October 27, 2025Oct 27 1 hour ago, Hawkeye said: It is still strengthening.... now up to 906 mb, 175 mph The north turn has begun. There's really no good options left for this one. Basically a choice between a biblical catastrophe and an "ordinary catastrophe." An ERC would take down the max winds to some extent but expand the radius of hurricane force winds. An epic rainfall event for much of Jamaica is a lock. A better landfall location for Kingston would be worse for the resort areas farther west, etc. Just no real good options.
October 27, 2025Oct 27 11 minutes ago, Hoosier said: There's really no good options left for this one. Basically a choice between a biblical catastrophe and an "ordinary catastrophe." An ERC would take down the max winds to some extent but expand the radius of hurricane force winds. An epic rainfall event for much of Jamaica is a lock. A better landfall location for Kingston would be worse for the resort areas farther west, etc. Just no real good options. I was thinking the same thing now that it has shifted west towards the resort areas. What's worse??? I will say, though, the mountains could sorta negate the worst wind gusts for those resorts sitting on the NW & N side of the island. This won't be pretty any way you look at it.
October 27, 2025Oct 27 Author They’re talking Cat 5 hitting Jamaica. I know these things happen and residents know it, but my God,… it’s just a lot of damage. Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. 2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65" Historic Record High 120.0*F Record Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989
October 28, 2025Oct 28 Don’t look at the GFS as it’s painting another storm pulling up through the gulf mid next week
October 28, 2025Oct 28 Melissa is down to 900 mb tonight... just a spectacular hurricane. At least the extremely powerful core is pretty small. The small western towns will get it much worse than Kingston in the east. season snowfall: 31.0" '24-25: 18.9" '23-24: 35.1" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" Average snowfall: ~30"
October 28, 2025Oct 28 Melissa now has pressure around 892 MB. that is insane! unfortunately its strengthening right before landfall in Jamaica
October 28, 2025Oct 28 25 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: Melissa now has pressure around 892 MB. that is insane! unfortunately its strengthening right before landfall in Jamaica What an incredible show of force from Nature and to see what can really happen with nearly a perfect scenario for explosive development. The slow movement of this 'Cane is significant in itself causing prolonged storm surge, wind damage, rain, etc. My goodness, I can't imagine being in the "eye" of this Beast as it makes landfall. You would need some sort of bunker to withstand the pounding.
October 28, 2025Oct 28 I just thought about the winds coming off the ocean and being "lifted" by the mountains and creating orographic lift. Not to mention, but wouldn't the winds increase as well? I sure hope there are some censors that can withstand the wind gusts to get accurate data. This is a historic storm that will be analyzed for decades to come.
October 28, 2025Oct 28 1 hour ago, Tom said: I just thought about the winds coming off the ocean and being "lifted" by the mountains and creating orographic lift. Not to mention, but wouldn't the winds increase as well? I sure hope there are some censors that can withstand the wind gusts to get accurate data. This is a historic storm that will be analyzed for decades to come. Yes, elevated locations in the eyewall will probably have gusts over 200 mph, but good luck getting any measurement like that.
October 28, 2025Oct 28 1 minute ago, Thunder98 said: Never seen a forecast like this before.... That's wild. I've seen gusts like that (or even a little stronger) in a forecast before, but not for sustained winds.
October 28, 2025Oct 28 Historic for Jamaica and historic in general. For the Atlantic basin, only the 1935 Labor Day hurricane made landfall with a pressure so low. Hurricane Melissa Tropical Cyclone Update NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL132025 100 PM EDT Tue Oct 28 2025 ...CATEGORY 5 MELISSA MAKES LANDFALL IN JAMAICA... ...ONE OF THE MOST POWERFUL HURRICANE LANDFALLS ON RECORD IN THE ATLANTIC BASIN... Melissa has made landfall in southwestern Jamaica near New Hope with estimated maximum sustained winds of 185 mph (295 km/h) and an estimated minimum central pressure of 892 mb (26.34 inches).
October 28, 2025Oct 28 looking at satellite now and it looks like the eye has already completely collapsed! Went from a strong eye wall to caved in in the matter of hours!
October 28, 2025Oct 28 13 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: looking at satellite now and it looks like the eye has already completely collapsed! Went from a strong eye wall to caved in in the matter of hours! We are probably a minute or two away from some weenie on some weather board saying "it's falling apart!!" or "doesn't even look like a hurricane anymore!"
October 28, 2025Oct 28 Eye will be moving back over the water relatively soon. Down to a cat 4 at present.
October 29, 2025Oct 29 Author Heavy floodwaters swept across southwestern Jamaica, winds tore roofs off buildings and boulders tumbled onto roads Tuesday as Hurricane Melissa came ashore as a catastrophic Category 5 storm, one of the strongest Atlantic hurricanes on record. Landslides, fallen trees and numerous power outages were reported as Melissa hit with 185 mph (295 kph) winds near New Hope, with officials cautioning that the cleanup and damage assessment could be slow. From NBC …Thought I would add…my husband went through Hurricane Allen in 1980. 185 mph winds. He worked for the City of Corpus Christi’s and found himself isolated on a desk top that was about 4’ off the floor and the Gulf water was washing over his feet. Everyone working for the City thought they were goners. Allen is the highest wind speed ‘cane ion record. Before You Diagnose Yourself With Depression or Low Self-Esteem,...First Make Sure You Are Not In Fact, Just Surrounded By A$$holes. 2018 Record Rainfall - 62.65" Historic Record High 120.0*F Record Low Temp. - 2*F - 1989
October 30, 2025Oct 30 Jamaica was inundated from Melissa. Sustain winds of 185mph battered the area and destroyed everything in its path. It did took some lives too, unfortunately. Now a Cat1 or low end 2 heading for Bermuda and then finally to Nova Scotia and by then, it will be just a very strong low pressure area, thankfully. Snowfall for Winter 2026 -27 October 2026: November 2026: December 2026: January 2027: February 2027: March 2027: April 2027: May 2027:
October 30, 2025Oct 30 On 10/28/2025 at 10:21 AM, Clinton said: 2nd strongest ever in the Atlantic basin. ? I saw vid of the airport there in Jamaica and it is severely damaged. No flights in & out until further notice. Snowfall for Winter 2026 -27 October 2026: November 2026: December 2026: January 2027: February 2027: March 2027: April 2027: May 2027:
October 31, 2025Oct 31 37 minutes ago, Hoosier said: Melissa is now post-tropical but still has hurricane force winds. she sure is stubborn storm that just wont let up!
October 31, 2025Oct 31 4 minutes ago, Jayhawker85 said: she sure is stubborn storm that just wont let up! imagine it just re-intensifies by Iceland and then wreaks havoc on Europe. It's spooky season (September 1 - October 31) now! I will edit posts as many times as I need to. Frequently online on the forums
November 1, 2025Nov 1 Melissa is a beast! Snowfall for Winter 2026 -27 October 2026: November 2026: December 2026: January 2027: February 2027: March 2027: April 2027: May 2027:
November 2, 2025Nov 2 This is cool. NOAA did a flyover after the storm. I was thinking that what was reported of the damage in jamaica wasn't that bad, then I saw this: Hurricane MELISSA Imagery
November 2, 2025Nov 2 You have to imagine that at some point in the future they are going to control the weather.
November 3, 2025Nov 3 On 11/1/2025 at 11:50 PM, StormchaserChuck1 said: You have to imagine that at some point in the future they are going to control the weather. AI probably will eventually, for better or worse.
November 12, 2025Nov 12 I think its safe to say that we are 99% done w tropical storms/depressions hitting the US as very cold air plunged all the way down south into the deep gulf. Everyone in Florida was bundled up today. Snowfall for Winter 2026 -27 October 2026: November 2026: December 2026: January 2027: February 2027: March 2027: April 2027: May 2027:
November 22, 2025Nov 22 Melissa was a Beast and not surprised to see that she was able to deliver a record wind gust at 825 ft right before landfall... https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-melissas-252-mph-wind-gust-sets-new-record/1836720
November 23, 2025Nov 23 On 11/22/2025 at 7:43 AM, Tom said: Melissa was a Beast and not surprised to see that she was able to deliver a record wind gust at 825 ft right before landfall... https://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/hurricane-melissas-252-mph-wind-gust-sets-new-record/1836720 This is the crazy one to me! In the eastern mountains vs the western ranges of all places. Winter 2025-26 Snow Total = 68.1" Largest Storm: 7.5" (11/29-30) Snow/Ice Headlines: 20!! Oct: 0.0 Nov:10.1 Dec: 17.1 Jan: 21.9 Feb: 7.1 Mar: 11.6 Apr: 0.3 (116% Normal Season) Avg = 58.6" (Harrison): 2024-25 = 55.3" 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows) I have personally experienced: Jan 2014, Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1995, Nov 1989, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973
February 26Feb 26 It appears Melissa topped out at 190mph! https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/hurricane-melissa-upgraded-to-190-mph-winds-tied-for-strongest-atlantic-hurricane/1867675
March 4Mar 4 On 2/26/2026 at 7:45 AM, Tom said: It appears Melissa topped out at 190mph! https://www.accuweather.com/en/hurricane/hurricane-melissa-upgraded-to-190-mph-winds-tied-for-strongest-atlantic-hurricane/1867675 Epic photo: Hadn't heard about 1.25 million animals killed - tragic and sad that they couldn't find some kind of shelter! ? Winter 2025-26 Snow Total = 68.1" Largest Storm: 7.5" (11/29-30) Snow/Ice Headlines: 20!! Oct: 0.0 Nov:10.1 Dec: 17.1 Jan: 21.9 Feb: 7.1 Mar: 11.6 Apr: 0.3 (116% Normal Season) Avg = 58.6" (Harrison): 2024-25 = 55.3" 2023-24 = 53.1" Avg = 45.0" (KDTW): 2022-23 = 33.5" 2021-22 = 35.6" Avg = 49.7" (KRMY): 2020-21 = 36.2" 2019-20 = 48.0" 2018-19 = 56.1" 2017-18 = 68.3" 2016-17 = 52" 2015-16 = 57.4" 2014-15 = 55.3" 2013-14 = 100.6" (coldest & snowiest in the modern record!) 2012-13 = 47.2" 2011-12 = 43.7" Legit Blizzards (high winds and dbl digit snows) I have personally experienced: Jan 2014, Feb 2011, Dec 2009, Jan 2005, Dec 2000, Jan 1999, Mar 1998, Nov 1995, Nov 1989, Jan 1978, Jan 1977, Apr 1975, Mar 1973
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