Jump to content

September 2023 Observations and Discussion


Recommended Posts

One truly unique thing this month is that there are an unusually high number of trees which have broken out in bright yellow splotches. 

Definitely very likely heat stress and surface drought-related from end of summer, but I haven't saw trees change this early in years. Probably 22-23 years. Can't remember which. 

I'm split on whether or not the overall foliage season will be good or bad. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Big line of rain slowly moving across Tx/Okla.  Low 80’s. 

Might get bumpy tonight. 

AC8C80E6-8EAA-4323-B731-21AF499CBBE5.jpeg

  • Storm 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, OKwx2k4 said:

One truly unique thing this month is that there are an unusually high number of trees which have broken out in bright yellow splotches. 

Definitely very likely heat stress and surface drought-related from end of summer, but I haven't saw trees change this early in years. Probably 22-23 years. Can't remember which. 

I'm split on whether or not the overall foliage season will be good or bad. 

Same thing happening here, not looking like a colorful fall this year.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

We received scattered rain overnight.  
69*. High of 85.  
More scattered rain showers on the way. 

  • Like 3

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Next 100 or so hours around my region look like autumn perfection followed by a late reminder of our summer before I believe this pattern finally starts to cave all the way. 

It'll put September basically on the lukewarm side of average if it all plays out. Will have at least a better base of data to look at in the next few days. Glad to see a cold front deliver all the way south of the Red River. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Next 100 or so hours around my region look like autumn perfection followed by a late reminder of our summer before I believe this pattern finally starts to cave all the way. 

It'll put September basically on the lukewarm side of average if it all plays out. Will have at least a better base of data to look at in the next few days. Glad to see a cold front deliver all the way south of the Red River. 

This, in my opinion, is a big clue that nature is showing a signal that a new pattern is forthcoming for the Autumn.  In the past few La Nina seasons, CF's struggled to push all the way down into the Red River valley and the "resilient ridge" kept blossoming.  Times are changing and I'm glad to see my fellow friends down south are enjoying a much needed break from the Heat.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The gloomy, wet and dreary day yesterday was the epitome of an October "ish" stratiform rain.  Classic frontal boundary draped across the MW/Lower Lakes creating an I-80/88 special around here where many locations received close to an inch of rain.  ORD received 0.77" and that's close to what I got also.  This was the perfect kind of soaking we needed as the area was upgraded to Abnormal Dry last week.

 

  • Like 5
  • Rain 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The Northwoods of the Arrowhead of MN are getting a Taste of Autumn as Frost Advisory's are hoisted...I'm sure the leaves will begin to change, if not already.  CPC suggests AN temps in this area for Week 2...Indian Summer weather?

 

1.png

 

 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yesterday was a cool and wet day. The official H/L at Grand Rapids was 65/55. The official rain fall amount of 1.04” was the 6th wettest for any September 11th  There were 5 HDD’s the highest wind speed was 16MPH out of the SW. And there was 0% of sunshine. For today the official H/L is 76/55 the record high of 95 was set in 1952 and the record low of 37 was set in 1964. The record rain fall amount of 1.54” fell in 1896. Last year the H/L was 66/52 and there was a trace of rain fall.

Here is a fun fact the current September mean is 68.9 at both Grand Rapids and Lansing but the departure is +1.9 at Grand Rapids and +2.9 at Lansing. One reason for that is that in the past it was colder at Lansing.

  • Like 2
  • Rain 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 minutes ago, Tom said:

The Northwoods of the Arrowhead of MN are getting a Taste of Autumn as Frost Advisory's are hoisted...I'm sure the leaves will begin to change,

It has yet to get cold here in West Michigan, while not unusual there is a good amount of color on the trees in this area. We shall see if that slows down in the weeks ahead.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, OKwx2k4 said:

I bet that feels like a sigh of relief. Was just saying how glad I was to see that. 

Talk about relieved.  
SO happy to see this change.  

  • Like 1

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Today should be our last above normal day for the rest of the week. Sunny today but with the cold front approaching storms will develop late tonight and toward tomorrow morning. A great stretch of autumnal weather should then last through the upcoming weekend.
Records for today: High 97 (1931) / Low 38 (1917) / Rain 2.37" (1960)
image.png.0114f70620a564d9075f2ddb3221f6cc.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 9/11/2023 at 8:04 AM, westMJim said:

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 76/61 there was no rain fall and the sun was out 73% of the possible time. There was just one HDD and the highest wind was just 14 MPH out of the E. For today the average H/L is 76/55 the record high of 94 was set in 1931 and the record low of 32 was set in 1943. The highest rain fall amount of 3.21” fell in 1986. Last year the H/L was 69/61 and there was 0.31” of rain fall.

Two days of large rain totals in '86. That must have been when that major flooding happened across mid-Michigan. Cass River in Vassar was insanely high and impassible on M-15. Worst I remember seeing in The Mitt. 

  • Like 1

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, Tom said:

The Northwoods of the Arrowhead of MN are getting a Taste of Autumn as Frost Advisory's are hoisted...I'm sure the leaves will begin to change, if not already.  CPC suggests AN temps in this area for Week 2...Indian Summer weather?

 

1.png

 

 

Colors are just starting to pop. High of 52 today....brrrr20230912_110341.thumb.jpg.53f2c5d5d9bf01b33d7cf96a148fee05.jpg20230912_110335.thumb.jpg.49715983f8fe87fe6b22eeac04ef752c.jpg20230912_111657.thumb.jpg.16a4b2c46bd718c8c507c6c593fbd7ca.jpg

  • Like 5
  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

On 9/11/2023 at 8:48 PM, OKwx2k4 said:

One truly unique thing this month is that there are an unusually high number of trees which have broken out in bright yellow splotches. 

Definitely very likely heat stress and surface drought-related from end of summer, but I haven't saw trees change this early in years. Probably 22-23 years. Can't remember which. 

I'm split on whether or not the overall foliage season will be good or bad. 

Yeah I was noticing today quite a few trees dropping leaves that were kind of unhealthy looking. I am assuming heat/drought stress as well. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The trend for rain has gone way down Thursday so probably little to no rain at all. Our best bet for a few showers is Saturday as the front goes by. At least its still pretty reasonable. We will warm up to upper 80s by Monday or so, but overnight lows look cool still. 

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

10 hours ago, jaster220 said:

Two days of large rain totals in '86. That must have been when that major flooding happened across mid-Michigan. Cass River in Vassar was insanely high and impassible on M-15. Worst I remember seeing in The Mitt. 

Yes that was when there was major flooding in lower Michigan

  • Thanks 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 69/52 there were 4 HDD’s and a trace of rain fall. The sun was out 50% of the possible time. The highest wind speed of 23 MPH was out of the NW. For today the average H/L is now down to 75/55 the record high of 95 was set in 1939 and 1952. The record low of 35 was set in 1935. The record rain fall amount of 2.46” fell in 1962. Last year the H/L was 73/52.

The week ahead looks to be rather uneventful with highs mostly in the upper 60’s to mid 70’s and lows in the low to mid 50’s there are several small chances of showers.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Quite the thunder and lightning show last night around 1am here in East Nantmeal. Picked up 0.39" of rain. Should see cooler and much less humid conditions starting today and continuing for much of the next week. Some valley spots across the County could see temps dipping into the 40's by Friday morning. High temps may not escape get much above 70 degrees in higher spots on Thursday and Friday.
Records for today: High 96 (1952) / Low 37 (1953) / Rain 2.33 (1930)
image.png.8acb648f4e97b7ea801b9105a8327de3.png
  • Like 2

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

Some encouraging signs for rain in the plains showing up later on next week.  Both the GFS and Euro showing the pattern turning wetter. 

image.thumb.png.01b8f776c33bcc5ce5bb21e2f041b0a0.png

image.thumb.png.4e764929e85f876b02f202a939535bbd.png

Yeah. Was coming on to note, that while there are still some large HP ridges still advertised in the longer range, both major models now starting to make those very transient and as upstream responses to incoming storms.

Big, broad-scale troughs looking to roll through the eastern 2/3 of CONUS throughout the period. 

I think it is only a matter of time before these cold air masses find a continental polar source as our friends north of the border look to begin seeing their snowy season kick off in earnest. 

Also, there are a lot of flooding risks developing or already in place for some our friends in the NE states. 

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

23 minutes ago, OKwx2k4 said:

Yeah. Was coming on to note, that while there are still some large HP ridges still advertised in the longer range, both major models now starting to make those very transient and as upstream responses to incoming storms.

Big, broad-scale troughs looking to roll through the eastern 2/3 of CONUS throughout the period. 

I think it is only a matter of time before these cold air masses find a continental polar source as our friends north of the border look to begin seeing their snowy season kick off in earnest. 

Also, there are a lot of flooding risks developing or already in place for some our friends in the NE states. 

It's interesting how we are already seeing a tendency of models to show too much riding, and it becomes more troughy as it gets closer. Definitely seeing that with this system which looks much more impressive now than a few days ago. 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The 0z Euro says, "what warm up?"...for parts of the Upper MW/GL's next week, it looks like a transient period of a couple warm days then another trough rolls through.  I think most would welcome this type of pattern to keep things active and more on the wetter side of things.

It was a nice cool morning yet again with temps in the mid/low 50's in the urban areas while outside of the metro temps dipped into the 40's.  Autumn is here!

 

 

 

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

12 minutes ago, Tom said:

The 0z Euro says, "what warm up?"...for parts of the Upper MW/GL's next week, it looks like a transient period of a couple warm days then another trough rolls through.  I think most would welcome this type of pattern to keep things active and more on the wetter side of things.

It was a nice cool morning yet again with temps in the mid/low 50's in the urban areas while outside of the metro temps dipped into the 40's.  Autumn is here!

 

 

 

Nice to see, I think we'll see tje cpc adjust their forecast cooler in the long range.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It didn't get as cold here as further south and east of me but still had patchy frost.  This phenomenon seems to happen every fall during first frost season.  Still, the Rainy River had some cool fog over it this morning.  Of course pictures don't do it justice.  Canada on the left side, MN on the right, the Baudette Bay(river) in the foreground entering into the Rainy.      

image.thumb.jpeg.48292abc8dd5cdd9b78b04ec51ca52fb.jpeg

  • Like 9
Link to comment
Share on other sites

It was a cool morning here in SMI w temps in the 40s. Gorgeous sunny day today w/ readings hovering in the 60s most of the day. Tanite will be rather chilly w lows into the lower to mid 40s. You can actually smell the change of season.

 

Btw: I did capture a couple of trees changing color.

  • Like 3

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct 2023:

Nov 2023:

Dec 2023:

Jan 2024:

Feb 2024:

Mar 2024:

April 2024:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

We’re 69* and overcast. No rain in No Tx currently. 
Tomorrow however, we have 80% chance of rain.  Things have been a little slow to come together but after this summer we’re okay with that.   

Hill Country has been getting a good deal of rain which they desperately needed.  Hopefully, it will fall slowly and there will be no flooding 

  • Like 3
  • Rain 2

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Holding on to near 60F so far w mostly cloudy skies. Clouds rolled on in rather quickly, so not as much sunshine as predicted. Much BN for this time of the year. Definitely jacket weather today.

 

Note: Hurricane Lee looks like will affect Atlantic Canada and parts of NNE and even Cape Cod w some powerful winds and very hvy rain.This being said, dangerous rip currents and very high surf, even beach erosion can be expected from the Carolina's all the way up to Maine coastline. Looks like the trough will help push Lee further out to sea, instead of bringing it further west and affecting some of the big cities on the EC. Further north though, some may not be so lucky.

  • Like 2
  • Shivering 1

Snowfall for Winter 2023 -24 for Metro Detroit Area

Oct 2023:

Nov 2023:

Dec 2023:

Jan 2024:

Feb 2024:

Mar 2024:

April 2024:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Looks it should be a bumper crop around here. Highs in the low 70’s and lows in the 40’s with dews in the 40’s is accelerating the dry down of the corn and soybean crops. I’ve heard some dry land corn is already being harvested. Crops that were irrigated might begin for some next weekend. My relatives will start later next week it appears. 

  • Like 5
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Outside enjoying an awesome campfire. Already down to 49 here on the north side of the TC. My weather station had a daily low of 40 and 67 for a high. What a change this has been from the recent extreme heat! Keep the fall weather coming! Talking with coworkers and neighbors....they are all happy with the cooler weather. 

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Locally, it's the coolest morning of the season as temps have dipped into the upper 40's.  ORD is still in the mid 50's (55F) due to all the concrete and buildings.  Perfect radiational cooling underneath clear skies, calm winds and HP overhead.

 

1.jpeg

 

After this cool week/weekend, I see some upper 70's/low 80's next week showing up which I don't mind at all.  So far, it's been a perfect SEP in my book.

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 65/48, there was no rain fall. The sun was out 46% of the possible time. There were 8 HDD’s There was not much wind with the highest wind speed of just 12MPH out of the N. For today the average H/L is now down to 75/54. The record high of 95 was in 1939 the record low of 31 was way back in 1899. The record rain fall of 2.15” fell in 1993. Last year the H/L was 78/53. The week ahead looks to start off on the cool side with a good warm up by mid week. At he current time it is 44 with clear skies here in MBY.

  • Like 3
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Sept. 11 was the 61st anniversary of Hurricane Carla.  Carla hit Texas and tracked along the Trinity River into Ft Worth northward.  

Carla’s winds would have placed her as the Gulf’s other Cat 5.  


https://www.click2houston.com/weather/2021/09/10/remembering-sixty-years-ago-hurricane-carla/

 

48053B79-7474-4E38-9DE2-6996B904C625.webp

  • Like 4

Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes.

“If I owned Texas and Hell, I would rent out Texas and live in Hell.”  Gen. Sheridan 1866

2018 Rainfall - 62.65" High Temp. - 110.03* Low Temp. - 8.4*

Link to comment
Share on other sites

18 hours ago, Niko said:

Holding on to near 60F so far w mostly cloudy skies. Clouds rolled on in rather quickly, so not as much sunshine as predicted. Much BN for this time of the year. Definitely jacket weather today.

 

Note: Hurricane Lee looks like will affect Atlantic Canada and parts of NNE and even Cape Cod w some powerful winds and very hvy rain.This being said, dangerous rip currents and very high surf, even beach erosion can be expected from the Carolina's all the way up to Maine coastline. Looks like the trough will help push Lee further out to sea, instead of bringing it further west and affecting some of the big cities on the EC. Further north though, some may not be so lucky.

Thankfully it doesn't look as strong as Fiona (2022) or Dorian (2019) which I both experienced here. Looks like a good storm for minimal damage, although the power might still go out here. :)

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Many spots reached the 50's this morning. Normal highs and lows for mid-September range from highs in the mid-70's to lows in the mid-50's. We should see temps over much of the next week average a little below those levels and with no rain in sight. A beautiful stretch of weather in our future!
Records for today: High 92 (1915) / Low 36 (1975) / Rain 3.53" (1966)
image.png.bb05bdf3cb175ae2cb815dbf5d265cf5.png

DISCLAMER: All historical weather data analytics posted by me is specifically for the climate of Chester County PA. The data has been statistically validated (p <0.05) for this county as accurate for the period 1894 to Present. This statistical significance has been proven across multiple NWS observers and site changes across a <9 nautical mile area of Western Chester County. We continually analyze the actual raw non-adjusted NWS certified Coop observed climate data for Chester County.  We ensure there is no post observation adjustments to any of the detailed analytics.  Unlike NOAA, we do not apply post observation adjustments to the historical raw data from the trained NWS observers and spotters.  

Average Chester County PA Snow at elevations over 660 FT ASL (1983-Present) = 35.9" Snow totals by season: 2022/23 (2.7") /2021/22 (20.5")  2020/21 snow  (52.2") /  2019/20 snow (5.8" )/ 2018/19 snow (35.1" )/ 2017/18 snow (58.5") / 2016/17 snow (24.0")/ 2015/16 snow (40.8")/ 2014/15 snow = (55.3") /2013/14 snow (80.0").

Check out the historical Western Chester County PA website at https://www.chescowx.com.  Follow me on twitter at https://twitter.com/ChescoWx and join us on the #1 social media source for all things Chester County weather on the Chester County Weather Page at https://www.facebook.com/groups/chescowx

National Weather Service  SKYWARN® Trained Spotter CHPA-174

Link to comment
Share on other sites

14 hours ago, Tom said:

Locally, it's the coolest morning of the season as temps have dipped into the upper 40's.  ORD is still in the mid 50's (55F) due to all the concrete and buildings.  Perfect radiational cooling underneath clear skies, calm winds and HP overhead.

 

1.jpeg

 

After this cool week/weekend, I see some upper 70's/low 80's next week showing up which I don't mind at all.  So far, it's been a perfect SEP in my book.

It was a see your breath morning even here under the UHI umbrella of Wayne Cnty. Had 45F on the car dash. Surprised Cook/ORD stayed that warm tbh. Lk Michigan shadow?

  • Like 2

Winter 2022-23 Snow Total = 27.5"    Largest Storm: 7.5" (1/25)        Oct: 0.0 Nov: 1.5 Dec: 5.2 Jan: 11.1 Feb: 2.0 Mar: 8.2 Apr: 0.0

Annual avg for mby = 45.0"  (KDTW): 2021-22 = 35.6"  

Avg = 49.7"  (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2"  2019-20 = 48.0"  2018-19 = 56.1"  2017-18 = 68.3"   2016-17 = 52"   2015-16 = 57.4"   2014-15 = 55.3"   2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!)  2012-13 = 47.2"   2011-12 = 43.7"

Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows): Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1989, Jan 1982, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973, Jan 1967, Feb 1965, Jan 1918

Link to comment
Share on other sites

9 hours ago, jaster220 said:

It was a see your breath morning even here under the UHI umbrella of Wayne Cnty. Had 45F on the car dash. Surprised Cook/ORD stayed that warm tbh. Lk Michigan shadow?

It was just the UHI effect around Cook county, esp ORD that is basically concrete which held up temps.  Now, if you go a couple miles away where its more wooded and grassier, temps were 5-10 degrees colder.  MBY is a couple miles away and I was in the upper 40's.

  • Like 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yesterday was a pleasant mid-September day with an official H/L of 71/46. There was no rain fall and the sun was out 82% of the possible time. The highest wind speed was just 10 MPH out of the W. For today the average H/L is now down to 74/53. The record high of 97 was set in 1939 and the record low of 36 was set in 1953. The record rain fall amount of 1.32” fell in 1901. Last year the H/L was 77/54. At the current time it is clear and 46 here in MBY

Today should be sunny before becoming cloudy over the weekend. There is around a 50% chance of showers on Saturday night and into Sunday. Highs will be in the low 70’s today and tomorrow before dropping into the 60’s for Sunday and Monday. It could warm up to near 80 by Wednesday of next week. Lows will range from the mid 40’s to the upper 50’s

Link to comment
Share on other sites

1 minute ago, Clinton said:

It's been long time since I've seen the Euro light up like this.  Hopefully it's signs of a pattern change ahead.

image.thumb.png.1bee4c9d1bf1d66383d99cd941343999.png

I am so glad to see these storms dropping into the Rockies as we are going to see the last leg of the 2022-23 LRC.  The troughs tracking into the intermountain west and Cali next week are part of that old pattern, however, you can start to see how the immense blocking over Canada/NE PAC/AK start to influence the Week 2 pattern.  Signs of the new LRC are showing up in the high lats just as the sun sets over the North Pole around the Autumn Equinox. 

I'm diggin' what the Euro/EPS is showing....Choo-Choo storm parade!  The flip in the NW NAMER/NE PAC region is catching my eye as it appears it will be an influencing factor for the upcoming cold season.

1.gif

 

0z Euro...I'm sure there will be no complaints about this...early snows coming to the west and the central CONUS will be blessed!

5.png

  • Like 3
  • Excited 1
Link to comment
Share on other sites

As I was saying above, it ain't a coincidence that I see the CFSv2 mirroring the precip maps above for OCT.  Coincidence?  I think not my friends...gotta tell ya, I'm starting to get really intrigued about what nature could be delivering for our Sub.

 

1.gif

 

How about that NW NAMER blocking???  The Location of the Aleutian Low "handing off" a trough into the SW is a beautiful signal...kinda mirrors what last nights 0z Euro 500mb maps were showing above, right??

7.gif

  • Like 2
Link to comment
Share on other sites

The JMA weeklies from yesterday are delightful...bountiful precip and temps are rather comfy for most as there aren't really any large scale AN temp regimes for most of the Sub.  The cooler signal for the southern/eastern U.S. is absolutely a strong indication of El Niño and the forthcoming pattern change. 

Week 2...temp & precip...

 

Screen Shot 2023-09-15 at 6.25.57 AM.png

 

Screen Shot 2023-09-15 at 6.28.21 AM.png

 

 

Week 3-4...the New LRC is going to rock!  Hello Block over the Top!

 

91.png

Temp & Precip...

Screen Shot 2023-09-15 at 6.25.44 AM.png

 

Screen Shot 2023-09-15 at 6.25.39 AM.png

 

Screen Shot 2023-09-15 at 6.25.44 AM.png

  • Like 4
Link to comment
Share on other sites

Join the conversation

You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.

Guest
Unfortunately, your content contains terms that we do not allow. Please edit your content to remove the highlighted words below.
Reply to this topic...

×   Pasted as rich text.   Paste as plain text instead

  Only 75 emoji are allowed.

×   Your link has been automatically embedded.   Display as a link instead

×   Your previous content has been restored.   Clear editor

×   You cannot paste images directly. Upload or insert images from URL.

Loading...

×
×
  • Create New...