February 2014 Observations and Discussion

[clintbeed1993]

There is a slight chance that the plains may see some snow during the month of February.  Anybody see this happening?

 

P.S. this is a thread to post frustrations about lack of snowfall.

[Jaycee]

Haha, I guess it's not too early to start this since the long range models (excluding the all so accurate CFS) are showing the dryness continuing. Honestly, I think we'd all take 33 and rain at this point, I just really don't want to dip into the drought again :/ hopefully February is more active, which I'm certain it will be.

[OmahaBubble]

Haha, I guess it's not too early to start this since the long range models (excluding the all so accurate CFS) are showing the dryness continuing. Honestly, I think we'd all take 33 and rain at this point, I just really don't want to dip into the drought again :/ hopefully February is more active, which I'm certain it will be.

 

I don't think February can get any worse than what is it like right now, just saying. 

[clintbeed1993]

I guess there is some hope for the plains.

[OmahaBubble]

I guess there is some hope for the plains.

 

Great… now the storms will go to our South lol

[clintbeed1993]

Great… now the storms will go to our South lol

 

 

 

 

We are the black hole of weather so it wouldn't surprise me.  I bet Kansas gets the next storm.  The Omaha bubble is in full effect on the latest GFS.

[NEJeremy]

Gfs gives us a whopping .25" of qpf the next 16 days. No signs of any change in pattern. But hey we could increase our yearly snowfall by 50% if that falls!

[OmahaBubble]

Things may be changing.  EURO and GFS nails us with snow next month!! Could get interesting… lets hope!

[jcwxguy]

latest gfs paints 6-10 inches from i-80 north between jan. 31st and feb. 1st

[WeatherFanOMA]

Very happy to see some potential systems in the mix for our area.  The storm at hour 300 looks decent.  Plus it looks like there coupld be another right behind it.

[clintbeed1993]

February may be our month after all.  If we could get a good 20 inches, that would put us around average.

[OmahaBubble]

February may be our month after all.  If we could get a good 20 inches, that would put us around average.

 

Lets start with 1 good storm first….. Looking better for a storm next weekend!!

[jcwxguy]

yeah. least both the euro and gfs have it. havent checked the ggem though 

[DominicR]

00z NAM has snow beginning to break out at 84hr in northern Neberaska.

[jcwxguy]

http://i.stack.imgur.com/jiFfM.jpg

 

least its not hour 384 gfs 

[winterfreak]

Been months since we've had any decent precip in Kansas City. Been mussed to the north, south, and east. Hoping this pattern gives soon.

[Sludge]

Do we start sacrificing chickens or something so that at least ONE of these storms bring us snow?

[NEJeremy]

And not surprisingly the monster storm around the 5th is missing Omaha and hitting guess who??? Chicago. But hey at least we might get a couple inches on Friday. Neat....

[clintbeed1993]

And not surprisingly the monster storm around the 5th is missing Omaha and hitting guess who??? Chicago. But hey at least we might get a couple inches on Friday. Neat....

 

12Z GFS gives everybody 12+ inches from that system.  Not sure I would call that missing us.

[NEJeremy]

12Z GFS gives everybody 12+ inches from that system.  Not sure I would call that missing us.

I made the comment before 12Z GFS came out and the GFS changed its look

[clintbeed1993]

I made the comment before 12Z GFS came out and the GFS changed its look

 

Well it could definitely still miss us.  I wouldn't be surprised the way things have gone this season.

[LincWeath]

Yes and I have a feeling it will most likely changed many more times before its set in stone. Still a week away.

[Jaycee]

GGEM showing a powerhouse Colorado Low at 192 hr that punishes the Central Plains. First major winter storm of the season could be on our hands. Hopefully a trend setter!

 

http://meteocentre.com/models/gemglb_amer_00/P6_GZ_D5_PN_192_0000.gif

[jcwxguy]

looks like a nice hit from the euro)00z).  and gfs (12z)..wow over the next 144hrs 

[clintbeed1993]

Things are looking up fellas!!!

[winterfreak]

Hope we can get in on some of this. Been missed in all direction so far this season. At least it's getting active around here.

[OmahaBubble]

Three possible snow systems in seven days! Things looking up!!

[Jaycee]

00z GFS 192 hr         

 

http://www.instantweathermaps.com/GFS-php/showmap-conussfc.php?run=2014013100&time=PER&var=ASNOWI&hour=216

[winterfreak]

Things looking up for some. Still a ways out but much better than the jack squat pattern we've been stuck in.

[Andie]

North Texas forecast with ice pellets Sunday night. Low of 27.

It was over 70 yesterday.

[gabel23]

That is crazy andie, that sounds like our area in the spring. Last year I had a severe thunderstorm warning and it was 35 degrees with ice pellets falling, not hail. Next weekends storm looks like the creme dela creme of storms, monster negative tilted low with ample moisture to work with. Interesting times ahead; just hope we get into this action from one of these storms!!

[winterfreak]

Yeah hopefully the Friday system dumps it on everyone.

[Andie]

A friend just emailed me with 6" of snow on the ground and still snowing. She's in Oklahoma SW of OKC.

We have heavy dark skies. No precip yet but it's hanging out there just a bit west of DFW.

It'll be here in time for the Super Bowl game so we may loose reception. Ain't it just the luck ?

[educatorjen]

So, is there anything brewing out there?

[Andie]

15* and light snow.

We won't get above freezing till Saturday.

[FarmerRick]

So, is there anything brewing out there?

 

Hey Jen!  Looks like the snow on Saturday will be mostly north of the Omadome, and the Monday system looks like it's going south.  

 

[Jack Frost]

Looks to stay boring for the next couple of weeks! Bring on spring if we cant get any good storms!

[clintbeed1993]

I think we need to be watching the last 2 weeks of February in the plains.  We seem to do well during that time frame, especially in recent winters.  Our big storm last year hit around February 22nd.  We should be watching for that Colorado Low that has eluded us all season.  It is long overdue.  Wouldn't surprise me to see the weather pattern turn quiet through the middle of the month and then ramp back up towards the end.  We will need that big storm to even have a shot at hitting normal this season.

[CentralNebWeather]

Up to freezing here in Central Nebraska.  Our nice snow cover will be gone by this weekend with highs in the 50's and pushing 60 early next week.  The drifts and piles will be shrinking as well.  Hoping for a large storm at the end of the month to rival our storm from Feb. 21-22, 2013.

[gabel23]

Up to freezing here in Central Nebraska.  Our nice snow cover will be gone by this weekend with highs in the 50's and pushing 60 early next week.  The drifts and piles will be shrinking as well.  Hoping for a large storm at the end of the month to rival our storm from Feb. 21-22, 2013.

Got up to the mid 50's today, I must say had the feel and smell of spring. Snow is pretty much all melted away and expect all the mounds to be gone in the middle of next week. Have a real good shot at 60 next week. Then next weekend needs to be watched as the LRC predicts a southwesterly flow and models are picking up on this. I would be happy if we can see one major storm to end the winter. The way things have been going this year though I don't know if we will be lucky enough or not...