May 2014 Observations and Discussion

[WildWisconsinWeather]

Nice...

 

Would have been nice if that had showed up about a month ago.  Now we're getting toward the time of year when it is nice if we get into a below normal to average temp pattern.

[Geos]

Above 60° already after a low of 46°. Some trees have full sized leaves on them now.

[Tom]

Saw this post by JB...the Brazilian meteograms, which did really well last year indicating trends, rather than forecasts, is sniffing out an earlier accumulating snowfall next Fall in mid November!  JMA model is also showing a fast start next year.  JMA model will come out with its May update in a few days.  It's interesting to see these trends in the models.

[Steblow]

perfect day...  Eventially Made it to 71 late this afternoon with a DP in low 30's..  wont be no picnic swimming in bodies of water in WI this Memorial Day weekend but that can be the case most of the time..  Early look is it will be a topshelf holiday weekend for the FIBS to invade WI next weekend. 

 

Spring pretty much going as we all expected in WI... s**t.... At least its almost over and we move on to the next most boring wx season in our Journey to the King of WX and the late fall and winter season.

[Steblow]

Better torch soon or we'll have an extra special cooler by the lake season 

 

http://coastwatch.glerl.noaa.gov/statistic/gif/avgtemps-m.gif

[james1976]

Saw this post by JB...the Brazilian meteograms, which did really well last year indicating trends, rather than forecasts, is sniffing out an earlier accumulating snowfall next Fall in mid November!  JMA model is also showing a fast start next year.  JMA model will come out with its May update in a few days.  It's interesting to see these trends in the models.

idk if i would call mid-November "early" but yes, JMA did very well last year. fun to watch these models and trends.

[East Dubzz]

For you Blackhawk fans...

 

[tim the weatherman]

this is our current that canada is 60 to 70%snow free so that means warmer air had gotten to it.http://www.natice.noaa.gov/pub/ims/ims_gif/ARCHIVE/USA/2014/ims2014138_usa.gif

[Geos]

 

this is our current that canada is 60 to 70%snow free so that means warmer air had gotten to it.

 

 

Amazing to see a little ice on Lake Superior, 12 days from June 1st!

 

Perfect day yesterday and so far today. High 71° on Sunday. 

[tim the weatherman]

nicehttp://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/610day/610temp.new.gif

http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/814day/814temp.new.gif

[tim the weatherman]

was looking at my forecast that i got strong to severe thunderstorms today for northren illinois.

[james1976]

already up to 79!

[Geos]

Getting nice and summer like outside today. 78°/62° currently in Racine.

[East Dubzz]

Up to 84 here, wow, not used to this at all.

[East Dubzz]

Severe thunderstorm watch, hope this one actually pans out.

[Geos]

Cumulus field firing off now. 

 

[tim the weatherman]

Cumulus field firing off now. 

 

http://www.ssec.wisc.edu/data/wisc/images/wisgif32.jpg

JUST IN A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH IS ISSUED BY THE SPC FOR NORTHREN IL SOUTHREN WI EASTREN IA TO FAR NW IN UNTIL 11:00PM MAIN THREATS INCLUDE LARGE HAIL SIZE OF GOLF BALLS DAMANGING WINDS EXCESS OF 60+ AND A LOW CHANCE OF TORNADOES.

[BrianJK]

Looks like these might train.  Will be some significant flooding if that ocurrs.

[Geos]

Looks like they're going to form and head towards Kenosha in a bit.

[East Dubzz]

Several just missing to the south of me... Urg!

[Steblow]

free ac this evening in the 50's outside...  hopefully kills any storm chances here in city.  don't need another rainout SB game.

[Geos]

Had 0.31" of rain in about 20 minutes here. These storms are good at producing high rates.

 

High 85° today. 71/66 currently.

[Tom]

The storm near DeKalb has a warning that has potential to produce tennis ball size hail!  Crazy

[james1976]

Several just missing to the south of me... Urg!

i feel ya...same thing over here!

[tim the weatherman]

got warnings north of me.

[Geos]

I hate to say it, but it would be nice to get a little AC from the lake! lol.

It's so humid and warm in the house right now!

[Hawkeye]

Got a real nice 1.33" of rain from last night's storm.  There was not even any pea size hail left by the time it finally got here, but it was a nice storm.

[Geos]

0.90" of rain here from last night's storms. Drove through a pocket of dense fog that seemed to come out of no where in Kenosha County this morning. Only area like that. Kind of weird that it is not foggy by the lake here in Racine.

[Tom]

Interesting read from LOT indicating that some of the coldest water temps have been recorded in the southern shores of Lake Michigan Thursday morning.  A report of 36 degree water temp is down right cold!

[gosaints]

Interesting read from LOT indicating that some of the coldest water temps have been recorded in the southern shores of Lake Michigan Thursday morning. A report of 36 degree water temp is down right cold!

Beautiful weather in the upper Midwest for the forseabble future must be hurting you.

[tim the weatherman]

found out last night that by june 1st temps are going up in the 90s and higher because a hot air dome is going to develop over southren plains and expanding to the midwest and the south (by the medium range according by the chicago weather center blog).

[WildWisconsinWeather]

found out last night that by june 1st temps are going up in the 90s and higher because a hot air dome is going to develop over southren plains and expanding to the midwest and the south (by the medium range according by the chicago weather center blog).

 

It's not quite that simple, there may be a few days of 90s in early June (especially in or south of Chicago), but I think much of the Great Lakes will be on the periphery of that ridge for awhile, meaning convection chances will put temps in question.

[FiNsTa]

Beautiful weather in the upper Midwest for the forseabble future must be hurting you.

I wouldn't necessarily say it's hurting us. However, I live about 10 miles west of the lake out here in Long Grove, so the lake isn't having as big of an impact where i'm out as say Geos's location.

[tim the weatherman]

Interesting read from LOT indicating that some of the coldest water temps have been recorded in the southern shores of Lake Michigan Thursday morning.  A report of 36 degree water temp is down right cold!

i agree tom that lot is right about this that after our harsh winter that left our great lakes frozen this past winter that we still have some ice on lake superior.

[Geos]

I wouldn't necessarily say it's hurting us. However, I live about 10 miles west of the lake out here in Long Grove, so the lake isn't having as big of an impact where i'm out as say Geos's location.

 

Been in the mid to upper 60s here for the last three days. 

 

Perfect temperatures for the next 7 days forecasted, imo.

[Tom]

Though this was a neat picture representing how brutal of a winter the U.P of Michigan has had.  People enjoying the beach near Marquette, MI with ice flows near the beachfront!  I don't think I have ever seen an image like this in my lifetime.

[Geos]

Saw this one on AMWX! Epic. 

 

 

Warm and humid today. Already near 80°.

[tim the weatherman]

Though this was a neat picture representing how brutal of a winter the U.P of Michigan has had.  People enjoying the beach near Marquette, MI with ice flows near the beachfront!  I don't think I have ever seen an image like this in my lifetime.

thanks for sharing that would be cold to get into that lake knowing the lake waters in the 20 to 30s.

[Geos]

thanks for sharing that would be cold to get into that lake knowing the lake waters in the 20 to 30s.

 

20° would be supercooled water! 30s yes.

 

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Sure is humid today with dewpoints approaching 70°.

[james1976]

line of storms slowly approaching me. i can see the clouds building. i love watching a storm come in.