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October 2023 Weather in the PNW


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Down to 30F. Freeze #3.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 41F (Nov 21, 2023)
  • Coldest low: 22F (Nov 25, 2023)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 13 (Most recent: Nov 29, 2023)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 30, 2023)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F) *1 sub-freezing high since Jan 14, 2017 (fewest on record during 6 year span)*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Dec 22, 2022 (31F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 1

 

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Looks like SLE has hit 30 this morning, 28 at EUG and HIO, 25 at Corvallis. 

Further east Burns has been as low as 5 this morning (Record is 1 from 2019), Seneca 3, and Foster Flat checks in at -1. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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The system later this week is looking extremely wet, especially in W. Washington. 

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_16.png

The system next weekend is focused a bit further south with 24 hour totals of 1-1.5" in the valleys of W. Oregon and 1-3" in the elevated terrain. 
 

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_28.png

Overall pretty typical November weather, and fairly mild. 

gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The system later this week is looking extremely wet, especially in W. Washington. 

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_16.png

The system next weekend is focused a bit further south with 24 hour totals of 1-1.5" in the valleys of W. Oregon and 1-3" in the elevated terrain. 
 

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_28.png

Overall pretty typical November weather, and fairly mild. 

gfs_apcpn_nwus_64.png

The firehose gets flipped on and stays on! 

IMG_1301.png

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Will be interesting to see if the GFS starts trending towards the EURO... 

May be an image of map and text that says 'Total QPF F240 Valid: 2023- 2023-11-08 ” Medium-rang Weather Forecasts ECMWF). service based products ofthe CMWF. 1.3 Init: Sun 2023- 0-29 00z ECMWF Hi-Res 0.2 www. 0.01 0.05 0.1 com 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 0.9 1.2 1.4 1.6 .8 2 2.5 piv#talv 3.5 athêr'

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 hour ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The firehose gets flipped on and stays on! 

IMG_1301.png

We'll have to wait and see.  Many of these systems have been shown too wet in the models at this time frame.  That having been said this type of pattern is often followed by a good soaking.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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10 minutes ago, The Blob said:

Took this bad photo when driving over the Glen Jackson Bridge after dropping off a coworker this morning.

20231029_053818.jpg

Bad photo is right, but it is kind of interesting.

Serious kudos for getting up early to drop off a co-worker on a Sunday.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

The system later this week is looking extremely wet, especially in W. Washington. 

gfs_apcpn24_nwus_16.png

The system next weekend is focused a bit further south with 24 hour totals of 1-1.5" in the valleys of W. Oregon and 1-3" in the elevated terrain.

 

Shades of 2003?

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A forum for the end of the world.

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3 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Freeze number 3 this morning. Low of 27.7

I did 26 which is the same as yesterday.  A couple of tenths lower than yesterday though.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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I hope the color can really come on the trees the next few days before the rain comes.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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24 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Shades of 2003?

It has been an analog for a while now on the CPC site.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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Where are Tim and Jesse BTW.  Have yet to see them since I came back.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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Looks like SEA may have pulled off 32 this morning.  We'll have to wait and see it it's official.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Low of 40 so no freeze from this overall unfortunately. I'm hoping we see some nice storms in the next few weeks, that'll be fun

That’s wild. Usually your spot does pretty well. We got down to 30 this morning which was nice considering the warming airmass aloft. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Low of 40 so no freeze from this overall unfortunately. I'm hoping we see some nice storms in the next few weeks, that'll be fun

I'm very surprised you didn't get a freeze there.  It still could tonight.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 23

Lows 32 or below = 20

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 1

 

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On 10/28/2023 at 8:14 AM, Rubus Leucodermis said:

PDX colder than HIO in the early morning… one does not see that very often.

This is more like it. HIO got down to the 20s this morning. Still at freezing at 9am. 🥶

Crazy temperature spread this morning due to the east winds near the Gorge. It’s 44 in Camas and Troutdale but only 24 in Vernonia. 20 degree difference.

IMG_2203.jpeg.0f40ad3988598d48f93aa13b07878075.jpeg

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Interesting how the GEM wants to focus the heaviest precip much further south towards SW Oregon and N California. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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38 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Low of 40 so no freeze from this overall unfortunately. I'm hoping we see some nice storms in the next few weeks, that'll be fun

I'm waiting to see what the 12Z Euro looks like because something interesting could be happening next weekend. It's still to far out to say it will happen but there could be a chance of a windstorm. The Euro has been hinting at it but the GFS is showing an open low with not a lot of wind. Let's see if the Euro stick to its guns. 

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Burns, OR ended up hitting 3 on the 5 min obs. ChillY! Also noticed SLE's departure on the month is down to +1.6 through yesterday. Not bad. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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21 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Shawnigan Lake has recorded 4 consecutive days with snow cover.  I believe that’s a record for October. 1991 only managed 2 days. 

Pretty incredible. Just a run of the mill October cool stretch for most of us. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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27 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Shawnigan Lake has recorded 4 consecutive days with snow cover.  I believe that’s a record for October. 1991 only managed 2 days. 

Zero here so far. Just like 1991.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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54 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Shawnigan Lake has recorded 4 consecutive days with snow cover.  I believe that’s a record for October. 1991 only managed 2 days. 

Globular worming.

2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Where are Tim and Jesse BTW.  Have yet to see them since I came back.

Tims out here with me enjoying the 80 degree weather. Jesse is fighting a forest fire somewhere.

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2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

First snowfall of the year! About 8" in the hood.

20231029_091415.jpg

20231029_084941.jpg

Colorado knows how to start em big. Nearly all my first snows are pretty much teasers in the places I've lived.

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Ashland, KY Weather

'23-'24 Winter

Snowfall - __.__"
First freeze: 11/1 (32)
Minimum: 12 degrees on 11/29

Measurable snows: TBA

Thunders: 40
1/3, 1/12, 3/1, 3/24, 3/31, 4/1, 4/5, 4/14, 4/21, 4/22
4/28, 4/30, 5/7, 5/9, 5/13, 5/16, 5/30, 5/31, 6/3, 6/19
6/26, 7/2, 7/5, 7/6, 7/9, 7/13, 7/15, 7/17, 7/18, 7/21
7/24, 7/27, 7/28, 8/6, 8/7, 8/13, 8/14, 8/25, 9/6, 9/28,

-------------------------------------------------------
[Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021]
https://imgur.com/SuGTijl

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Low temp: 40.8 as gusty east wind held the temp up east of I-205. Currently 50.5 with continued gusty east wind. The models have turned very wet as I thought we would see. The real question is if we see a wind storm as well.

18z NAM in 3 minutes
00z ECMWF in 10 hours 13 minutes

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