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July 2020 Observations and Discussion


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Sunset here  

Holy smokes, what a night of driving...we are currently just passed Springfield, IL and on our final leg of the trip. I managed to drive all the way just before Tulsa, OK, then took a 2 hr break whil

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We just made it into OK and it’s a balmy 92F and humid! I miss the moisture in the air. What a fun storm that was back in TX. I could still see vivid lighting in my rear view mirror. Next stop....OKC!

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Holy smokes, what a night of driving...we are currently just passed Springfield, IL and on our final leg of the trip. I managed to drive all the way just before Tulsa, OK, then took a 2 hr break while my Dad drove, then drove another 3 hours through MO and that’s when we encountered a nearly stationary intense cell near Rolla, MO. My goodness, this had to be the most insane nightfall rains I’ve seen. I nearly got hit by a massive lightning bolt just to my south. The sky was lit up in an almost continuous fireworks show from Mother Nature. One of the most memorable excursions I’ve had driving on a road trip. If anyone can pull up the rainfall totals from that city I’d appreciate it. It so happens that there is still some residual rain from that storm this morning! Wild wx to say the least.

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If anyone can pull up the rainfall totals from that city I’d appreciate it.

 

Screen Shot 2020-07-03 at 9.25.24 AM.png

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Yesterday official high of 92 was the first time of a 90 or better at GR since June 20th and 2020 now has had 5 days of 90 or better. At the current time the official reading at GRR is 87 with a DP of 69 while here at my house I have 91 with a DP of 71. Either way it is more humid today then it has been.

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Holy smokes, what a night of driving...we are currently just passed Springfield, IL and on our final leg of the trip. I managed to drive all the way just before Tulsa, OK, then took a 2 hr break while my Dad drove, then drove another 3 hours through MO and that’s when we encountered a nearly stationary intense cell near Rolla, MO. My goodness, this had to be the most insane nightfall rains I’ve seen. I nearly got hit by a massive lightning bolt just to my south. The sky was lit up in an almost continuous fireworks show from Mother Nature. One of the most memorable excursions I’ve had driving on a road trip. If anyone can pull up the rainfall totals from that city I’d appreciate it. It so happens that there is still some residual rain from that storm this morning! Wild wx to say the least.

On today's CocoRahs reports the highest reports were 1.51" 1.46" and 1.21" 

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Enjoyed reading your updates Tom! That's a wild ride! And impressive temp swings down in TX and OK. 64-92!

Ya, for sure!  The rain cooled air felt real nice when we stopped for gas.  The wind was gusty from the outflows created by the storm and in the flat lands of the TX Panhandle, there was zero obstruction.  The double rainbow had to be the coolest thing I've seen in a while!

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Ya, for sure!  The rain cooled air felt real nice when we stopped for gas.  The wind was gusty from the outflows created by the storm and in the flat lands of the TX Panhandle, there was zero obstruction.  The dotuble rainbow had to be the coolest thing I've seen 

 

Hmmm, thought for sure it would be a lot more...

Not a whole lot of reports from Phelphs and Crawford counties.  The reports were from this morning but who knows the rain may have fallen in other locations. But it looks like most of the state did not receive any rain at all.

7/3/2020   7:00 AM   MO-PH-20   St. James 1.2 SE    1.51       NA   |     NA        NA   |    NA    MO Phelps

  7/3/2020   8:00 AM   MO-PH-51   Rolla 4.2 E    1.12       NA   |     NA        NA   |    NA    MO

Phelps

 

 

7/3/2020   6:30 AM   MO-CF-1   Steelville 5.6 SW    1.21      0.0   |     NA       0.0   |    NA    MO Crawford  icon_view.gif  Classic | New   7/3/2020   9:30 AM   MO-CF-8   St. James 7.7 SE    1.46       NA   |     NA        NA   |    NA    MO Crawford

 

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We ended up with about .20” last night. Just that little rain did green things up some today. Next week looks oppressive. Forecast has several days at 100-102 starting mid week. I’ll be honest, we’ve been spoiled around here the last few summers with much above normal precipitation and lower temps. This is more typical.

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Happy 4th of July everyone as we celebrate America's 244th birthday!  I love this country and the freedom's we cherish each and every day.  Our nation declared it's freedom by the founding Father's who signed the Declaration of Independence in 1776. God bless them and all of you on this memorable day.

 

9c4bd4a3e639aca0ee3041cebda1bb27--july-q

 

 

 

I'm happy to say we made it safe and sound back home to Chicago....and a LONG trip it was...traveled a total of 1,711 miles while burned 70 gallons of fuel that cost >$200. 

 

Trip Tidbits: Engine burn time 25 hours while total time almost exactly 28 hours!  One of the quickest trips I've taken over the years of driving back and forth.

 

 

Meantime, the weather here last evening was absolutely amazing.  Exactly what I wanted to feel when I was in AZ yearning for these days/evenings.  A lake breeze blew in later in the afternoon and dropped the DP towards 60F while the temp was in the mid 80's.  I had to mow the lawn, pluck weeds and pick up branches that were scattered all over the yard.  Mind you, I enjoy working outside and doing stuff around the house.  I told my lawn service company not to cut it last week bc I knew we would be home for the 4th so I saved a couple bucks.  The healthy rains that fell last week really helped the grass grow a lot but man, the weeds and crab grass this year is bad!  I'm not sure if its even worth getting any weed killer/etc bc the forecast looks hot and dry over the next couple weeks.

 

Have a splendid day everyone!  I'm debating if I'm going to hit the beach or chill at my buddy's pool.  Nonetheless, a lot of us will Fry on this 4th of July!

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While this week will be HOT, I'm eye balling an intense burst of heat across the central Plains next weekend when temps could top the low 110's!  Still days away but the LR signal is for some crazy heat.  Both the Euro/GFS are similar in placement of the heat dome.

 

gfs_T2m_ncus_32.png

1.png

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After digesting more data, I'm afraid the central/eastern ag belt region may have real issues with drought and crop stress.  My goodness, the signal off both the GEFS/EPS for the foreseeable future is NOT looking good.  While some of us across the northern periphery of the ever growing central CONUS ridge may get lucky later next week, the rest of our Sub will be stuck in a stagnant pattern...one I have not seen in many years.  The Summer of 2012 starts coming to mind as I recall days in the 90's and low 100's here.  

 

00z GEFS trying to bring some relief next Friday...

 

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_24.png

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The overnight low here was a warm 70. At Muskegon they now have had 5 days in a row with highs of 90 or better. That is hard to do at the lake shore on this side of the lake. Currently it is 70 here with a DP of 65

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After digesting more data, I'm afraid the central/eastern ag belt region may have real issues with drought and crop stress.  My goodness, the signal off both the GEFS/EPS for the foreseeable future is NOT looking good.  While some of us across the northern periphery of the ever growing central CONUS ridge may get lucky later next week, the rest of our Sub will be stuck in a stagnant pattern...one I have not seen in many years.  The Summer of 2012 starts coming to mind as I recall days in the 90's and low 100's here.  

 

00z GEFS trying to bring some relief next Friday...

 

gfs-ens_apcpn24_us_24.png

Glad you made it back safely Tom and thanks for keeping us updated! Kind of neat how you experienced several storms on your way home.

 

BTW, this map looks decent for my area.

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Very humid morning. Walked outside and it felt like I walked into a waterfall. It's also warming up fast despite filtered sun 75°F after a low of 69.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Glad you made it back safely Tom and thanks for keeping us updated! Kind of neat how you experienced several storms on your way home.

 

BTW, this map looks decent for my area.

You and I are on the same page as I felt the same on the drive back home.

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GEFS shows continued misery through the entire run.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Yesterday was pretty nice.... upper 80s with a mid 60s dew.  Today will feel much warmer... temp and dew both 3-5º warmer.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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@Tom...no doubt regarding the weed killer. I spent about $80 on some for my backyard. Looked good for about a week and then when the heat dome moved in it almost looks like I never used any. Lol. Also agree that this is looking more like summer 2012!

Already at 82°!

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Weeds may be all that are living if the maps that Tom posted verify. I just mowed. Is is a gross morning, dew in the low 70’s and no wind. I think moisture from the irrigation of the corn, and the corn giving off moisture,is starting to also add to the tropical feel to the air. I am completely drenched in sweat. I guess I got my workout in. Got about 12000 steps behind my Toro self propelled.

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One knows how warm and stable the air mass is when temperatures are in the mid 80’s all across the state even with light winds out of the east and north east. We do not see happen here in Michigan all that often in mid-summer. This is something that would normally happen in early September. On my early morning walk today the areas that have not been watered are now becoming brown. That will lead to possible even hotter weather later next week.

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Yesterday was pretty nice.... upper 80s with a mid 60s dew.  Today will feel much warmer... temp and dew both 3-5º warmer.

 

The dewpoint has fallen back down to 64º, so, once again, it's not too bad out.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Models continue to show an extreme heat wave for the central plains in a week or so.  This morning's GFS has a high temp in Holdrege, NE of 116º next Sunday.  Wow!

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The forecast for Central Nebraska next week looks like something straight out of Arizona.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Models continue to show an extreme heat wave for the central plains in a week or so.  This morning's GFS has a high temp in Holdrege, NE of 116º next Sunday.  Wow!

 

Today's Euro only has 90s in Holdrege.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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So far the official high at GRR today is only 88. I say only because at Muskegon it looks like the high so far has been 92 and that makes the 5th day in a row it has been 90 or better at Muskegon. Even up at the Sault they now have had 5 days in a row in the upper 80's and one of the days was 90 so it has been rather hot for them. And at Marquette they now have have had 5 days in a row of 85 or better. Official at GRR the highs for the last 5 days are 88, 88, 89, 92, 94 and so far today 88. Here at my house I currently have 92 with a DP of 62.

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I'm out here near Valley City watching everything form around me. Hopefully I can get some good pics out of this.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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All these cells, including a tornado warned one, are high precip so they're absolutely not photogenic. Getting rocked by the outflow was fun though.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Models continue to show an extreme heat wave for the central plains in a week or so. This morning's GFS has a high temp in Holdrege, NE of 116º next Sunday. Wow!

I doubt it will get that high. Our all time high temp is 116 from 1934 before irrigation started around here. I just think moisture in the air from corn and irrigation may limit it. Not that it won’t be oppressive. From local forecasts the highest I have seen a week out is 103 next Sunday. Still not good for agricultural interests. Horrible for cattle feeders trying to keep them cool.

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Sunset here

2020-07-04.jpg
 
2020-07-04.jpg

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"), 12/23 (1.2"), 12/27 (1.8"), 12/29-30 (4.1"), 1/23 (1.9"), 4/13-14 (1.4")

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Looks like today will be the last day I mow my lawn for a while.

How could your lawns be turning brown already or quit growing after over 5" of rain not that long ago?!

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‘20 - ‘21 season snowfall = 39.3”

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With many fireworks show cancelled this year, leave it to the people to have their own shows...my neighborhood lit up like it wasn't anyone's business last night around dusk.  I'm in awe every year in the sights and sounds of fireworks....just love it!  Here's how the city looked like last night.

 

https://twitter.com/i/status/1279604388861018112

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ORD topped out at 89F yesterday as the lake breeze kicked in earlier in the afternoon breaking the streak of 90's.  Doesn't look like we will get to break the all-time 90F streak of 11 days.  Next weekend looks cooler as temps dip into the upper 80's.

 

Positive trends in the models for the Thu/Fri period as rainfall chances are on the rise for NE/KS/IA.  Meanwhile, the Upper MW and our members WAY up north will cash in.  Along with the wetter look, temps are not as hot as previous runs for the Plains states.  Win-Win???

1.png

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Overnight model trends are showing an interesting cut-off trough centered near the OHV early the following week.  This has happened a couple times already this year as the pattern gets blocked up.  Relief from the Heat is in the cards for a lot of us on here starting around the 10th/11th.  Looks like many lawns/gardens will get well-timed rains as mother nature shall provides them with a "drink"...as is the case, however, there will be "hits & misses".

 

00z Ukie below through Friday...

2.png

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It was  a noisy night here in my area in all of my life time I do not recall that many private fireworks being shot off. On the weather front I had a low here at my house of 67 and it looks like the official low at GRR was 65.
Currently I have a reading of 71 with a DP of 67 while the last reading at GRR was 72 with a DP of 66.

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Attm, it is 88F w a beautiful dew of 54F. It feels awesome outside. Ton of sunshine for the foreseeable future.Hopefully some t'stms by mid week and that will be isolated.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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It now briefly touched 90 at Grand Rapids, Muskegon and Kalamazoo. It has not officially reached 90 yet at Holland. Here at my house I now have a reading of 94 with a DP of 64. At Muskegon this is the 7th day in a row of 90 or better and if they can officially reach 90 tomorrow they will tie their record for the longest number of consecutive days with highs of 90 or better. Muskegon has also now had 10 days with highs of 90 or better. Maybe its time to make sure their thermometer is reading right LOL.

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