August 2024 Observations and Discussion

[Tom]

1 hour ago, westMJim said:

You know that can also be said for almost all areas of the country. Not that all have a dry airport but  may have a higher or lower temperature than other parts of the metro area. Most cites are warmer in the city center then at the airport. Just a idea.  

True,  but as for the precip stats, I've hear mets on their TV segments discuss this as a possibility and would be beneficial to get a more accurate "reading" for the valley.

[chescowxman]

Most spots dropped into the 50's this morning with the lowest being in East Nantmeal at 57.3 degrees - that was our coolest reading since the 56.3 degree low back on June 28th. Temperatures today in the higher ridge locations will top out just below 70 degrees - if that occurs this would mark the first time we have failed to at least reach 70 degrees since the 66.1 degree high on June 11th. There is no rain in sight for the rest of this week and our below normal temps will gradually increase to near normal by the weekend. No real heat in our future and for some spots 90 degree days are possibly over for this season.

Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1983) / Record Low was 39 degrees at Phoenixville (1949) this is also the earliest recording of a sub 40 degree temperatures in county history. Rain 4.00" at West Grove (1939)

[Tom]

56 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

Definitely true for low temperatures there. Quite often my lows in the north part of the city were 6-8 F lower than Sky Harbor. So low of 92 F there might be 85 F at my house. 

Case in point, I'm at 85F and Sky Harbor is at 93F...Fountain Hills is like a different world once you get over the first group of mountains.

[Tom]

Looking ahead, the official close out of Summer over the Labor Day Weekend is looking mighty nice for pretty much all of our Sub (including my area in the SW).  There is a decent signal for a strong trough to roll through the GL's just prior to the big holiday weekend.  Monsoon is firing up again the next couple days for Wed/Thu over the Valley.  Did we just turn the corner for Summa around here?  I'm seeing many days of highs sub 110F which I have not seen in WEEKS!  It's been a HOT summer folks.

[OttumwaSnomow]

11 hours ago, chescowxman said:

Most spots dropped into the 50's this morning with the lowest being in East Nantmeal at 57.3 degrees - that was our coolest reading since the 56.3 degree low back on June 28th. Temperatures today in the higher ridge locations will top out just below 70 degrees - if that occurs this would mark the first time we have failed to at least reach 70 degrees since the 66.1 degree high on June 11th. There is no rain in sight for the rest of this week and our below normal temps will gradually increase to near normal by the weekend. No real heat in our future and for some spots 90 degree days are possibly over for this season.

Chester County records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1983) / Record Low was 39 degrees at Phoenixville (1949) this is also the earliest recording of a sub 40 degree temperatures in county history. Rain 4.00" at West Grove (1939)

Here in SE Iowa, Its one of the coolest summers of my life (while in usa). Only maybe 12 90 degree days and zero 100s. In the past 5 yrs very very few 100 days, 2 or 3!! By contrast I saw 30 100 days in 2012 here (unofficial).. We have had many many summer days in upper 70s or low 80s.  Have turned the ac off and opened widow for several  periods of days. Many nites in the 50s to low 60s. You wont see this reported much.

[Madtown]

Downright chilly up here...Ester temps finally got above 74 for w weeks in July and now back down to 70. Crazy short season this year. 40's at night for days in June July and now Aug

[Andie]

Not fair my friend. Share!  
We’re melting in Texas. Our Highs won’t dip under 100* till perhaps Sunday.  
Then a La Niña to contend with this winter.  I demand my fair share.   91* at 10:30pm. 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday was 71/50 that high of 71 was the 8th coolest for any August 20th at Grand Rapids. There was no rainfall the highest wind speed was 19 MPH out of the N. For today the average H/L is 81/61 the record high of 97 was set in 1916 and 1955 the coldest high of 67 was set in 1997 the record low of 44 was set in 1956 the warmest low of 73 was set in 1916 and 1913. The record rainfall of 2.05” fell in 1958.

The overnight low here in MBY and current temperature was/is a cool 48 with clear skies. If it were official that 48 would be one of the coldest readings for any August 21st

[Tom]

11 hours ago, Madtown said:

Downright chilly up here...Ester temps finally got above 74 for w weeks in July and now back down to 70. Crazy short season this year. 40's at night for days in June July and now Aug

You would think Nature is trying to say something?  

[Tom]

"The Bird has Landed"...my mother flew LOT airlines last night out of ORD to visit her family in the Motherland of Poland.   https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/LOT10 

I was monitoring her flight schedule and once they got above the Detroit, MI it appears the pilots must have decided to fly a little faster to beat the incoming weather coming out of Germany from the west.  The bird landed 45 min early at KRK airport and it started raining when she left the airport.  Good job!

Meantime, it was another noisy night of boomers!  Woke up around 12:26am and couldn't fall asleep till after 1:30am or so....glad to get the moisture anyway we can at any time of the day or night.  Thank you Nature.  It appears around 0.10" fell locally.  Looking forward to more storm action later tonight and again mañana.

 

 

[Tom]

12 hours ago, Madtown said:

Downright chilly up here...Ester temps finally got above 74 for w weeks in July and now back down to 70. Crazy short season this year. 40's at night for days in June July and now Aug

No Joke, it was cold up there Tue morning...

 

[chescowxman]

This morning was the coldest August morning here in East Nantmeal in over 10 years with our morning low of 51.7. This was the coldest reading since the 51.5 on August 15, 2014. Quite a few of the lower elevation spots reached the 40's with the lowest being the 45.8 at Warwick Township. We should see the higher spots again remaining in the unseasonably chilly 60's for highs today before we start a warming trend tomorrow through the weekend.

Chester County Records for today: High 102 degrees at Sadsburyville (1916) / Low 41 degrees at Phoenixville (1949) / Rain 2.73" at West Grove (1933)

[Clinton]

1 hour ago, Tom said:

"The Bird has Landed"...my mother flew LOT airlines last night out of ORD to visit her family in the Motherland of Poland.   https://www.flightaware.com/live/flight/LOT10 

I was monitoring her flight schedule and once they got above the Detroit, MI it appears the pilots must have decided to fly a little faster to beat the incoming weather coming out of Germany from the west.  The bird landed 45 min early at KRK airport and it started raining when she left the airport.  Good job!

Meantime, it was another noisy night of boomers!  Woke up around 12:26am and couldn't fall asleep till after 1:30am or so....glad to get the moisture anyway we can at any time of the day or night.  Thank you Nature.  It appears around 0.10" fell locally.  Looking forward to more storm action later tonight and again mañana.

 

 

Looks like the monsoon will really deliver for your area this week.  

[Hoosier]

Had a low of 48 this morning, which is the first sub-50 degree low in quite a while.

[Hoosier]

14 hours ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

Here in SE Iowa, Its one of the coolest summers of my life (while in usa). Only maybe 12 90 degree days and zero 100s. In the past 5 yrs very very few 100 days, 2 or 3!! By contrast I saw 30 100 days in 2012 here (unofficial).. We have had many many summer days in upper 70s or low 80s.  Have turned the ac off and opened widow for several  periods of days. Many nites in the 50s to low 60s. You wont see this reported much.

Probably because the summer has not been dramatically cooler than average.  Heat has been lacking for sure, but a map of departures over the past few months only shows barely cooler than average in some areas of the Midwest.

[westMJim]

2 hours ago, Tom said:

No Joke, it was cold up there Tue morning

Even here in Grand Rapids there was a chill in the air. Over at Lansing the low reached 46 the morning here in MBY I had 47 for a low but it was warmer at the airport. Summers are so short here in Michigan.

[Tom]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

Looks like the monsoon will really deliver for your area this week.  

It's looking real nice and it appears that it won't stop in SEP....officially, it ends on 9/30...I'm digging the LR and what looks like a quick transition to Autumn for the eastern 2/3rd's.  Not cold, but not a blow torch as I remember many SEP can turn out to Open SEP back in Chitown.  

Taking a look deeper, the CFSv2 is showing AN precip in N Canada....translation = quick snowcover = enhanced Cold Front's???  You gotta love that look!   Ahhh, I remember the Football Season vibes on Football Sundays back in Chicago.

 

 

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at GRR was 74/49 there was no rainfall the highest wind gust was just 17 MPH out of the N the sun was out 89% of the time. For today the average H/L is 80/61 the record high of 98 was set in 1936 the coldest high of 63 was set in 1923 the record low of 44 was set in 1923 the warmest low of 74 was set in 1968 the most rainfall of 1.25” fell in 2001.

[westMJim]

We now have 21 days of August 2024 in the record books. The mean temperature at GRR for the month is 69.9 that is -1.8 below average. The highest so far for the month is 89 and the low 49. There has been 1.78” of rainfall that is -0.67” There have been few hot days this summer and GR is at just 3 days of 90 or better 11 is the average for late August. And there have been just 16 days of 86 or better (I use that as the is the same as 30° C) the average number for late August is 26.

[Black Hole]

Cool for August here this morning. 68F at my place. Looks like today and tomorrow will still be reasonable before we heat back up. Ensembles still showing a signal for more rain and cooler weather in 7-10 days. 

[Tom]

Most, if not, all of the SUB will like what the JMA Weeklies are showing for most of SEP....

The blow torch waters that are continuosly growing across the west coast is something we have to pay attn to as we flip the calendar into SEP.

Week 2...

Precip & Temp...Nice wet look for the 4 corners region...gulf states look wet...

 

 

Week 3-4...The copious amount of high lat blocking showing up across eastern C.A. and Greenland are quite interesting.  It doesn't scream a very warm pattern for eastern CONUS.

Precip and Temp...

 

 

[Black Hole]

1 hour ago, Tom said:

Most, if not, all of the SUB will like what the JMA Weeklies are showing for most of SEP....

The blow torch waters that are continuosly growing across the west coast is something we have to pay attn to as we flip the calendar into SEP.

If this indeed plays out it'll be a mostly reasonable month. We can tolerate a few hot days as long as we get the clippers to bring relief in between. 

[Tom]

8 minutes ago, Black Hole said:

If this indeed plays out it'll be a mostly reasonable month. We can tolerate a few hot days as long as we get the clippers to bring relief in between. 

Any meaningful CF in SEP that brings down the drier/lower DP's will feel amazing...nice crisp air for sure.  

[Andie]

We will have highs at 100* until Thursday and slowly slide to mid 90’s.

Thats a cold front in my book in August.  Looking forward to rain in our forecasts.

We’re getting there.

 

[Tom]

Big dusty storm engulfing the east valley…

 

 

 

 

[Tom]

This cell just popped over Sky Harbor..:they better officially record some decent rain!

[Tom]

The wall of dust has invaded…

 

 

 

[jaster220]

3rd morning commute with my car heat on. Seeing my breath in August was a first. 37 degrees in Grayling this morning feels so much colder when it's been a mostly warm summer even in the Northland. Glad it's done for a while and heading back to the season it still is.  Hope all are well here!

[Tom]

Bullseye Sky Harbor!  This is the biggest event of the season over the Central Valley.  Almost like a super cell that develops right overhead.  The live TV segments are something else.  Redevelopment occurring over the airport and Scottsdale, Tempe, Paradise Valley…I can see the storm out of my balcony to my SE.

[CentralNebWeather]

Had a loud 0.50” of rain and storms around 4 am this morning. Another 60% chance overnight. Been Very humid this week. Dews in the low 70’s. Fortunately temps have only been in the upper 70’s to mid 80’s. Going to be very hot this weekend.
 

Moving our son into UNK in Kearney Nebraska tomorrow morning. He’ll start his freshman year of college on Monday. He wants to be a 7-12 social studies teacher like me. My wife and I both got our teaching degrees from UNK. Our 23 year old daughter graduated from UNK with a business degree, lives in Kearney, and works remotely for Daktronics, the replay board company. Good to have our 2 kids only 30 minutes from here. Going to be very odd not having a kid in the house for the first time in 23 years. 

[westMJim]

@jaster220 Good to see you back on the site.

[OttumwaSnomow]

On 8/21/2024 at 10:41 AM, Hoosier said:

Probably because the summer has not been dramatically cooler than average.  Heat has been lacking for sure, but a map of departures over the past few months only shows barely cooler than average in some areas of the Midwest.

I think eastern Iowa much cooler summer than Indiana or even eastern illinois.  The eastern midwest  and especially the mid atlantic  have had a much above normal temp summer.

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at GR was 77/50 there was no rainfall the sun was out 94% of the time. The highest wind gust was 18 MPH out of the NW. For today the average H/L is 80/61 the record high of 96 was set in 1947 the coldest high of 65 was set in 1961 the record low of 43 was set in back to back years of 1951 and 1952. The record rainfall of 1.91” fell in 1910.

The overnight low here in MBY was yet another cool 53 at the current time it is cloudy here and 54. There are a few light showers showing up on radar to the NW.

6 hours ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

think eastern Iowa much cooler summer than Indiana or even eastern illinois.  The eastern midwest  and especially the mid atlantic  have had a much above normal temp summer.

Here in Michigan it has been cooler in southern lower Michigan near to above average in northern lower Michigan and upper Michigan. 

[Clinton]

Abnormally dry and some D1 blotches are beginning to build into my part of Missouri.  Some models have some thunderstorms here tomorrow morning, I could use a rain especially with the heat building in starting tomorrow afternoon. 

[Black Hole]

Currently 70 with a dew point of 58 and a breeze out there. Perfect weather! Too bad it'll be hot again this afternoon but it was another nice break. Ensemble support continues to grow for another cool down after 5-6 hot days. 

[Black Hole]

EPS data for the next two weeks here. This takes us out through our extreme heat window. Looks like an early start to fall in some ways. 

[Tom]

Boy, it was certainly an eventful evening across the central valley.  Back building/training storms inundated the Scottsdale/Tempe/Phoenix area that was caused by a strong outflow boundary from a severe warned cell over the southeast valley near Gilbert which also generated a big wall of dust.  It's been a while since I've experienced a dust storm...glad to check it off the bucket-list this season. 

Looking at the data, I'm quite unimpressed with the official tally for Sky Harbor (0.24") while just about 100 yards to the east over 1" fell!!!  How the freak is that possible?  I was watching several live shots on the local news over the span of 1-2 hours during this event and it was pouring rain.  The airport had 3 different cells that tracked directly over the airport.  Literally, sheets of rain and wind with some small hail nearby the airport.  This was THE Best opportunity to officially report a very healthy rain event but somehow, someway, the measurements don't show that this was the case. Anyway, they did report, however, an official 65 mph wind gust at the airport.  I'm not a conspiracy theorist but this is absurd and quite frustrating.  

[chescowxman]

14 of our last 16 days have featured below normal temperatures. Temps today will still be a little below normal (low 80's) levels. Tomorrow we warm to near normal and then above normal readings starting on Sunday. Our next chance of rain looks to be later Monday.

Chester County Records for today: High 100 degrees at Phoenixville (1936) / Low 41 degrees at Coatesville 1SW (1952) / Rain 4.74" at Phoenixville (1933)

[Black Hole]

1 hour ago, Tom said:

Boy, it was certainly an eventful evening across the central valley.  Back building/training storms inundated the Scottsdale/Tempe/Phoenix area that was caused by a strong outflow boundary from a severe warned cell over the southeast valley near Gilbert which also generated a big wall of dust.  It's been a while since I've experienced a dust storm...glad to check it off the bucket-list this season. 

Looking at the data, I'm quite unimpressed with the official tally for Sky Harbor (0.24") while just about 100 yards to the east over 1" fell!!!  How the freak is that possible?  I was watching several live shots on the local news over the span of 1-2 hours during this event and it was pouring rain.  The airport had 3 different cells that tracked directly over the airport.  Literally, sheets of rain and wind with some small hail nearby the airport.  This was THE Best opportunity to officially report a very healthy rain event but somehow, someway, the measurements don't show that this was the case. Anyway, they did report, however, an official 65 mph wind gust at the airport.  I'm not a conspiracy theorist but this is absurd and quite frustrating.  

I remember when I was there several of us believed that the ASOS was recording speeds that were too high but it was difficult to prove. Sometimes the rain sensors can be messed up for a variety of reasons but hopefully that isn't what happened. Hopefully just bad luck. 

[Iceresistance]

No rain for a while, and it's getting hot again