August 2023 Weather in the PNW

[LowerGarfield]

Warm day here, 90F but air quality is good. Made my son take a break from xbox to play in the sun for a bit. First day is Monday, looking quite hot here. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

Warm day here, 90F but air quality is good. Made my son take a break from xbox to play in the sun for a bit. First day is Monday, looking quite hot here. 

My daughter starts school on Tuesday... likely in the middle of a thunderstorm outbreak!  

[LowerGarfield]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

My daughter starts school on Tuesday... likely in the middle of a thunderstorm outbreak!  

I was looking at those runs and can totally imagine my spouse trying to pick up my son in a thunderstorm...pow!

[Phil]

Deja-vu all over again.

https://x.com/jeff_piotrowski/status/1695504421088551404?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

[MossMan]

3 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Pre-dawn explosion on Tuesday per the 12Z ECMWF.   

I’m in the…Whatever that dark color is! My dog is going to be pissed…Well pissing herself anyway. 

[Front Ranger]

11 minutes ago, Phil said:

Deja-vu all over again.

https://x.com/jeff_piotrowski/status/1695504421088551404?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

And yet Euro only has this...I know it's way better than GFS, but does it usually struggle in these situations compared to the "hurricane models"?

[Deweydog]

RIP Bob Barker

[Phil]

10 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

And yet Euro only has this...I know it's way better than GFS, but does it usually struggle in these situations compared to the "hurricane models"?

Well it’s also not a hurricane model, lots of small scale stuff that a global model might not pick up on.

This is the analog I’m thinking of. Nada to cat5 monster in 72hrs.

 

[ChristheElohim]

37 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m in the…Whatever that dark color is! My dog is going to be pissed…Well pissing herself anyway. 

I'm in that color to here in Tacoma 

[Front Ranger]

25 minutes ago, Phil said:

Well it’s also not a hurricane model, lots of small scale stuff that a global model might not pick up on.

This is the analog I’m thinking of. Nada to cat5 monster in 72hrs.

 

Oof, let's hope not. 

Michael became a hurricane way down by Cuba, though...which this thing looks unlikely to do. If it doesn't start to form into a hurricane until it's halfway through the gulf and moving rapidly towards the panhandle, not sure that's enough time to intensify to Cat 5.

[Meatyorologist]

The Gulf is jet fuel right now. Gonna be a lot of room for growth.

[Phil]

18z GFS  

[Requiem]

Can see what I think is the pyrocumulus from the Camp Creek Fire near Sandy.

[RentonHill]

24 minutes ago, Phil said:

18z GFS  

[TacomaWx]

83/55 so far today. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I’m about 40 miles north of Tampa right now until Wednesday morning. On hurricane watch. Love seeing clouds explode again. It is so hot here. 

[Meatyorologist]

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

[Anti Marine Layer]

A typical sunny, late summer afternoon at University of Communist Indoctrination where the high temperatures in October average higher than the high temperatures in May. 

 

 

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Get ready for the rain

[Anti Marine Layer]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

18z GFS  

What hour?

[TacomaWx]

7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Phil’s prophecy coming true! 

[Requiem]

41 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

A typical sunny, late summer afternoon at University of Communist Indoctrination where the high temperatures in October average higher than the high temperatures in May. 

 

 

Did they relocate Irvine up to the PNW?

[The Cats Meow]

87 glorious degrees at 6pm in the Puyallup Valley.

So amazing.

Looks like a chance for some rain again Tuesday morning.

 Refreshing.

[T-Town]

I think we need rain. 

[Anti Marine Layer]

10 minutes ago, T-Town said:

I think we need rain. 

Looks like it.

[Kolk1604]

So I should set my alarm for 1am Tuesday morning? 

[TT-SEA]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

18z GFS essentially ends summer.

Yeah... as the season changes you can start counting on the GFS to be way too aggressive most of the time.  

[TT-SEA]

17 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said:

So I should set my alarm for 1am Tuesday morning? 

Pretty sure nature will wake you up without setting an alarm.  

[RentonHill]

12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty sure nature will wake you up without setting an alarm.  

Don’t listen to this fool @Kolk1604 set your alarm. 

[TT-SEA]

Just now, RentonHill said:

Don’t listen to this fool @Kolk1604 set your alarm. 

Might as well stay up all night if you are going to set an alarm for 1 a.m.  

[RentonHill]

14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Might as well stay up all night if you are going to set an alarm for 1 a.m.  

that’s what I plan on then driving straight to twisp for round 2 that evening

[TacomaWx]

Mean temp so far this month is 68.9 degrees. 0.4 degrees warmer than august 2022. We are 0.3 degrees shy of July 2015, the warmest month I’ve ever recorded. The mean temp will come down just slightly but still should end up close to August 2022 and 2014. 

[Cold Snap]

Had a high of 85 today. 15th 85+ high temp of the year IMBY.

[ChristheElohim]

Interesting a bit day at my location is actually 88° or over according to this. A night at 49° or less is a cold night for the month.

 https://www.meteoblue.com/en/weather/historyclimate/climatemodelled/swan-creek-county-park_united-states_5812803

[TT-SEA]

00Z NAM is very wet for Tuesday.   

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z NAM is very wet for Tuesday.   

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

Totally agree... feels really similar.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Totally agree... feels really similar.

Wish I had a better camera for that one, it took like the perfect pathway for us here in north Tacoma. 

[Jbolin]

1 hour ago, T-Town said:

I think we need rain. 

Nah. Your lawn hasn't reached south Texas "brown" quite yet. 

[Jbolin]

5 hours ago, Deweydog said:

RIP Bob Barker

Sooo close to reaching 100 w/o going over

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Requiem said:

Did they relocate Irvine up to the PNW?

Apparently so. That's why we got so much rain last winter and one of the worst May Gray/June Gloom seasons ever.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I am in the cone! Might get some Hurricane footage! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

39 minutes ago, Jbolin said:

Nah. Your lawn hasn't reached south Texas "brown" quite yet. 

Do you know what the actual purpose of quotation marks are?

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Would be nice to see this verify:

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Would be nice to see this verify:

Tuesday and Thursday look quite wet on the 00Z run.   

[Deweydog]

Real deal.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

32 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

I am in the cone! Might get some Hurricane footage! 

I hope you don’t live to regret that excitement. A major hurricane is serious stuff.

[jcmcgaffey]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Some of the set ups on the models  have looked similar to the path the storms on 9/17/19 took…just right east of the sound over Seattle. 

Was just thinking the same thing. 2019 were remnants of a hurricane and was unusually warm and wet with more instability than this probably will be but hoping I’m wrong. 

[lowlandsnow]

Was just looking at trip reports on WTA crazy how fast Inter glacier on Mount Rainier is disappearing. 
This is my photo of it in Mid-August 2019. Here is a link to it in 2023 Burroughs Mountain — Washington Trails Association (wta.org) The summers since 2013 have really been detrimental for glaciers in Washington and even more so for Oregon.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I hope you don’t live to regret that excitement. A major hurricane is serious stuff.

I hope he lives.