June 2024 Pacific Northwest Weather

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Looks good with dirty clothes.

My wife went with Gravity! 
And it’s 55 degrees with light drizzle. Up to .19” on the day. 

[TT-SEA]

5 minutes ago, MossMan said:

My wife went with Gravity! 
And it’s 55 degrees with light drizzle. Up to .19” on the day. 

Just a bit different to your south in Seattle. 

[Slushy Inch]

33 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Models continue to overdo CONUS warmth 7+ days out. Here was the GFS for 6/27 a few days ago.

 

And today's run.

Can’t disagree  this time 

[ShawniganLake]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

Dude, you don’t understand how these patterns work here. Models always overdo precip with downsloping westerly flow. And the vast majority of days will be at/above 90°F, several in the upper 90s.

That doesn’t look that unreasonable for the mid Atlantic in summer over the next 10 days.  You live in a pretty warm summer climate. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, ShawniganLake said:

That doesn’t look that unreasonable for the mid Atlantic in summer over the next 10 days.  You live in a pretty warm summer climate. 

Rest in POWER Phil. 

[Phil]

22 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

That doesn’t look that unreasonable for the mid Atlantic in summer over the next 10 days.  You live in a pretty warm summer climate. 

Average high is mid/upper 80s right now. It’s very early for this kind of weather. 

Of course you expect it during niño to niña transition summers w/ descending +QBO (and in-situ -PMM). In that context it’s not “unreasonable” given the associated pattern forcings.

But, it is anomalous w/rt overall climo, and given the aforementioned pattern forcings, this +GMT type 500mb pattern will likely continue through the summer with only transient breaks.

[snow_wizard]

I think I'm going to start losing brain cells if I have read one more mainstream media article about what's going on with our weather right now.  They simply have no understanding of how amplified regimes cause more extreme weather than normal.  I kid you not I read an article that was entitled we have ruined rain!  They actually think that major flooding and droughts never happened before.  They should have been in CA in January 1862.  Probably the greatest AR event in recorded history....just as one example.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

[Thermal Trough]

35 minutes ago, Phil said:

Average high is mid/upper 80s right now. It’s very early for this kind of weather. 

Of course you expect it during niño to niña transition summers w/ descending +QBO (and in-situ -PMM). In that context it’s not “unreasonable” given the associated pattern forcings.

But, it is anomalous w/rt overall climo, and given the aforementioned pattern forcings, this +GMT type 500mb pattern will likely continue through the summer with only transient breaks.

This is what it shows on weather spark. Some of your highs this week are over the 90th percentile. I think it’s based on old climatology normals though.

Average High and Low Temperature in the Summer in Cabin John

[RentonHill]

8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think I'm going to start losing brain cells if I have read one more mainstream media article about what's going on with our weather right now.  They simply have no understanding of how amplified regimes cause more extreme weather than normal.  I kid you not I read an article that was entitled we have ruined rain!  They actually think that major flooding and droughts never happened before.  They should have been in CA in January 1862.  Probably the greatest AR event in recorded history....just as one example.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

who is forcing you to read them? 

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, MossMan said:

My wife went with Gravity! 
And it’s 55 degrees with light drizzle. Up to .19” on the day. 

Perfect color for creepin’ round my back stairs. You better take care!

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

Dude, you don’t understand how these patterns work here. Models always overdo precip with downsloping westerly flow. And the vast majority of days will be at/above 90°F, several in the upper 90s.

Looks like several below normal days in the next week. Not bad for a death ridge.

[Front Ranger]

14 minutes ago, Thermal Trough said:

This is what it shows on weather spark. Some of your highs this week are over the 90th percentile. I think it’s based on old climatology normals though.

Average High and Low Temperature in the Summer in Cabin John

Average high for DC over the next week is 89-90.

[Thermal Trough]

11 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Average high for DC over the next week is 89-90.

Yeah but in Phil’s forecast for Cabin John on his signature he has a few days in the upper 90s this week.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

66F and mostly cloudy with a lil bit of sunshine. Gonna be almost 20F cooler than yesterday. Very nice!

[TT-SEA]

41 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

who is forcing you to read them? 

Jim really likes to be angry.   

[Front Ranger]

In June 2012, DCA put up a 104 and had five days of 97+.

In 2011, they hit 102 and had three days of 98+ within the first 10 days of the month.

In 2010, they had seven 95+ days.

In 1994, they hit 90+ for fourteen straight days from 6/13 to 6/26, including a 101.

In 1959, they had three straight days of 99, 100, and 100. Also nine 93+ days.

In 1952, they had eleven 93+ days, including three straight days of 98, 101, and 98.

In 1925, eight of the first ten days of the month hit 94+, and there were three straight days of 99+, including a 100.

In 1911, they hit 101 on 6/11.

None of what's happening this month is unprecedented, hasn't happened earlier, or is in fact as extreme as these other events. 

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Looks like several below normal days in the next week. Not bad for a death ridge.

Looks maybe 2-3F above average for the next week.  Not much of a big deal.  Probably hard to notice the difference between 87-88 and 89-90. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Thermal Trough said:

This is what it shows on weather spark. Some of your highs this week are over the 90th percentile. I think it’s based on old climatology normals though.

Average High and Low Temperature in the Summer in Cabin John

Those are too low but yeah in the 90th percentile regardless.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Looks like several below normal days in the next week. Not bad for a death ridge.

Looks like 2 *slightly* below average days in a sea of torch.

Meanwhile, just recorded my 2nd consecutive day at/above 100°F, after not reaching 100°F in 8 years. And it’s June..haven’t seen 100+ this early in 14 years (2010), and have never recorded back to back 100+ days this early before.

[MossMan]

2 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

Just a bit different to your south in Seattle. 

Drizzle has stopped but it’s still dark and dreary here. 
.20” on the day, 3.86” for the month. 
56 degrees. 

[Front Ranger]

Phil is at 100. Meanwhile...

[Deweydog]

Gorgeous day.

Drain rock KILLED.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

I think I'm going to start losing brain cells if I have read one more mainstream media article about what's going on with our weather right now.  They simply have no understanding of how amplified regimes cause more extreme weather than normal.  I kid you not I read an article that was entitled we have ruined rain!  They actually think that major flooding and droughts never happened before.  They should have been in CA in January 1862.  Probably the greatest AR event in recorded history....just as one example.

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

They are the enemy of the people. 

[MossMan]

58 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Phil is at 100. Meanwhile...

He could use a refreshing Pacifico! 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

73F and mostly sunny. What a beautiful summer day.

[Prairiedog]

Early morning salmon fishing on the Willamette R. Saturday.  Clouds moved out pretty quickly and ended up sunny and 88f.

[Phil]

1 hour ago, Front Ranger said:

Phil is at 100. Meanwhile...

Clouds developed and dropped temps into the mid-90s. Not sure what your point is.

[Groundhog]

Although I’m on the other side of the continent in western Canada, I wonder how folks survived the summer humidity in the 17, 18, and early 1900s out east. Granted, no urban islands, but the Gulf of Mexico was still bathtub warm. (I spent one summer in southern Ontario. When it got to 80F it was disgusting). Seeing what they wore and what they lived in, how did they keep their sanity and survive? Nothing about clothing from those eras looks comfortable, never mind wearing it in mid-July. 

[Meatyorologist]

18 minutes ago, Phil said:

Clouds developed and dropped temps into the mid-90s. Not sure what your point is.

I just checked and DCA is running +3.0F on the month thru yesterday. That is a big deal for June.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Made it to Washington, not sure why anyone lives in this hellhole. Tommorow I'll actually be visiting just around Phil's area !

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Made it to Washington, not sure why anyone lives in this hellhole. Tommorow I'll actually be visiting just around Phil's area !

Trolololol

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Currently 64.8˚F. Looks like today’s max will be 67.1. A few sprinkles today, not even enough to make it worth using rain gear.

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

16 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Trolololol

I'm not trolling. Tommorow although I am not visiting Phil himself I am going very nearby to there, by complete coincidence.

[Mercurial]

Avg hi/lo here for June 23 is 73/45... so good.

Enjoying the amazing weather until smoke season kicks off

[TacomaWx]

67/55 here today down from a max of 75 yesterday and 86 the day before. Liking the recent model runs that are overall kicking the smoke season further down the road. 

[Phishy Wx]

yeah nice day. breezy and 78

 

bout to grill some burgers in a bit

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

I'm not trolling. Tommorow although I am not visiting Phil himself I am going very nearby to there, by complete coincidence.

Could have just done a conference call instead. Cheaper, especially if you use 10-10-321.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Nice evening. 

[Phishy Wx]

we gunna get a Goldilocks summer? 

[Anti Marine Layer]

31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nice evening. 

Not in Stanwood