July 2023 PNW Observations and Discussions

[ShawniganLake]

29 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s epic. Is it the topography there augmenting radiational cooling or something else?

That section of the interior plateau is expensive and high elevation with just a few small rolling hills and mountains to the west and east.  Watch lake is close to 3500ft.   Nights are typically clear and calm in the summer and you get exceptional radiational cooling.  We can have frost at dawn and be drinking our coffee on the deck in 60F sunshine by 8 or 9am.  100 mile house sits in a depression just to our north and their record low for August is 21F. 

[TT-SEA]

Top map is current ground level smoke per Canadian smoke model and bottom map is forecast on Wednesday morning.  Looks like some low level smoke will make it into western WA by then... although it doesn't look too bad.   The current map shows a similar amount of ground level smoke in eastern MN right now as projected for western WA on Wednesday morning but its not really visible on web cams there.

[Deweydog]

Severe clear here at the coast!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Not too bad. Although both the op and GEFS are probably being too bullish with the cooler weather for week two. Euro and EPS both look warmer, albeit cooler than they were a few days ago when there was more agreement on a perma heatwave.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Severe clear here at the coast!

Appears that right now there are not any clouds anywhere in the state of WA.   Really close on the NW coast but technically over the water!  

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Honestly no hangover except my right eye in front of where I had my surgeries got a little puffed up during alcohol excretion. Definitely not pink eye since I touch both eyes a lot and my right eye is fine.

Most I’ve drank since college.

M’lady says I’m a fun drunk. I become extremely gregarious.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Honestly no hangover except my right eye in front of where I had my surgeries got a little puffed up during alcohol excretion. Definitely not pink eye since I touch both eyes a lot and my right eye is fine.

Most I’ve drank since college.

M’lady says I’m a fun drunk. I become extremely gregarious.

I get sarcastic when I drink.

[Thermal Trough]

13 hours ago, lowlandsnow said:

What are max temps looking like for this heatwave?

I think PDX can get to 100 on Wednesday. Probably around 98-100.

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Severe clear here at the coast!

what am I supposed to be looking at here?

[Cascadia_Wx]

Euro stubbornly keeps things warm to hot in the 6-10 day range. It will end up right. 

[ShawniganLake]

43 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Honestly no hangover except my right eye in front of where I had my surgeries got a little puffed up during alcohol excretion. Definitely not pink eye since I touch both eyes a lot and my right eye is fine.

Most I’ve drank since college.

M’lady says I’m a fun drunk. I become extremely gregarious.

Everyone thinks I’m a fun drunk except for my wife.  I can’t explain it.  Must be a problem on her end.  

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF keeps SEA below 90... consistent warmth but no extreme heat.   

[Cold Snap]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Appears that right now there are not any clouds anywhere in the state of WA.   Really close on the NW coast but technically over the water!  

Yeah I took this pic flying in a few hours ago. Wasn’t a cloud in sight. Though it looks like some convection is starting to fire a bit over the cascades.

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Everyone thinks I’m a fun drunk except for my wife.  I can’t explain it.  Must be a problem on her end.  

I’m a happy chatty drunk! Unfortunately I rarely drink anything at all since anything more than one drink and I am in horrific shape the next day…More than a few drinks and I am down for two days. My body completely rejects alcohol. 

[Jakewestsalem]

2 hours ago, Deweydog said:

I get sarcastic when I drink.

How long since you've been sober?

[T-Town]

Liking the new weather station so far. Temp seems to track pretty close to Tacoma Narrows, which is a few miles to my west. So seems accurate. 

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, Jakewestsalem said:

How long since you've been sober?

What year is it?

[HuskyMaestro]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

I’m a happy chatty drunk! Unfortunately I rarely drink anything at all since anything more than one drink and I am in horrific shape the next day…More than a few drinks and I am down for two days. My body completely rejects alcohol. 

I got two sides when drinking — happy chatty drunk or sad melancholic drunk. I do creative writing so I gotta channel some inner depression while drinking. I've been all about Kraken Rum lately.

[MossMan]

57 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

What year is it?

1985! 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

1985! 

HOTT JULY!

[MossMan]

33 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

HOTT JULY!

AND A KOLD NOVEMBER! 

[Anti Marine Layer]

23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

AND A KOLD NOVEMBER! 

What about Octember?

[TT-SEA]

Smoke is just north of the border now and moving south.

[MossMan]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Smoke is just north of the border now and moving south.

It’s over.

[TT-SEA]

However... the satellite shows smoke over Whistler now but it doesn't look like it on the web cams yet.

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS looks consistently warm... and was actually 2 degrees too cold for today.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

First time I’ve had crab cakes since 2008. Delicious as I can remember.

Clam chowder & filet mignon also. Damn this is great.

Solid marine layer along the Baja Peninsula.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

First time I’ve had crab cakes since 2008. Delicious as I can remember.

Clam chowder & filet mignon also. D**n this is great.

Solid marine layer along the Baja Peninsula.

Yeah...  its hugging the coast for a 1,000 miles down there! 

[Phil]

Today was Tim heaven/normal-people hell here. Just awful.

[Phil]

12z EPS actually has cooler than normal temps in W-WA at the very end. I’ve never experienced a PNW summer trough before, hope I get to this time.

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Today was Tim heaven/normal-people hell here. Just awful.

81 for a high here with a dewpoint of 46.    Heavenly.   Your weather looks gross to me.  

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

12z EPS actually has cooler than normal temps in W-WA at the very end. I’ve never experienced a PNW summer trough before, hope I get to this time.

Doesn't have to be a huge ridge with a really warm air mass overhead... today was complete perfection without either.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Another beautiful Summer day spent in the mountains!

[Phil]

PNW oasis pattern on LR ensembles.  

[Omegaraptor]

 

In Oregon’s rainiest spot today (pretty close, at least) on the Wilson River

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

PNW oasis pattern on LR ensembles.  

We are already an oasis.

And doubt it works out that way with red everywhere.   And well before the timing of that EPS map... its an oasis for you while we are baking!  

[Phil]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

We are already an oasis.

And doubt it works out that way with red everywhere.   And well before the timing of that EPS map... it’s h an oasis for you while we are baking!  

That’s a SW flow jungle pattern here.  

Our oasis pattern is a plains ridge/NW flow.

[TT-SEA]

16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

 

In Oregon’s rainiest spot today (pretty close, at least) on the Wilson River

We were enjoying the middle fork of the Snoqualmie River this afternoon.   

 

[Omegaraptor]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

We were enjoying the middle fork of the Snoqualmie River this afternoon.   

Looks beautiful Tim! You’re lucky to have it right at your doorstep.

[NWbyNW]

Wildfires are starting...  Along the Columbia Gorge is the biggest so far in the state.  But some brush fires around the Tri-Cities, Walla Walla, and Yakima.  It is going to be pretty scary heading into fireworks season with people who don't care about dry grasses and trees as we enter another week of non-stop sunshine.  Very minimal chances of drizzle for next weekend.