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June (July) 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW


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Just drove through downtown seattle and car thermometer dropped down to 57deg at 3pm.

 

King County really knows how to do depressing July weather when it wants!

 

Sun is starting to peek out here now and the drizzle finally stopped.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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King County really knows how to do depressing July weather when it wants!

Sun is starting to peek out here now and the drizzle finally stopped.

Do you ever day trip to Cle Elum and the Kittitas Valley on days like these? You’re less than an hour from there.

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Do you ever day trip to Cle Elum and the Kittitas Valley on days like these? You’re less than an hour from there.

We have done that... but had to work today and the weekend is going to be beautiful anyways.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Up to 81F. Beautiful day!

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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King County really knows how to do depressing July weather when it wants!

 

Sun is starting to peek out here now and the drizzle finally stopped.

 

It was sunny and 72F here this afternoon and still 71F at 7pm this evening. It felt like a pretty typical July day, hard to believe it was cool and drizzly down there.

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It was sunny and 72F here this afternoon and still 71F at 7pm this evening. It felt like a pretty typical July day, hard to believe it was cool and drizzly down there.

Not hard to believe. Frontal passages lead to clear skies there and a c-zone here. Its part of our climo.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Generally if I see a c zone in the models I assume it’s going to be sunny here. It was sunny and 75 here today.

Yep. Its fairly predictable.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Very nice day today. 81/52.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Low of 55 this morning...nice and sunny. Was able to get a glimpse of NEOWISE last night before clouds rolled in. Hopeful to see it again the next few nights before it’s gone.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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What heat?

 

It does not even look above normal after Tuesday.

Looks warm Monday and Tuesday but then back to normal. Not really hot by any means.

Tacoma WA elevation 300’

Monthly rainfall-3.56”

Warm season rainfall-11.14”

Max temp-88

+80 highs-2

+85 highs-2

+90 highs-0

 

 

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Perfect weather for the vegetable garden here for the next several days!   80s according to the gfs. 
perhaps my tomato and cucumber plants will take off finally...growing from seed.  Beans and Romain lettuce doing alright with the cooler weather.  
 

Sunny and 61*

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They are far inland though if that is Redmond, OR.

 

Bingo  :lol:

 

Gonna be pretty warm down here but not overly hot. And the low humidity makes it really nice in the shade once one has gotten their sun for the day.

Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Strongest trade burst in several years in the pipeline for next week.

 

Y’all should be getting into winter mode. Looks like a pretty good one might be coming up along/west of the Rockies.

 

http://www.atmos.albany.edu/student/ventrice/real_time/timeLon/u.anom.30.5S-5N.gif

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The positive SST/OHC (relative to the global mean) are also centered over the Niña-constructive Indo-Pacific/IO domain. Will help hold convection over the Maritime continent and strengthen the Walker cell/trades.

 

cdas-sflux_ssta_relative_global_1.png

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With descending westerly shear, the lack of a coherent +PMM, low pass EHEM/MC divergence, cold ENSO, weak solar wind, and a solid -AAM moat off-equator, the stage could be set for a blocky winter that leans -PNA for the first time in almost a decade (and possibly -NAO too) thru the wave-2 anticyclonic conduits (NPAC to Scandi-Eurasia).

 

A much more interesting set of initial boundary conditions to work with compared to last year, once the seasonal transition gets going.

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In the nearer term, there’s a developing MJO in the IO, as well as a CCKW crossing the Pacific/WHEM (the dueling forcing centers are indirectly responsible for the pattern shake-up for much of the second half of July).

 

The MJO will propagate over the IPWP/Pacific later this month into early August. Pattern initially becomes more meridional as the CCKW recycles and the W2 tropical forcing becomes less prominent. Then the U200 jet extends slightly, then retracts again, w/ modest RW dispersion resuming over the NPAC.

 

By the second week of August, constructive interference should be solidly in place, with a flurry of Atlantic/WHEM tropical activity beginning to amplify the subtropical anticyclones.

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I have a very good feeling about regional Arctic and snow events this coming winter.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

24

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In the nearer term, there’s a developing MJO in the IO, as well as a CCKW crossing the Pacific/WHEM (the dueling forcing centers are indirectly responsible for the pattern shake-up for much of the second half of July).

 

The MJO will propagate over the IPWP/Pacific later this month into early August. Pattern initially becomes more meridional as the CCKW recycles and the W2 tropical forcing becomes less prominent. Then the U200 jet extends slightly, then retracts again, w/ modest RW dispersion resuming over the NPAC.

 

By the second week of August, constructive interference should be solidly in place, with a flurry of Atlantic/WHEM tropical activity beginning to amplify the subtropical anticyclones.

Heat with that?

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