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July 2023 Observations and Discussion


Tom

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We reached 100* but humidity remained low at 22%
Pressure dropped to 28.89.  My headache left me!  
102* the rest of the week but they’re threatening 105 for Sunday and Monday. Then back to 102/103.  
I hope this isn’t the new normal. 🤞

Looking forward to a change.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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It's absolutely ridiculous how dry and hot it's getting around here. This summer has been pretty boring so far, it's just ridiculous how all of the storms have missed Cedar Rapids. Areas to our south and east (as has been the trend for some time now) are easily going to finish the summer with at least double the amount of rain we've had here.

Hopefully we can get some good storms on Friday, and next week but based on how things have gone this summer, I am not getting my hopes up yet.

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1 hour ago, Andie said:

We reached 100* but humidity remained low at 22%
Pressure dropped to 28.89.  My headache left me!  
102* the rest of the week but they’re threatening 105 for Sunday and Monday. Then back to 102/103.  
I hope this isn’t the new normal. 🤞

Looking forward to a change.  

CPC is showing hope for August

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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Just curious, but how are crops doing in the upper Midwest!

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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48 minutes ago, Andie said:

Just curious, but how are crops doing in the upper Midwest!

Our crops in Central Nebraska look amazing. The heat wave this week has really gotten irrigation going. My relatives are very excited that they will make some money this year on their crops. They are always concerned about hail, which some places have had damage this summer. 

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The heat was real in Missouri today.

US National Weather Service Kansas City Missouri
about an hour ago

The ASOS at St. Joseph reached a heat index of 120 degrees (temp/dew point: 96/82) at 5 PM this afternoon. This is the hottest heat index on record at STJ going back to 1944, breaking 119 degrees on 7/22/2017 and 8/1/2011.

The ASOS at Kansas City International reached a heat index of 117° at 7 PM today (temp/dew point: 95/81). This ties the record heat index on record (dating back to 1972) of 117° on 7/20/2000. Worth noting that we did have several 5 minute observations today above 117°

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9 hours ago, Andie said:

Just curious, but how are crops doing in the upper Midwest!

For Illinois, the rains that began around Father's Day have really turned things around for Illinois and the crop is largely Fair to Good.  If the pattern persists, I think we will have a good Corn and Soy harvest this season after what was a very dicy start to the growing season.

image.png

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6 hours ago, Clinton said:

The heat was real in Missouri today.

US National Weather Service Kansas City Missouri
about an hour ago

The ASOS at St. Joseph reached a heat index of 120 degrees (temp/dew point: 96/82) at 5 PM this afternoon. This is the hottest heat index on record at STJ going back to 1944, breaking 119 degrees on 7/22/2017 and 8/1/2011.

The ASOS at Kansas City International reached a heat index of 117° at 7 PM today (temp/dew point: 95/81). This ties the record heat index on record (dating back to 1972) of 117° on 7/20/2000. Worth noting that we did have several 5 minute observations today above 117°

I thought the humidity was bad enough over here yesterday when ORD reach a DP of 76F and a high temp of 90F.  Man, you guys just to me west are really struggling!

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Yes!  The Monsoon finally made its way back in the Valley...check out this radar loop showing 2 outflows combing together to produce thunderstorms that blew up over Scottsdale/Fountain Hills area last night.  This is why I love tracking Monsoon storms bc it keeps you on the edge of where/when the storms fire up.  You just never know how they blow up from west to east, or east to west....you get the point.  Local wx reporting station shows about 0.28" fell back home in AZ.

1.gif

 

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So, 2nd verse same as the first. 
But it’s 79* out there and I’m going to go grab some of that!! 

I can’t wait for truly cooler days. 
But we’re managing. 
High of 102*

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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The official H/L at Grand Rapids yesterday was 80/66. Officially there was a reported 1.15” of rain fall. Here in MBY there was much less rain fall with just 0.14” falling. There was a reported 32% of possible sunshine yesterday (I think it was much cloudier here in MBY) The highest wind gust was 26MPH. Most of the severe weather reports from yesterday were in the SE area of the state and here in west Michigan it was mostly rain that fell yesterday. For today the average H/L is 83/62 the record high of 101 was set in 1916 and the record low of 47 was set in 1977.

Today and Friday look to be a warm days with highs in the upper 80’s and lows in the upper 60’s There is a chance of more rain with maybe some thunderstorms on Friday. Then cooling down for a several day string of pleasant days with highs in the upper 70’s to low 80’s. At the current time it is 69 here in MBY with a dew point of 67 here with cloudy skies.

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16 hours ago, clintbeed1993 said:

The heat index is 116 in my town today...that is absolutely ridiculous. We're paying for the lack of heat to this point. Looks like this heatwave has legs and will last through next week 🤦‍♂️

There is so much energy in the warming oceans the humidity will only increase during heatwaves in the future.   Warmer water evaporates more quickly increasing the humidity of the air.  

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9 hours ago, Clinton said:

The heat was real in Missouri today.

US National Weather Service Kansas City Missouri
about an hour ago

The ASOS at St. Joseph reached a heat index of 120 degrees (temp/dew point: 96/82) at 5 PM this afternoon. This is the hottest heat index on record at STJ going back to 1944, breaking 119 degrees on 7/22/2017 and 8/1/2011.

The ASOS at Kansas City International reached a heat index of 117° at 7 PM today (temp/dew point: 95/81). This ties the record heat index on record (dating back to 1972) of 117° on 7/20/2000. Worth noting that we did have several 5 minute observations today above 117°

How does that work? Ive heard  this before, that even though  a high or low  occurs it isnt counted as the "high or low" for that day because  it was momentary?  Anyone know where I can find more info?

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Yesterday was our 10th straight below normal day. That changes today as a very brief potential heat wave impacts the area today through Saturday. The peak heat will be tomorrow PM when most spots in the county should touch the mid 90's. Much cooler weather returns by Sunday with another stretch of below normal temps including most nights reaching the 50's for lows.
Records for today: High 99 (1940) / Low 48 (1946) / Rain 2.23" (1966)
image.png.efe84135c0dd0adb2e1543ebe15dc90e.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  We analyze only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find on NOAA/NCEI there have been absolutely no post observation computer adjustments to massage the data . All data here represents the actual data validated by the NWS from trained observers, stations and spotters since 1893.  

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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The models have dried up all of next week because we go back to a rain-suppressing northwest flow, because of course they have.  So, now it looks like we will have to get something Friday night and most models are not looking good for that, either.  

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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88F dewpoint in Atlantic,IA--- might be a record. Iowa and  Upper Midwest record. I know MN is 88F.  But since it's trash AWOS-- take that back-- all record DEW's in IA,MN are trash because of being AWOS.  But still- it's NASTY out. KDSM (ASOS) -- had 80F dewpoint last hour. ASOS is better than AWOS in dewpoint reading ..   Either way---  DEEP South has nothing on this air mass and I'll take extreme weather in the C. Plains being more extreme than any other place on Earth other than North Dakota ( Northern Plains )  and Siberia.

image.thumb.png.e55c6b0df304cc4ad078146404fdf79b.png

 

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The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang.

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Reading some of your temps I feel lucky today.  
101 with a heat index of 102.  
Practically a cool wave!   But our humidity stayed low at 29%.  
We’re going into the the peak weeks and we all hope it eases from there.  
Avg. Highs-

3F206169-B319-42B5-A4E9-4B8FBE88A22E.png

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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It's bad. And the nights have no relief. At 4am here it was still above 80. We briefly dropped to mid-70's for an hour or so, and back into the oven by mid morning. This is soupier air than any of last year's heat by far. Last summer was also a front loaded season. 

363434798_674070971244219_466136259472313803_n.jpg

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 39
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 6/23, 6/25, 6/29, 7/3, 7/4, 7/5, 7/14, 7/16, 

Severe storms: 3
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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It’s 97 at 8:30 and it actually felt cool compared to the 102 this afternoon. 
That’s crazy.  

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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I would be very surprised if there isn't an increase in severe probabilities around the Lakes on the upcoming day 1 outlook.  It looks like a potentially explosive situation capable of being an enhanced risk type of day, if not ultimately moderate.

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I'm still thinking we shift back to the early summer pattern in about 10 days or so. This should take the edge off the heat and increase rain chances in my neck of the woods as well as areas northeast of here. 

image.png

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Winter 23-24: Total Snow (3.2")    Total Ice (0.2")     Coldest Low: 1F     Coldest High: 5F

Snow Events: 0.1" Jan 5th, 0.2" Jan 9th, 1.6" Jan 14, 0.2" (ice) Jan 22, 1.3" Feb 12

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5 hours ago, Hoosier said:

I would be very surprised if there isn't an increase in severe probabilities around the Lakes on the upcoming day 1 outlook.  It looks like a potentially explosive situation capable of being an enhanced risk type of day, if not ultimately moderate.

Indeed, I'm seeing the CAM's dialing in on it...might start earlier around my area due to the enhanced lake breeze.  I'm debating if we should head out on the water today up in McHenry on the Chain O'Lakes.  I really want to go jet skiing and boating! BTW, here we go again...WGN at it again...trying to PUMP the HEAT!  I really doubt ORD hits 100F today, esp with the rain coming down now and the clouds that'll hang around post storms.

Screen Shot 2023-07-28 at 5.12.46 AM.png

 

 

Meanwhile, the PHX Sizzle continues at a record pace...

PHOENIX_Record Number of Days 115F+ 7-27-23.webp

 

 

My, oh my, another 99F toasty morning at the airport just past 3:30am local time...along with a DP in the upper 50's!

image.png

 

 

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This is becoming monotonous.   We’d love any change. A strong breeze, clap of thunder, anything but hot stagnant air.  

I’m currently keeping a bumble bee and her nest of young’uns alive in my pintas.  She loves the pollen.  
We do what we can to encourage life in this dying landscape. 

A0032D6E-6625-4644-927B-E7A586126EB6.jpeg

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Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65"   Record High Temp. 120.0*F
Record 
Low Temp. - 8.4*F

 

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On 7/26/2023 at 8:05 PM, Andie said:

Just curious, but how are crops doing in the upper Midwest!

They'll doing pretty good locally because of the 2"+ rain just over 2 weeks ago. Less than 1 mi. south got around 2.60" and a few miles to the sw. around 2.80" back then, though there was some runoff due to high rainfall rates. If we wouldn't have gotten that rain I think my brother's crops would be pretty much toast! But it's been pretty much bone dry since then and we really need rain!  Lawns had greened up, but never really grew and are starting to turn brown again. 

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The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 86/68 there was no rain fall and 84% of possible sunshine. The highest wind gust was 16 MPH out of the S. It has been a warm overnight as the official low so far is 71 the low here in MBY was a warmer 73. At the current time it is 75 in MBY with a dew point of 70. For today the average H/L is 83/63. The record high of 100 was set in 1916 and the record low of 46 was set in 1978. The record rain fall amount of 1.12” fell in 1938. Last year it the H/L was 79/63 and there was a trace of rain fall.

There is a chance of some rain/thunder today we shall see how this plays out. Here in the Grand Rapids metro area we have missed the bigger weather events this year and have only had light thundershowers. In other words it is now late July and we have yet to see a major thunderstorm in this area.

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On 7/26/2023 at 6:32 PM, Iowawx said:

It's absolutely ridiculous how dry and hot it's getting around here. This summer has been pretty boring so far, it's just ridiculous how all of the storms have missed Cedar Rapids. Areas to our south and east (as has been the trend for some time now) are easily going to finish the summer with at least double the amount of rain we've had here.

Hopefully we can get some good storms on Friday, and next week but based on how things have gone this summer, I am not getting my hopes up yet.

I agree it's ridiculous, and the Cedar Rapids area was especially dry this month. iowa_mrms_q3_month.thumb.png.34db072c8e01538a901b4e5ab0d390e2.pngAnd a large chunk of Iowa largely missed out in the last few weeks with beneficial rains practically all around our state. 🙁July27202314-DayObservedPrecipitation.thumb.png.ed4e66f19e6d6ee5482046122ac39ade.png But Iowa still doesn't look quite as bad on the drought monitor (see Clinton's post above) as states to the north, west, and south. 

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Most spots were well into the 80's yesterday for high temps with even some 90's in lower spots of the county. Today it appears almost all of us...will reach the low to mid-90's. Now, my location here in East Nantmeal has failed to actually surpass the 90 degree mark for more than 2 years! The last time I recorded a over 90 degree temperature was way back on June 30, 2021. That said I do have a poorly sited roof thermometer that has hit the 90 degree mark 2 times this year....but that roof top location inflates the readings. Correct placement of a thermometer is 4.5 to 6 feet above the ground and in a grassy location. It looks like showers tomorrow night will end this brief heat spell with yet another below normal stretch of weather days ahead starting Sunday through much of the upcoming week.
Records for today: High 101 (1941) / Low 50 (1946) / Rain 3.47" (1914)
image.png.b44f2914de27993a790df4a42a274858.png

All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the unique climate specific to Chester County PA.  We analyze only the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop/AWOS/MADIS climate data for Chester County.  Unlike the data you will find on NOAA/NCEI there have been absolutely no post observation computer adjustments to massage the data . All data here represents the actual data validated by the NWS from trained observers, stations and spotters since 1893.  

Snow Totals 2023/24 = 24.5" -  11/28 (0.3") / 12/7 (0.8") / 12/11 (0.8") / 1/6 (2.0") / 1/16 (2.8") / 1/19 (4.5") / 2/13 (10.5") / 2/17 (2.8")

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us at the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx or on Instagram just follow us at chescoweather

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

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23 minutes ago, Stormy said:

I agree it's ridiculous, and the Cedar Rapids area was especially dry this month. iowa_mrms_q3_month.thumb.png.34db072c8e01538a901b4e5ab0d390e2.pngAnd a large chunk of Iowa largely missed out in the last few weeks with beneficial rains practically all around our state. 🙁July27202314-DayObservedPrecipitation.thumb.png.ed4e66f19e6d6ee5482046122ac39ade.png But Iowa still doesn't look quite as bad on the drought monitor (see Clinton's post above) as states to the north, west, and south. 

The Cedar Rapids area needs rain, badly.  I have received only 1.23" over the last five weeks.  A local sweet corn grower (they sell corn at the gas station down the road from my house here in the city) says if they don't get rain soon they won't have much for corn this year.  Bizarrely, the drought monitor has the Cedar Rapids area only in moderate drought while surrounding areas are in severe to extreme drought, despite those areas getting much more rain over the last month or two.

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season snowfall: 34.8"

'22-23: 30.2"      '21-22: 27.1"      '20-21: 52.5"      '19-20: 36.2"      '18-19: 50.2"      '17-18: 39.5"

Average snowfall: ~30"

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On 7/26/2023 at 3:49 PM, clintbeed1993 said:

The heat index is 116 in my town today...that is absolutely ridiculous. We're paying for the lack of heat to this point. Looks like this heatwave has legs and will last through next week 🤦‍♂️

Yeah it's been like a sauna the last few days here as well, with maximum dews in the low 80⁰s and peak heat indexes around 120⁰ on my weather station, which is only a few feet from a cornfield! But clouds luckily moved in yesterday afternoon which really helped. 

 

14 hours ago, Andie said:

Reading some of your temps I feel lucky today.  
101 with a heat index of 102.  
Practically a cool wave!   But our humidity stayed low at 29%.  
We’re going into the the peak weeks and we all hope it eases from there.  
Avg. Highs-

3F206169-B319-42B5-A4E9-4B8FBE88A22E.png

Average high temps here are around 10° cooler than yours, and you're not really way above normal if around 100⁰ for highs, but yeah that's took hot though! Looks like Texas may bake and dry out more for awhile yet. Sorry for the bad news! 

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Had some unscheduled showers show up this AM and now looking at models, although there's a heat dome, it appears showers want to break out periodically through the forecast. 

The bad news.....

gfs_T2m_scus_28.thumb.png.acb402eeea34e3b75e85f5e1fb8bfa62.png

Looking like the bowels of hades on 8/4. Still time for these highs to come down in later runs, as has been the pattern of late. Still, that's hot stuff folks. 

We have crossed over peak summer as a nation and that is wonderful news!

usa-temperature-peak-99.thumb.jpg.ead6c0d11a9a3ba0d6fe194a604b5473.jpg

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I’ll add my 2 cents on the heat wave. We have these every summer. This one has felt worse in that we had 2 months of above normal rainfall preceding it. Also, corn is putting off a lot of water which is only adding to the dews. Finally, we’ve had little to no wind so there hasn’t been a breeze for any relief. 

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We had some outflow, but nothing over about 45mph.

I take it there's another round later coming.

20230728-2.gif

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - 5.50"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 2 on 1/17

Measurable snows: 4
Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19)

Thunders: 39
1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15
3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7
5/8, 5/15, 5/21, 5/22, 5/26, 5/27, 6/4, 6/5, 6/6, 6/17
6/18, 6/23, 6/25, 6/29, 7/3, 7/4, 7/5, 7/14, 7/16, 

Severe storms: 3
Max High: 96 (feels like 107 on June 17)

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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