Stormy Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 12z Euro... and we don't even get anything this weekend. With it being so dry makes that a lovely map! Hoping for at least 2” out of that. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 This would be amazing. If only this could happen during the winter and give us a multi day monster snow storm. Probably couldn’t happen around here since colder air can’t hold near as much water vapor, which I understand you all know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowstorm83 Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Excited for the (maybe) rain, more impressive is the cold. Record low max for Sept 8 in Lincoln is 64. OAX is forecasting 56. The GFS is colder and also earlier with the front, 51 at midnight and a wet 43-44 in the afternoon hours. It's going to go from feeling like July to November in 2 days. 4 Quote Snowfall in Lincoln, NE: 2017-18: 21.4" 2018-19: 55.5" 2019-20: 17.6" 2020-21: 49.4" 2021-22: 5.1" Average: 26" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 This is the part of the year where things get difficult to follow, but it appears to me that the MJO and tropics/mid-lat variance are pretty much driving the bus in this cold event. Only other option is the feedback from the SST contrast in the PAC. Been many years since we've experienced anything but warm over warm over warm. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2k4 Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 This would be amazing. If only this could happen during the winter and give us a multi day monster snow storm.This could be the year. Never know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Euro has a brief mix in the TX panhandle on Wednesday morning. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 5, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 PHX broke another record yesterday topping out at 114F (112F old record) and likely will come close to tying the 113F record today, the 111F record for tomorrow and finally, the 111F record for Monday....sounds like a broken record...bc it has been!!! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 5, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 The 1st significant autumn storm system of the season is poised to leave its mark across the majority of our Sub later next week. Much needed widespread heavy rain is in the forecast for the MW/GL's region. Spread the wealth??? From Snow in the Rockies, to severe wx and heavy rains and very cool/chilly temps...signs of autumn are finally here. I noticed the Euro is kicking out the trough quicker and not holding back like it has been for days. Wherever this cold core ULL tracks, I could see record low high temps across parts of NE/KS/IA next week. 00z EPS is trending wetter and more widespread with precip.... 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 The 1st significant autumn storm system of the season is poised to leave its mark across the majority of our Sub later next week. Much needed widespread heavy rain is in the forecast for the MW/GL's region. Spread the wealth??? From Snow in the Rockies, to severe wx and heavy rains and very cool/chilly temps...signs of autumn are finally here. I noticed the Euro is kicking out the trough quicker and not holding back like it has been for days. Wherever this cold core ULL tracks, I could see record low high temps across parts of NE/KS/IA next week. 00z EPS is trending wetter and more widespread with precip....That looks like a mid-January precip map. 1 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 5, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 That looks like a mid-January precip map.Preview??? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Preview???Was just thinking the same! Feels like we're tracking a major winter storm! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 @FAR_Weather I'll be in your town tonight! Spending the night in Fargo to visit my girlfriend's family. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 @FAR_Weather I'll be in your town tonight! Spending the night in Fargo to visit my girlfriend's family.Aw yeah! Hope you enjoy your night here. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 It definitely feels like Met Autumn outside. Temp at 59F under mostly cloudy skies and a cool breeze outta the NW. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Next week does not get as chilly as once thought here imby. It cools down, but not too extreme. We will see. Key note: Lotta rain next week y'all for a lot of peeps on here. Mby is expected to receive a couple of " of water between Tues - Th timeframe. In conclusion, LBW looks a little wet here. Some storms in between Sat-Mon. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Definitely is gonna feel like Summer before the front. Thankfully the peak pre-frontal air will be at night so I won't have to deal with 90s or anything. I might flirt with 80 today, though. Currently 60/52*F. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Per the strong system early week - Denver is forecasted to have a high of 100F on Sunday the 9/6 - which would be the latest 100F recorded for Denver. Tuesday 9/8- the forecasted high is 37F- the earliest sub 40F high recorded. Same thing looks to be felt across the Plains except not as drastic. 5 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 5, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 I went on a walk pre-sunrise as daylight was emerging and the sun tucked behind the mountain side and the temp was 86F. Since then, about 2:30 hours ago, the temps have shot up to 101F just after 9:00 am! I'd say we will probably set another record today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 I'm not optimistic about Cedar Rapids/Iowa City getting much tonight. Most models keep the storms northeast. Dubuque appears to be in a good spot. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 102 on Sunday and a high of 43 Tuesday. By Wednesday morning, temps will potentially fall almost 70 degrees from Sunday’s high. Amazing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Iowawx Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 The euro has widespread 6-9 inch rainfall amounts over the next week! I sure hope this happens, it's been way too dry around here, and this rainfall would be great. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Cloudy and 75 here. Wow the forecast for the weekend and next week went from cool to hot and now back to cool. It seems that the last few weeks that there has not been much constancy in the forecast. I wonder it that the issue is with that? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Attm, its 71F under mostly cloudy skies. Dew is not a factor today. Liking the forecast for next week as the potential stands high for some significant rainfall in my area. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Definitely more warm out there. May actually have to fire up the AC one last time tonight as we'll struggle to get below 60 before the front passes. 77/49/78*F. We're not even going to get close to 60 Monday, and Tuesday we'll struggle to even get out of the lower 50s. A brief scrape of 32 is not out of the question Tuesday night... Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 The euro has widespread 6-9 inch rainfall amounts over the next week! I sure hope this happens, it's been way too dry around here, and this rainfall would be great. That's an amazing map! Haven't seen a map from the Euro with 6" - 9"> of QPF around here in a long time. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Skies are ominous outside, but no indication of severe weather per radar. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 The 3k NAM shifted tonight's MCS activity quite a bit sw, easily hitting the Waterloo/CR/IC area. Most models are still farther northeast, though. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 Short but sweet. Detailed ForecastTonightIsolated showers and thunderstorms between 1am and 3am. Partly cloudy, with a low around 58. East southeast wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.SundayMostly sunny, with a high near 77. Windy, with a south wind 11 to 16 mph becoming northwest 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 45 mph.Sunday NightPartly cloudy, with a low around 46. Breezy, with a north northwest wind 19 to 29 mph decreasing to 9 to 19 mph after midnight. Winds could gust as high as 44 mph.Labor DayIsolated showers and thunderstorms. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 56. North wind 8 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 21 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.Monday NightMostly cloudy, with a low around 37. North wind 10 to 14 mph, with gusts as high as 20 mph.TuesdayPartly sunny, with a high near 53. North wind 10 to 15 mph, with gusts as high as 22 mph.Tuesday NightAreas of frost after 3am. Otherwise, mostly clear, with a low around 34. North wind 5 to 10 mph becoming light northwest after midnight.WednesdayAreas of frost before 8am. Otherwise, sunny, with a high near 60. Southwest wind 5 to 10 mph, with gusts as high as 18 mph.Wednesday NightMostly clear, with a low around 39. South southwest wind around 8 mph.ThursdaySunny, with a high near 68. South southwest wind 7 to 9 mph.Thursday NightMostly clear, with a low around 44. South wind around 7 mph.FridaySunny, with a high near 72. South wind 7 to 14 mph.Friday NightA 20 percent chance of showers. Mostly clear, with a low around 48. South wind 7 to 9 mph.SaturdaySunny, with a high near 74. South southwest wind 6 to 13 mph becoming west in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 5, 2020 Report Share Posted September 5, 2020 The 3k NAM shifted tonight's MCS activity quite a bit sw, easily hitting the Waterloo/CR/IC area. Most models are still farther northeast, though. The latest HRRR just shifted sw as well, so maybe there is something to this. Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 Dropping into the 40s tanite under a crystal clear evening. Setting up a bonfire soon as I am having some good friends over and planning on grilling some fresh fish and side salad w red wine. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 6, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 PHX, we did it again....smashed the old record and set a new one as today’s high hit 115F!!!! #2020sizzle Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 The 00z 3k NAM is dropping tonight's line south through central and eastern Iowa. The HRRR has inched back northeast a bit, keeping the storms just ne of CR/IC. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 #JustDenverThings 4 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 Severe Thunderstorm Watch issued for a large area in Iowa including Iowa city and Cedar Rapids 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 The 3k NAM shifted tonight's MCS activity quite a bit sw, easily hitting the Waterloo/CR/IC area. Most models are still farther northeast, though. Yes I noticed that too. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 If the storms in sw MN are the main show, that is farther sw than most models had them popping. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 Of course I see the storms that are developing are heading straight for my backyard while I'm out of town.@FAR_Weather nice night up here! Pretty comfy and nice breeze. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 That is an impressive QPF map from the Euro. Let's hope it comes true! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 Man the HRW CAMs shifted southwest too. I think the storms will move more se. or be further south per the NWS svr. watch. DMX was saying for a couple days already that the Corfidi vectors are more se. so we’ll find out soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 6, 2020 Report Share Posted September 6, 2020 The drought should come to an end if the models pan out! Lol 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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