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6 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

might want to post a link in the other thread or lock it?

It's there! About to do that in a sec

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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Crazy we aren’t even into the second week of the month yet and we already need a part 2. Might end up needing to make a part 3.

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2024 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 35

Number of 85+ days - 25

Number of 90+ days - 3

Number of 95+ days - 2 (Warmest so far - 96)

Number of 60+ lows - 6

 

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18z EPS looks good.  Colder than the 12z.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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2 minutes ago, Doinko said:

How's the control at hr 144?

132 is a little prettier.

1705039200-K4XPLnWmGqo.png

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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1 minute ago, RentonHill said:

Better!!

IMG_6756.png

IMG_6757.png

That is pretty real cold right there.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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3 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

My mom just called me to find out if it's going to snow. Apparently, she thinks I have special knowledge from my internet sources. Told her I'd get back to her on Tuesday after we know what that low pressure system does. 

You didn't even give a good guess?

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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The mean is 2F colder for surface temps vs the 12z.  23 in SEA mid morning Friday.

  • Like 5

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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6 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

My mom just called me to find out if it's going to snow. Apparently, she thinks I have special knowledge from my internet sources. Told her I'd get back to her on Tuesday after we know what that low pressure system does. 

I’ve told my friends its happening. Also told them that if they had heard reports of historic cold coming to ignore those.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

This is a friendly reminder to SAVE and UPLOAD your images and videos to your posts!

Do NOT copy and paste image URLs! They WILL expire and we WILL lose all of our awesome pepto maps! Fred has few screenshots to commemorate February 2019; since tragically, all the Pivotal links to five year old GFS runs are toast, along with the images they came with.

THIS. There is so much value in going back and looking at past events. I would really like to have meaningful data in 10 years where we can compile what all the various models were doing in the leadup to every big event.

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Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

I’ve told my friends its happening. Also told them that if they had heard reports of historic cold coming to ignore those.

Not sure why you're so sure it won't get that cold.

  • Facepalm 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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Just now, snow_wizard said:

Not sure why you're so sure it won't get that cold.

Same reason I think a given lottery ticket won’t be a winner, or that a meteor is not going to hit my house in 2024.

Sorry, Jim, there won’t be a 1950 redux. If you believe otherwise, let’s have a friendly wager.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

You didn't even give a good guess?

I told her that there's still some uncertainty about how cold it's going to get and whether there will be snow or not and that we'd have a better idea on Tuesday. 

 

I also told her that it's between cold but less snow or not as cold and more snow. And that there is still some chance of it not getting cold or snow, but that seems less likely. (My mom hates driving in the snow, so if I say it's going to, she'll start freaking out.)

 

My dad only wants to know if it's going to be cold AND windy in case he needs to go in the crawl space and block off the vents. He doesn't care if it snows, but is going to have a medical procedure on Thursday and can't drive hence my mom starting to freak out.

 

They're retired, so they can hit the grocery store while the masses are at work on Wednesday if needed.

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EPS control run is faster... quite a bit of a SE shift at 144 hours compared to 12Z run at 150 hours.

And plenty of arctic front snow for Randy!  

ecmwf-ensemble-c00-or_wa-total_snow_10to1-5082400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Same reason I think a given lottery ticket won’t be a winner, or that a meteor is not going to hit my house in 2024.

Sorry, Jim, there won’t be a 1950 redux. If you believe otherwise, let’s have a friendly wager.

Record lows at SEA will be pretty difficult to touch with this cold spell. The records in the period of question 1/11-1/15 roughly are in the low teens. From 1963 and 1950. 

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17 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

This is a friendly reminder to SAVE and UPLOAD your images and videos to your posts!

Do NOT copy and paste image URLs! They WILL expire and we WILL lose all of our awesome pepto maps! Fred has few screenshots to commemorate February 2019; since tragically, all the Pivotal links to five year old GFS runs are toast, along with the images they came with.

Too. Bad copy paste is easier 

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animated.gif

Going from one convergence zone to another. From the Olympics, to Vancouver Island!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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