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iFred

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New thread by popular demand.

A few things to note here:
- This thread is indexed by search engines and AI crawlers, that means if UserABC talks about the need to cleanse the Earth of a demographic or ethnicity, then it means that anyone can see that
- If you think I or another moderator is unjustly censoring you, please take a break and go enjoy the weather
- We are a weather forum first, not /pol/, so if it becomes a dumping ground for 2EDGY4U posts, I'll shut it down
- This is not a "free speech zone"
- I reserve the right to think that a couple of you are genuinely terrible people, provided that the online identity you have invested so much time in is a reflection of who you are in meatspace. You reserve the right to do the same with me.
- For future generations of weather nerds and politicos, I'm not a Marxist and think both sides are pretty dumb. Both sides!
- taking stuff from here and bringing it to a weather forum discussion will result in a ban

Lastly, any attacks on a group of people based on race, religion, sexuality, or medical condition will result in a ban.

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Goodbye, record-setting Politics thread at 400+ pages. Hello, new Politics thread that will probably lead to the same result as all the other ones.

Joking aside - I agree with Black Hole's last post in the previous thread. It would be nice to pivot back to actual discussions with reasonable, nuanced positions and not just throwing crazy stuff at the wall to see what sticks. It would also be nice to not always resort to calling people 'delusional' or the 'anti-Christ' or whatever other adjective to describe people you disagree with.

Civil discussion with thoughtful responses. It's a concept, at least.

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A new poll out of Miami-Dade county shows a tied race at 47% each with 6% remaining undecided. Unaffiliated voters back Trump by +8 points, which seems reasonably significant. 

Comparing this poll to 2020 and 2016, Biden won this county by 7 points in 2020 and Hillary won it by 30 points in 2016. So certainly not the best of signs for Kamala, although I'm sure the media will attempt to spin it into a positive somehow.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/poll-shows-trump-harris-tied-155507314.html?guccounter=1

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21 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Goodbye, record-setting Politics thread at 400+ pages. Hello, new Politics thread that will probably lead to the same result as all the other ones.

Joking aside - I agree with Black Hole's last post in the previous thread. It would be nice to pivot back to actual discussions with reasonable, nuanced positions and not just throwing crazy stuff at the wall to see what sticks. It would also be nice to not always resort to calling people 'delusional' or the 'anti-Christ' or whatever other adjective to describe people you disagree with.

Civil discussion with thoughtful responses. It's a concept, at least.

I'm sure everyone will be able to remain civil and on-topic as the election draws closer and closer.  😀

All kidding aside, any issues in here mainly come from a very small number of people, and it's probably a trolling act in part.  If it comes down to letting this thread continue or removing a select few, then the answer should be obvious.

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59 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

Goodbye, record-setting Politics thread at 400+ pages. Hello, new Politics thread that will probably lead to the same result as all the other ones.

Joking aside - I agree with Black Hole's last post in the previous thread. It would be nice to pivot back to actual discussions with reasonable, nuanced positions and not just throwing crazy stuff at the wall to see what sticks. It would also be nice to not always resort to calling people 'delusional' or the 'anti-Christ' or whatever other adjective to describe people you disagree with.

Civil discussion with thoughtful responses. It's a concept, at least.

Surprised it lasted that long

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Never say Never with Weather, because anything is possible!

All observations are in Tecumseh, OK unless otherwise noted

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29 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

What did Andrew say?

Nothing. 

  • Confused 1
  • scream 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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9 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

The news coming out of Arlington Cemetery re: trump campaign is something else.

Fake news I am sure.   🙄

Hope some video surfaces.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Quote

 

When contacted by ABC News on Tuesday night, a representative for the Arlington National Cemetery released a statement that confirmed an "incident" but didn't provide specifics.

"Federal law prohibits political campaign or election-related activities within Army National Military Cemeteries, to include photographers, content creators or any other persons attending for purposes, or in direct support of a partisan political candidate's campaign. Arlington National Cemetery reinforced and widely shared this law and its prohibitions with all participants. We can confirm there was an incident, and a report was filed," the statement read.

 

Trumpers will respond in 2 different ways:

If theres evidence of what happened on video, then it will be worse for trump. And they will essentially scapegoat the guy who committed the actual physical assault.  "Nothing to do with trump," they will say.

If it's just he said she said, not much will change and people will forget about it quickly.

I have to think there's security camera footage?

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7 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Trumpers will respond in 2 different ways:

If theres evidence of what happened on video, then it will be worse for trump. And they will essentially scapegoat the guy who committed the actual physical assault.  "Nothing to do with trump," they will say.

If it's just he said she said, not much will change and people will forget about it quickly.

I have to think there's security camera footage?

Fake news. Kamala was too big of a coward to even be there. 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Fake news. Kamala was too big of a coward to even be there. 

Different ceremony of course.   Trump tried to do a political campaign activity even though he has indicated in the past that he doesn't respect soldiers who have died or been injured.  

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Fake news I am sure.   🙄

Hope some video surfaces.  

Apparently it was a deranged mentally ill person. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

Different ceremony of course.   Trump tried to do a political campaign activity even though he has indicated in the past that he doesn't respect soldiers who have died or been injured.  

Look at you kicking off the new thread

with debunked lies. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Look at you kicking off the new thread

with debunked lies. 

Only debunked in your eyes.   And there is no photography allowed in that section and yet I see videos of Trump in that section.  Pure political motivation.   There is no doubt.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Only debunked in your eyes.   And there is no photography allowed in that section and yet I see videos of Trump in that section.  Pure political motivation.   There is no doubt.

Oh well. 

  • Thanks 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

My state refusing to take RFK off the ballot. As if it matters.

Not just in Colorado, either:

https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-election/rfk-jr-remain-on-ballot-michigan-wisconsin-rcna168506

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/rfk-jr-ballot-battleground-states/

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Posted just now... Kamala needs to win by at least 3 nationally.   

image.png

This is from The Hill. For some reason they haven’t included some of the more recent polls taken after the convention aren’t included including the Yahoo! Poll showing her up 1%.

 

New Fox News swing state polls show Harris up by 1% in NV, AZ, and GA, Trump up 1% in NC. Gonna be close. 

  • Weenie 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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We also don’t know if Trump still has an EC advantage. As in we don’t know that Harris needs to win by 3%. There is one theory that is no longer the case due to the distribution of votes now. 
 

Also interviews with Republican and democrat pollsters are  saying internal polling is much less favorable for Harris. 

Edited by SilverFallsAndrew
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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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18 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

Right, it matters more in those states. 

Kinda funny, the Dems were suing to keep him off the ballot in some states, and now they're fighting to keep him on in others. 

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A forum for the end of the world.

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3 hours ago, hawkstwelve said:

A new poll out of Miami-Dade county shows a tied race at 47% each with 6% remaining undecided. Unaffiliated voters back Trump by +8 points, which seems reasonably significant. 

Comparing this poll to 2020 and 2016, Biden won this county by 7 points in 2020 and Hillary won it by 30 points in 2016. So certainly not the best of signs for Kamala, although I'm sure the media will attempt to spin it into a positive somehow.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/poll-shows-trump-harris-tied-155507314.html?guccounter=1

Good stuff!  I'm sure Tim will try to spin it also.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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11 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Right, it matters more in those states. 

Kinda funny, the Dems were suing to keep him off the ballot in some states, and now they're fighting to keep him on in others. 

Even if he's on a lot less will vote him knowing he has quit his campaign.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Good stuff!  I'm sure Tim will try to spin it also.

I don't know anything about that county... except that it is a majority Cuban and I have heard they strongly support Trump.   Probably doesn't apply to the rest of the country and might not even apply to the rest of Florida which could still be in play.  

  • Weenie 1

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

We also don’t know if Trump still has an EC advantage. As in we don’t know that Harris needs to win by 3%. There is one theory that is no longer the case due to the distribution of votes now. 
 

Also interviews with Republican and democrat pollsters are  saying internal polling is much less favorable for Harris. 

No doubt the EC still favors Trump.  NY and CA alone assure that.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Share on other sites

Just now, TT-SEA said:

I don't know anything about that county... except that is a majority Cuban and I have heard they strongly support Trump.   Probably doesn't apply to the rest of the country and might not even apply to the rest of Florida which could still be in play.  

Chances are over 90% Trump wins Florida.  That state is quite red now.

  • Like 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 50

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Share on other sites

Just now, snow_wizard said:

Chances are over 90% Trump wins Florida.  That state is quite red now.

Probably... but who knows.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

No doubt the EC still favors Trump.  NY and CA alone assure that.

We don’t know this. He’s going to win a lot of smaller states by huge margins and New York could be a little closer. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Chances are over 90% Trump wins Florida.  That state is quite red now.

National handicappers say 75-80%. The closest poll I’ve seen there is Trump +4.

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Share on other sites

24 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Right, it matters more in those states. 

Kinda funny, the Dems were suing to keep him off the ballot in some states, and now they're fighting to keep him on in others. 

And Kennedy was fighting to get on the ballot in some states and is now fighting to get off it.

In politics, the key principle is self-interest.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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 This is incredible.

 

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

And Kennedy was fighting to get on the ballot in some states and is now fighting to get off it.

In politics, the key principle is self-interest.

So democracy is a farce?

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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I really wish our corrupt former SOS had allowed him to run for governor. 

29E161AC-7A59-41F7-9A3E-949CD62E7613.png

  • Like 1

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I really wish our corrupt former SOS had allowed him to run for governor. 

29E161AC-7A59-41F7-9A3E-949CD62E7613.png

I don’t care about per-capita gdp I care about people’s quality of life. France’s life expectancy is 82 and barely fell during Covid…Arkansas’ is 75 or so. Evidently all dollars are not created equal. If you want to live a long and healthy life and you’re not rich, the US isn’t really the place to be. 

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Only the best thinkers for the conservatives.  This $hit rolls down hill, as we've seen in these threads.  It won't be long until Andrew says something similar.

Quote

Conservative radio host Erick Erickson sparked a backlash on Tuesday when criticized Vice President Kamala Harris as a “social ladder climber” and said she has been “since the moment she got up off her knees in front of Willie Brown.” Harris dated Brown, the former mayor of San Francisco, over twenty years ago when she was a young prosecutor.

 

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5 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Only the best thinkers for the conservatives.  This $hit rolls down hill, as we've seen in these threads.  It won't be long until Andrew says something similar.

 

Anna Nicole Smith was an American hero too! RIP!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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