September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[BLI snowman]

34 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Did you retire like our friend Jim from Federal Way?  

Working remotely has its benefits....

[the_convergence_zone]

My mental rule is that the median date of the first real rain in Seattle is my birthday, 9/19. Going to be right on schedule this year. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

Little photo dump of the new kid. He is currently in 9-12 month clothing even tho he is only 5 months lol

[TT-SEA]

75 at SEA today... 76 out here.   September perfection!

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Fire created it.

Without fire, it would be dense forest, maybe some berry bushes in the understory, but too shady for good berry crops.

It needs to burn again. Knock the trees back, keep it open. Sooner it burns, the less fuel there will be, better chance of a low-intensity fire. Berry bushes vigorously resprout from their roots after those.

This is nonsense. Fire destroys everything. It’s evil. Period!

[TacomaWx]

I think fall will really show up in the last week of September. Some signs of fall are definitely starting to show with a few days below 70 in the last couple weeks. Hit 49 this morning for the first time since late June. Definitely noticing the shorter days too. 

[TacomaWx]

72/49 today. Thankfully we had some rain recently or else the dry weather we’ve been getting probably would’ve led been accompanied by consistent lingering smoke like the fall of 2022. 

[Cold Snap]

12 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I think fall will really show up in the last week of September. Some signs of fall are definitely starting to show with a few days below 70 in the last couple weeks. Hit 49 this morning for the first time since late June. Definitely noticing the shorter days too. 

I’ve also been noticing the lower sun angles as well. 

[MossMan]

My grass is growing at a May rate right now! 

[T-Town]

45 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My grass is growing at a May rate right now! 

Counterpoint. Not much rain here in T Town. 

[T-Town]

Pretty great sunset though. 

[Front Ranger]

5 hours ago, the_convergence_zone said:

My mental rule is that the median date of the first real rain in Seattle is my birthday, 9/19. Going to be right on schedule this year. 

What counts as "real rain"? Just curious.

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, T-Town said:

Counterpoint. Not much rain here in T Town. 

I think it depends on the type of grass you have, and obviously if you water it. I have a buddy in Tacoma who recently posted some pics with his family, etc in their backard, and it was not nearly that dead looking.

[Cloud]

4 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

I think fall will really show up in the last week of September. Some signs of fall are definitely starting to show with a few days below 70 in the last couple weeks. Hit 49 this morning for the first time since late June. Definitely noticing the shorter days too. 

Generally speaking, the transition to fall is typical more rapid than say winter to spring. Our current overnight lows will be Oct highs in 4-5 weeks. Equinox summer to fall tends to fall off a cliff and once that flood gate is open it remains open for a while. 

[Cloud]

6 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

What counts as "real rain"? Just curious.

Any systems barreling into the PNW capable of producing widespread precipitation. Numbers aside.

[MossMan]

50 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Generally speaking, the transition to fall is typical more rapid than say winter to spring. Our current overnight lows will be Oct highs in 4-5 weeks. Equinox summer to fall tends to fall off a cliff and once that flood gate is open it remains open for a while. 

Unless we are talking October 2022 which felt more like summer than fall. I remember roasting at the pumpkin patch, jetsking, hanging on the deck…It was such a crazy month! That forecast below was from 10/2/22. 

Edited September 9 by MossMan

[iFred]

On 9/7/2023 at 5:23 PM, Phishy Wx said:

freaking hell the east coast was disgustingly hot this week.  was near Philly.  good grief.  I about sweat out from the humidity

Oh nice, where about? 

[iFred]

Drove back from Boise to Everett today. A pleasant drive made for great fun when I took Deadman at 70mph and also managed to see Mt Adams from Pendleton. Made it across 410, saw the ice crystals being blown off of a very close Rainer from Tipsoo and even got a chance to visit my old stomping grounds in Buckley and Bonney Lake. The weather was perfect.

[Phil]

I moved my camera at the worst possible time. It was a triple forked positive CTG at a 45° angle.

Usually I’m asleep right now but guess my sixth sense woke me up beforehand, lol.

 

 

 

[Cloud]

3 hours ago, MossMan said:

Unless we are talking October 2022 which felt more like summer than fall. I remember roasting at the pumpkin patch, jetsking, hanging on the deck…It was such a crazy month! That forecast below was from 10/2/22. 

Last October was very much an outlier. 

[Cloud]

Latest GFS ensembles appears to suggest we are not quite done with summer-like weather yet for next weekend closer to the fall equinox.

European agrees. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

6 hours ago, Phil said:

I moved my camera at the worst possible time. It was a triple forked positive CTG at a 45° angle.

Usually I’m asleep right now but guess my sixth sense woke me up beforehand, lol.

 

 

Strange. I do not need a sixth sense to be awakened by a nocturnal thunderstorm. Two of my normal five suffice.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Loving the switch to fall-ish morning temps. Been around 50 the past several days with a nice heavy dew covering everything.  The afternoons stay just warm enough to enjoy the heat of the sun. 

Currently 49 which also is the low for the morning.  I was about to head out and try to get some sunrise photos but it looks like its pretty foggy up in the county, so I'll stay put and enjoy a cup of tea.

Headed to SoCal on Monday for a quick trip to meet the team I work with, looks like it will be in the low-mid 80's while I am there with lows around 70.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Beautiful morning. This can be such a lovely time of year when it’s not a smoke show.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Devastating quake has struck Morocco.  

[Deweydog]

14 hours ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Little photo dump of the new kid. He is currently in 9-12 month clothing even tho he is only 5 months lol

Baby got in the way of the pooch photo. -3 points.

[TacomaWx]

10 hours ago, Cloud said:

Generally speaking, the transition to fall is typical more rapid than say winter to spring. Our current overnight lows will be Oct highs in 4-5 weeks. Equinox summer to fall tends to fall off a cliff and once that flood gate is open it remains open for a while. 

The transition from spring to summer can take 4-5 months but the transition to fall can be done in about a week. All of our seasons seem to be very gradual slow changes but fall usually hits fast. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

10 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

I think it depends on the type of grass you have, and obviously if you water it. I have a buddy in Tacoma who recently posted some pics with his family, etc in their backard, and it was not nearly that dead looking.

Mine is also this dead on the peninsula. But with only 7” of rain this year not too surprising. Hope to get a green up before winter.

[T-Town]

30 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Mine is also this dead on the peninsula. But with only 7” of rain this year not too surprising. Hope to get a green up before winter.

I water my front yard and even the meager rain we got greened it up quite a bit. But it will take a lot more rain to make a difference in the backyard. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I thought about watering this weekend to keep the momentum up. Maybe tomorrow.

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

The transition from spring to summer can take 4-5 months but the transition to fall can be done in about a week. All of our seasons seem to be very gradual slow changes but fall usually hits fast. 

2022-23 will go down as an extremely odd bookended cold season. It took us approximately one week to go from summer to winter late last year, and then it took about the same amount of time to go back from winter to summer this April/May.

[BLI snowman]

https://www.columbian.com/news/2023/sep/07/very-strong-el-nino-moving-up-oregon-coast-to-bring-warmer-winter-with-scorching-ocean-water-for-marine-life/

I wasn't aware that El Ninos "moved" up the West Coast. Guess the PNW coastal waters are a tropical ENSO region now.

Edited September 9 by BLI snowman

[Phishy Wx]

10 hours ago, iFred said:

Oh nice, where about? 

King of Prussia, PA

[Deweydog]

56 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

https://www.columbian.com/news/2023/sep/07/very-strong-el-nino-moving-up-oregon-coast-to-bring-warmer-winter-with-scorching-ocean-water-for-marine-life/

I wasn't aware that El Ninos "moved" up the West Coast. Guess the PNW coastal waters are a tropical ENSO region now.

Well, if it’s in The Columbian it’s ABSOLUTELY true.

[TacomaWx]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

https://www.columbian.com/news/2023/sep/07/very-strong-el-nino-moving-up-oregon-coast-to-bring-warmer-winter-with-scorching-ocean-water-for-marine-life/

I wasn't aware that El Ninos "moved" up the West Coast. Guess the PNW coastal waters are a tropical ENSO region now.

So many news outlets knowingly publish blatantly false information and the sad thing is that many people are too stupid to actually research or know anything about said information. 

[TacomaWx]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

2022-23 will go down as an extremely odd bookended cold season. It took us approximately one week to go from summer to winter late last year, and then it took about the same amount of time to go back from winter to summer this April/May.

Yeah, went from abnormally warm with smoky air in late October to some places getting lowland snow just a week later. 
 The switch flipped pretty significantly at the end of April as well. Another year I can think where the seasons changed pretty rapidly was March 2019. 

[Cold Snap]

Low of 47 this morning. Currently 65. Supposed to get into the 80s IMBY today and tomorrow.

[Phil]

47 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah, went from abnormally warm with smoky air in late October to some places getting lowland snow just a week later. 
 The switch flipped pretty significantly at the end of April as well. Another year I can think where the seasons changed pretty rapidly was March 2019. 

The winter —> summer transition taking a long time is what I’d expect with the giant Pacific Ocean immediately upstream, but the switch flip from summer to winter is funny/weird.

I figure it has something to do with the equator/pole thermal gradient..exactly what I’m not sure.

[RentonHill]

 

Lee gonna take a late summer turn to the Hamptons??

 

[RentonHill]

Weeeee!!!

 

[the_convergence_zone]

 

[Cloud]

1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

So many news outlets knowingly publish blatantly false information and the sad thing is that many people are too stupid to actually research or know anything about said information. 

I wasn't even aware El Nino is a "tropical weather system" and it's pretty much where I stopped reading after the dumba** headline. 

[TT-SEA]

77 degrees... heading to the lake.   We have been boating in 6 consecutive months now (April-Sept).    Been a nice warm season.

[Cloud]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

77 degrees... heading to the lake.   We have been boating in 6 consecutive months now (April-Sept).    Been a nice warm season.

Cool story bro!

[TT-SEA]

Just now, Cloud said:

Cool story bro!

Thanks!  

Just something I track.    Last summer it was only 4 months with the late start.

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, TT-SEA said:

Thanks!  

Just something I track.    Last summer it was only 4 months with the late start.

That also means it's okay for ppl to be excited when the rainy season starts right?! You got 6 months worth of boating season. Though with a Nino, you might as well boat all year! 

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Cloud said:

That also means it's okay for ppl to be excited when the rainy season starts right?! You got 6 months worth of boating season. Though with a Nino, you might as well boat all year! 

Yep!   I got my money's worth this warm season.    Let's go with winter now!

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yep!   I got my money's worth this warm season.    Let's go with winter!

Dude, any ideas on how to keep squirrels out of the garden? This is our first year growing corns and all of our matured corns are getting break into by D**n squirrels, so we have to break down our corns. We'll try again next year but need to figure out how to  keep the squirrels at bay. 

[TT-SEA]

25 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Dude, any ideas on how to keep squirrels out of the garden? This is our first year growing corns and all of our matured corns are getting break into by D**n squirrels, so we have to break down our corns. We'll try again next year but need to figure out how to  keep the squirrels at bay. 

Squirrels are tough!   Can't keep them out with a fence.    For some reason we never have issues with squirrels.   Our area might have enough natural predators to keep them down.   Deer on the hand would destroy our garden in a day if given the chance.  

[Front Ranger]

2 hours ago, the_convergence_zone said:

 

Wow, first run to show Lee hitting that far south. 

Models are still all over the place with location and timing, though.