June 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Jesse]

Maybe for mid July to mid August but even that is pushing it. Normal high is 74, 13 degrees above average for June is a bit too much for my liking

87 isn’t too bad for a warm mid-June day. We can be well into the 90s or even close to 100 at this point in the year.

[Blizzard777]

A nice slug of rain moving into the Portland metro currently. Seems this system is overachieving locally.

 

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Portland stealing the show!  .01 Federal Way

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still zilch down here. Probly 2-4PM for some showers.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

67F in downtown Springfield.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Glad to see us getting some rain this morning. The grass pollen count as of yesterday was 328 in the very high category. Very much needed rain today.

[Jesse]

[ShawniganLake]

[Jesse]

[ShawniganLake]

[Jesse]

I don’t like poutine and I could take or leave hockey. More of a baseball guy. Does our differences in spelling certain words really bother you that much. You might have to let it go one of these years.

Just being silly. I think the trolling has been a two way street lately.

 

Was hoping you’d find it a little funny if anything.

[TT-SEA]

I don’t like poutine and I could take or leave hockey. More of a baseball guy. Does our differences in spelling certain words really bother you that much. You might have to let it go one of these years.

He never lets anything go. Ever. And he always has the same excuse.

[Jesse]

Have picked up over .15” today now with the radar still looking decent. This thing has overachieved down here.

 

Currently 61 which is the low for the day.

[Jesse]

Today could push PDX into top 5 wet June territory.

[Omegaraptor]

Gonna have to postpone the hike to tomorrow. Rain ended up quite a bit farther south than expected.

[ShawniganLake]

Today could push PDX into top 5 wet June territory.

Wow. It hasn’t been that wet up here.

 

Also. I have no idea who says “aboot”. No one I’ve ever met. Perhaps I could see it being an eastern Canada thing. Maritimes perhaps?

[Jesse]

[Jesse]

Wow. It hasn’t been that wet up here.

Also. I have no idea who says “aboot”. No one I’ve ever met. Perhaps I could see it being an eastern Canada thing. Maritimes perhaps?

Who knows. Probably Rick Moranis and Dave Thomas’s fault mostly. Both Canadians.

[TT-SEA]

WRF shows decent clearing tomorrow... ECMWF shows low clouds all day from Salem northward.

 

ECMWF will be right.  

[Omegaraptor]

Starting to feel like we are going to have a very wet fall and winter this year.

 

Hopefully cold/wet. -ENSO definitely tips the odds that way. Much less split flow and warm SW flow to be expected.

 

Mountains are due for an epic snow season.

[Jesse]

Euro has definitely jumped on board the warmer trend for late in the week now. As it stands, PDX has a shot at 90 on both Tuesday and Friday this coming week.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just a little light rain today. 0.07" so far this morning, pushing us over the 5" mark on the month. 

[Phil]

Kinda OT, but lightning hit our house today. Lost the toaster and our ancient, 30 year old microwave oven. Latter is probably for the best, haha.

 

Sucks the nest camera boggles it. Image freezes & loses time when the strike hits..in reality it was simultaneous.

 

[FroYoBro]

Kinda OT, but lightning hit our house today. Lost the toaster and our ancient, 30 year old microwave oven. Latter is probably for the best, haha.

 

Sucks the nest camera boggles it. Image freezes & loses time when the strike hits..in reality it was simultaneous.

 

 

Fake. That's a clip from Jurassic Park. 

[TT-SEA]

Just a few sprinkles so far today... 64 now with the sun peaking out at times.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

0.11” of rain overnight here. A few patches of blue showing up this morning

 

Only about 0.03" here, the system just kind of fell part as it hit the coast. Definitely some humidity in the air today.

[Jesse]

Back edge is moving through here. Up to .20” on the day.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Starting to rain now. Hopefully can squeeze an eighth of an inch out of this but I'm not expecting it.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Portland is actually colder now than it was at sunrise.

[Phil]

Now the EPS is struggling with the LR progression.

 

[El_Nina]

0.41" this morning brings June to 5.03".

[TacomaWaWx]

Has been drizzly on and off...only 0.02” to show for it today.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Tipped a bucket for 0.01" here.

 

Totally dry summer avoided!

Not 2:43 PM yet.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Back edge is moving through here. Up to .20” on the day.

 

You must be at 2 or 3x the amount of rain we've seen up here this month. Still haven't even reached the 1" mark in Victoria.

[Jesse]

You must be at 2 or 3x the amount of rain we've seen up here this month. Still haven't even reached the 1" mark in Victoria.

Hopefully northern areas can get a wetter July and August this summer to make up the deficit. We are looking fairly good down here.

[Jesse]

Now the EPS is struggling with the LR progression.

To me, the full latitude troughing that has been advertised toward the end of the month seems like something that probably won’t verify, or will at least get way watered down from what is shown now. We have had patterns like that advertised in recent years around this time and they never seem to pan out.

 

In the warming and drying summer climate of recent decades, once we get past the solstice it has been really difficult if not impossible to get troughing like that again until mid-late September at the earliest.

[TacomaWaWx]

Hopefully northern areas can get a wetter July and August this summer to make up the deficit. We are looking fairly good down here.

we’re at 1.75” for the month...your location is probably at double that now. Nice that all this rain is falling where it was really needed down in OR instead of up here in western WA.

[TT-SEA]

You must be at 2 or 3x the amount of rain we've seen up here this month. Still haven't even reached the 1" mark in Victoria.

The northern part of western WA has been very wet this month...

 

[Omegaraptor]

 

Low pass signal for tropical forcing since 2018 is changing soon into a more Niña-like forcing regime.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

The northern part of western WA has been very wet this month...

 

 

I think this area is sitting close to average for the month (areas that got lucky with convective showers might be in better shape). Being right at average when you're about to enter a dry phase isn't a good sign for summer drought.

[Phil]

To me, the full latitude troughing that has been advertised toward the end of the month seems like something that probably won’t verify, or will at least get way watered down from what is shown now. We have had patterns like that advertised in recent years around this time and they never seem to pan out.

 

In the warming and drying summer climate of recent decades, once we get past the solstice it has been really difficult if not impossible to get troughing like that again until mid-late September at the earliest.

I’m not sure about a “full latitude” trough, but given the removal of AAM and WPAC/dateline subsidence, the ridge position should retrograde into the GOA/NPAC, which would also match in-situ subseasonal La Niña climatology.

 

Recall we were discussing a modestly cool/dry summer background state not too long ago..if anything there’s been more precipitation than the analogs indicated (and more than I was anticipating) to-date.