September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Rubus Leucodermis]

3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

We're going to get soaked next week.

Yes, please!

I’m thinking of leading a mushroom hike on Thanksgiving[1] weekend, and that would sure help bring ’em out in time.

[1] Celebrated on October 9th this year in Canada.

[Phil]

5 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

First one of the season. Change is afoot.

Summer seems to have ended here too. Earliest I can remember in over a decade. Hope the good fortune continues into the winter.  

[TT-SEA]

25 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Those aren't tears of joy on Tim's face...

We are so due for rainy period.    Its been a really dry year so far.   

[Phishy Wx]

any Euro support for any of that?

[RentonHill]

1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said:

any Euro support for any of that?

[Phishy Wx]

only 55 out.  Chilly

[MossMan]

The Wiz usually arrives back at the forum this time of the year…Unless he has decided to take this El Niño off

[Phishy Wx]

Just now, MossMan said:

The Wiz usually arrives back at the forum this time of the year…Unless he has decided to take this El Niño off

probably just picking off leaves, getting ready for fall

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The Wiz usually arrives back at the forum this time of the year…Unless he has decided to take this El Niño off

Might be a good winter for him to skip. Honestly. 

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

probably just picking off leaves, getting ready for fall

Just checked his profile, last time he was on here was April 22nd. Think we need to expand our search party to not only include Brian in Leavenworth and Kayla, but also Jim! 
 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Just checked his profile, last time he was on here was April 22nd. Think we need to expand our search party to not only include Brian in Leavenworth and Kayla, but also Jim! 
 

 

Tim said he found Kayla on LinkedIn. 

[TT-SEA]

7 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Just checked his profile, last time he was on here was April 22nd. Think we need to expand our search party to not only include Brian in Leavenworth and Kayla, but also Jim! 
 

 

Wow... he usually checks in even if he doesn't post.   Very odd.

How is your dad doing?

[TacomaWx]

9 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Might be a good winter for him to skip. Honestly. 

Even last winter which was statistically impressive in several ways…he was disappointed about it. He kinda had a freak out at the end of March and he hasn’t been on since I’m sure he’s just fine though. 
 I’m not feeling anything good about this winter either. I’d be surprised if we had more than a slushy inch or two…I’ll be happy with anything we get. It wouldn’t be surprised if we had little to nothing like 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. 

[ShawniganLake]

13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Just checked his profile, last time he was on here was April 22nd. Think we need to expand our search party to not only include Brian in Leavenworth and Kayla, but also Jim! 
 

 

Maybe he struck it rich at his gold mine on the east side. 

[ShawniganLake]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Even last winter which was statistically impressive in several ways…he was disappointed about it. He kinda had a freak out at the end of March and he hasn’t been on since I’m sure he’s just fine though. 
 I’m not feeling anything good about this winter either. I’d be surprised if we had more than a slushy inch or two…I’ll be happy with anything we get. It wouldn’t be surprised if we had little to nothing like 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. 

Maybe Ma nature will throw us a bone at some point. 
 

I’m getting some new tires put on this weekend.  Should jinx any chance of the white stuff falling early in the season.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Even last winter which was statistically impressive in several ways…he was disappointed about it. He kinda had a freak out at the end of March and he hasn’t been on since I’m sure he’s just fine though. 
 I’m not feeling anything good about this winter either. I’d be surprised if we had more than a slushy inch or two…I’ll be happy with anything we get. It wouldn’t be surprised if we had little to nothing like 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. 

Definitely feels like a dud is in the cards. Hopefully we can eke out a Dec 1972 miracle tho.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Definitely feels like a dud is in the cards. Hopefully we can eke out a Dec 1972 miracle tho.

2019-2020 is the ceiling this year. 

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Maybe he struck it rich at his gold mine on the east side. 

I was thinking the same thing. Although I can't imagine getting rich would cause him to lose his passionate love/hate affair with weather.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

7 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

2019-2020 is the ceiling this year. 

Ah lovely, a year where our coldest temp was 23F on Oct 26.

[the_convergence_zone]

Euro coming in juicy again, gotta love it. And it's a nice southerly AR that won't have a shadow in Puget Sound. 

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Euro coming in juicy again, gotta love it. And it's a nice southerly AR that won't have a shadow in Puget Sound. 

I think this would earn a boom!  

[Phishy Wx]

As long as some of that makes it over here

[TT-SEA]

Sunday/Monday rain total...

[TacomaWx]

11 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Sunday/Monday rain total...

It’s about f*cking time 

[ShawniganLake]

34 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

2019-2020 is the ceiling this year. 

 

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s about f*cking time 

Hey now... this is a family friendly forum! 

[ShawniganLake]

36 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I was thinking the same thing. Although I can't imagine getting rich would cause him to lose his passionate love/hate affair with weather.

He could be working on some new indices to foretell what an incredibly cold winter is ahead.    

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is pretty nice after the big rain event on Monday.   Shows some showers but with lots of sun Tuesday through Thursday in southerly flow and then another system moving in on Thursday night.    

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

 

This was the highlight down here lol

[Rubus Leucodermis]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

 

I think that was the winter it snowed 5" in Bellingham on a 14°F night. Cold enough to squeak when walked on!

Seriously, after the recent run of winters, I am expecting something of a dud, particularly with El Niño conditions.

[ShawniganLake]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

This was the highlight down here lol

Nice. Did you shovel or get the snow blower out.  

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I think that was the winter it snowed 5" in Bellingham on a 14°F night. Cold enough to squeak when walked on!

Seriously, after the recent run of winters, I am expecting something of a dud, particularly with El Niño conditions.

We had a foot of powder snow fall in about 4 hours the night before I took that photo.  Cleared the truck with a leaf blower. 
 

 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

55 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Even last winter which was statistically impressive in several ways…he was disappointed about it. He kinda had a freak out at the end of March and he hasn’t been on since I’m sure he’s just fine though. 
 I’m not feeling anything good about this winter either. I’d be surprised if we had more than a slushy inch or two…I’ll be happy with anything we get. It wouldn’t be surprised if we had little to nothing like 2014-2015 and 2015-2016. 

Everyone has been saying this all summer long, which makes me think we overperform 

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF is definitely on board now.   GFS lead the way.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

38 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Euro coming in juicy again, gotta love it. And it's a nice southerly AR that won't have a shadow in Puget Sound. 

Ill be in the shadow

[ChrisEl Elyon]

https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2023/09/heavy-rain-coming-to-northwest-end-of.html?m=1

[MossMan]

22 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

 

Here is my January 2020 Chevy in the snow pic!

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

Wow... he usually checks in even if he doesn't post.   Very odd.

How is your dad doing?

He is currently in an assisted living/rehab center but is scheduled to finally come home on Thursday if all goes well! 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

59 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I was thinking the same thing. Although I can't imagine getting rich would cause him to lose his passionate love/hate affair with weather.

He got rich but then donated it all to the Trump campaign. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

I’ll add my 1/15/2020 photos. Good storm out here.

 

 

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

24 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF is definitely on board now.   GFS lead the way.  

Thanks for posting. Looks like a GOD send for the region. 

[Cloud]

Actually not a bad way to kick off the rainy season with an AR. Our first real fall storm of the season could potentially pack quite a punch.

[Skagit Weather]

37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF is definitely on board now.   GFS lead the way.  

Looks like it would probably put an end to wildfire season.

[Meatyorologist]

30 minutes ago, MossMan said:

He is currently in an assisted living/rehab center but is scheduled to finally come home on Thursday if all goes well! 

Great to hear!

[Iceresistance]

Even the Climate Prediction Center is favoring the PNW

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Michael Snyder sounds bullish on a pattern change to wetter weather, too.

 

[MossMan]

It’s coming!! 

[Cold Snap]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

ECMWF is definitely on board now.   GFS lead the way.  

Now we’re talking.

[Meatyorologist]

Very happy we're not repeating last year.

[The Blob]

Weather station said 48 this morning, felt really nice.