September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[MossMan]

Just now, Phil said:

Stupid this produced a 100°F high here. Especially at this point in the season.

I think you secretly LOVE the triple digit humid heat!

[Cold Snap]

This is from 5 years ago but this is literally more insane than anything I’ve ever seen the GFS spit out. 777mb WTF?!?!?!

[Phil]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I think you secretly LOVE the triple digit humid heat!

Lol, yep I’m secretly a masochist.  

FWIW it isn’t a humid heat this time, dews down to mid-60s. Makes a huge difference.

[ChristheElohim]

75° today here at Eastside Tacoma for the high.

[T-Town]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lol, yep I’m secretly a masochist.  

It actually isn’t a humid heat this time, dews in the mid-60s. Makes a huge difference, definitely easier on the body.

Hello from God’s country. 

[Phil]

Interesting test indeed.

https://x.com/worldclimatesvc/status/1699500014991450509?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ
 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

37 minutes ago, Phil said:

Lol, yep I’m secretly a masochist.  

FWIW it isn’t a humid heat this time, dews down to mid-60s. Makes a huge difference.

Whenever the DP gets above the low 60’s in the PNW, people start complaining about how muggy it is.

[MossMan]

Wind and 73 currently! 

[LowerGarfield]

66F, smoke is gone and now mostly clear with some clouds.

[High Desert Mat?]

3 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Whenever the DP gets above the low 60’s in the PNW, people start complaining about how muggy it is.

Don’t feed the trolls. 

[High Desert Mat?]

35 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

66F, smoke is gone and now mostly clear with some clouds.

I think the smoke may come back. Local news has the fires growing once again, at least down here in Oregon. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

I think the smoke may come back. Local news has the fires growing once again, at least down here in Oregon. 

00Z Canadian smoke model does not show much over the next 3 days and still looks good over the weekend.    The NCEP smoke model only goes out through 48 hours but has not looked this good in a long time.   

 

[Cold Snap]

While all eyes have been on Lee in the Atlantic. Hurricane Jova in the Eastern Pacific Went from becoming a named storm to a category 5 hurricane in under 48 hours. Luckily it’s not headed towards land.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Playing Starfield has given me further fascination in knowing stellar cartographic concepts. It's realistic with which stars are closer to us and how it works. I love looking up at the clear sky and seeing the ones that are closer. Like Sirius and Procyon in the winter.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 77/47 spread yesterday. Some neat high clouds in the afternoon. Cloudier and milder this morning, low of just 56 so far. Weather is generally looking drier and warmer than average the next 7-10 days.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Ended up with a 77/47 spread yesterday. Some neat high clouds in the afternoon. Cloudier and milder this morning, low of just 56 so far. Weather is generally looking drier and warmer than average the next 7-10 days.

Looks like a mild month on tap. Could be worse. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

25 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like a mild month on tap. Could be worse. 

Honestly, this is not terrible:

[ShawniganLake]

14 hours ago, MossMan said:

I think you secretly LOVE the triple digit humid heat!

It seems pretty obvious.  

[TT-SEA]

Mix of cloud levels in Seattle this morning. 

[Front Ranger]

After a scorching summer, Medford is running -2.7 for September so far.

[iFred]

Currently in Boise, a city in Idaho that most geographers would consider a part of the Pacific Northwest and most meteorologists would agree, unlike Cabin John, Maryland, and the weather is mostly enjoyable. Yesterday on the drive out here, had clear skies but encountered some thunderstorms in the Treasure Valley. Going from about 92 to 75 in the span of 30 minutes was pretty cool.

[Dave]

Low clouds or marine layer? I don't know. I just know that it is pure bliss. 60 degrees with low clouds. No A/C needed. Just feels great.

[MossMan]

Lovely morning over here. Currently 65 degrees. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

24 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Lovely morning over here. Currently 65 degrees. 

Blessed

[Phil]

1 hour ago, iFred said:

Currently in Boise, a city in Idaho that most geographers would consider a part of the Pacific Northwest and most meteorologists would agree, unlike Cabin John, Maryland, and the weather is mostly enjoyable. Yesterday on the drive out here, had clear skies but encountered some thunderstorms in the Treasure Valley. Going from about 92 to 75 in the span of 30 minutes was pretty cool.

Pics or it didn’t happen, phred.

[Phil]

27 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Lovely morning over here. Currently 65 degrees. 

Beauty incarnate.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Dave said:

Low clouds or marine layer? I don't know. I just know that it is pure bliss. 60 degrees with low clouds. No A/C needed. Just feels great.

Inject this into my veins. Plz.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

So much for that much-promised (by some) early start to the rainy season.

[Front Ranger]

GFS/CMC keep Lee a bit further offshore of the NE. We'll see if Euro agrees.

Still 7+ days out, so of course model projections aren't super meaningful yet.

[LowerGarfield]

13 hours ago, High Desert Mat? said:

I think the smoke may come back. Local news has the fires growing once again, at least down here in Oregon. 

Yeah. Ours was an extremely local fire that started right outside our town.

[Front Ranger]

10 minutes ago, Phil said:

Inject this into my veins. Plz.  

[Phil]

6.22” rainfall in 1hr at Hong Kong. Wild stuff.

https://x.com/bnodesk/status/1699846645561561414?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

[Phil]

23 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

GFS/CMC keep Lee a bit further offshore of the NE. We'll see if Euro agrees.

Still 7+ days out, so of course model projections aren't super meaningful yet.

I think we’re safe from this one.

Unless 2023 somehow defies niño climo for late Sept/Oct, this will mark 20 years without a major hurricane landfall on the east coast, one of the longest streaks in recorded history.

Just have to hope this streak doesn’t end the way the major hurricane drought did on the gulf coast. Been steroidal down there since 2017.

[High Desert Mat?]

Looks like the summer heat may be coming back over here. At least the nights will be cooler  

  

[Front Ranger]

52 minutes ago, Phil said:

I think we’re safe from this one.

Unless 2023 somehow defies niño climo for late Sept/Oct, this will mark 20 years without a major hurricane landfall on the east coast, one of the longest streaks in recorded history.

Just have to hope this streak doesn’t end the way the major hurricane drought did on the gulf coast. Been steroidal down there since 2017.

Euro says Maine takes a direct hit. Nice work, Phil.

[Omegaraptor]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

6.22” rainfall in 1hr at Hong Kong. Wild stuff.

https://x.com/bnodesk/status/1699846645561561414?s=46&t=656Z973wLtGKaIyhhq_7QQ

Wow, that’s like our entire average December rainfall in one hour!

[the_convergence_zone]

Smoke is definitely going to increase after another week of dry weather, but I suspect it will be mostly smoldering within existing perimeters. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Euro says Maine takes a direct hit. Nice work, Phil.

I need to learn to not forecast during mercury retrograde.  

[RentonHill]

Yeehaw

[Phil]

Tbh things could be worse in the West. Considering the winter is likely to feature a potent STJ, it’s likely CA/NV will continue to score, as well.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

Tbh things could be worse in the West. Considering the winter is likely to feature a potent STJ, it’s likely CA/NV will continue to score, as well.

We need rain IMBY. If the CFS winter prediction come true we will lose a lot of mature trees by next summer. 

[iFred]

10 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Yeehaw

Ah shit. Cold October. Winter cancel.

[Phil]

19 minutes ago, iFred said:

Ah shit. Cold October. Winter cancel.

ECMWF making the weeklies run daily was probably a bad idea. Mass weeniecide cometh.

[the_convergence_zone]

3 minutes ago, Phil said:

ECMWF making the weeklies run daily was probably a bad idea. Mass weeniecide cometh.

Seriously. Or can we at least ban the control runs from being posted? They are going to endlessly flip flop between torching and OMGSNOW all winter. 

[MossMan]

5 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Seriously. Or can we at least ban the control runs from being posted? They are going to endlessly flip flop between torching and OMGSNOW all winter. 

But…That’s part of the fun!! 

[Phil]

Over/under on 170mph? Yeeesh.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

7 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Seriously. Or can we at least ban the control runs from being posted? They are going to endlessly flip flop between torching and OMGSNOW all winter. 

Nah, I will just join Tim and cherry pick torchy maps to post.

[Phil]

8 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Seriously. Or can we at least ban the control runs from being posted? They are going to endlessly flip flop between torching and OMGSNOW all winter. 

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

But…That’s part of the fun!! 

Both valid points. Tough one.

[RentonHill]

6 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Seriously. Or can we at least ban the control runs from being posted? They are going to endlessly flip flop between torching and OMGSNOW all winter. 

[the_convergence_zone]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Nah, I will just join Tim and cherry pick torchy maps to post.

Great, I'll volunteer to find the massive windstorms.