July 2020 Observations and Discussion

[Hawkeye]

The faucet has certainly been turned off around here.  Our last real rain was nine days ago and models show little, if any, rain over the next week.

[CentralNebWeather]

Pouring rain here in Central Nebraska at 10:45 pm. It can still rain hard. Going to be some happy farmers in the morning.

[Tom]

Another morning with steady rain for our OMA peeps!  Glad to see you guys finally "broke the ice" and hopefully its a trend for the remainder of the Summer.

 

[Tom]

As of July 15th, the normal high at ORD is now beginning the slow track down from its high of 85F.  Yesterday, we reached 84F which is the normal for the day.  It was a marvelous day with plenty of sunshine until later in the day.  Hoping to score some rainfall today but it looks like most of the action may remain south of here.

 

Some LR thoughts....after a brief burst of Heat later this weekend (into Monday for some of us farther east), the overnight model trends have been in favor of a cooler/wetter trend across the central ag belt and sliding east.  Low and Behold, the GEFS were sniffing this pattern out while the EPS was pushing the Heat.  I'm seeing growing trends of a bit of a central CONUS cool pool to close out the month.  Stalled frontal boundaries???  This has been on my mind where the pattern may lead to heading into August.  If the blocking along the west coast grows stronger in the LR, this will undoubtedly lead to more frontal boundaries that may even settle farther south than originally anticipated across the central ag belt.  Good signs going forward.

 

Last nights 00z EPS below shows the idea when you marry a tropical system tracking out of the GOM into TX and converge with a frontal boundary draped across the southern Plains later next week.

[Bryan1117]

Another morning with steady rain for our OMA peeps! Glad to see you guys finally "broke the ice" and hopefully its a trend for the remainder of the Summer.

 

Nice to see more rainfall this morning, even though once again the heavier rains dodged us here in Omaha. I have only picked up about 0.25 of rain so far, while areas towards Lincoln picked up 1-2 inches overnight. Not gonna complain though, it’s nice to get any kind of moisture at this point.

[CentralNebWeather]

Got just below an inch here last night. All of a sudden things are looking green again.

[westMJim]

Yesterday was a very pleasant day here in our area. In fact for any one who was up north yesterday there was even a kind of chill in the air as temperatures in the UP were mostly in the 60’s during the day after lows in the upper 40’s to low 50’s

PPER PENINSULA STATIONS --  
CMX : HOUGHTON COUNTY AIRPOR :   68 /  49  /  0.00  
P59 : COPPER HARBOR          :   68 /  52  /  0.00  
IMT : IRON MOUNTAIN AIRPORT  :   72 /  54  /  0.00  
MQT : NWS MARQUETTE          :   64 /  47  /  0.00  
SAW : GWINN                  :   66 /  47  /     M   
IWD : IRONWOOD AIRPORT       :   67 /  47  /     M   
ESC : ESCANABA               :   69 /  52  /     M   
MNM : MENOMINEE              :   69 /  55  /     M   
ERY : NEWBERRY               :   67 /  46  /     M   
ANJ : SAULT STE MARIE        :   67 /  50  /  0.00  
:-- NORTHERN LOWER PENINSULA STATIONS --  
PLN : PELLSTON               :   70 /  44  /  0.00  
TVC : TRAVERSE CITY          :   73 /  52  /  0.00  
GLR : GAYLORD                :   65 /  44  /  0.00  
APN : ALPENA                 :   73 /  51  /  0.00  
HTL : HOUGHTON LAKE          :   74 /  47  /  0.00  

[Hawkeye]

A surprise line of showers bubbled up and passed through Cedar Rapids this morning.  A nice downpour dropped 0.14" here, enough to fill my rain barrel.

[Niko]

Attm, its 67F/19C, Dew at 63F/17C under cloudy to mostly cloudy skies. Feels fairly comfortable outside I would imagine.

[Niko]

 

Some more severe weather coming by midweek.....

 

 

 

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

356 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2020
 

MIZ063-068>070-075-076-082-083-220800-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

356 AM EDT Tue Jul 21 2020
 

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast

Michigan.
 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight
 

There is a chance for thunderstorms tonight, mainly after midnight.

Severe weather is not expected..
 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Wednesday through Monday
 

There is a chance for thunderstorms Wednesday. There is a marginal

risk for severe weather with wind gusts to 60 mph the main threat.

 

[Stormy]

Couldn't get my rain barrel filled with only 0.04" yesterday and 0.02" this morning! It's now been 4 weeks since the last decent rain of over 1/2" which occurred on June 22 with 0.67". Since that time I've had exactly just that amount again from a number of small rains which are dwindling down to only a few hundredths at a time now. Did receive 0.41" from a slow rain last week but that doesn't go far once it's dry! I had a total of only 0.62" in July of last year and so far this July just 0.58". Still 10 days to add to that total this month, but who knows with the way things are going lately. Short and long term forecasts have been so wrong lately! Crops aren't suffering terribly just yet since soils hold moisture well around here and they were still wet around June 10. My 30 year July average was around 4.5" as of last year, but another dry July will lower that a bit further. If not for two back to back extremely wet Julys way back in 1992 {nearly 16") & 1993 {over 13"), my July average rainfall would be quite a bit lower.

[Stormy]

I saw one report of 3/4"th at the CR. airport. Probably is legit as it looked like it passed mostly south of Hawkeye.

[Stormy]

I'm hoping cells associated with the remnant MCV in southern Iowa can strengthen as they move closer, instability isn't that great with minimal heating though.

[Stormy]

[Minny_Weather]

Hello from Layton, UT (near SLC). Smoggy and 92°F.

[Niko]

More humidity n hazy sunshine around w temps in the upper 70s. At least its not in the 90s, YET!

[Stormy]

Bud should be getting some good showers to my north now.

[Hawkeye]

I picked up 0.14" this morning and then another 0.14" last hour from another decent cell.  I'm happy with today's result.  I'm up to 2.78" in July.

 

Sparky can't buy any rain.

[bud2380]

.33" of rain here with some heavier showers that rolled through.  There was no wind so the rain was falling straight down.  Kind've cool to see. 

[Stormy]

I picked up 0.14" this morning and then another 0.14" last hour from another decent cell. I'm happy with today's result. I'm up to 2.78" in July.

 

Sparky can't buy any rain.

Yep, a gap over my location AGAIN! Wonder how often that can happen? My brother about 6 miles se. got 0.30" this morning plus a bit more this afternoon. Radar estimates show over 1" in a few locations. I'm reminded of 2005 and other times. In '05 my area was getting missed most of the year with every month less than 2" of precip except for April and January, with January being the wettest month of that year, and 2005 was also the driest year of my 3 decades of records with only 21.41" which maybe beat 1988, but I don't have records for '88. Sure wish I would. Anyway, I've experienced this before and knew I'm in just as bad (maybe worse) a place to live as you other Iowans.

 

PS: Oh, I forgot to mention the whopping 0.09" I got today which filled the small rain barrel at least.

[snowstorm83]

Nice to see more rainfall this morning, even though once again the heavier rains dodged us here in Omaha. I have only picked up about 0.25 of rain so far, while areas towards Lincoln picked up 1-2 inches overnight. Not gonna complain though, it’s nice to get any kind of moisture at this point.

 

There's been kind of a contrast between Omaha and Lincoln lately! Grass is green and corn is tall. KLNK is at 5.19" for the month - KOMA (northeast corner) only has 1.10", though I think the rest of of the city and surburbs have closer to 2". Hopefully you guys over there can get some decent banding soon. 

[BMT]

Sparky and Hawkeye: looking for some insight here.

 

Both of you guys mention rain barrels and I’m in the market. Any particular insight into which type I should get? Or what not to get? Any help is appreciated!

[Hawkeye]

Sparky and Hawkeye: looking for some insight here.

 

Both of you guys mention rain barrels and I’m in the market. Any particular insight into which type I should get? Or what not to get? Any help is appreciated!

 

About ten years ago the local Indian Creek Nature Center was selling rain barrels, so we bought one.  It was 100 something $.  The barrel cracked and leaked in a couple spots after a couple years and the manufacturer sent us a replacement.  The replacement has worked well for several years with no issues.  I use the barrel to water the pots and garden.  It holds 60+ gallons.  There is a faucet low on the barrel where you can attach a hose, but I just open the top and dip the 1.5 gallon watering can into the water to fill it.  My house only has two gutter downspouts, with one draining into the barrel, so it only takes 0.20" of rain to fill the barrel.  Because water flows into the barrel so quickly during heavy rain, I need to use two overflow hoses.  The barrel only comes with one, but I kept the one from the first barrel so I have two.  Even two hoses isn't enough when the rain is torrential, but that doesn't happen very often.  Of course, if the house gutters emptied into more than two downspouts, less water would flow into the barrel.

 

https://www.wayfair.com/outdoor/pdx/rain-water-solutions-moby-65-gallon-rain-barrel-rnws1001.html

 

[Tom]

ORD only recorded a spattering of rain (0.03") while the southern burbs got soaked again.  I'm looking forward to a couple days with low humidity and very comfy temps for Thu/Fri.  The CF can't come quick enough to get rid of this humidity and usher in some cooler Canadian air.  Great sleeping wx later tonight as temps dip into the low/mid 50's for many???

 

 

 

[Tom]

Woah, what's this.....BN temp streak next week???  Where do I sign???  Boy, did the Euro come in last night with a large area of our Sub starting Tue through Fri feeling more like early Sept with day time highs for some of us across the GL's region.  #relief

 

The only caveat when you get a strong HP come down from Canada, it will dry up for a little while around here.  Any rain we get during the Sun-Mon period will be a blessing bc I don't foresee to many chances showing up until later during the following week.

 

Both the GEFS/EPS are starting to agree on a potential longer stretch of cooler weather for a lot of us....GEFS and CFSv2 sniffed this pattern out a bit better than the EPS in the LR.  Actually, the JMA weeklies did a pretty good job as well.  

 

 

 

[westMJim]

Not much in the way of rain fall here. I recorded just 0.03" of ran just enough to get the road wet. The both the official low at GRR and here at my house was just 72 and the DP here at my house is now at 70.

[Stormy]

[Niko]

Next shot of severe weather waits till Sunday for MBY.....

Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather OutlookNational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI345 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020MIZ055-061>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-230745-Sanilac-Genesee-Lapeer-St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-345 AM EDT Wed Jul 22 2020This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeastMichigan..DAY ONE...Today and TonightThere is a chance for thunderstorms today but severe weather is notexpected. Storm motion will be from WNW to ESE at 30 mph. Locallyheavy rainfall will be possible within any robust storm..DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Thursday through TuesdayThe next best chance for thunderstorms will be late Sunday and Sundaynight.

[Niko]

Attm, its 77F/25C, Dew 72F/22C under mostly cloudy skies. Not too much sun today will reduce chances for any severe weather. Just isolated downpours.

[Niko]

TS Gonzalo forms in the Atlantic. Could mean business in the GOM down the road and eventually the US mainland. Have to keep an eye on it.

[Stormy]

I modified or updated my previous post so you might need to refresh to see it all.

[Stormy]

That small circle of clouds and rain in Nebraska is kinda neat.

 

[CentralNebWeather]

That small circle of clouds and rain in Nebraska is kinda neat.

 

I was on the southern edge of this as it came through about 8 AM. Rained hard for about 15 minutes. Humidity is oppressive with no wind to speak of. We actually now have a little standing water in places. Couldn’t say that a few days ago. Sounds like the next few days will be hot and humid. Just what you’d expect in late July in Central Nebraska.

[Hawkeye]

The Euro has one chance of rain around here through ten days.  It at least appears we can forget about a long-duration heat wave.

[Hawkeye]

TS Gonzalo forms in the Atlantic. Could mean business in the GOM down the road and eventually the US mainland. Have to keep an eye on it.

 

It will have trouble making it through the more-hostile conditions in the Caribbean.

[Niko]

It will have trouble making it through the more-hostile conditions in the Caribbean.

It all depends. If it ramps up quickly, then it may have a better chance in gaining energy and moving west through the Caribbean.

[Bryan1117]

There's been kind of a contrast between Omaha and Lincoln lately! Grass is green and corn is tall. KLNK is at 5.19" for the month - KOMA (northeast corner) only has 1.10", though I think the rest of of the city and surburbs have closer to 2". Hopefully you guys over there can get some decent banding soon. 

For the month of July I am doing a bit better than the Omaha Eppley reporting station, with about an inch and a half or so of rain in my gauge (0.85" so far this week)... however the precipitation disparity between the really dry areas to the north and east of us and the wetter zones to the south and west is getting ridiculous.

 

Our last chance of rain until the weekend comes in tonight, however it doesn't look to be too significant... after that the heat will be on for the rest of the week until some relief comes late Sunday.  

[Stormy]

The Euro has one chance of rain around here through ten days.  It at least appears we can forget about a long-duration heat wave.

Not good news with the rain chances.

[Niko]

Currently:  T=84F/29C, D=71F/22C

 

Skies: mostly to partly cloudy

 

Drier air moving in as a weak CF rolls on through this evening. 

 

Heat N Humidity return by the weekend. Temps will be in the 90s once again, b4 cooling back down into the 80s early next week. Also, severe weather possible late Sunday for MBY.

[Stormy]

Sorry. I deleted my post as it was screwed up a bit. Will try to repost later when I have time