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Heavy drizzle and 50 currently.

.22” so far on the day, .89” for the month, 37.51” for the year.

Heat is on in the house...In July...

 

Phil says it will be much worse when the multi-year Nina kicks in... maybe low 40s and drizzle all summer with occasional snow mixed in?    Enjoy your warm, summer-like 50-degree drizzle while it lasts.   ;)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Wanted to share that we had our little Luke born yesterday at 10:32AM. 9 lbs, 7 oz. Healthy baby, healthy momma. So happy.

Drizzle sunset paid off  .01 in the bucket and this beautiful rainbow tonight 

Absolutely beautiful shot of the NEOWISE comet over Mt. Rainier and some blue noctilucent clouds on the horizon.  

Posted Images

@Phil and others.

 

NOAA is predicting a below avg July you buy it?

The 2016 analog has been thrown out there. It had an average July but then a hot August. I could see around average but I doubt we see a cool month.

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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Yes... I did not say today. And today was gloomy for the Seattle area regardless of the rain total at SEA.

 

Jesse is absolutely right that it looks extremely pleasant down there for the next 5-7 days.

 

Here is tomorrow... notice SEA and PDX should be dry but not for many of us up here.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip-12

 

 

 

And here is Friday... same story from Seattle northward.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip-12

 

 

And then Saturday... this day has been trending wetter so it might not be dry on the 4th.

 

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-precip-12

Independence Day looks pretty dry for much of the region.

 

qpf_024h.us_nw.png

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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Independence Day looks pretty dry for much of the region.

 

qpf_024h.us_nw.png

 

 

We will see... the models have been trending more troughy.    There will be probably be plenty of low clouds around up here at best and maybe even some showers.   A pleasant, sunny holiday after a stormy week is not looking too likely.    Not a problem down there of course.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Heavy drizzle and 50 currently.

.22” so far on the day, .89” for the month, 37.51” for the year.

Heat is on in the house...In July...

 

It looks way nicer in your area than you are describing.    ;)

 

005vc21272.jpg

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Yeah I really should take the day off and go jetsking to take full advantage of this glorious day!

 

You know its going to be 48 degrees and drizzling soon enough when fall arrives.   Take advantage of the 50-degree drizzle before its gone!    And tomorrow its going to rain all day up there which is not as nice as drizzle.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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The wind has been fairly consistent here the past few days, generally gusting around 20-25mph. It has seemingly been a very windy late spring and early summer. There were many negative comments about the weather at our Canada day gathering yesterday. By dinner time I had to bring out the winter jacket. At least it was dry though. It was agreed that nobody wanted the heat and humidity that the east has been seeing though.

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Drizzle free here but cloudy 

Low of 55 and currently 57* 

 

Speaking of the winds as of late I stopped at a state park on Hoods Canal and it felt like I was in Hood River!  The south winds were howling.  Wind surfer paradise

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Tim is on the edge this morning

 

 

Nah... just having having fun with the crappy weather.   Nothing we can do about it.

 

Although we still have to decide whether its worth staying here for the weekend.   I hate to miss the first weekend without rain since Mother's Day.    :)

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Noticed several of my FB friends commenting this morning about how it should be March 2nd not July 2nd with how crappy the weather is.

Unfortunately... I know this is not too unusual in early July based on 125 years of local weather data.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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12Z GFS looks screwy for the 4th... its shows it being warmer in Seattle than in Portland.     The reason is that it shows low clouds down there and not up here.    Yesterday it was showing low 80s in Portland for the 4th.

 

gfs-deterministic-washington-t2m-f-max6-

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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the weather lately has felt a lot like what we see in the winter

 

arctic blast is always in the 10-14 day range and never gets closer

 

the beautiful warm weather is always about at that same range

 

each day i wake up and the rug pull has happened over night

 

more clouds added, chances of drips

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Might be time to make a separate complaining thread.

 

Mostly cloudy and 59 here after a low of 54. Should be heading into the low 70s today with some afternoon clearing.

Is that the thread where you put all of your posts when it’s been warmer than you like?
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12Z GFS looks screwy for the 4th... its shows it being warmer in Seattle than in Portland. The reason is that it shows low clouds down there and not up here. Yesterday it was showing low 80s in Portland for the 4th.

 

gfs-deterministic-washington-t2m-f-max6-

Yeah, it's showing PDX mostly cloudy even in the late afternoon while it's mostly sunny in the Puget Sound. Have to wait and see what the EURO shows.

 

cloudcover.us_nw.png

<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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the weather lately has felt a lot like what we see in the winter

 

arctic blast is always in the 10-14 day range and never gets closer

 

the beautiful warm weather is always about at that same range

 

each day i wake up and the rug pull has happened over night

 

more clouds added, chances of drips

Summer doesn't usually peak in the PNW until late July into early August and then you got the whole month of August to get warm/hot weather. It can also get pretty warm in September. A long stretch of warm and sunny weather will eventually come.

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<p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font>

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*Major* record low set. In July! 32 this morning breaking the record of 35 set on 07/02/1966.

 

It's rare to have mid-summer records broken.

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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First 1/3 of the month looks solidly cool at this point. Beyond that is anyone's guess.

If a warm up is gonna happen, I think the 15th-25th has the most potential. Could see a CCKW/pseudo MJO over the Pacific/warm pool around that timeframe, which opens up more dynamic pathways to +PNA.

 

Wouldn’t be long lasting, though.

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*Major* record low set. In July! 32 this morning breaking the record of 35 set on 07/02/1966.

 

It's rare to have mid-summer records broken.

That’s pretty neat. Jim’s July frost has arrived.

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Another June thread? Wasn't one June-uary enough? It would be nice to have some summer already.

June was near average for temps.

 

I agree it would be nice to get the thread renamed, though.

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Strong wind and drizzle for the 3rd day in a row.

 

The wind has been roaring here since Tuesday. The wind observations at SEA also look like November since Tuesday. Constant gusty S and SW winds. Can't remember so much sustained wind like this in the summer. Its honestly felt more like winter here.

Rubbing it in, aren’t ya?

 

Driving back to the swamp tomorrow. Would love some of that North Bend weather.

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The 2016 analog has been thrown out there. It had an average July but then a hot August. I could see around average but I doubt we see a cool month.

If a cool August were to happen, this would be the year to do it.

 

The west-Pacific has been shut down completely thus far. Low-pass signal for subsidence right over the longitudinal band that would produce a hot western summer if convection were there.

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If a warm up is gonna happen, I think the 15th-25th has the most potential. Could see a CCKW/pseudo MJO over the Pacific/warm pool around that timeframe, which opens up more dynamic pathways to +PNA.

 

Wouldn’t be long lasting, though.

 

Wasn't there supposed to be a big hot stretch in June?

Tim's hot girl summer.

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If a cool August were to happen, this would be the year to do it.

 

The west-Pacific has been shut down completely thus far. Low-pass signal for subsidence right over the longitudinal band that would produce a hot western summer if convection were there.

 

No ice box August call yet from Dewey....

Tim's hot girl summer.

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*Major* record low set. In July! 32 this morning breaking the record of 35 set on 07/02/1966.

 

It's rare to have mid-summer records broken.

You love to see it.

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Wasn't there supposed to be a big hot stretch in June?

The call was always for late June. It was easily the warmest stretch of the month. The Portland area had six 80+ degree days between the 18th-26th, topping out in the low to mid 90s on the 23rd.

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Wasn't there supposed to be a big hot stretch in June?

There was a transient warm stretch, right around the time you’d expect it.

 

Never thought it would be a warm/hot month, though.

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Medford was a whole degree below average last month, and I think I was around avg.

 

Having a cool June/July grouping wouldn't be so much like 2016, where the only average one was July. 

Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Brrrr, congrats!

 

What's the all-time record low for July at K-Falls?

 

I forgot what it was, someone here can look it up. 

 

Funny that I actually needed to use my central heating before the sun came up, and then turn it back down because it will be 80 this afternoon.

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Summer doesn't usually peak in the PNW until late July into early August and then you got the whole month of August to get warm/hot weather. It can also get pretty warm in September. A long stretch of warm and sunny weather will eventually come.

 

There have been quite a few years PDX gets heat in early September, 90's even.

 

And over on the east sides it can be one of our driest months of the year if there is no convection (Sep can be hit-and-miss for t'storms here).

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Weather Data for Klamath Falls, OR
-------------------------------------------------------------------
Snowfall (with % of seasonal average)

2010-2011 - 60.70" (168%)
2011-2012 - 49.00" (136%)
2012-2013 - 25.10" (70%)
2013-2014 - 9.05" (25%)
2014-2015 - 2.90" (8%)
2015-2016 - 54.45" (151%)
2016-2017 - 63.00" (175%)
2017-2018 - 18.10" (50%)
2018-2019 - 52.30" (145%)
2019-2020 - 37.00" (103%)
 
2020-2021 - 19.00" (53%)
Nov '20 - 00.20" (5%)
Dec '20 - 04.40" (44%)
Jan '21 - 03.50" (29%)
Feb '21 - 07.10" (78%)
Mar '21 - 03.30" (132%)
Apr '21 - 00.50"
 
2021 Thunderstorms
--/--,
 
Biggest Snowstorm - 18.4" (Jan 3-4 2017 - 26 hours)
Top 5 Daily Snows: 12.40" (01/03/2017), 8.20" (11/23/2010), 7.50" (12/13/2015), 6.60" (02/07/2017), 6.20" (03/10/2019)
Honorable Mention: 6.00" (03/20/2012), 6.00" (02/28/2012), 6.00" (01/16/2020), 5.70" (12/14/2016), 5.50" (01/18/2012)
Max Depths: 21.00" (01/07/2017), 18.00" (12/24/2015), 13.00" (01/16/2020), 11.00" (11/23/2010), 9.50" (02/27/2019), 9.00" (02/28/2012)
 
T'storm Days: 10 (2020), 14 (2019), 16 (2018), 12 (2017), 13 (2016), 20 (2015), 21 (2014), 16 (2013), 2 (2012), 12 (2011)
1980-2015 Avg = 12
Severe T'storms: 6 (08/05/2020), (08/10/2019), (08/08/2017), (07/24/2017), (01/19/2016), (08/05/2012) 
"Almost" Severe: 2 (08/10/2017), (05/04/2016)
Vicinity Severe T'storms (close enough to hear, with official severe reports)
(06/26/2017), (08/05/2016), (07/09/2015), (07/05/2015), (06/09/2015), (08/05/2014), (08/04/2014), (08/22/2013), (08/12/2013), (09/12/2011), (09/04/2011)

 

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Another delightful day here in the Arlington tundra.  Haven't seen the sun for days.  Thank goodness July is the last month of our six month stretch of spring.  55F but not raining, .55" precip so far for July and 39,40" for the year.  

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Another delightful day here in the Arlington tundra. Haven't seen the sun for days. Thank goodness July is the last month of our six month stretch of spring. 55F but not raining, .55" precip so far for July and 39,40" for the year.

I’m beating you for the month!!
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It was actually partly sunny earlier this morning when I woke up...clouds have thickened up though...think some more drizzle is coming shortly. Last year July 2nd was also pretty gloomy....60/57 spread with 0.10” 1 year ago today. 58 currently.

Warm Season Stats

+80s-1

+85s-0

+90s-0

Monthly Rainfall-0.57”

Warm Season Rainfall-1.73”

Warmest high temp-80

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*Major* record low set. In July! 32 this morning breaking the record of 35 set on 07/02/1966.

 

It's rare to have mid-summer records broken.

 

Very nice.

 

On the other side of the region, Bellingham's high of 58 was their coldest in July since 1999.

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Another delightful day here in the Arlington tundra. Haven't seen the sun for days. Thank goodness July is the last month of our six month stretch of spring. 55F but not raining, .55" precip so far for July and 39,40" for the year.

 

I don’t see why people can’t just roll with some coolish early summer weather, especially considering the last several years of unprecedented blowtorches. Obviously things were going to flip back a little at some point. But it’s unlikely we see a coolish stretch of years that will ever rival the stretch of warm seasons we have seen recently, in terms of anomalousness. In fact I would still say there’s a better than bad chance this summer as a whole ends up warmer than average, despite all the belllyaching. Seems really irrational.

 

Guess I just shouldn’t let it bother me.

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I don’t see why people can’t just roll with some coolish early summer weather, especially considering the last several years of unprecedented blowtorches. Obviously things were going to flip back a little at some point. But it’s unlikely we see a coolish stretch of years that will ever rival the stretch of warm seasons we have seen recently, in terms of anomalousness. In fact I would still say there’s a better than bad chance this summer as a whole ends up warmer than average, despite all the belllyaching. Seems really irrational.

 

Guess I just shouldn’t let it bother me.

When it feels like November in July... people are going to complain. Regardless of what happened in past years or if its perfectly normal to have periods like this in the summer. Its been downright miserable and summer is short enough up here. It is what it is. Complaining does not change it but its a way of venting.

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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