June 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather

[Tyler Mode]

That upper level low for early next week is trending way further south on the Euro.

[YahRaEl]

https://www.severe-weather.eu/global-weather/june-weather-forecast-united-states-canada-unusual-patterns-anomalies-fa/

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

That upper level low for early next week is trending way further south on the Euro.

That is actually a trend to the east compared to its 12Z run yesterday.   That ULL was much less defined on the 00Z run and passing by to the east rather than cutting off to our south like the previous run showed.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

It’s coming.

80 are coming, too.

[MossMan]

Dry deck. This storm is a Mega Bust! 

[the_convergence_zone]

The atmosphere is ready

[MossMan]

Windy! 

[BLI snowman]

9 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Ouch.  That storm was absolutely insane.  It went on for 18 hours here.  Some periods of very intense lightning.  Amazingly we also had one of the most spectacular displays I've seen here in August that same year.  It only lasted for about an hour, but WOW!

That was a good year for prolific thunderstorms. Each heat pattern that year broke with convection. There was also a big outbreak in late May here, another strong storm at the end of June, and the wild January 10 tornado and thunderstorm, which dumped a ton of hail here and produced some building-shaking thunder even as the tornado thankfully missed a few miles to the south.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

🌧 is here.

[snow_wizard]

Pretty slow start here so far.  At least here it's running below model expectations up to this point.

[ShawniganLake]

2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

🌧 is here.

Starting to stick here.  0.02”

[Slushy Inch]

9 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Perma-Summer

Does look like at least a week of sun is possible 

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

That was a good year for prolific thunderstorms. Each heat pattern that year broke with convection. There was also a big outbreak in late May here, another strong storm at the end of June, and the wild January 10 tornado and thunderstorm, which dumped a ton of hail here and produced some building-shaking thunder even as the tornado thankfully missed a few miles to the south.

There was a lot to like about 2008 after the exasperating barrage of near snowfall misses in January.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

Pretty slow start here so far.  At least here it's running below model expectations up to this point.

It’s running an hour or two later than model guidance. No biggie, this sort of discrepancy often happens. It is far easier to model that something big is going to happen than it is to get the timing exactly right.

My bet is that by this time tomorrow morning, most of us will have received a good drenching.

[snow_wizard]

20 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Windy! 

That normally means shadow for areas where it's actually windy.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Still dry here,  but it’s coming. 

[Front Ranger]

25 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

That was a good year for prolific thunderstorms. Each heat pattern that year broke with convection. There was also a big outbreak in late May here, another strong storm at the end of June, and the wild January 10 tornado and thunderstorm, which dumped a ton of hail here and produced some building-shaking thunder even as the tornado thankfully missed a few miles to the south.

Pre-BLI!

[TT-SEA]

15 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Does look like at least a week of sun is possible 

Saying perma-summer in the summer is sort of silly. 

Like saying perma-fall in October or perma-winter in December.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

17 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

There was a lot to like about 2008 after the exasperating barrage of near snowfall misses in January.

One of my favorite weather years of my life to date.

2011 and 2019 are up there as well. I don’t remember it very well but I remember enough of 1996 to give it a nod. Honorable mention to 2022 for its sheer dynamism, even though I wasn’t a huge fan of the summer through early fall.

[Slushy Inch]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Saying perma-summer in the summer is sort of silly. 

Like saying perma-fall in October or perma-winter in December.  

It will be permanently summer until September 

[snow_wizard]

Nice little clipper on the 12z GFS with a big down just after day 10.

[Cascadia_Wx]

8 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

It will be permanently summer until September 

True. And like any season, summer can feature a wide variety of weather that’s within the realm of normal. Yet every time we get a cool or cloudy day people will be making November comparisons

Edited June 2 by Cascadia_Wx

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

True. And like any season, summer can feature a wide variety of weather that’s within the realm of normal. Yet every time we get a cool or cloudy day people will be making November comparisons

It would be nice to have something like summer 2019 again. We never went more than 2-3 weeks without meaningful rainfall here. Then you get years like 2017 where we went 90 days…

[snow_wizard]

16 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

One of my favorite weather years of my life to date.

2011 and 2019 are up there as well. I don’t remember it very well but I remember enough of 1996 to give it a nod. Honorable mention to 2022 for its sheer dynamism, even though I wasn’t a huge fan of the summer through early fall.

Good choices.  I think the final third of 2006 was pretty amazing too.  Going further back the mid 1980s has to be my favorite.  So much cold.

This decade has been pretty wild with a huge range of extremes.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, TacomaWx said:

It would be nice to have something like summer 2019 again. We never went more than 2-3 weeks without meaningful rainfall here. Then you get years like 2017 where we went 90 days…

Although aside from the hot and dry mid July truly mid September, 2017 was a pretty decent year as well.

[TacomaWx]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Although aside from the hot and dry mid July truly mid September, 2017 was a pretty decent year as well.

Oh yeah it was, I was just more talking about how long the dry spell went that year. I’d say 2019 and 2008 are also my favorite weather years. 2021 and 2022 had some wild swings as well. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Heavy rain. 55.0˚F.

 

[TT-SEA]

I don't care what someone says... this is definitely a November looking satellite!  

And all-day rain with temps in the 50s in climo for November.    But it also happens almost every June as well.  

[Cascadia_Wx]

12z GFS looks pretty tolerable overall.

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I don't care what someone says... this is definitely a November looking satellite!  

And all-day rain with temps in the 50s in climo for November.    But it also happens almost every June as well.  

Says it’s June 2nd. In two different places!

[Cascadia_Wx]

Light rain has started here within the last hour. Great vibe out there with the green vegetation and the sound of falling rain. Have the windows open at the moment.

Had a mild low of 56, peaked at 60 earlier this morning but back down to 56 with rain now.

Edited June 2 by Cascadia_Wx

[ShawniganLake]

I really liked 2021. February and December cold waves with big snowstorms.  The once in a lifetime June heatwave and the unforgettable Fall deluge. 

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is really nice... these kind of temps are perfect.    Personally not a fan of a mid 90s heat spike and then a crash.   Neither are as enjoyable as 70s and 80s in my opinion.  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Rain has now begun in earnest. We really cherish these days this time of year. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Rain has now begun in earnest. We really cherish these days this time of year. 

Some people just want temps consistently 10-15 degrees above average for weeks on end starting now. That’s all

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Some people just want temps consistently 10-15 degrees above average for weeks on end starting now. That’s all

Well, that's kind of on them. And they probably actually don't, they probably just pull it out to mess with us. 

[TacomaWx]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

I don't care what someone says... this is definitely a November looking satellite!  

And all-day rain with temps in the 50s in climo for November.    But it also happens almost every June as well.  

Yeah, pretty decent rainstorm for early June if the QPF predictions end up being accurate. I’m working treating water up in snoqualmie all day today. Will probably be a 12 hour shift if the forecast is right. 

[ShawniganLake]

26 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Rain has now begun in earnest. We really cherish these days this time of year. 

Rainy Sundays are probably my favourite day to be a washout

[TT-SEA]

Some people just want temps consistently 10-15 degrees below normal.    Even one warm day is a disaster.  

I would gladly take temps in the low 70s all of June per climo.  

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Rainy Sundays are probably my favourite day to be a washout

I would imagine so given your line of work.