Minny_Weather Posted August 7, 2020 Report Share Posted August 7, 2020 Really coming down now, can't even see a block away. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 7, 2020 Report Share Posted August 7, 2020 88 degrees feels like 98 with 70 dew. Gross. Make it stop. We’ve had enough this summer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted August 7, 2020 Report Share Posted August 7, 2020 88 degrees feels like 98 with 70 dew. Gross. Make it stop. We’ve had enough this summer. Meanwhile in Scottsbluff: 103 but with a dew point of 24 and a whopping 6% humidity. The panhandle is really a different world 1 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 7, 2020 Report Share Posted August 7, 2020 The "prime" period for severe weather was supposed to be now, but I'm about to lose my daytime heating. 78/70*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 I was hoping to get some rain Saturday morning, like the Euro has been teasing all week, but it appears unlikely. There are a few more rain chances through mid next week, but nothing real promising. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Meanwhile in Scottsbluff: 103 but with a dew point of 24 and a whopping 6% humidity. The panhandle is really a different world We have a new football coach at our school. He coached at Scottsbluff the last 4 years. He can’t believe our humidity here. I told him we have about 3 1/2 weeks until irrigation ends and the corn transpiration is done. Typically our dews drop dramatically by the first week of September. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 All week the Euro was showing a line of storms pushing southeast through the upper midwest overnight tonight into Saturday morning, but that forecast was crap. Once again, many locations will be lucky to get anything over the weekend. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 8, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Rise N' Shine from Durango, CO! It's a cool 53F and a very low DP (36F). I don't have much time to post on here this morning but I just wanted to drop in and say hello. Yesterday, we had amazing weather conditions all throughout our journey from Aron, to Aspen/Snowmass, through Independence Pass (I'll post some photos later) and finally into Durango. All this driving and lack of good sleep is catching up! Can't wait to sleep in my own bed back in AZ. Speaking of AZ, my goodness, it's going to take a bit to acclimate to the intense heat. Nothing but HOT weather in the foreseeable future. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Hurricane forecast goes up after the tropical flurry and "poof"....no hurricanes. Going to see variable weather over the Ozarks to get us to last week of the month. Recovering or rebounding the extremely sharp cold start to August 2020 is going to be hard to do without a week of 95s. Not happening. Beautiful August continues while Tom out there is hanging out in the high heat side of the summer. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 I'm going to be very close to normal every day for the next 10 days. Highs will range from the upper 70s to the mid-80s with very little day-to-day variation. Can't wait till Fall. I'm bored. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Hurricane forecast goes up after the tropical flurry and "poof"....no hurricanes. The Atlantic has moved into a less favorable phase for cyclone activity. However, as several experts have been tweeting, models are suggesting that the MJO, et al, will be coming together to produce a favorable phase for the Atlantic from late August into September, perfectly timed for peak season. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Attm, its gorgeous outside w a temp of 79F and dew at 57F. Working on a big project on my backyard property this weekend. I have workers putting a " A Villa Roman Spa Furniture" around my pool area and also adding a huge "Spiral Slide" as well. Hopefully, will be done next week. In the meantime, it gets more humid and warmer. I think we stay away from the 90s, but upper 80s to maybe 90F is a good call. Temps drop to the mid 80s or lower by midweek and later on. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service Detroit/Pontiac MI 404 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020 MIZ047>049-053>055-060>063-068>070-075-076-082-083-090900- Midland-Bay-Huron-Saginaw-Tuscola-Sanilac-Shiawassee-Genesee-Lapeer- St. Clair-Livingston-Oakland-Macomb-Washtenaw-Wayne-Lenawee-Monroe- 404 AM EDT Sat Aug 8 2020 This hazardous weather outlook is for portions of southeast Michigan. .DAY ONE...Today and Tonight There is a chance of thunderstorms late tonight mainly across the Saginaw Valley and Thumb. These storms are not expected to be severe while tracking eastward around 20 mph. .DAYS TWO THROUGH SEVEN...Sunday through Friday Chances of thunderstorms continue Sunday through Tuesday. The best chance of storms is Monday into Monday night as a cold front moves through the region. Storms are not projected to become severe late this weekend, but will carry some potential on Monday should greater instability materialize during the afternoon and evening hours. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 Another day, another 72 dew at 11 AM. Going to be a very hot and humid weekend. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 My gosh. WeatherUnderground app showing a temp of 91 with a heat index of 104 and a 77 dew. Hello South Florida in Central Nebraska. I can’t begin to describe my hatred of this type of weather. Sweating standing still. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 My gosh. WeatherUnderground app showing a temp of 91 with a heat index of 104 and a 77 dew. Hello South Florida in Central Nebraska. I can’t begin to describe my hatred of this type of weather. Sweating standing still.My weather station has 89 air temp, 78 dew for a heat index of 102. It was showing 106 earlier. Been smoking a pork butt on my new pit boss smoker since 830 and every time I step outside I break out in a sweat. Humid humid... Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted August 8, 2020 Report Share Posted August 8, 2020 The Atlantic has moved into a less favorable phase for cyclone activity. However, as several experts have been tweeting, models are suggesting that the MJO, et al, will be coming together to produce a favorable phase for the Atlantic from late August into September, perfectly timed for peak season.Thank you for the added info on that. I was half wondering if the flurry of activity wasn't a harbinger. If this is the case, should be an interesting fall. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 My weather station has 89 air temp, 78 dew for a heat index of 102. It was showing 106 earlier. Been smoking a pork butt on my new pit boss smoker since 830 and every time I step outside I break out in a sweat. Humid humid...Yep. Put some burgers and chicken on the Green Mountain Pellet Grill. Faces the sun. It was unpleasant. Still 87/97 with a 74 dew. Only 3 weeks till September. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Good morning from the "Valley of the Sun" where it is a very warm 83F. I must say, it feels nice to have slept on my own bed but the 2 hour time difference had me waking up around 3:00am! Needless to say, I feel much better after driving over 1,900 miles the past 3 days. While I do enjoy road trips, I think I'm going to take it easy for a while. When I was driving through our country this past month, I was struck by how much diversity it has and how much land there is. You really don't get the real picture sitting at home or watching it on TV. I encourage everyone to take a road trip whenever possible to see our beautiful land of the USA. We are truly blessed to have such an enormous amount of land and places to see. I pretty much drove through all the different regions of our Sub Forum, except for our members up north which is my goal by the end of this year. Now I have a sense of what it is like living in your regions during the Summer. I intend on taking a road trip this Fall or Winter (TBD) up north. At this time, it is 5:28am and daylight has emerged...sun rise is at 5:46am. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Just had a quick 1/2 inch of rain in 15 minutes and 70mph winds here in Fremont, Ne. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Today will be the first day of above average mean temperatures after 10 days in a row of below average. The official overnight low at GRR was 69 and here at my house it was 70. At this time it is 75 here at my house with a DP of 68. The 8 am reading at GRR was 75 with a DP of 67. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 06z NAM 3km showing multiple MCS's traversing IA/IL later today into tomorrow... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted August 9, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 If you haven't heard, yesterday PHX tied the all-time record of 33 days of 110F+ temps and we will shatter that record this week with multiple days in the 110's. Just an incredible stretch of HOT weather over here and the lack of the Monsoon is no bueno. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Attm, its 76F w a noticeable dew. Skies are partly sunny. Severe storms possible tomorrow as a CF approaches. Rest of the week looks mainly 80s and lows in the 50s and 60s. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Unfortunately we were missed again last night by the rain. It took the usual path over the tropical rain forest of northern Nebraska. I would have to assume records will be crushed in that region for precipitation this summer as the drought conditions continue for many other parts. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Some of the damage 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Wow, looks like quite a bit of damage in the Fremont area... I received a notification for the Severe Thunderstorm Warning on my phone for Douglas County for possible 75 MPH winds, however that storm collapsed as it moved east so I am wondering if the severe winds in Fremont were caused by a wet microburst? Picked up .20 of rain from the showers and storms that moved through my backyard this morning. For another 20% chance of rain, I will take it... even though we need a lot more. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Will be interesting to see if this unending summer comes to an abrupt end. The endless high dews have taken it out of me. 74 dew at noon as I type. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 5.1 earthquake in North Carolina this morning. Epicenter was about 40 miles from a small piece of mountain property my brother owns. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Let's see if this actually means s**t this time. Friday was the biggest failure of a watch I've ever seen. URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED Severe Thunderstorm Watch Number 423 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1215 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2020 The NWS Storm Prediction Center has issued a * Severe Thunderstorm Watch for portions of Northwest Minnesota Eastern North Dakota * Effective this Sunday afternoon and evening from 1215 PM until 700 PM CDT. * Primary threats include... Scattered large hail and isolated very large hail events to 2 inches in diameter possible Scattered damaging wind gusts to 70 mph possible A tornado or two possible SUMMARY...Strong to severe thunderstorms have initially formed across northeast North Dakota, with additional storms expected to develop through the afternoon farther south into southeast North Dakota. This activity will spread east with embedded supercells and line segments into northwest Minnesota through early evening. The severe thunderstorm watch area is approximately along and 85 statute miles east and west of a line from 45 miles north of Thief River Falls MN to 70 miles south southwest of Fargo ND. For a complete depiction of the watch see the associated watch outline update (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3). PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... REMEMBER...A Severe Thunderstorm Watch means conditions are favorable for severe thunderstorms in and close to the watch area. Persons in these areas should be on the lookout for threatening weather conditions and listen for later statements and possible warnings. Severe thunderstorms can and occasionally do produce tornadoes.From the convective outlook: The second corridor will be focused along a progressive cold front that should have increasing storm coverage by mid-afternoon across eastern ND as mid-level cooling further occurs in association with a Prairie Provinces shortwave trough. With a belt of fast 500-mb westerlies slowly shifting south through the day, the setup will be favorable for initial supercells that should grow into fast-moving linear segments by early evening. CAM guidance varies widely with the evolution of convection across MN this evening. The leading MCV will likely hinder destabilization across north-central and northeast MN suggesting that severe potential from the cold front convection will be confined to northwest MN. Other guidance suggests more of a southeastward-propagation towards larger buoyancy developing on the backside of the leading MCV as low-level moisture recovery occurs. This lower confidence scenario might result in a long-lived MCS persisting through much of tonight down the Upper MS Valley, as advertised by the 12Z NSSL-ARW and 00Z ECMWF. Given the uncertainty, no change is warranted to the broad cat 2/SLGT risk from the prior outlook. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Once again, it looks like Cedar Rapids is getting screwed. We got missed this morning with all of the thunderstorms going north of here. The same thing seems to be happening now with more storms to the north. It hasn't rained here since July 21, this is getting ridiculous. Illinois is the only state now in the midwest that is not under some sort of drought. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jcwxguy Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Wow, looks like quite a bit of damage in the Fremont area... I received a notification for the Severe Thunderstorm Warning on my phone for Douglas County for possible 75 MPH winds, however that storm collapsed as it moved east so I am wondering if the severe winds in Fremont were caused by a wet microburst? Picked up .20 of rain from the showers and storms that moved through my backyard this morning. For another 20% chance of rain, I will take it... even though we need a lot more. it was wet microburst for sure. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Storm development is happening now along the cold front, which looks to be in the Valley City area. So far, everything severe is off to the north in the Grand Forks area. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Didn't take long. BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTEDTornado WarningNational Weather Service Grand Forks ND214 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2020The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a* Tornado Warning for...Southwestern Cass County in southeastern North Dakota...East central Barnes County in southeastern North Dakota...* Until 300 PM CDT.* At 214 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornadowas located near Oriska, or 8 miles southeast of Valley City,moving east at 20 mph.HAZARD...Tornado.SOURCE...Law enforcement reported funnel cloud.IMPACT...Expect damage to mobile homes, roofs, and vehicles.* Locations impacted include...Tower City, Buffalo, Oriska and Alice.This includes Interstate 94 in North Dakota between mile markers 300and 316.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowestfloor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in amobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelterand protect yourself from flying debris. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 The map is absolutely littered with tornado warnings. 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Once again, it looks like Cedar Rapids is getting screwed. We got missed this morning with all of the thunderstorms going north of here. The same thing seems to be happening now with more storms to the north. It hasn't rained here since July 21, this is getting ridiculous. Illinois is the only state now in the midwest that is not under some sort of drought. It's unreal how difficult it is to get good rain once drought conditions begin to build. It feeds on itself. The weak disturbance passing through Iowa has moved by CR with nothing, so that will probably be it. If we don't get anything Monday, it may be another week before our next chance. This has been the most boring summer since 2012. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 Hazy skies w temps at 86F and very muggy conditions, if not "Oppressive." No storms today and not looking like any tomorrow as the CF will end up drying up as it moves eastward. Unless, someone gets lucky enough to get a storm. Drought Monitor reads "Moderately Dry" for my region. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 New tornado warning for our user in Baudette. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Beltrami Island Posted August 9, 2020 Report Share Posted August 9, 2020 New tornado warning for our user in Baudette.That was a scary 15 minutes. As the Tornado warning was issued the shelf cloud approaching me from the west looked like it meant business. I didn't even dare take the time snap a quick picture before rushing down to the basement. Aside from the city tornado siren going it was earily calm and quite before the rain and wind arrived. I haven't heard if a tornado actually touched down or not, but I think a funnel cloud report prompted the warning according to the news warning. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted August 10, 2020 Report Share Posted August 10, 2020 That was a scary 15 minutes. As the Tornado warning was issued the shelf cloud approaching me from the west looked like it meant business. I didn't even dare take the time snap a quick picture before rushing down to the basement. Aside from the city tornado siren going it was earily calm and quite before the rain and wind arrived.I haven't heard if a tornado actually touched down or not, but I think a funnel cloud report prompted the warning according to the news warning.Numerous funnels and a confirmed tornado near my area. I just got 5 minutes of heavy rain. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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