August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[TT-SEA]

83 at SEA now.    

[TT-SEA]

SEA needs 12 more days at 80+ to dethrone 2015 (51).    That might be a little tougher to do.  

2023 is currently 12th on that list as well.    One interesting year in the top 10 is 1961 with 45 days at 80+.   8 of the top 12 are from the last decade.    The other years include 1958, 1961, 1967, and 1987.    2023 will pass up 1987 and 2013 this weekend and move into the top 10.   

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

nice slug of rain looks to arrive in the next hour or hour in a half or so

lol it completely shifted east and mostly missed us

[T-Town]

.06 here this morning. Actually rained pretty hard for a few minutes. 81 now. 

[Phishy Wx]

currently 66,  temps under achieved today.  think it got up to 74 earlier

[Phishy Wx]

hopefully the crazy Heat is done after next Monday

 

 

[TT-SEA]

Up to 86 now in North Bend.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

And another year with a month’s worth of 90F burgers rolls on.

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

hopefully the crazy Heat is done after next Monday

 

 

Did you capitalize Heat out of respect?   

[RentonHill]

I’m bullish on GFS/ICON, selling euro

[Omegaraptor]

Crazy that the 94/58 day at PDX yesterday actually dropped the MTD average temp.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

I’m bullish on GFS/ICON, selling euro

[Front Ranger]

31 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

SEA needs 12 more days at 80+ to dethrone 2015 (51).    That might be a little tougher to do.  

2023 is currently 12th on that list as well.    One interesting year in the top 10 is 1961 with 45 days at 80+.   8 of the top 12 are from the last decade.    The other years include 1958, 1961, 1967, and 1987.    2023 will pass up 1987 and 2013 this weekend and move into the top 10.   

Looking at OLM, the top year for 85+ days is 1958. Number two is 1967. 2015 comes in third. 2023 is currently 15th.

For 80+, it's very similar except 1967 is ahead of 1958. 2023 is currently 16 behind 1967, which had 65 80+ days.

[Dave]

8 hours ago, Phil said:

I love lightning.  

Nice! Get any good shots?

Not much of a lightning photographer, but here's a crappy flash for ya.

 

[Phishy Wx]

24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Did you capitalize Heat out of respect?   

haha, must've have been a freudian type

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Rain!

[Ken in Wood Village]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Mark just mentioned there is a new fire in the Bull Run watershed east of Portland. 

Maybe that's why I smell smoke

[Dave]

Most of Eugene got the shaft last night in terms of getting precip. West Eugene and the airport got a few drops. Bone dry here. 

AQI is at a blechy 154.

[TT-SEA]

This is what the 12Z Canadian smoke model showed for late this afternoon... seems to be overdone in my area as there is almost no visible smoke out here but maybe underdone up north based on reports from SW BC.    Seems pretty accurate in western OR.    It shows the next two afternoons being similar to today... hopefully that is true in my area. 

[Skagit Weather]

6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

This is what the 12Z Canadian smoke model showed for late this afternoon... seems to be overdone in my area as there is almost no visible smoke out here but maybe underdone up north based on reports from SW BC.    Seems pretty accurate in western OR.    It shows the next two afternoons being similar to today... hopefully that is true in my area. 

I mean AQI is close to 100 in much of the Sound right now and you can't see the foothills really from the Space Needle so I'd say it's not exactly overdone. But I could agree it's underdone up here. I'm in the Upper Skagit currently and it's toxic out there.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Uh oh… 

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

I mean AQI is close to 100 in much of the Sound right now and you can't see the foothills really from the Space Needle so I'd say it's not exactly overdone. But I could agree it's underdone up here. I'm in the Upper Skagit currently and it's toxic out there.

Must be getting really lucky out here then.

[TT-SEA]

11 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

I mean AQI is close to 100 in much of the Sound right now and you can't see the foothills really from the Space Needle so I'd say it's not exactly overdone. But I could agree it's underdone up here. I'm in the Upper Skagit currently and it's toxic out there.

I have certainly seen much worse in Seattle... even in the last week.    This would be a perfectly tolerable amount of smoke for the weekend.   It did not have any impact on temps either.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Air quality is so bad in Albany you can’t see either the Cascades or the Coast Range.

[Dave]

Fires that are burning in the area.

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, Dave said:

Fires that are burning in the area.

 

Sure glad we had all those thunderstorms.

[Dave]

3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sure glad we had all those thunderstorms.

Looks like it won't matter which direction the wind is blowing. Eugene is gonna be surrounded by fires in all directions. The system next week really needs to provide some juice.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, Dave said:

Looks like it won't matter which direction the wind is blowing. Eugene is gonna be surrounded by fires in all directions. The system next week really needs to provide some juice.

You may get some but the models are currently quite consistent in saying most of the juice heads north of you.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

13 minutes ago, Dave said:

Fires that are burning in the area.

 

This is the fuckking darkest timeline. I can't even see the Coburg Hills and the AQI is getting close to 200ppm again. Burning eyes, smoke inside the house. Makes my head hurt so bad.

[ChristheElohim]

JAMSTEC Fall and Winter Outlook

[TacomaWx]

16 minutes ago, Dave said:

Looks like it won't matter which direction the wind is blowing. Eugene is gonna be surrounded by fires in all directions. The system next week really needs to provide some juice.

Any offshore flow would exacerbate things, we want weak onshore flow and of course rain. The situation down in Oregon could get very bad with any strong offshore flow. 

[Dave]

23 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sure glad we had all those thunderstorms.

We need a dry lightning emoticon. 

[TacomaWx]

82/60 0.05” of rain this morning. 

[Dave]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

Any offshore flow would exacerbate things, we want weak onshore flow and of course rain. The situation down in Oregon could get very bad with any strong offshore flow. 

If we get a strong offshore push, it will be an inferno from the cascades to the coast. These fires aren't going out until some soaking rains happen. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Dave said:

If we get a strong offshore push, it will be an inferno from the cascades to the coast. These fires aren't going out until some soaking rains happen. 

Yeah but cool summers suck tho 

[TacomaWx]

7 minutes ago, Dave said:

If we get a strong offshore push, it will be an inferno from the cascades to the coast. These fires aren't going out until some soaking rains happen. 

Yeah I didn’t realize that the thunderstorms wouldn’t be accompanied by much rain at all. Hopefully summer is over soon. 

[Dave]

6 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Yeah but cool summers suck tho 

It used to rain a bit during the summer. That's the biggest problem. Essentially no rain from June to October is a big problem. More so than the heat.

[FroYoBro]

Pretty unusual to wake up in the morning to rain and yet still get above 90 degrees that same afternoon. The last 24 hours have felt like another part of the country here. 

[ChristheElohim]

Topped out around 81-84° here at Eastside Tacoma 

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, Dave said:

It used to rain a bit during the summer. That's the biggest problem. Essentially no rain from June to October is a big problem. More so than the heat.

Hotter and drier go hand in hand around here, in the warm season.

[T-Town]

Heading to Bend next week. Quite the crash from Monday to Tuesday. Probably comes with some unwanted wind. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Hotter and drier go hand in hand around here, in the warm season.

I was hoping with this summer being an El Niño it might resemble 2019. Im not sure a year like 2011 could happen again…but years like 2019 are probably the best we can hope for nowadays. 

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Pretty unusual to wake up in the morning to rain and yet still get above 90 degrees that same afternoon. The last 24 hours have felt like another part of the country here. 

Agreed... today reminded me of a Minnesota summer day.    Dark/rainy and sunny/warm in the same day and just an hour apart.

[Phishy Wx]

29 minutes ago, ChristheElohim said:

JAMSTEC Fall and Winter Outlook

I'm in the white!! (tiny little spec over spokane)

[SnowWillarrive]

38 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Pretty unusual to wake up in the morning to rain and yet still get above 90 degrees that same afternoon. The last 24 hours have felt like another part of the country here. 

This summer just needs to end. 

[ChristheElohim]

35 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

I'm in the white!! (tiny little spec over spokane)

LMAO I just noticed that had to zoom in all the way

[Ken in Wood Village]

I was looking at the 18Z GFS and something looked a little familiar. I downloaded the 500 mb height anomaly and 850 mb temperature anomaly. Around the 129 hour, it starts looking like an Omega Ridge like we see during the winter time. You can see low pressure system riding over the ridge like the winter time. If this verifies, there's a chance this ridge could stick around for awhile. That's only if it verifies. 

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, ChristheElohim said:

JAMSTEC Fall and Winter Outlook

Death.

[Meatyorologist]

Arctic blast on the 18z. lol

[Phishy Wx]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Arctic blast on the 18z. lol

lulz, first backdoor action of the season, in september