September 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Meatyorologist]

17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Yes...they said they have to like what the see on the field despite the weather.  

In all seriousness it's about perfect out with a light jacket.

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

In all seriousness it's about perfect out with a light jacket.

I am sure its fine.   I just find it funny how the national media plays up any rain at Huskies and Seahawks games.  You would think we live in a permanent monsoon year round with the way they talk.    

[MillCreekMike]

8 hours ago, MillCreekMike said:

I was asking myself the same question through the first 5 innings of the M’s game last night

And I asked myself the same question tonight

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, MillCreekMike said:

And I asked myself the same question tonight

What a joke.   Just pathetic when the chips are down.  

[Phil]

5 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Did someone say El Niño?

I El Niño.

1 hour ago, Slushy Inch said:

I wonder how - PDO will clash with El Niño 

Probably nothing. -PMM could aid in retracting the ITCZ/HC farther south though.

18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I am sure its fine.   I just find it funny how the national media plays up any rain at Huskies and Seahawks games.  You would think we live in a permanent monsoon year round with the way they talk.    

East coasters aren’t used to stratiform rain during the warmer seasons. That’s a PNW specialty.

Today was the first cloudy/rainy day we’ve had since that fluky nor’easter in June. And it took a dying tropical system to pull it off.

[TT-SEA]

19 minutes ago, Phil said:

I El Niño.

Probably nothing. -PMM could aid in retracting the ITCZ/HC farther south though.

East coasters aren’t used to stratiform rain during the warmer seasons. That’s a PNW specialty.

Today was the first cloudy/rainy day we’ve had since April. And it took a dying tropical system to pull it off.

I saw a mess of stratiform rain during the Penn State game today.   They didn't make a big deal of it.    This was a 15- minute light shower during the Huskies game.  

[Slushy Inch]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

I El Niño.

Probably nothing. -PMM could aid in retracting the ITCZ/HC farther south though.

East coasters aren’t used to stratiform rain during the warmer seasons. That’s a PNW specialty.

Today was the first cloudy/rainy day we’ve had since that fluky nor’easter in June. And it took a dying tropical system to pull it off.

That pool of really anomalous warmth in the northwest pacific is going to effect something 

[BLI snowman]

26 minutes ago, Phil said:

I El Niño.

Probably nothing. -PMM could aid in retracting the ITCZ/HC farther south though.

East coasters aren’t used to stratiform rain during the warmer seasons. That’s a PNW specialty.

Today was the first cloudy/rainy day we’ve had since that fluky nor’easter in June. And it took a dying tropical system to pull it off.

The East gets stratiform rain a lot more often than the PNW from mid June to mid September.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

00Z GFS, total precip through Tuesday evening, operational and ensemble mean.

[Phil]

11 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

The East gets stratiform rain a lot more often than the PNW from mid June to mid September.

We get a lot more rain. But it’s not of the stratiform/isentropic upglide variety. Or low level marine scud.

Since May 1st we’ve had maybe 4 or 5 cloudy/rainy days total. And some of those were borderline, augmented by frontogenesis.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

As above, but for 18Z ECMWF:

[Meatyorologist]

8 minutes ago, Phil said:

We get a lot more rain. But it’s not of the stratiform/isentropic upglide variety. Or low level marine scud.

Let me correct you: it's rarely the stratoform/isentropic variety. But even then, the rate at which the midatlantic gets it is still higher than the PNW does during a typical Summer.

10 minutes ago, Phil said:

Since May 1st we’ve had maybe 4 or 5 cloudy/rainy days total. And some of those were borderline, augmented by frontogenesis.

But that's true for almost anyone in the midlatitudes during boreal summer. The days are so long that it would take an absurdly large system moving especially slow to get stratoform rain to last all day. Not an east coast 'specialty'.

Though the marine level scud comment is factual. Unless we're referring to parts of coastal Maine, during the right setup.

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Let me correct you: it's rarely the stratoform/isentropic variety. But even then, the rate at which the midatlantic gets it is still higher than the PNW does during a typical Summer.

But that's true for almost anyone in the midlatitudes during boreal summer. The days are so long that it would take an absurdly large system moving especially slow to get stratoform rain to last all day. Not an east coast 'specialty'.

Though the marine level scud comment is factual. Unless we're referring to parts of coastal Maine, during the right setup.

Maybe in New England it’s more common. But I’ll wager the number of stratiform rain days here during the summer is on par with (or less than) the number of thunderstorm days in Seattle.

If it’s summer and cloudy, then it’s pouring rain. It often rains while it’s still sunny, but never gets cloudy if it’s not about to rain.

[Meatyorologist]

37 minutes ago, Phil said:

Maybe in New England it’s more common. But I’ll wager the number of stratiform rain days here during the summer is on par with (or less than) the number of thunderstorm days in Seattle.

If it’s summer and cloudy, then it’s pouring rain. It often rains while it’s still sunny, but never gets cloudy if it’s not about to rain.

Definitely, we are drier in terms of cumulative rainfall during the warm season.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

54F. Nice night.

[Tyler Mode]

Finally some fresh snow lower on Rainier.  Probably will be just above Paradise by the time this week is done.

[Tyler Mode]

Even better as the sun rises...beautiful early morning up there...that will change quickly!

[Chewbacca Defense]

11 hours ago, MossMan said:

A NIGHTMARE!! Have done two now on my wife’s Outback. My hand/wrist are sore for about two days afterwards since you have to contort your hand into very unnatural positions. 
 

I did the same, looked at the radar and knew how much dry time I would have. Did some detailing of the green machines today, finished right when the rain started. Not nearly as hard on the hands lol 

I just got a Forester with HIDs, which should in theory should last a long time.  Surprisingly, bulb replacement for that car do not appear to be too terrible compared to other cars I have had.  Mid-90's Nissan Altimas Mk5 VWs are a nightmare.

The nightmare I am not looking forward to for my car is replacing the spark plugs.  I am at 53k miles, they are supposed to be replaced at 60k miles, but I don't think I am going to wait.  Some recommended methods of replacing them include actually lifting the engine up a little bit.  I might call a shop on Monday to see what they quote for the job.

I was planning to get up on the roof yesterday before the rains hit, but while I was at Lowe's getting some stuff, the winds kicked up, so I am having to put it off.

 

We ended up with .67" total for the day yesterday, and a low of 46 this morning.  Fall is definitely here!

[TT-SEA]

Apparently the coastal radar is down.   Always perfectly timed to when it matters.  

[MossMan]

18 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I just got a Forester with HIDs, which should in theory should last a long time.  Surprisingly, bulb replacement for that car do not appear to be too terrible compared to other cars I have had.  Mid-90's Nissan Altimas Mk5 VWs are a nightmare.

The nightmare I am not looking forward to for my car is replacing the spark plugs.  I am at 53k miles, they are supposed to be replaced at 60k miles, but I don't think I am going to wait.  Some recommended methods of replacing them include actually lifting the engine up a little bit.  I might call a shop on Monday to see what they quote for the job.

I was planning to get up on the roof yesterday before the rains hit, but while I was at Lowe's getting some stuff, the winds kicked up, so I am having to put it off.

 

We ended up with .67" total for the day yesterday, and a low of 46 this morning.  Fall is definitely here!

I have heard what you mentioned that the “easiest” way of changing plugs, or water pump, or basically anything is to lift the engine up on some makes. One of the things I miss about my first car…I could basically sit inside the engine bay and easily change all 8 plugs in about 20min. Got a whopping 11 miles per gallon though  

[MossMan]

Instead of smoke we have ground fog! Much better!! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Down to 39.9 last night

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Overnight low of 46.0˚F here.

[TacomaWx]

50 and foggy/misty this morning. Looks like we’ve got a few hours of dry weather before we get more rain again!

[T-Town]

.34 yesterday. 53 now with some fog. 

[LowerGarfield]

14 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

UW game starting off with some VIEWS

As a Cal fan, that game sucked! My son and I did a 4 mile hike on Moscow Mtn yesterday so we were all tired. Caught the first three quarters but went to bed before the 4th. Was hoping for a 2019 magical redux.

[Ken in Wood Village]

It's a coming 🌧

[TT-SEA]

44 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

As a Cal fan, that game sucked! My son and I did a 4 mile hike on Moscow Mtn yesterday so we were all tired. Caught the first three quarters but went to bed before the 4th. Was hoping for a 2019 magical redux.

I don't get Cal fans... their stadium is the most depressing place during games.    Its so lifeless and empty.   The Oakland As of college football.   I was thinking about Cal fans watching the game last night and then realized they don't even show up for home games so nobody is probably watching.   And now they are in the ACC?   That won't help.   

[Ken in Wood Village]

I guess I should have posted the satellite picture too. The low looks very impressive 🌧🌬

[MossMan]

Will probably be the last -PNA until 2025! 
Anyway…Sun breaks currently here. 54 degrees. 

[Slushy Inch]

Like the long range Euro this morning.

[Slushy Inch]

1 hour ago, Slushy Inch said:

Like the long range Euro this morning.

EPS trying to match it. Maybe first mountain snow.

[Ken in Wood Village]

What a beautiful looking low pressure system 🌧🌬

[Cloud]

3 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

What a beautiful looking low pressure system 🌧🌬

She is beaut! Our 1st real fall system of the season. 

[TacomaWx]

Rain has just started here about 15 minutes ago…currently 59. We just might avoid 60 for the first time this season. 

[Cloud]

4 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Rain has just started here about 15 minutes ago…currently 59. We just might avoid 60 for the first time this season. 

I’m going down to Tacoma in a bit to visit the in-laws. Guess I should’ve gone earlier… I didn’t look at the models for today so i assumed it was gonna start later.

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

I’m going down to Tacoma in a bit to visit the in-laws. Guess I should’ve gone earlier… I didn’t look at the models for today so i assumed it was gonna start later.

It ain’t pouring yet but it is damp out there! 

[Ellsworb]

The rain has begun with the first .01" recorded for this system on the east shore of Lake Tapps!  Welcome back Fall, I was ready to meet again.

[Cloud]

Starting to rain. 

[MWG]

Still smokey here but at least some rain drops are falling! 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Guess I’m going to be shadowed for the entire event. Cool. Glad I put grass seed down

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Totally dry so far today, but I stepped outside and see it has clouded over. Was completely sunny earlier.

It’s coming.

And yes, it increasingly looks like it will dry out next week. So it goes. It’s still early fall; warm, dry spells are to be expected. At least everything is going to be getting a good soaking this week. Should end the fire season and begin mushroom season.

[MossMan]

Drops have begun. 

[TacomaWx]

60/50 temp spread today. 0.06” of rain so far as well has been steady for the whole afternoon pretty much. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

60F with some rain. Really nice that fall is here.

[RentonHill]

Kids are digging the big puddles

[SilverFallsAndrew]

0.32” the past 24 hours. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Been raining for about 15 minutes.

[Skagit Weather]

Looks like the highest elevations could really get slammed with moisture over the next couple days. While the lowlands will probably only pick up an inch through Tuesday, the highest resolution models (NAM 3km and WRF 4/3 km) are predicting upwards of 10-15" of rain in the area near Mount Baker and high terrain of the Olympics. This isn't unheard of, but that 10-15x gradient is definitely stronger than you'd normally see during the year. The summits of the volcanoes could pick up more than 100" of snow in the next few days.

[Ken in Wood Village]

The last daylight satellite picture of this amazing looking storm