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Once again, it looks like Cedar Rapids is getting screwed. We got missed this morning with all of the thunderstorms going north of here. The same thing seems to be happening now with more storms to the north. 

 

It hasn't rained here since July 21, this is getting ridiculous. Illinois is the only state now in the midwest that is not under some sort of drought. 

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Don't usually post here in the summer but todays winds are worthy. 133000 customers with no power at peak (do the math- that's all of DSM metro and burbs) What got me was that 50 mph winds lasted near

I had to rub my eyes when I saw these temps for the opening days of September...@CentralNeb, the Euro is making your wish come true...daytime highs in the 60's???  @Fargo, your gonna feel the Autumn c

Hello from the Black hills of South Dakota! Never been here before and up here with the in-laws; what a geologic wonder! Took a train today from Hill City to Keystone and the outcrop of limestone and

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Wow, looks like quite a bit of damage in the Fremont area... I received a notification for the Severe Thunderstorm Warning on my phone for Douglas County for possible 75 MPH winds, however that storm collapsed as it moved east so I am wondering if the severe winds in Fremont were caused by a wet microburst?

 

Picked up .20 of rain from the showers and storms that moved through my backyard this morning. For another 20% chance of rain, I will take it... even though we need a lot more.

it was wet microburst for sure.
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Storm development is happening now along the cold front, which looks to be in the Valley City area. So far, everything severe is off to the north in the Grand Forks area.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Didn't take long.

 

 

 

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Grand Forks ND
214 PM CDT Sun Aug 9 2020

The National Weather Service in Grand Forks has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Southwestern Cass County in southeastern North Dakota...
East central Barnes County in southeastern North Dakota...

* Until 300 PM CDT.

* At 214 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Oriska, or 8 miles southeast of Valley City,
moving east at 20 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Law enforcement reported funnel cloud.

IMPACT...Expect damage to mobile homes, roofs, and vehicles.

* Locations impacted include...
Tower City, Buffalo, Oriska and Alice.

This includes Interstate 94 in North Dakota between mile markers 300
and 316.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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The map is absolutely littered with tornado warnings.

Screenshot_20200809-142631.png

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Once again, it looks like Cedar Rapids is getting screwed. We got missed this morning with all of the thunderstorms going north of here. The same thing seems to be happening now with more storms to the north. 

 

It hasn't rained here since July 21, this is getting ridiculous. Illinois is the only state now in the midwest that is not under some sort of drought. 

 

It's unreal how difficult it is to get good rain once drought conditions begin to build.  It feeds on itself.  The weak disturbance passing through Iowa has moved by CR with nothing, so that will probably be it.  If we don't get anything Monday, it may be another week before our next chance.  This has been the most boring summer since 2012.

season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Hazy skies w temps at 86F and very muggy conditions, if not "Oppressive." No storms today and not looking like any tomorrow as the CF will end up drying up as it moves eastward. Unless, someone gets lucky enough to get a storm.

 

Drought Monitor reads "Moderately Dry" for my region. :wacko:

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New tornado warning for our user in Baudette.

>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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New tornado warning for our user in Baudette.

That was a scary 15 minutes. As the Tornado warning was issued the shelf cloud approaching me from the west looked like it meant business. I didn't even dare take the time snap a quick picture before rushing down to the basement. Aside from the city tornado siren going it was earily calm and quite before the rain and wind arrived.

I haven't heard if a tornado actually touched down or not, but I think a funnel cloud report prompted the warning according to the news warning.

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That was a scary 15 minutes. As the Tornado warning was issued the shelf cloud approaching me from the west looked like it meant business. I didn't even dare take the time snap a quick picture before rushing down to the basement. Aside from the city tornado siren going it was earily calm and quite before the rain and wind arrived.

I haven't heard if a tornado actually touched down or not, but I think a funnel cloud report prompted the warning according to the news warning.

Numerous funnels and a confirmed tornado near my area. I just got 5 minutes of heavy rain.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Very pleasant morning. 54°F, wind chill (!) 52°F.

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>1" Snowfalls for Fargo-Hector Int'l Airport in 2020-21: 10/20 (4.2"), 10/22 (2.7"),

 

Total Snowfall for 2020-2021 @ KFAR: 8.8"            Coldest Low: 9*F (11/17)

 

 

First flake of the season: 10/15 @ 21:27 CDT

 

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Well lets see if the severe storms in South Dakota can make it into se. Iowa today. The atmosphere still is strongly capped so we'll have to wait and see, as that's what prevented storms across my area yesterday. NWS DVN is thinking chances are better today. Hopefully I'm not in the middle of a bowing line where winds would be higher but rainfall lower as it rapidly blows through.

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Once again, it looks like Cedar Rapids is getting screwed. We got missed this morning with all of the thunderstorms going north of here. The same thing seems to be happening now with more storms to the north.

 

It hasn't rained here since July 21, this is getting ridiculous. Illinois is the only state now in the midwest that is not under some sort of drought.

 

You're not nearly as screwed as I was for weeks on end already with mainly limited light rains here the past 2 or so months! A year ago rains had returned by this time after that drought.
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Back home, the models are suggesting a nasty bowed line to track through S WI/N IL later this afternoon.  Hopefully the severe threat isn't as bad as it looks bc I left my tomatoes on my deck and don't want them blown over!

 

 

 

hrrr_ref_frzn_ncus_10.png

 

 

nam3km_ref_frzn_ncus_14.png

 

 

 

That storm cluster in SE MN could mean business...here's the latest Meso Discussion...

 

mcd1446.gif

 

 

 

 

 

DISCUSSION...Cluster of thunderstorms that has persisted most of the
night over southeast MN has recently shown signs of better
organization and quicker forward motion. Recent KARX radar imagery
suggests much of this activity currently remains behind the storm
outflow. However, storm development has occurred along the outflow
across the southern flank of the cluster, suggesting the potential
that the cluster may begin to become rooted closer to the surface.
If that occurs, the potential for damaging wind gusts will increase.
Confidence in that scenario is low, but trends will be monitored
closely. Additionally, regardless of whether or not the damaging
wind threat increases, the potential for large hail will persist.
The downstream environment is strongly buoyant, with recent
mesoanalysis and RAP soundings depicting steep mid-level lapse rates
and MUCAPE approaching 3000 J/kg. Convective outlook probabilities
will be increased downstream of this system with the upcoming 13Z
Convective Outlook and trends are being monitored closely for
potential watch issuance.
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The NE./SD. storms are plenty far south already. I could see them passing well to my southwest if they don't dissipate, but DVN tweeted that they could make it into the area (probably western part of the CWA) early this afternoon if they hold together.

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The EPS has been trending wetter and cooler for those of you across the MW/GL's region heading late into this weekend into next week.  The model is seeing an amplified 500mb pattern and quite a wet and rare "summer time cutter" for next weekend...again???

 

The maps below clearly show a nation divided....no pun intended...

 

 

 

 

 

1.png

2.png

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Had continuous lightning and thunder from 8pm until about 2:30am last night. I have never seen anything like that. I have an inquiry into MPX to see if they have a record of how many lightning flashes took place. Definitely in the thousands for sure, if not way more.

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The EPS has been trending wetter and cooler for those of you across the MW/GL's region heading late into this weekend into next week. The model is seeing an amplified 500mb pattern and quite a wet and rare "summer time cutter" for next weekend...again???

 

The maps below clearly show a nation divided....no pun intended...

Nice maps. Thanks. But I have to see it to believe after seeing promising maps all summer! It often starts raining in August after a lengthy dry spell, but not always of course.
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It was a warm night last night both the official low at GRR and here at my house was 72.  The official high at GRR yesterday was 89. While it did cloud up overnight and for much of the night temperatures were in the mid to upper 70’s there was no rain here at my house. At this time it is clear with a temperature of 75 and a DP of 68 here at my house.

There now only 21 days left in meteorological summer.  The last time it officially reached 90 or better here at GR was on July 26th so it has not been that long ago. So far this year there have been 14 days of 90 or better. 58 days of 80 or better. There has been 83 days of 70 or better. On the flip side there have been 90 nights of 32 or below so far this year. And 108 nights of lows of 40 or below.

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Just got hit with a wicked severe warned gust front in Omaha... winds had to be pushing 60-70 MPH when the gust front hit.

 

Parts of the roof at my work peeled up, power is out, and lots of tree damage in across parts of the metro it sounds like. Looks like there will hardly be any rain or thunder with this at all, which is all too much of a coincidence... best severe storm of the year and won’t see much, if any rain - keep doing your thing 2020!

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Just got hit with a wicked severe warned gust front in Omaha... winds had to be pushing 60-70 MPH when the gust front hit.

Parts of the roof at my work peeled up, power is out, and lots of tree damage in across parts of the metro it sounds like. Looks like there will hardly be any rain or thunder with this at all, which is all too much of a coincidence... best severe storm of the year and won’t see much, if any rain - keep doing your thing 2020!

Same in Lincoln. Some crazy wind rn, but hardly any rain.

Snowfall in Lincoln, NE:

2017-18: 21.4"

2018-19: 55.5"

2019-20: 17.6"  

2020-21: 2.9" (so far)

 

Average: 25.9"

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Severe TStorm Watch for a large chunk of Iowa.  Lots of Severe T Storm warnings as well.  I was worried it might not make it here, but it seems the bigger concern now is it may very well miss to the south.  We could certainly use some rain. 

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Severe TStorm Watch for a large chunk of Iowa. Lots of Severe T Storm warnings as well. I was worried it might not make it here, but it seems the bigger concern now is it may very well miss to the south. We could certainly use some rain.

Complex is holding together pretty well. Maybe we'll finally get something widespread.
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Complex is holding together pretty well. Maybe we'll finally get something widespread.

 

Yeah, it is looking pretty good.  It's got a long ways to go to get to eastern Iowa, so who knows what it will look like by then.  A quick half inch though would be nice.  

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The heat is certainly building in eastern Iowa... full sun here.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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I’m starting to get excited about it now since it isn’t diving south as much as I feared at first. And it’s still strong in nearly the most stable time of the day, but it looks like Omaha got shafted if I was looking correctly. At least they got a cool outflow from it. Should strengthen in the afternoon too.

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Yeah, it is looking pretty good.  It's got a long ways to go to get to eastern Iowa, so who knows what it will look like by then.  A quick half inch though would be nice.

 

I’ld be tickled with 3” or 4”, or even 1”. Haha
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Real quick....so, Temp here is 83F and dew is on the muggy side. Hopefully some storms lata today! Um, also, CF rolls on thru tomorrow, but mostly dry. Hopefully, today my area gets some hvy rainfall.

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DSM is about to get rocked...I just had a vision of how the skies must look around town as it was only a few days ago I drove through that part of IA.

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It’s really moving and bowing out now. Doesn’t look quite as intense as far as heavy rainfall. Hoping I can be where the comma head produces the heaviest rain, but.....

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The SPC actually put "100 mph gusts likely" in the watch description.

 

I want a good storm with heavy rain, but I don't want my garden thrashed.

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season snowfall: 6.8"

 

'19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"      '16-17: 17.9"      '15-16: 20.0"      '14-15: 30.4"      '13-14: 48.3"      '12-13: 34.1"

 

Average snowfall: ~30"

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Holy smokes, this is going to be scary....

 

 

A particularly dangerous situation has developed with severe storms moving in to northern IL / IN between 1 & 7 PM CDT; strong wind gusts up to 100 MPH are possible. Please prepare accordingly by securing outside items like lawn furniture or trashcans! #ilwx #inwx

Quote Tweet
 
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To those of you around CR and E IA who were hoping for a good storm, well, nature is about to deliver but maybe a wee bit to much!  This bow echo is in a beeline towards Hawkeye.

 

 

 

DVN.N0Q.20200810.1655.gif

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These lightning flashes are close! Be careful if you are in the path!

Stay safe to everyone in the path of this line...I'm sure many of them are already hunker downed...

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