Deweydog 14228 Posted August 29, 2020 Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 This is no time for jokes. Stay home. Stay safe. Tuesday 9-1 through Tuesday 9-8. Portland International Airport and Seattle/Tacoma International Airport. Highs/Lows/Acreage Burned/Total Ashfall 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Mr Marine Layer 1426 Posted August 29, 2020 Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 Scorching but mostly peaceful 4 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted August 29, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 29, 2020 91/5790/6093/6288/6092/5995/6496/6393/62 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10732 Posted August 30, 2020 Report Share Posted August 30, 2020 According to my weather app my area does not get out of the 70’s and it’s going to rain on Monday. So I am expelled from this contest. But I do smell smoke tonight! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Front Ranger 7635 Posted August 31, 2020 Report Share Posted August 31, 2020 Without looking at any models or guidance, here we go! PDX 90/5889/6092/6192/6089/5996/65101/6699/64 SEA 84/5583/5889/6288/6084/5788/6393/6397/62 1 Quote Low. Solar. Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted August 31, 2020 Author Report Share Posted August 31, 2020 I made mine without looking at weather models or Bainbridge’s death models. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10732 Posted August 31, 2020 Report Share Posted August 31, 2020 I made mine without looking at weather models or Bainbridge’s death models.Jesse will be right with you with the 12z TDC (Tree death count) model. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Frontal Snowsquall 2621 Posted September 1, 2020 Report Share Posted September 1, 2020 My entry, I added 2 additional days because the heatwave looks like it will be extended. PDX- 9-1: 87/619-2: 88/599-3: 93/629-4: 94/619-5: 91/619-6: 95/649-7: 97/669-8: 98/689-9: 99/649-10: 93/61 SEA- 9-1: 79/589-2: 78/579-3: 81/589-4: 84/599-5: 83/609-6: 84/619-7: 85/619-8: 89/629-9: 91/609/10: 87/58 1 1 Quote <p><font size="3"><font color="purple"><b>Isaiah 26:20 Come, my people, enter your chambers, and shut your doors behind you; hide yourselves for a little while until the wrath is past.</font></b></font></font> Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 12058 Posted September 2, 2020 Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 Wed-Tues PDX:89/5992/6193/6290/6295/6497/6397/62 SEA83/5988/6088/5885/5887/5890/6192/62 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 2, 2020 Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 My entry, I added 2 additional days because the heatwave looks like it will be extended.PDX-9-1: 87/619-2: 88/599-3: 93/629-4: 94/619-5: 91/619-6: 95/649-7: 97/669-8: 98/689-9: 99/649-10: 93/61 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GeorgeWx 235 Posted September 2, 2020 Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 This is no time for jokes. Stay home. Stay safe. Tuesday 9-1 through Tuesday 9-8. Portland International Airport and Seattle/Tacoma International Airport. Highs/Lows/Acreage Burned/Total AshfallCan I still enter? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted September 2, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 Can I still enter?There’s a $75 late entry processing fee. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10732 Posted September 2, 2020 Report Share Posted September 2, 2020 I thought the heatwave was cancelled. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GeorgeWx 235 Posted September 3, 2020 Report Share Posted September 3, 2020 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted September 4, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 4, 2020 He’s beating you so far. 2 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 4, 2020 Report Share Posted September 4, 2020 He’s beating you so far.Easy to beat no forecast. The 94 today and 91 tomorrow looking GOOD though. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 15335 Posted September 4, 2020 Report Share Posted September 4, 2020 I’m putting a max bet on the OVER. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 11, 2020 Report Share Posted September 11, 2020 On 8/31/2020 at 11:48 PM, Frontal Snowsquall said: My entry, I added 2 additional days because the heatwave looks like it will be extended. PDX- 9-1: 87/61 9-2: 88/59 9-3: 93/62 9-4: 94/61 9-5: 91/61 9-6: 95/64 9-7: 97/66 9-8: 98/68 9-9: 99/64 9-10: 93/61 For reference, here were the actual numbers at PDX: 88/59 91/62 95/61 88/63 76/59 89/56 91/61 81/65 89/65 81/61 Ended up with three 90+ days at PDX and a maximum stretch of two consecutive. As opposed to the eight total/eight consecutive forecast here. As I said going into this pattern, there are a lot of things that can mitigate heat by the time we get into September, even if models are showing wall to wall ridging like they were. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted September 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 11, 2020 1 hour ago, Jesse said: For reference, here were the actual numbers at PDX: 88/59 91/62 95/61 88/63 76/59 89/56 91/61 81/65 89/65 81/61 Ended up with three 90+ days at PDX and a maximum stretch of two consecutive. As opposed to the eight total/eight consecutive forecast here. As I said going into this pattern, there are a lot of things that can mitigate heat by the time we get into September, even if models are showing wall to wall ridging like they were. Forecasting lessons from a guy who didn’t make a forecast. 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 11, 2020 Report Share Posted September 11, 2020 15 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Forecasting lessons from a guy who didn’t make a forecast. Here’s a spoiler, it wouldn’t have been as hott as snowsquall’s. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted September 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 11, 2020 53 minutes ago, Jesse said: Here’s a spoiler, it wouldn’t have been as hott as snowsquall’s. 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted September 11, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 11, 2020 BTW, I’m still working on scoring the contest. I just came down with my sixth round of Covid-19 so it’s hard to focus right now. Will keep you posted. 1 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 12189 Posted September 12, 2020 Report Share Posted September 12, 2020 This thing sure ended up being a dud. No doubt the smoke had something to do with that. At any rate PDX is only running a few degrees above normal for the month to date. 1967 probably has nothing to worry about. 1 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 52 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
GeorgeWx 235 Posted September 12, 2020 Report Share Posted September 12, 2020 On 9/11/2020 at 8:19 AM, Jesse said: For reference, here were the actual numbers at PDX: 88/59 91/62 95/61 88/63 76/59 89/56 91/61 81/65 89/65 81/61 Ended up with three 90+ days at PDX and a maximum stretch of two consecutive. As opposed to the eight total/eight consecutive forecast here. As I said going into this pattern, there are a lot of things that can mitigate heat by the time we get into September, even if models are showing wall to wall ridging like they were. 1. Like Dewey said you didn’t make a forecast 2. smoke kept temps down 3. there were other forecast just as bad, some had highs over 100 degrees, why single him out and not others? 2 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 13, 2020 Report Share Posted September 13, 2020 35 minutes ago, GeorgeWx said: 1. Like Dewey said you didn’t make a forecast 2. smoke kept temps down 3. there were other forecast just as bad, some had highs over 100 degrees, why single him out and not others? Smoke didn’t start affecting temps until the 10th (last day of the forecast period) His forecast was probably the best example of a face value regurgitation of raw model output. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 13, 2020 Report Share Posted September 13, 2020 4 hours ago, snow_wizard said: This thing sure ended up being a dud. No doubt the smoke had something to do with that. At any rate PDX is only running a few degrees above normal for the month to date. 1967 probably has nothing to worry about. 1967? The warmest Septembers on record are 2014 and 1994. Also, as was mentioned, the smoke didn’t really start affecting things at the surface until the 10th. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 14, 2020 Report Share Posted September 14, 2020 On 8/29/2020 at 12:11 PM, Deweydog said: This is no time for jokes. Stay home. Stay safe. Tuesday 9-1 through Tuesday 9-8. Portland International Airport and Seattle/Tacoma International Airport. Highs/Lows/Acreage Burned/Total Ashfall Man, this little bit of snark really didn't age well.... 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14228 Posted September 14, 2020 Author Report Share Posted September 14, 2020 2 hours ago, Jesse said: Man, this little bit of snark really didn't age well.... Says the guy who didn’t make a forecast but went out of his way to post only snark in a forecast thread. 3 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 14, 2020 Report Share Posted September 14, 2020 20 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Says the guy who didn’t make a forecast but went out of his way to post only snark in a forecast thread. We’re all just guys who say things here 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
ShawniganLake 5502 Posted September 15, 2020 Report Share Posted September 15, 2020 I wish I had of made a forecast. These temps ended up verifying exactly as I thought they would of. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Jesse 9232 Posted September 15, 2020 Report Share Posted September 15, 2020 47 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: I wish I had of made a forecast. These temps ended up verifying exactly as I thought they would of. Me tou of. 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.