October 2023 Weather in the PNW

[Deweydog]

13 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I once drove to Hawaii and back in the same day with one arm tied behind my back.

We’re about to get WET funny guy!

 

[Ken in Wood Village]

Check out the Portland radar. This is what it looks like outside my place. 🌧

[ShawniganLake]

8 hours ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Now that it’s light out, @ShawniganLake owes us some photos before the melting starts.

It had melted a fair bit by sunrise.  We ended up with 4”.  Lots of tree damage on the deciduous trees.  Power, internet, cable, and cell phones have been down most of the day here.  Seems like things are coming back online now.   
 

 

[FroYoBro]

I’m in the eye wall of the storm! 

[Anti Marine Layer]

41 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I once drove to Hawaii and back in the same day with one arm tied behind my back.

What bridge did you use? 

[ShawniganLake]

Crystal clear here now.  Should be a solid freeze tonight.  Ended up shovelling the driveway cause it wasn’t going to Melt out before it likely freezes tonight.  We had over 3” of liquid fall yesterday and there is still some snow melting out of the gauge.  Would have likely been a monster snow storm later in winter.  Possibly 20-30”+

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Clear and 44.6˚F. For the first time this season, the sky has that wintertime dusk look top it.

Freeze tonight? Forecast says no, but it will be close.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

30 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

It had melted a fair bit by sunrise.  We ended up with 4”.  Lots of tree damage on the deciduous trees.  Power, internet, cable, and cell phones have been down most of the day here.  Seems like things are coming back online now.   
 

 

Overnight melting like that is a classic sign of a snow event caused by heavy precip dragging the freezing level down.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Heavy rain and some rumbles of thunder. Temp dropped to 42 with this line of showers, which is the new low for the day. Even saw a few positive splats on the windshield pulling in. Picked up a quick 1/3” and it’s still coming down.

48/42 spread here so far. First sub-50 high since 4/20.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Already down to 34

[MossMan]

48/37 on the day. Currently 38. 

[MossMan]

This winter is going to be epic from Everett north! Also the Kitsap peninsula along with a line from Cle Elum to Spokane and north! 

[Meatyorologist]

4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It blows my mind how many of the Washington posters on here have never been to Oregon, or hardly even go to Oregon. Washington is great, don't get me wrong, I was there last Tuesday, but y'all should really get out more. 

As someone who's been there like eight times in the last 3 years, hard agree.

[MossMan]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

As someone who's been there like eight times in the last 3 years, hard agree.

I was in Oregon a year ago! Before that it had only been about 36 years since I was there. 

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Overnight melting like that is a classic sign of a snow event caused by heavy precip dragging the freezing level down.

It was 33F and snowing at 1am.  37 and cloudy and breezy at sunrise. So yes I agree. 

[Deweydog]

Just now, MossMan said:

I was in Oregon a year ago! Before that it had only been about 36 years since I was there. 

I was there about four hours ago. TAX FREE HOME DEPOT SHOPPING!

[Cold Snap]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Sub-50 high at SLE!

Sub-50 high IMBY as well!

[MossMan]

36! 

[Front Ranger]

Temp dropped from 63 to 36 in one hour this afternoon in Casper. First Arctic front of the season!

Cool thing about air masses with cold season wavelengths, they often impact the entire West from the coast to the Rockies.

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

31. First freeze of the season. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Lots of sun up this way today. Max of 54.6˚F this afternoon. Now 39.9˚F.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

5 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It blows my mind how many of the Washington posters on here have never been to Oregon, or hardly even go to Oregon. Washington is great, don't get me wrong, I was there last Tuesday, but y'all should really get out more. 

Always blew my mind in Seattle when I ran into people who had never been to Portland or Vancouver (this was pre-9/11, when you didn’t need a passport to visit Canada). Within my first year in the Pacific Northwest, I had visited all three of Portland, Seattle, and Vancouver.

[Meatyorologist]

44F here, but 39F just down the road at the very bottom of the valley. First 30s of the season in Seattle!

[Deweydog]

The spigot has turned off!

[Gradient Keeper]

36 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

31. First freeze of the season. 

I'm curious. What's your record low there?

00z GFS in 1 minute

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said:

I'm curious. What's your record low there?

00z GFS in 1 minute

For me since I moved in 2017? 3 degrees in 2021. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

High was only 44.4 today

[Chewbacca Defense]

5 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It blows my mind how many of the Washington posters on here have never been to Oregon, or hardly even go to Oregon. Washington is great, don't get me wrong, I was there last Tuesday, but y'all should really get out more. 

I'd think about it now that I can pump my own gas there.

Seriously though, I did my time in Oregon, lived there from '94 to '02.  I made some good friends while I lived there, but really don't have much desire to go back except for maybe the Oregon Coast. 

[The Blob]

Had some good downpours today. Good thing we got new wipers on the car.

[Front Ranger]

5 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It blows my mind how many of the Washington posters on here have never been to Oregon, or hardly even go to Oregon. Washington is great, don't get me wrong, I was there last Tuesday, but y'all should really get out more. 

Now that they will no longer be forced to watch someone else pump their gas, this should change.

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I'd think about it now that I can pump my own gas there.

Seriously though, I did my time in Oregon, lived there from '94 to '02.  I made some good friends while I lived there, but really don't have much desire to go back except for maybe the Oregon Coast. 

 

Just now, Front Ranger said:

Now that they will no longer be forced to watch someone else pump their gas, this should change.

Whoa.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Looks like we got to 56F. Pretty chilly fall day.

[Phishy Wx]

you worrying about gas pumping folks would really hate New Jersey 

[Chewbacca Defense]

Just saw this on Hurricane Otis....

 

A collective "OOPS! My BAD!" from all of the weather models.

 

[Ken in Wood Village]

There is a cell just sitting a little to my East. It seems to be growing but not really moving. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Sorry, I had to step out. Back now.

00z GFS Day 1

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 2

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 3

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 4

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 5

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 6

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 7

(4-run trend)

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 8

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 9'er

Let's see what Tommy Boy has to say.
Exactly as I suspected....

[MossMan]

3 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Just saw this on Hurricane Otis....

 

A collective "OOPS! My BAD!" from all of the weather models.

 

That is insane! Why can’t we ever get an epic regional monster arctic blast with 2’ of snow for everyone when the forecast called for a slushy mix for anyone below 1,000ft? 
The only time I remember anything even remotely happening like that was in December 1996. 

[Gradient Keeper]

Day 10

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day GIFs: 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temperatures, 1000-500mb Thickness/Precip

[Gradient Keeper]

00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[The Blob]

32 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

There is a cell just sitting a little to my East. It seems to be growing but not really moving. 

I was just outside in that, great steady rain falling. Perfect weather to check trailers in.

[Phil]

26 minutes ago, MossMan said:

That is insane! Why can’t we ever get an epic regional monster arctic blast with 2’ of snow for everyone when the forecast called for a slushy mix for anyone below 1,000ft? 
The only time I remember anything even remotely happening like that was in December 1996. 

Last time something like that happened here was back in 2000 or 2001. Forecast was for 1-2” of slop followed by sunshine and melting, and we ended up with over a foot with blowing and drifting into the night.

School buses picked us up that morning as snow started falling. By 11AM there was 6” on the ground and they closed the school. Bus ride back was nerve wracking but fun. By the time we got home, 9” had fallen, and the wind had started to roar, kicking up clouds of snow from the ground and roofs. Ahh, the nostalgia.

One downside of todays model precision is surprises like that are much less frequent. But so are surprise busts, so I guess it evens out.