June 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather

[TT-SEA]

33 minutes ago, Phil said:

@Cascadia_Wx EPS throws u a lifeline  

Was going to mention that the EPS has definitely been trending troughier in the long range. 

[Front Ranger]

6 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Took 10 hours for the first thread of summer to go personal. Not a bad run!

And the thread itself was only alive for 3 hours!

[MossMan]

Was cloudy and humid today at the kids soccer games in Marysville today…But dry! 
However was pouring between Marysville and home just a few minutes ago. We got lucky! 
 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

72F and muggy out there. Wish there was some lightning here again. Feels like it’s been a long time since I’ve seen some proper fork lightning.

 

Has anyone ever experienced ball lightning? Apparently it happens high up in supercells and can quickly move thru airplanes and such sometimes.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Literally every other Willamette Valley location was cooler than normal in May. And Cottage Grove is the closest reliable one with a long term record.

Corvallis ran below their long term mean in March. Two other stations south of the valley mentioned by Omegaraptor, Medford and Roseburg, saw below normal months as recently as March. And yet EUG hasn't managed one in over a year...the overall stats around them say they are the outlier.

The TWL effect is strong.

[The Blob]

Gloomy first day of June.

[T-Town]

Some breaks in the clouds. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, The Blob said:

Gloomy first day of June.

Seems like it got up to about 70 in the WV down this way, mid-60s up here in the foothills. Not bad. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I know a lot of folx get pretty amped up for the canSIPS to come out the first of the month. Here we broke it down seasonally. The only month with a big warm signal at this point is November. 

Summer

Fall

 

Winter

Spring 2025

[Phil]

2 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

No yellow or orange over DC!

Oh there’ll be lots of that in due time.

[Meatyorologist]

3 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

72F and muggy out there. Wish there was some lightning here again. Feels like it’s been a long time since I’ve seen some proper fork lightning.

 

Has anyone ever experienced ball lightning? Apparently it happens high up in supercells and can quickly move thru airplanes and such sometimes.

As far as I'm aware lightning is over in an instant, but perhaps there are wonky intricacies to electrical fields I am unaware of. Lightning strikes are extreme, uncontrolled, localized electrical events. If there were anywhere in our natural world where balls of floating electricity or a phenomena of the sort would happen, it would be in the wake of a lightning strike.

If you've ever seen lightning up close and/or in slow motion, you've probably seen the main channel of ignited air contracting into ordered beads of plasma as the whole thing dissipates. My bet is that ball lightning itself does not exist as its own phenomena, but rather when you are close enough to a lightning strike, you're not far away enough to see the ordered channel of dissipating plasma beads in its entire macro scale, but rather instead seeing the one or two individual beads that are right in front of you.

This woild make sense since most ball lightning reports are very close encounters, and the beading phenomena itself is sort of rare, probably reserved for positively charged lightning strikes, adding to the phenomena's obscurity.

[smerfylicious]

Aw man I've spent the last hour trying to find a post from this winter. Dude who had a meltdown and basically called all of us smoothbrain drama kids and never came back. Did he delete his account?

[RentonHill]

Animal update. Fawns have dropped (so cute!!) and blondy bears 

[MossMan]

22 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Aw man I've spent the last hour trying to find a post from this winter. Dude who had a meltdown and basically called all of us smoothbrain drama kids and never came back. Did he delete his account?

I think that was leading up to the January blast, so look at the first week or so of the January 2024 thread? Nyberg! 

Edited June 2 by MossMan

[Cold Snap]

21 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Aw man I've spent the last hour trying to find a post from this winter. Dude who had a meltdown and basically called all of us smoothbrain drama kids and never came back. Did he delete his account?

You talking about this guy?

[LowerGarfield]

Looking forward to the rain tomorrow before the torch. Jealous of you on the west side as it looks like you may get a cooler summer. But be careful what you wish for. All it takes is for an east wind and you'll wish our side of the Cascades gets more rain or an average (for us) summer.

[Omegaraptor]

5 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

You talking about this guy?

It doesn’t have every react anymore because of Phil and Death Ridge. I just switched my react to Phil, anyone wanna take Death Ridge?

[MV_snow]

6 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

It doesn’t have every react anymore because of Phil and Death Ridge. I just switched my react to Phil, anyone wanna take Death Ridge?

Done!

[smerfylicious]

31 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

You talking about this guy?

That's the one! Thank you!

[Deweydog]

Lots of confection opportunities on the 00z. Delicious!

[MossMan]

The calm before Mega Storm 2024! 

[ShawniganLake]

2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I know a lot of folx get pretty amped up for the canSIPS to come out the first of the month. Here we broke it down seasonally. The only month with a big warm signal at this point is November. 

Summer

Fall

 

Winter

Spring 2025

A warm November heading into a Niña.  The stars are aligning for next winter.  

[Cold Snap]

1 minute ago, ShawniganLake said:

A warm November heading into a Niña.  The stars are aligning for next winter.  

Warm Novembers during a La Niña are definitely good for cold Decembers. 2008 and 2016 are good examples.

[Front Ranger]

41 minutes ago, MossMan said:

The calm before Mega Storm 2024! 

Is it gonna rain? All I've seen is hott maps lately. 

[Front Ranger]

22 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Warm Novembers during a La Niña are definitely good for cold Decembers. 2008 and 2016 are good examples.

Some good older examples as well. 1949 being the most extreme example. 

[Meatyorologist]

8 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

That's why I hate cloudy / warm weather.  It never feels refreshing like a 72 degree day with sun can.

Interesting, that's my roommate's favorite. He has photosensitive eyes, so the clouds help, and if he can just wear a t-shirt it's even better. This time of year even the cloudy days are bright.

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Is it gonna rain? All I've seen is hott maps lately. 

Gonna rain like its the middle of November! 

00Z ECMWF is absolute perfection though... less extreme and more stable with the ridge.  

[BLI snowman]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Lots of confection opportunities on the 00z. Delicious!

I'll be in South America, so it checks out!

Still a little butthurt about missing out on the July 2008 lightning-palooza. 

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Cold Snap said:

Warm Novembers during a La Niña are definitely good for cold Decembers. 2008 and 2016 are good examples.

And 1949 among others.

[snow_wizard]

12 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

I'll be in South America, so it checks out!

Still a little butthurt about missing out on the July 2008 lightning-palooza. 

Ouch.  That storm was absolutely insane.  It went on for 18 hours here.  Some periods of very intense lightning.  Amazingly we also had one of the most spectacular displays I've seen here in August that same year.  It only lasted for about an hour, but WOW!

[snow_wizard]

We'll see if SEA can pull off a one inch 24 hour total from this AR coming up.  That would certainly put it in top tier for this time of year.

[Slushy Inch]

Positive 850 anomalies goes through entire eps run after the rainy period. 

[Meatyorologist]

Perma-Summer

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

2 hours ago, Omegaraptor said:

It doesn’t have every react anymore because of Phil and Death Ridge. I just switched my react to Phil, anyone wanna take Death Ridge?

Crazy you mention that, I was just thinking about that. I couldn't change my react though because I was the only one who gave the Jesse react, barf. (@Meatyorologistyou should change the barf reacts name to jesse)

2 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

You talking about this guy?

"I remember my first time" im sure he does remember his first time doing something... his Twitter account is quite the read, it seems like most of his personality is about hating Florida, loving Disney, and loving men. I'm sure he's glad it's June now!

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

51 currently, 69/35 day and a great day to golf with the guys.

[Meatyorologist]

KSEA has cooled by exactly one degree every hour since 5pm.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a 71/54 day to start out June. Clear morning then partly to mostly cloudy through the afternoon and evening, with clouds thickening later and some sprinkles at times.

Looking forward to a good soaking tomorrow and Monday.

[snow_wizard]

 

5 hours ago, Cold Snap said:

You talking about this guy?

He seriously got that many reacts?  Wow!

[Meatyorologist]

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

KSEA has cooled by exactly one degree every hour since 5pm.

For those keeping track... As of 2am, to my surprise, this is still ongoing, nine hours strong! It is now 55F at the airport, down from 56F at 1am, and 57F at midnight, and...

[The Blob]

60 here in Troutdale.