June (July) 2020 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[Blizzard777]

I’m hearing JBLM explosion thuds this evening

Very deep sounding.

 

76* 

[FroYoBro]

Sweating on the deck of my van at 8:40 pm.

[Deweydog]

Sweating on the deck of my van at 8:40 pm.

Should have sprung for the nina summer model.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just wait til next summer. The first full summer before our 2nd of 5 consecutive Nina winters.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Looks like sea surface temperatures could be in the 40s some areas of the Oregon and Washington coasts.

[TacomaWaWx]

Tomorrow should be our 5th consecutive day in the 80s. Interestingly enough I looked back at last summer and we only managed 3 80+ days in a row once in early August. Overall this summers been pretty nice can’t complain too much. I am hoping for a bit of rain at some point...early next week looks like a pretty weak front. Probably will be waiting atleast a couple weeks longer for a decent soaking or more.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Lil’ fun fact for the day...

 

PDX’s jettison from a high of 71 on Friday to 100 on Sunday was the second largest two day rise in high temps on record. First place goes to a very similar 70 to 100 between June 26 and 28, 2008.

 

2008!!!!!!!!!!!

Great analog!

[Frontal Snowsquall]

PDX avoided the 90s today. Feels wrong.

No "official" heatwave unless Friday can get there.

[FroYoBro]

No "official" heatwave unless Friday can get there.

 

Where are you getting your "official" rule from?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Other than a minor cool down early next week... the 12Z EPS show warmth for most of the next 15 days.

One of the reasons why I love this time of year.

[MossMan]

Down to 59.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

oooh

I would just be happy with one month of cold snowy weather. December would be my first choice.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still 80F in downtown Springfield.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Where are you getting your "official" rule from?

I remember seeing it on one of Mark's weather blogs, don't know where the exact definition came from. The 3 straight days of at least 90 degree highs. I definitely think what we are experiencing this week is a heatwave.

[Deweydog]

I too have always understood a “heatwave” to be 3 straight of 90+.

 

AKA: not physically possible during a nina summer.

[ShawniganLake]

Phil’s been pretty quiet. Maybe Jesse and him are camping together

Only 82 here today. ‘Twas a nice day.

[Dave]

I too have always understood a “heatwave” to be 3 straight of 90+.

AKA: not physically possible during a nina summer.

I've always considered that as well. Unfortunately, down here in Redding, OR, it's becoming quite the norm. At least we supposedly have Feb 2019 to remember the good days.

[Phil]

I remember seeing it on one of Mark's weather blogs, don't know where the exact definition came from. The 3 straight days of at least 90 degree highs. I definitely think what we are experiencing this week is a heatwave.

I take offense to that criteria. We’ve only had 2 days *below* 90°F since June 26.

 

Unless summer is a perpetual heatwave, that criteria needs to be amended.

[Phil]

Phil’s been pretty quiet. Maybe Jesse and him are camping together

Only 82 here today. ‘Twas a nice day.

3 posts in 24hrs is quiet by my standards, I guess.

[ShawniganLake]

I take offense to that criteria. We’ve only had 2 days *below* 90°F since June 26.

 

Unless summer is a perpetual heatwave, that criteria needs to be amended.

criteria should probably vary depending on location. It hasn’t hit 90F here in 2 years. Vancouver YVR hasn’t topped 30C is something like 10 years.

[Tyler Mode]

3 days above 90 is a great standard for PDX.  It's not like it's the standard for the entire country.

[TacomaWaWx]

Low of 59 this morning. Sky has an unstable look to it this morning...hopeful for some thunderstorm activity to spill out of the cascades this afternoon but not counting on anything. Wouldn’t surprise me if we did see some lightning to the east of here tonight though.

[Blizzard777]

Low of 59 this morning. Sky has an unstable look to it this morning...hopeful for some thunderstorm activity to spill out of the cascades this afternoon but not counting on anything. Wouldn’t surprise me if we did see some lightning to the east of here tonight though.

JBLM noise and Cascade Mountain noise....nice! 

 

60*

[Jbolin]

JBLM noise and Cascade Mountain noise....nice! 

 

60*

I wouldn't get too excited, 

 

Despite steep LR's and good MUCAPE, there is just very little in the way of moisture associated with the downstream trough to really do much. 

 

I would like to see a bit more tilt NNW in this type of setup, even then, any activity would likely be pushed E/NE.

[FroYoBro]

Pdx is 77 at the 11 am reading.

 

Going with 95 today.

[Kayla]

12z GFS shows the first Fall like clipper out here at the end of the run. Can't get here soon enough!

[TacomaWaWx]

I wouldn't get too excited, 

Despite steep LR's and good MUCAPE, there is just very little in the way of moisture associated with the downstream trough to really do much. 

I would like to see a bit more tilt NNW in this type of setup, even then, any activity would likely be pushed E/NE.

I’ll be watching but not really anticipating anything. Haven’t had any thunderstorm activity since late May...hoping for another amazing convective late summer early fall like last year.

[TacomaWaWx]

JBLM noise and Cascade Mountain noise....nice! 

 

60*

I can hear the JBLM booms from all the way over here in gig harbor. Also it’s hotter than yesterday at this time...up to 72 at home.

[El_Nina]

Been doing some storm chasing over in ENE Oregon the past few days. Amazing how the cells will basically hit the same microclimates every evening they develop.

This is a nice sunset.

[Dave]

It's already hot as fudge out. The NWS prediction of 92 is outta here. If there's no marine push this afternoon, 100 is on the table.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

It's already hot as fudge out. The NWS prediction of 92 is outta here. If there's no marine push this afternoon, 100 is on the table.

 

Yeah the forecast discussion for the south valley is a joke, I laughed reading the bush league one from 8PM yesterday.  To them up in the Parkrose area, we may as well be Siberia down here, where the river valley comes from.

 

Up to 86F. Some 5 degrees warmer than this time yesterday. They made a soft Price Is Right bet.

[Dave]

Lol a moderator changed what I said to fudge. We're mostly adults here. Some of us occasionally get our fcuk on. But yeah, the NWS should use some Tim consulting because it is probably more accurate.

[seattleweatherguy]

I wonder how many days into August will it take for me to pin the thread.

As many days as you want. You own this place

[MossMan]

Up to 78!

[The Swamp]

I can’t believe we’ve had one week of summer and some people are already yearning for a fall like clipper. Get the F outa here!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I can’t believe we’ve had one week of summer and some people are already yearning for a fall like clipper. Get the F outa here!

Another terrible summer.

[TacomaWaWx]

I can’t believe we’ve had one week of summer and some people are already yearning for a fall like clipper. Get the F outa here!

There’s been plenty of nice weather since late June. There will be more nice weather next month. “1 week of summer” so far is a massive understatement.

[TT-SEA]

Its been close to climo this summer so far up here.   Just slightly cooler than normal in most places... but a pretty typical summer overall.  

 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I can’t believe we’ve had one week of summer and some people are already yearning for a fall like clipper. Get the F outa here!

What is it, 5 consecutive days we’re going to have over 90F down here? I feel like that’s somewhat unusual historically but maybe that’s confirmation bias.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

What is it, 5 consecutive days we’re going to have over 90F down here? I feel like that’s somewhat unusual historically but maybe that’s confirmation bias.

It is, but not unusual in our modern climate.