jaster220 Posted September 27, 2020 Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 4 minutes ago, westMJim said: Yesterdays official high of 81 tied 1901 with the 9th warmest high of any September 26th here at Grand Rapids. however it was well short of the record high of 92 set in 2017. The official overnight low of 65 so far would tie the record warmest minimum for any September 27th if it can stay that warm until midnight. (very low chance) That just shows you how fast it cools off here in Michigan in September. 2017 was horrid hot well into October. I think we've gotten this month to kinda balance that one out. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 27, 2020 Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 A tweet from NWS DVN... Click on image to view replies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 27, 2020 Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 Just sprinkles here but the low cloud deck and NW breeze are nice. Just 59° 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 27, 2020 Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 Attm, its 75F w a noticeable dew. Skies are hazy w sunshine around. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted September 27, 2020 Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 Finished with enough sprinkles to wet the pavement. I doubt it even measured .01” Cloudy and cool does feel great, however. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 27, 2020 Report Share Posted September 27, 2020 I picked up a decent 0.39" of rain today, better than what models were predicting. 3 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 2 hours ago, Hawkeye said: I picked up a decent 0.39" of rain today, better than what models were predicting. Nice! The last minute trend I am hoping for here as well Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 Now comes the wet weather along w much cooler air. Monday looks to be a dreary day and continuing at nite also. Temps will tumble as the week wears on. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 Ended up with a decent 0.44” here. For awhile it looked like l’ld get quite a bit more, but the last hour or two of rain was lighter than it appeared on radar similar to the onset of this event. Maybe more dry air was working in aloft again. Looks like Washington (approx. 15 miles south) got almost another time as much. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 28, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 It started raining just before I hit the sack last night around 9:00pm and it has continued steadily throughout the night. Perfect stratiform rain you'd expect in the Fall. Local reports of about 0.59" which is about how much the models were showing. It's the first precip we've had in over 2 weeks! 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 Here at my house I recorded 0.47" of rain fall overnight that is the most rain to fall here since September 9th. At this time it is cloudy and 53 here. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
james1976 Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 That NW breeze is really starting to pick up. I love seeing leaves flying off the trees. Mostly cloudy and 54. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 Currently getting some rain w temps in the 60s, as I am enjoying a delicious "Dragon Fruit Juice." Hopefully the whole fills in. Looks like a dry slot has developed per radar. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 1 hour ago, Niko said: Currently getting some rain w temps in the 60s, as I am enjoying a delicious "Dragon Fruit Juice." Hopefully the whole fills in. Looks like a dry slot has developed per radar. Same for me. Looking like this first round of rain will end up on the lame side. NBD really since this is the time of year that a small batch of liquid can be stretched a lot further. Besides, as Tom posted several more chances in the near term for SWMI. 1 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 I picked up about .40” yesterday. I didn’t get my new digital rain gauge out until just after the rain started so this is an approximation but based on reports nearby this is pretty close. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 Does anyone know what is the latest name in the Greek Alphabet we have ever reached in regards to "Tropical" systems? Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 Attm, getting a steady rain w temps at 52F. Hello Autumn! 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 28, 2020 Report Share Posted September 28, 2020 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: Same for me. Looking like this first round of rain will end up on the lame side. NBD really since this is the time of year that a small batch of liquid can be stretched a lot further. Besides, as Tom posted several more chances in the near term for SWMI. Wed-Th timeframe should be a lot better for you in terms of receiving beneficial rainfall and for my area as well. Then comes the first real cool airmass of the season. Get ready! I would not be surprised, if frost and freeze advisories are out. I just hope its not windy by that time. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 Picked up a few quick showers early in the afternoon and this evening resulting in 0.17” for today. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 3 hours ago, Niko said: Does anyone know what is the latest name in the Greek Alphabet we have ever reached in regards to "Tropical" systems? 2005 reached Zeta. 1 2 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 It's a chilly and calm morning with a temp of 46F. Instability showers are in the forecast today as the NW Flow continues. Indoor temp down to 66F but I'm not biting yet to turn on the furnace. Might wait till the Thu-Fri period when the real chill hits the region. Happy "National Coffee Day"...cheers to everyone who enjoys their morning cup of coffee! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 I recorded 0.11" of rain here for a two day total of 0.58". At this time it is clear to the south but cloudy to the north. The current temperature is 51. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 Thanks for allowing us to see who reacts posts again, Fred! 3 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 On my morning walk, it felt kinda chilly and my hands got cold actually. It's also wonderful to see how much brighter the mornings are now without the smokey skies. Atm, there are pristine blue skies with a slight wind out of the NW and there was a heavy dew on the grass. Many trees starting to slowly change color. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 Currently at a chilly 52F w partly sunny skies. Autumn is showing its presence. Gotta tell ya, sure feels good to be outta this relentless heat from this past Summer. It almost seemed sempiternal. Anyways, thank goodness we are done w that. Big time chill arrives by weeks end. Highs imby may actually struggle in the low 50s on Friday. Everybody, even Detroit goes in the upper 30s to near 40F Fri-nite and Sat. NW burbs will be looking at some frost. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 1 hour ago, Niko said: Currently at a chilly 52F w partly sunny skies. Autumn is showing its presence. Gotta tell ya, sure feels good to be outta this relentless heat from this past Summer. It almost seemed sempiternal. Anyways, thank goodness we are done w that. Big time chill arrives by weeks end. Highs imby may actually struggle in the low 50s on Friday. Everybody, even Detroit goes in the upper 30s to near 40F Fri-nite and Sat. NW burbs will be looking at some frost. Dittos for this guy, friend. Yesterday's high of 56F was 24 degrees colder than Saturday's 80F. Add in the contrast between overcast/damp/rainy and wall-2-wall sunshine and the contrast was stark. Not that a 24 deg drop is that huge (heck, that's a hourly obs for our Plains peeps) but it's nice to see autumn temps to finish our BN September in style. Should be a top-shelf day on tap with sun and low 60s around here. Trees are really noticeable already. Well ahead of schedule and especially noteworthy with all the recent frost-less autumns around here. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: Dittos for this guy, friend. Yesterday's high of 56F was 24 degrees colder than Saturday's 80F. Add in the contrast between overcast/damp/rainy and wall-2-wall sunshine and the contrast was stark. Not that a 24 deg drop is that huge (heck, that's a hourly obs for our Plains peeps) but it's nice to see autumn temps to finish our BN September in style. Should be a top-shelf day on tap with sun and low 60s around here. Trees are really noticeable already. Well ahead of schedule and especially noteworthy with all the recent frost-less autumns around here. Indeed amigo, it felt excellent enjoying a BN September for a change. Those chilly nights and mild days were amazing. I might have to turn on my furnace by weeks end (I am thinking Fri at the latest) as temps will tumble into the low 30s and highs not climbing too high. Trees are more than patchy here as well and like you said, "Well ahead of schedule." Btw: Looking forward to this upcoming rainevent and chilly temps, along w chilly breezes. Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 Another nice cool fall day here. Trees are slowly turning. Here is an updated table I made of precipitation etc at my location since 1990. In the earlier years I didn’t record as many different things. For some reason I wasn’t as interested in tracking temps in the 1990’s as I am now. Sadly, I didn’t even have a high/low thermometer till 1996. I also make other types (monthly/yearly) of tables, charts, or graphs. Not sure how well this will show up as it’s only a photo of a printed sheet. The brighter/darker colors equate to wetter, hotter, colder, etc. Edit: Bummer, the images don’t appear very sharp on here. Oh well. Good enough for now. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 2 hours ago, Sparky said: Another nice cool fall day here. Trees are slowly turning. Here is an updated table I made of precipitation etc at my location since 1990. In the earlier years I didn’t record as many different things. For some reason I wasn’t as interested in tracking temps in the 1990’s as I am now. Sadly, I didn’t even have a high/low thermometer till 1996. I also make other types (monthly/yearly) of tables, charts, or graphs. Not sure how well this will show up as it’s only a photo of a printed sheet. The brighter/darker colors equate to wetter, hotter, colder, etc. Edit: Bummer, the images don’t appear very sharp on here. Oh well. Good enough for now. Good job! Its the effort that you put into that counts. 1 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 4 hours ago, Sparky said: Another nice cool fall day here. Trees are slowly turning. Here is an updated table I made of precipitation etc at my location since 1990. In the earlier years I didn’t record as many different things. For some reason I wasn’t as interested in tracking temps in the 1990’s as I am now. Sadly, I didn’t even have a high/low thermometer till 1996. I also make other types (monthly/yearly) of tables, charts, or graphs. Not sure how well this will show up as it’s only a photo of a printed sheet. The brighter/darker colors equate to wetter, hotter, colder, etc. Edit: Bummer, the images don’t appear very sharp on here. Oh well. Good enough for now. Nice table there. Was going to compare snowfall but I see it is by year vs season. Makes it a bit challenging. Do you have a list of snow totals by season as well? 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 Seems my CWA has the most action attm. Just getting hammered by CFs! Here's a nice AFD outta my office: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 330 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 LATEST UPDATE... Synopsis/Discussion/Marine .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 329 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 -Periods of showers and tstms tonight through Thursday -Frost/Freeze potential Thursday night and Friday night -Rain system Sunday && .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Tuesday) Issued at 329 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 -- Periods of showers and tstms tonight through Thursday -- Expect an active/unsettled pattern the next couple days as axis of deep upper trough impacts the Great Lakes Region. While showers will be possible at any time due to the cold, unstable cyclonic flow off Lake Michigan, some features of interest that will ramp up the coverage/intensity of showers at times and lead to some tstms include: 1) Tonight... A sfc trough moves west to east through the region. Enhanced low level convergence with this feature as well as an increase in lake induced capes by midnight should lead to some locally heavy downpours and perhaps a few thunderstorms - especially west of highway 131. 2) Wednesday...A potent shortwave passes across srn Lwr MI Wed afternoon. This feature, combined with the arrival of the next sfc cold front and some very cold temps aloft (-25C at H5 and mid level lapse rates near 8 C/KM) will result in numerous showers and some tstms. Some small hail and gusty winds could accompany some of the deeper cells during peak heating. 3) Thursday... the core of the coldest air aloft will be overhead and yet another sfc cold front will be dropping down from the north. This will support another day of numerous showers and tstms, peaking in the afternoon. Lake induced capes are shown by the NAM to be around 1500 J/KG both Wednesday and Thursday. -- Frost/Freeze potential Thursday and Friday nights -- Winds behind Thursday`s cold front shift northerly and usher in a very cold/dry airmass. Any lingering lake effect rain showers should become situated at the immediate lakeshore or just offshore. Clearing skies and diminishing winds Thursday night may lead to a widespread frost. Even colder overnight lows are forecast on Friday night as sfc ridging arrives, with a freeze likely north of M-46 and frost likely elsewhere. -- Rain system Sunday -- Guidance continues to trend farther north and wetter with the system on Sunday. This may be a chilly all day rain type of system aided by a closed upper low. The showers may linger into Monday as well. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 156 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 VFR with only isolated showers/MVFR cigs this afternoon and early evening, then numerous showers and associated MVFR conditions developing for about a 6 hour period tonight (roughly 03Z to 09Z). This occurs as a sfc trough passes west to east through the region. Some IFR is also possible in any heavier showers that occur later tonight, with the best chance of that happening at MKG and GRR (where even a tstm cannot be ruled out either). After a brief lull in shower activity and extent of MVFR early Wednesday morning, more showers developing again by 14Z-15Z, along with gusty west-southwest sfc winds to 25 kts. A few tstms are also likely on Wednesday and some could contain small hail. && .MARINE... Issued at 329 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 Have extended the Small Craft Advisory through Thursday as cold cyclonic flow and a series of cold fronts continues to impact lake Michigan. Persistent westerly flow reaching 30 kts at times with waves averaging 3-6 feet, sometimes higher. Prime waterspout set-up will be present over Lk MI the next 48 hours, with convective cloud depths of 20-25K ft and the water to 850 mb temp difference in excess of 15C. This yields high values on the Szilagyi Waterspout Index. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. LM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ844>849. 2 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Niko Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 9 minutes ago, jaster220 said: Seems my CWA has the most action attm. Just getting hammered by IT's! Here's a nice AFD outta my office: Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 330 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 LATEST UPDATE... Synopsis/Discussion/Marine .SYNOPSIS... Issued at 329 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 -Periods of showers and tstms tonight through Thursday -Frost/Freeze potential Thursday night and Friday night -Rain system Sunday && .DISCUSSION...(This evening through next Tuesday) Issued at 329 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 -- Periods of showers and tstms tonight through Thursday -- Expect an active/unsettled pattern the next couple days as axis of deep upper trough impacts the Great Lakes Region. While showers will be possible at any time due to the cold, unstable cyclonic flow off Lake Michigan, some features of interest that will ramp up the coverage/intensity of showers at times and lead to some tstms include: 1) Tonight... A sfc trough moves west to east through the region. Enhanced low level convergence with this feature as well as an increase in lake induced capes by midnight should lead to some locally heavy downpours and perhaps a few thunderstorms - especially west of highway 131. 2) Wednesday...A potent shortwave passes across srn Lwr MI Wed afternoon. This feature, combined with the arrival of the next sfc cold front and some very cold temps aloft (-25C at H5 and mid level lapse rates near 8 C/KM) will result in numerous showers and some tstms. Some small hail and gusty winds could accompany some of the deeper cells during peak heating. 3) Thursday... the core of the coldest air aloft will be overhead and yet another sfc cold front will be dropping down from the north. This will support another day of numerous showers and tstms, peaking in the afternoon. Lake induced capes are shown by the NAM to be around 1500 J/KG both Wednesday and Thursday. -- Frost/Freeze potential Thursday and Friday nights -- Winds behind Thursday`s cold front shift northerly and usher in a very cold/dry airmass. Any lingering lake effect rain showers should become situated at the immediate lakeshore or just offshore. Clearing skies and diminishing winds Thursday night may lead to a widespread frost. Even colder overnight lows are forecast on Friday night as sfc ridging arrives, with a freeze likely north of M-46 and frost likely elsewhere. -- Rain system Sunday -- Guidance continues to trend farther north and wetter with the system on Sunday. This may be a chilly all day rain type of system aided by a closed upper low. The showers may linger into Monday as well. && .AVIATION...(For the 18Z TAFS through 18Z Wednesday afternoon) Issued at 156 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 VFR with only isolated showers/MVFR cigs this afternoon and early evening, then numerous showers and associated MVFR conditions developing for about a 6 hour period tonight (roughly 03Z to 09Z). This occurs as a sfc trough passes west to east through the region. Some IFR is also possible in any heavier showers that occur later tonight, with the best chance of that happening at MKG and GRR (where even a tstm cannot be ruled out either). After a brief lull in shower activity and extent of MVFR early Wednesday morning, more showers developing again by 14Z-15Z, along with gusty west-southwest sfc winds to 25 kts. A few tstms are also likely on Wednesday and some could contain small hail. && .MARINE... Issued at 329 PM EDT Tue Sep 29 2020 Have extended the Small Craft Advisory through Thursday as cold cyclonic flow and a series of cold fronts continues to impact lake Michigan. Persistent westerly flow reaching 30 kts at times with waves averaging 3-6 feet, sometimes higher. Prime waterspout set-up will be present over Lk MI the next 48 hours, with convective cloud depths of 20-25K ft and the water to 850 mb temp difference in excess of 15C. This yields high values on the Szilagyi Waterspout Index. && .GRR WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... MI...None. LM...Small Craft Advisory until 8 AM EDT Thursday for LMZ844>849. Before ya know it, these will be snowshowers for your area. 1 Quote Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area Oct 2023: 0.2" AN Nov 2023: 2.2" AN Dec 2023: 0.5" BN Insane! Jan 2024: 17.0" AN Feb 2024: 1.9" BN Mar 2024: 4.9" BN April 2024: Season So Far: 26.7" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormy Posted September 29, 2020 Report Share Posted September 29, 2020 1 hour ago, jaster220 said: Nice table there. Was going to compare snowfall but I see it is by year vs season. Makes it a bit challenging. Do you have a list of snow totals by season as well? Thank you. The row right between the April and October snowfall amounts is where the seasonal totals are listed or in the wider purple colored row. I guess that’s what you’re looking for? I want to try and share a link to my Excel worksheet sometime if I can. When I was updating this I didn’t know if 30 years worth of data would fit on a letter sized sheet decently, but I got it all on there. BTW, Don’t strain your eyes to hard! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tom Posted September 30, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 Happy Hump Day! I can't believe today is the last day of September. Overall, I'd say its been a great month of weather that practically gave me everything I would have asked for. A fantastic Labor Day weekend followed by some cooler and wetter weather. Then we had an extended dry and tranquil weather pattern which was perfection. Now, we are capping it off on a cool and somewhat wetter note. I'm really looking forward to October as it looks to provide somewhat of that same flavor with many ups and downs. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 30, 2020 Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 Added 0.07" of rain here in some showers overnight. At this time it is cloudy and 52. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
westMJim Posted September 30, 2020 Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 I was out for my walk and lo and behold what did I hear? Yes, the sound of thunder. At this time I am getting light rain with that thunder with a current temperature of 62. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted September 30, 2020 Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 Another day, another red flag warning. There was a fire in a bean and corn field west of me this morning. Haven't heard about the extent of the damage yet. Right now we are 68 degrees, with a dew of 27 and 20% humidity. No rain in sight, unfortunately. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 30, 2020 Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 Back home from my fall colors photo road trip of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. It is a very windy and cloudy one. 58.6*F. 3 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jaster220 Posted September 30, 2020 Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 7 minutes ago, FAR_Weather said: Back home from my fall colors photo road trip of Michigan, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. It is a very windy and cloudy one. 58.6*F. And???? Pics??? Hoping to get north on Saturday for a few hours myself. Worried that by the time I get another chance it may be too late this year. Already, even down in Marshall a bunch of trees are lighting up. Even saw a hardy tree with color. Pretty sure it was an oak. Both '81 and '82 were early color seasons. The first led to the historic cold/snowy winter while the next led to the first modern era super Nino. My thoughts on this autumn being a Nina is that if winter comes in early it will also exit early. 3 Quote Winter 2023-24 Snow Total = 52.8" (89% Normal Season) Largest Storm: 12" (1/12-13) Oct: 0.1 Nov: 2.9 Dec: 7.5 Jan: 31.7 Feb: 6.0 Mar: 4.1 Apr: 0.0 Avg = 59.2" (Harrison): 2023-24 = xx.x" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Minny_Weather Posted September 30, 2020 Report Share Posted September 30, 2020 6 minutes ago, jaster220 said: And???? Pics??? Hoping to get north on Saturday for a few hours myself. Worried that by the time I get another chance it may be too late this year. Already, even down in Marshall a bunch of trees are lighting up. Even saw a hardy tree with color. Pretty sure it was an oak. Both '81 and '82 were early color seasons. The first led to the historic cold/snowy winter while the next led to the first modern era super Nino. My thoughts on this autumn being a Nina is that if winter comes in early it will also exit early. They'll come later 2 Quote Formerly *ahem*: LNK_Weather, TOL_Weather, FAR_Weather, MSP_Weather, IMoveALot_Weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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