October 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Thermal Trough]

Gonna be a crazy temperature swing later this week. Around 25 degrees warmer. But it looks like we will return to cooler and wetter weather after this coming weekend based on the latest models.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

27 minutes ago, Phil said:

For me it was *much* worse the second time I got it, which I still don’t understand.

Contracted it right at the beginning in April 2020, when basically the entire NE US seaboard was infected, and it was nothing. Just a dry cough and brief low grade fever, like I was dehydrated.

Then caught it again in April this year. Even with 3 jabs and the prior infection, this time it ******* LEVELED me. Worst sore throat imaginable, awful body pains, and chills so bad my teeth were chattering uncontrollably. No respiratory symptoms, but I never get those when sick anyway.

Don’t know if it was viral load, or if I was just more sensitive to that omicron variant. Whatever the reason, I don’t want to go through that again if I can avoid it.

From the anecdotal conversations I have had the more recent variants are more similar to the flu, as in pretty much everyone who gets them experiences around the same level of shitty symptoms. Not a lot of asymptomatic cases as we saw in the beginning of the pandemic for whatever reason. 

[Phishy Wx]

interesting article, worth the read, imo

 

 

 

[Snownerd3000]

2 hours ago, RentonHill said:

dont pretend like you're too good for them. they may be your only hope this season. 

I'm not too good for them. Give me the 6 foot snow falls in DT Seattle

[Cloud]

30 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

interesting article, worth the read, imo

 

 

 

It’s Judah season once again!
 

[Cascadia_Wx]

18 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Gonna be a crazy temperature swing later this week. Around 25 degrees warmer. But it looks like we will return to cooler and wetter weather after this coming weekend based on the latest models.

Already five degrees too cool for the high today. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Rain is still falling. Up to 0.34". Max so far today: 55.2˚F. Currently 54.0˚F so 55 may be it for the day.

[Cloud]

Appears SEA will likely pull in a sub-60 day today. It's raw out there today holding onto the mid-50s.

[RentonHill]

Real soaking drizzle now

[RentonHill]

18z kinda blows

[Snownerd3000]

1 hour ago, Cloud said:

It’s Judah season once again!
 

[Thermal Trough]

1 hour ago, Cloud said:

It’s Judah season once again!
 

His east coast bias is even stronger than Bastardi!  

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, RentonHill said:

18z kinda blows

12z EPS hinted at an immediate return to ridging after a system limps through in about a week as well. Just the sh*t state of our climate these days.

[MossMan]

Raining! 

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

12z EPS hinted at an immediate return to ridging after a system limps through in about a week as well. Just the sh*t state of our climate these days.

Or just a normal progression of ridges and troughs... wet periods and dry periods... which is typical in the PNW in October.  

But don't let me get in the way of doomsday complaining.  

[TT-SEA]

3 hours ago, Phil said:

For me it was *much* worse the second time I got it, which I still don’t understand.

Contracted it right at the beginning in April 2020, when basically the entire NE US seaboard was infected, and it was nothing. Just a dry cough and brief low grade fever, like I was dehydrated.

Then caught it again in April this year. Even with 3 jabs and the prior infection, this time it ******* LEVELED me. Worst sore throat imaginable, awful body pains, and chills so bad my teeth were chattering uncontrollably. No respiratory symptoms, but I never get those when sick anyway.

Don’t know if it was viral load, or if I was just more sensitive to that omicron variant. Whatever the reason, I don’t want to go through that again if I can avoid it.

It doesn't seem like getting it provides much protection against the next variant that comes along.

[BLI snowman]

7 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Hey J-Dawg, we’re practically neighbors as of yesterday! 

What side of the 5 you be on?

[Meatyorologist]

12z Euro looked snazzy D8-10

[LowerGarfield]

4 hours ago, Phil said:

For me it was *much* worse the second time I got it, which I still don’t understand.

Contracted it right at the beginning in April 2020, when basically the entire NE US seaboard was infected, and it was nothing. Just a dry cough and brief low grade fever, like I was dehydrated.

Then caught it again in April this year. Even with 3 jabs and the prior infection, this time it ******* LEVELED me. Worst sore throat imaginable, awful body pains, and chills so bad my teeth were chattering uncontrollably. No respiratory symptoms, but I never get those when sick anyway.

Don’t know if it was viral load, or if I was just more sensitive to that omicron variant. Whatever the reason, I don’t want to go through that again if I can avoid it.

For non vaxed spouse, she had a moderately strong case of Delta. Not bad enough to be hospitalized but she had a very time sleeping, was very ill for about 4-5 days, and our neighbor had it also. That was from a super spreader event. I had the J&J like 5 weeks before so I was at peak immunity for that other than maybe 6 hours of a very mild cold. Son was fine.

The Dec version of Omicron hit me harder than my spouse (been boosted every year and just recovered from the new one on Fri). All of us were sick for about 1-2 days with myself getting it last (so probably from school). We had Omicron once before but none of us really had symptoms other than the test.

As for the weather, it is 62F inside, 67F and maybe a bit warmer because a cat decided to sleep on my arm as I'm trying to type.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Rain has stopped. Got 0.43". Better than I fared for most of those deluges that soaked points south.

Didn’t find any chanterelles on my weekend forays, but did find a cave. Didn’t go in because there is a ledge at the entrance I was not 100% sure I could get back up. Will have to go back with a rope and a friend some time.

[LowerGarfield]

Hoping the rain here holds off for just a bit longer as my son is at a running club outside. Will be picking him up soon and hoping they don't get drenched. After 630pm it can rain a bunch. But I would like it to stay dry until there. 

[LowerGarfield]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Rain has stopped. Got 0.43". Better than I fared for most of those deluges that soaked points south.

Didn’t find any chanterelles on my weekend forays, but did find a cave. Didn’t go in because there is a ledge at the entrance I was not 100% sure I could get back up. Will have to go back with a rope and a friend some time.

Did you find your namesake plant this time?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, LowerGarfield said:

Did you find your namesake plant this time?

Yes but well past fruiting stage.

[Cold Snap]

Up to 0.24” of rain for the day so far. Currently 56 after a high of 58.

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

What side of the 5 you be on?

We’re pretty much in Fisher’s Landing right now. 

[Thermal Trough]

14 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’re pretty much in Fisher’s Landing right now. 

Close to the Walgreens over there!

[TT-SEA]

33 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

We’re pretty much in Fisher’s Landing right now. 

Why the move?   Did you take a big interest rate hit?

[The Cats Meow]

Still raining here in the Puyallup Valley and 58.

 

Looks like some amazing weather for Oktoberfest at the Puyallup Fairgrounds at the end of the week.

 

[Deweydog]

13 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Why the move?   Did you take a big interest rate hit?

It’s a long story, but the family situation took a lot of interesting turns in the last 12 months or so and the Spokane prospect fell through. Then we had an opportunity come up as we have a personal relationship with a local builder down here and they had a couple lots we really liked. So we went all in, putting the current place on the market which we figured in the current climate would take a few months to offload. Yeah, it took four days to sell and closed today. For now we’re camping in Jesse’s backyard.

[Dave]

16 hours ago, Cloud said:

October related note: Solar eclipse on Oct 14. Annular at Central America. Last great eclipse was Aug 2017. I think most of us remembered that one, especially in OR. 
 

Eugene is in the path but we’ll probably be covered in clouds for this one. 

Annular eclipses are total duds anyway. We had another one that put Eugene almost in "totality" (which isn't really a thing for annular eclipses) about 15 years ago. I viewed it with eclipse glasses and it was not that interesting. Most people walking around didn't even notice the slight decrease in sunlight. It was like a cloud passing by. Total eclipses on the other hand, are absolutely breathtaking and well worth getting inside the totality area.

[Dave]

It has been refreshingly wet for the last several hours. Been raining lightly and continuously for about the last 5 hours. Nice to get a decent soaking before our warm and dry stretch that is coming up. Seems like Indian Summers are far more common these days.

[Phishy Wx]

13 minutes ago, Dave said:

Annular eclipses are total duds anyway. We had another one that put Eugene almost in "totality" (which isn't really a thing for annular eclipses) about 15 years ago. I viewed it with eclipse glasses and it was not that interesting. Most people walking around didn't even notice the slight decrease in sunlight. It was like a cloud passing by. Total eclipses on the other hand, are absolutely breathtaking and well worth getting inside the totality area.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 59/48 day here. Good for my first sub-60 high of the season. Dry through noon or so, then steady rain all afternoon up through about an hour ago. Temps in the mid-50s much of the afternoon hours so quite fall like.

Picked up .45”, a nice soaking. 56 with some drizzle in spots now.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Up to .28" here.  Picked up the last half of that through a steady heavy drizzle.  Topped out at 59.

[MossMan]

.20” now! 

[Phil]

Look what the GFS does with the EPAC hurricane  

[RentonHill]

6 minutes ago, Phil said:

Look what the GFS does with the EPAC hurricane  

GEM does it too, sort of

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

GEM does it too

Oh it’s dynamically plausible. I’ve just never seen it before. Completely ass backwards. 

[Phil]

The pattern already looks like a full-blown El Niño across guidance. Sometimes it takes awhile for the canonical ocean-atmosphere coupling to establish, but apparently not this year.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Dave said:

It has been refreshingly wet for the last several hours. Been raining lightly and continuously for about the last 5 hours. Nice to get a decent soaking before our warm and dry stretch that is coming up. Seems like Indian Summers are far more common these days.

Per the Euro, the "Indian Summer" will be pretty brief.