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July 2020 Observations and Discussion


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Hasn't grown much over the last several days. Later this looks to be a shot at some storms.

I mowed the lawn on Saturday again but some have a hint of brown. Haven’t had much rain the last few weeks where I live.

 

A nice band of outflow clouds from earlier storms to the north is moving south across central and western Iowa.

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I just did a quick check. While it has been very warm to hot start to this July and there is a good chance that Muskegon could tie the record for the most 90 days in a row. But in fact this has been the 3 year in a row that July has started off on a warm to hot note. And here in Grand Rapids due to the somewhat cooler nights this year has the coolest mean for the first 5 days of the last 3 years. This year the 5 day mean is 79.2. Last year it was 80.0 and in 2018 it was 81.2. Today I will keep a eye on Muskegon to see if they do indeed tie that record set in 1947.

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@Hawkeye. I noticed a shower near your place in the afternoon or maybe evening by then. Did it maybe just miss to your south? I had a trace of rain in the afternoon.

 

Yeah, there were a couple tiny cells that popped up.  One was a couple miles west of me, the other a few miles north.  I did not see a sprinkle.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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The GFS is showing high temps in Iowa a week out in the 70s.  That would be heavenly.  Meanwhile this weekend it's showing highs upwards of 118 degrees in Oklahoma.  Obviously nobody is buying that, but wow it could get real hot for the plains coming up.  

Season Snowfall: 39.5"

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Hazardous Weather Outlook

Hazardous Weather Outlook

National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI

438 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

 

MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-070845-

Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer-

St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe-

438 AM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020

 

This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast

Michigan.

 

.DAY ONE...Today and Tonight

 

An isolated thunderstorm is possible during mid afternoon through mid

evening. Any storms that develop are not expected to reach severe

limits but will be capable of brief heavy rainfall and wind gusts

around 30 mph while moving southeast at 15 mph.

 

.DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Tuesday through Sunday

 

A hot summer pattern continues through mid week. High temperatures

in the lower to mid 90s are accompanied by increasing humidity each

day. These conditions may require a Heat Advisory or eventually an

Excessive Heat Warning.

 

Scattered thunderstorms are possible on Tuesday. Severe weather is

not expected with any of these storms.

 

A better chance for thunderstorms occurs by Friday when there may be

better potential for severe weather.

 

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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CF arrives Friday providing my area w the best chance for severe weather. Finally, a front will roll on thru. Highs in the 80s afterwards instead of the 90s. I'll take it! WHOOOhooooooo!

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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The GFS is showing high temps in Iowa a week out in the 70s.  That would be heavenly.  Meanwhile this weekend it's showing highs upwards of 118 degrees in Oklahoma.  Obviously nobody is buying that, but wow it could get real hot for the plains coming up.  

 

 

if the 70s pans out my air conditioning would be very happy.  As would I.   I don’t mind a few hot days here and there, but this ever day 90+ stinks

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Muskegon reached 90 between hourly readings today so they did indeed tied the record set in 1947 of 8 days in a row of 90 or better. Here is the break down. 91 on June 29, 92 on June 30, 91 July 1, 92 July 2, 90 July 3, 92 July 4, 91 July 5 and 90 today July 6.

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I just got back from my morning walk and yes today is the warmest it has been during this current warm streak. The current temperature here at my house is 74 with a DP of 67. The overnight low here was just 70. 

Same here...its already a soupy 85F with a 70F DP...

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Of course, yet another area of heavy precip weakens right as it gets to the F-M metro. This is an annoying trend. I have gotten maybe 6 drops of rain here since I moved despite 4 different rain chances.

Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

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Definitely heading towards the muggy side w dew nearing 68F. Actual temp attm its 83F and going for the 90s once again. Cant wait for the CF to arrive by Friday and provide some severe t'stms.

 

Heat Advisory issued for today as the humidity mixes in and there is also an "Excessive Heat Watch" from tomorrow thru Th. There is also an "Air Quality Alert."

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Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Heat Advisory

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI403 AM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020Genesee-Lapeer-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Monroe-Including the cities of Flint, Lapeer, Howell, Pontiac, Warren,Ann Arbor, Detroit, and Monroe403 AM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY......EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGHTHURSDAY EVENING...* WHAT...For the Heat Advisory, heat index values near 100. For  the Excessive Heat Watch, dangerously hot conditions with heat  index values possibly exceeding 100 degrees.* WHERE...Genesee, Lapeer, Livingston, Oakland, Macomb,  Washtenaw, Wayne and Monroe Counties.* WHEN...For the Heat Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Wednesday. For  the Excessive Heat Watch, from Wednesday morning through  Thursday evening.* IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase  the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those  working or participating in outdoor activities, or those  vulnerable to heat stress over several days.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... High temperatures once again exceed 90  degrees today, for the 6th day in a row at Detroit and Flint,  and for the second day in a row with high humidity. Scattered to  numerous showers and thunderstorms bring little relief as wet  ground only adds to humidity while temperatures barely settle to  lows around 70 tonight. This is followed by the peak of  conditions Wednesday and Thursday with high temperatures in the  mid 90s and heat index possibly exceeding 100. The cumulative  impact on heat health stress is expected to be considerable and  could require an Excessive Heat Warning until a cold front  moves into the area by Friday.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on thissituation. Be prepared to drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relativesand neighbors.Young children and pets should never be left unattended invehicles under any circumstances. This is especially true duringwarm or hot weather when car interiors can reach lethaltemperatures in a matter of minutes.Excessive Heat Watch
URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGENational Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI403 AM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020Genesee-Lapeer-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Monroe-Including the cities of Flint, Lapeer, Howell, Pontiac, Warren,Ann Arbor, Detroit, and Monroe403 AM EDT Tue Jul 7 2020...HEAT ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 8 AM EDT WEDNESDAY......EXCESSIVE HEAT WATCH IN EFFECT FROM WEDNESDAY MORNING THROUGHTHURSDAY EVENING...* WHAT...For the Heat Advisory, heat index values near 100. For  the Excessive Heat Watch, dangerously hot conditions with heat  index values possibly exceeding 100 degrees.* WHERE...Genesee, Lapeer, Livingston, Oakland, Macomb,  Washtenaw, Wayne and Monroe Counties.* WHEN...For the Heat Advisory, until 8 AM EDT Wednesday. For  the Excessive Heat Watch, from Wednesday morning through  Thursday evening.* IMPACTS...Extreme heat and humidity will significantly increase  the potential for heat related illnesses, particularly for those  working or participating in outdoor activities, or those  vulnerable to heat stress over several days.* ADDITIONAL DETAILS... High temperatures once again exceed 90  degrees today, for the 6th day in a row at Detroit and Flint,  and for the second day in a row with high humidity. Scattered to  numerous showers and thunderstorms bring little relief as wet  ground only adds to humidity while temperatures barely settle to  lows around 70 tonight. This is followed by the peak of  conditions Wednesday and Thursday with high temperatures in the  mid 90s and heat index possibly exceeding 100. The cumulative  impact on heat health stress is expected to be considerable and  could require an Excessive Heat Warning until a cold front  moves into the area by Friday.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...Monitor the latest forecasts and warnings for updates on thissituation. Be prepared to drink plenty of fluids, stay in an air-conditioned room, stay out of the sun, and check up on relativesand neighbors.Young children and pets should never be left unattended invehicles under any circumstances. This is especially true duringwarm or hot weather when car interiors can reach lethaltemperatures in a matter of minutes.Air Quality AlertSt. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Monroe-Including the cities of Port Huron, Howell, Pontiac, Warren,Ann Arbor, Detroit, and Monroe958 PM EDT Mon Jul 6 2020...Air Quality Alert in effect for Tuesday July  7th...The Michigan Department of Environment, Great Lakes, and Energy hasdeclared Tuesday July 7th to be an action day for elevated levels ofozone. Pollutants are expected to be in the unhealthy for sensitivegroups range.The action day is in effect for the following Michigan counties...St. Clair...Livingston...Oakland...Macomb...Washtenaw...Wayne andMonroe.People and businesses are urged to avoid activities which lead toozone formation. These activities include...refueling vehicles ortopping off when refueling, using gasoline powered lawn equipmentand using charcoal lighter fluid. Positive activities include...biking to work, delaying or combining errands and using water basedpaints.It is recommended that active children and adults, and people withrespiratory diseases such as asthma, limit prolonged outdoorexertion.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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I'm rather optimistic for those in NE and the KC region to see multiple rounds of storm action starting Thu-Sun as multiple storm clusters are poised to develop on the periphery of the Heat Dome.  In fact, this pattern may extend itself into the following week as nearly every overnight model run has trended wetter.  We will be entering the summer version of the LRC which brought us an active pattern.  While it will be hot during this period, the heat may be interrupted by occasional stormier periods that provide a reprieve from the Heat.

 

00z EPS through Sunday...

 

 

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The dew in recent days has been in the 65-70º range.  Today it is 73º.

 

I'm afraid the little spin moving across Iowa will be too progressive and no showers will pop until it's east of me.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Supposed to have an MCS here tonight. If I somehow manage to get no rain from that, I'm quitting weather.

Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

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NEW RECORD at Muskegon!!! With the current reading of 90 Muskegon now has set a new record for the number of consecutive days of 90 or better with the 9th day in a row of 90 or better.. This breaks the old record of 8 days set in August of 1947. Grand Rapids now has had 6 days in a row of 90 or better.

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Attm, its 90F w a dewpt of 69, so, yep, it is muggy outside. At times skies look ominous, and then all of a sudden, skies start to brighten up. I think Ma Nature is playing w us and getting our hopes up.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Supposed to have an MCS here tonight. If I somehow manage to get no rain from that, I'm quitting weather.

Dont be sensitive! That is what makes weather phenomenal and fun. Kinda like in Winter, when we are tracking a major Winterstorm and you have "TrackA, which is a bonify shut-down blizzard", or "Track B, heavy snow (w heavy accumulations b4 the changeover) to ice to rain", or even "TrackC all rain w little mixing at the beginning ending as snow w no accumulations." So, your area all of a sudden goes from TrackA which was forecasted by every model for days and days and then (while you are all excited and nervous at the same time for any last changes in the track), last second, BANNNGGGGGGGGGG, you are forecasted to get TrackC w hardly any snow at all. Now that is a stab in the back....PERIOD!!!!, but again, that is what makes weather so fascinated. ;)

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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Dont be sensitive! That is what makes weather phenomenal and fun. Kinda like in Winter, when we are tracking a major Winterstorm and you have "TrackA, which is a bonify shut-down blizzard", or "Track B, heavy snow (w heavy accumulations b4 the changeover) to ice to rain", or even "TrackC all rain w little mixing at the beginning ending as snow w no accumulations." So, your area all of a sudden goes from TrackA which was forecasted by every model for days and days and then (while you are all excited and nervous at the same time for any last changes in the track), last second, BANNNGGGGGGGGGG, you are forecasted to get TrackC w hardly any snow at all. Now that is a stab in the back....PERIOD!!!!, but again, that is what makes weather so fascinated. ;)

I was also being completely serious without a hint of sarcasm, like always.

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Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

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Welcome to the void called Fargo. 

I like it better than Toledo!

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Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

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I like it better than Toledo!

Not a weather question but looking at some photos of Fargo I seen one with the sign "Family Fair" I was wondering if that was a grocery store. My youngest son used to work at SpartanNash at their corporate offices (yes they have offices in Grand Rapids, MI) Anyway I was kind of surprised to see a Family Fair sign in Fargo. While we have Family Fair here in Grand Rapids they are much smaller (and more expensive) then Meijer. 

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Not a weather question but looking at some photos of Fargo I seen one with the sign "Family Fair" I was wondering if that was a grocery store. My youngest son used to work at SpartanNash at their corporate offices (yes they have offices in Grand Rapids, MI) Anyway I was kind of surprised to see a Family Fair sign in Fargo. While we have Family Fair here in Grand Rapids they are much smaller (and more expensive) then Meijer. 

Family Fare is indeed a thing here! Though I'm more of a Hornbachers person.

Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

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A line of storms just blew up right after passing by me.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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A line of storms just blew up right after passing by me.

Yeah just got hit hard out of no where. Had a canopy setup out back that is destroyed. Power went out just south of here. Picked up a quick .65 of much needed rain though.

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Yeah just got hit hard out of no where. Had a canopy setup out back that is destroyed. Power went out just south of here. Picked up a quick .65 of much needed rain though.

 

Even the cool outflow did not push southwest at all, so the west side of CR is still 90º.

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season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Most amount of times being in the 90s for the month of July is 17x, set back in 1955. Clearly, we will have no problem breaking that record this year (month of July) as 90s make a return next week. after a brief relief from the 90s this weekend.

 

Btw: The streak of 11 days in a row being in the 90s was a record back in 1953, which I don't think we will break, but it will certainly be a close call this week b4 the heatwave ends on Friday thanks to a welcoming CF.

Snowfall as of today:  Feb, 2021: 41.2"

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1.5" of rain reported just west of me from the cell earlier that blew up and dropped 1" of hail south of ORD...I was driving south and watching the towering storm clouds bubble up.  I miss these views!

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Looks like a line of storms is trying to keep itself together as it approaches NE IL...outflow knocking on my doorstep...dang, wish I laid down some fertilizer/weed killer on my lawns today.  These are the perfect rains.

 

 

LOT.N0Q.20200708.0101.gif

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Cedar Rapids, officially, still has not hit 90º since early June.

 

It was certainly 90+ here in the city.  It felt quite hot.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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A good cell has slowly tracked southeast toward me over the last hour, but it totally slammed on the brakes just before arriving.

season snowfall: 52.5"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Severe thunderstorm watch. The two I have had over the past 4 days didn't pan out, let's see how this one does. 77°F.

Severe Weather Stats for Fargo 2020-21

Slight risks: 3 (Last: 7/26)   Enhanced Risks: 0    Moderate Risks: 0

Severe Thunderstorm Watches: 2 (Last: 7/26)   Severe Thunderstorm Warnings: 1 (Last: 6/7)

Tornado Watches: 0    Tornado Warnings: 0

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 28.6"            Coldest Low: -25*F (2/15)

 

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