September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Meatyorologist]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

It's me.

You look how I imagine @MossMan to look... Some smiling older forest hippie with a huge beard. take it as a compliment lol

[Thermal Trough]

6 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

CFS says December is our time to shine. 

December is going to be our best chance to SCORE this coming winter. I’m personally rooting for a white Christmas. ️  

[Thermal Trough]

6 hours ago, ChristheElohim said:

Dry for December tho 

Dry is good for the cold season. It usually means cold Arctic air which is drier. You don’t want a wet signal which usually signifies milder air like a Pineapple Express pattern.

[TacomaWx]

6 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Dry is good for the cold season. It usually means cold Arctic air which is drier. You don’t want a wet signal which usually signifies milder air like a Pineapple Express pattern.

Or it means ridging and a sh*t inversion pattern. 

[TacomaWx]

72/55 today. Have been enjoying the somewhat cooler September weather. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

53.2/68.4˚F for the day.

Flattering that so many thought I was so much younger than my years. Never did want my thoughts to become ossified and set in my ways.

[Thermal Trough]

12 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Or it means ridging and a sh*t inversion pattern. 

True, aka fake cold.  

[MossMan]

47 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

You look how I imagine @MossMan to look... Some smiling older forest hippie with a huge beard. take it as a compliment lol

I just took a selfie

[Meatyorologist]

6 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I just took a selfie

bare lawns in stanwood too huh?

[Cold Snap]

70/51 for the day today IMBY.

[MossMan]

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

You look how I imagine @MossMan to look... Some smiling older forest hippie with a huge beard. take it as a compliment lol

This is actually me. 

[TT-SEA]

AR action farther south on the 00Z GFS... main event one week from today 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals for British Columbia.

[Thermal Trough]

15 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

AR action farther south on the 00Z GFS... main event one week from today 

5”+ for parts of the WA Coast, impressive for September.

[Meatyorologist]

39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

AR action farther south on the 00Z GFS... main event one week from today 

Wish more of OR got in on the love but you wouldn't see me turning this down. Plus, it picks up on the ULL activity over the northeast part of the state over the next couple days. Very beneficial rain for that area, and it'll even drop some termination dust over the high peaks. Overall a much cooler system incoming tonight compared to what is modeled above a week further into Autumn, which is funny to think about.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Rain is here. 61.3˚F.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

12 hours ago, ShawniganLake said:

Beautiful start to the day here this morning.  Clear blue skies with a mild low of 53F.  My girls slept in this morning as we stayed late at the fall fair last night.  
 

 

Saanich fair?

[TT-SEA]

32 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Wish more of OR got in on the love but you wouldn't see me turning this down. Plus, it picks up on the ULL activity over the northeast part of the state over the next couple days. Very beneficial rain for that area, and it'll even drop some termination dust over the high peaks. Overall a much cooler system incoming tonight compared to what is modeled above a week further into Autumn, which is funny to think about.

We have very warm air masses even in November with AR events.     Warm usually equals wet from mid fall through winter. 

[Meatyorologist]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

We have very warm air masses even in November with AR events.     Warm usually equals wet from mid fall through winter. 

I was just curious about the storms not coming in "order" thermally speaking, especially since Sep/Oct are two months of great change, where just one week can make a difference. Though the gradient of seasonal shift is pretty shallow, even during the heart of Autumn, so in any given year we are liable to recieve pass level snow the first week of September, only to scurry back into the toaster come time to flip the calendar again. But it's fun to think about a Fall where everything is in order.

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Saanich fair?

Cowichan exhibition. 

[Front Ranger]

Euro looks much cooler and wetter past day 7.

[Cloud]

That was an insanely wet GFS run. Euro is a bit damp thru day 10. It also continues its uptick for the next system arriving Tuesday night. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Really gusty tonight. Loving what these models are showing!! I’m going to get the AR I wanted and I think I’ll avoid the frost. Score

[TigerWoodsLibido]

55F and calm. Nice night.

[Cloud]

PSCZ developed over the Seattle area and producing light rain right now. BFI picked up 0.10” so far since 4am. A surprisingly good amount. 

[TT-SEA]

Windy and raining here this morning.

06Z GFS took away the AR event on Sunday/Monday for the Seattle area but brings in another one later around day 12.  

[Rubus Leucodermis]

0.16" overnight. Currently 55.4˚F.

[MossMan]

12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

0.16" overnight. Currently 55.4˚F.

0.000000” here. But some clouds. 

[the_convergence_zone]

2 hours ago, Cloud said:

PSCZ developed over the Seattle area and producing light rain right now. BFI picked up 0.10” so far since 4am. A surprisingly good amount. 

0.24” here. I finally hit the jackpot on one of these! 

[Chewbacca Defense]

.05" overnight and currently 51 which also is the current low

[TacomaWx]

0.06” of rain this morning. First time it’s rained in 2 weeks. 

[TacomaWx]

3 hours ago, Cloud said:

PSCZ developed over the Seattle area and producing light rain right now. BFI picked up 0.10” so far since 4am. A surprisingly good amount. 

Yeah, based on the models I was expecting maybe 0.01” or so this morning. Convergence zone has slipped down here though. Tomorrow should be an even better soaking. 

[MossMan]

21 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah, based on the models I was expecting maybe 0.01” or so this morning. Convergence zone has slipped down here though. Tomorrow should be an even better soaking. 

I’m always missing out on all the fun.

 

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

41 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah, based on the models I was expecting maybe 0.01” or so this morning. Convergence zone has slipped down here though. Tomorrow should be an even better soaking. 

A significant overperformance compared to the models for the central Sound region.

[Randyc321]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

A significant overperformance compared to the models for the central Sound region.

Just .03 here on Bainbridge, but it was a nice surprise.

[TacomaWx]

55 minutes ago, Randyc321 said:

Just .03 here on Bainbridge, but it was a nice surprise.

0.09” here, definitely wasn’t a uniform soaking rainfall for everyone but we just have to get what we can take until the big rains hit. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

More is coming tomorrow.

[TT-SEA]

12Z GFS goes crazy with the AR event Sunday/Monday... brought it back after the 06Z run took it away.    The 12Z GEM shows a band of rain on Saturday and then builds in a ridge with the rain way offshore.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice run.

[SouthHillFrosty]