anomaly for the last 90 days (mid-April through mid-June):

 

 

 

 

And for the last 180 days:

 

[The Swamp]

The operational shows an arctic blast on the 4th of July.

[Jesse]

0409F457-A348-4E7F-A6B1-2A316B6E617F.gif

 

lolololol

So silly. Hasn’t anyone told them it’s been decades since we’ve seen a warm JAS? lololol

[MossMan]

The operational shows an arctic blast on the 4th of July.

Bet I will see at least 3”. Just soggy wet fireworks for you however.

[Jesse]

Low of 55 here. Up to 62 now with sunny skies, going to be a warm day.

[Blizzard777]

61*

Filtered sunshine through the trees greeting me while I’m drinking coffee on the patio.  My kind of morning 

[ShawniganLake]

Just saw a news report on the wet weekends in Vancouver. 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 have featured rain on at least 1 day.

[Blizzard777]

Just saw a news report on the wet weekends in Vancouver. 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 have featured rain on at least 1 day.

Next weekend could break the wet trend

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Precipitation anomaly for the last 90 days (mid-April through mid-June):

 

 

 

 

And for the last 180 days:

 

 

Still way below normal down this way.  Another N/S precip year.

[Jesse]

Just saw a news report on the wet weekends in Vancouver. 6 in a row and 9 of the last 10 have featured rain on at least 1 day.

Good timing since weekends probably matter less than ever to many the last 2-3 months.

[TT-SEA]

Still way below normal down this way.  Another N/S precip year.

 

 

Indeed.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Something about these drought maps that makes me wonder is why it seems the severity of the drought follows along orographic lines. Just abnormally dry in the cascades where it rains much more on average than where it is severe drought in the valley which gets much less rain on average. This is supposed to be a departure from normal conditions. Have we really gotten pattern after pattern of orographic lift being favored in such a way that the drought ends up being much less severe in places that were already supposed to be getting a lot more rain? Screenshot_20200618-205747_Chrome.jpg

Probably, though I'd have to look back at previous years to see if this was also the case. Maybe the snowpack is helping keep them out of a drought?

[BLI snowman]

Good timing since weekends probably matter less than ever to many the last 2-3 months.

 

 

I prefer doing all my hiking on the weekdays in the summer. Much less crowded.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

[Jesse]

I prefer doing all my hiking on the weekdays in the summer. Much less crowded.

Same, whenever possible. Camping too.

[Jesse]

Probably, though I'd have to look back at previous years to see if this was also the case. Maybe the snowpack is helping keep them out of a drought?

That wouldn’t make sense. The rivers that start in snowpack areas flow down into the drier areas.

 

Snowpack also isn’t much of a factor at this point until you get above 6,000’ or so.

[El_Nina]

Nice seeing Mt. Hood so white still so late in the year. Not going to last long though.

[GeorgeWx]

Maybe.

 

Though a ridge axis right along the west coast produces the most disgusting humidity here by far. Shorter wavelengths place the trough over the Plains/Midwest which leaves me trapped in the warm sector.

I have seen that before, ridge far enough east and also ridge out here but trough in the central US

[ShawniganLake]

Good timing since weekends probably matter less than ever to many the last 2-3 months.

I actually prefer rain on weekends in most cases. A rainy Sunday morning with a hot cup of coffee ain’t the worst.