September 2024 PNW Weather Discussion

[Anti Marine Layer]

59 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Also appears that the sunspot count continues to increase. At a new high for the current cycle!

 

 

 

What happened to the grand solar minimum?

[BLI snowman]

17 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Something like 99-00?

Sure, or even 2012-13. Pretty forgettable with patchy snow and still ended up with some prolonged chilly periods, albeit without significant arctic air.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

33 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Sure, or even 2012-13. Pretty forgettable with patchy snow and still ended up with some prolonged chilly periods, albeit without significant arctic air.

We might be due for another inversion fest like that. 

[Deweydog]

Sky looks thundery.

[Snownerd3000]

Bastard's map looks very textbook Nina to me. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

15 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Bastard's map looks very textbook Nina to me. 

Hopefully that can be 100 miles south.

Really liking that 2016-17 analog.

[Tanis Leach]

Uhhhhh.

 

What have I come back to?

 

12z EPS for PDX

[ShawniganLake]

58 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Sky looks thundery.

Lightning out on the Oregon coast 

[Groundhog]

Horrible. Just horrible. Isn’t it, Jesse? We took the kids to a park that contains a water park. Temp was 85F. Kids laughing from having a good time. Such Norman Rockwell moments with nuggets of precious memories are the bane of our civilization. 

[Meatyorologist]

2016-17 looks far and away the best analog thus far. Strong +ENSO -> weak -ENSO

[Christensen87]

Humid  

[Meatyorologist]

Lots of accas out there today

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

2016-17 looks far and away the best analog thus far. Strong +ENSO -> weak -ENSO

I’m good with that. 

[iFred]

4 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Also appears that the sunspot count continues to increase. At a new high for the current cycle!

 

 

 

I’m liking late this week for aurora chances as some serous activity makes it over the limb.

[iFred]

Today was a great day to get lost at Flowerworld and kick off some end of season activities. My old farmers gut is telling me that I’ve probably got 40~ days before the first freeze and ~60 for the first hard one, so I’ve got time to get some dahlias and one last reseeding for the young lawn.

I won’t be sad though if we can get some crisp nights in soon or a few days of dark and damp.

[LowerGarfield]

Spotted yesterday at our resort near Spirit Lake.

[snow drift]

2 hours ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Bastard's map looks very textbook Nina to me. 

Cut and paste like the CPC

[Doinko]

Just heard a huge rumble of thunder at Arch Cape south of Cannon Beach.

[Anti Marine Layer]

4 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Just heard a huge rumble of thunder at Arch Cape south of Cannon Beach.

Is it still foggy there?

[Anti Marine Layer]

Newport could get 5 straight days above 70 F this week. That would be remarkable 

 

[Front Ranger]

4 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

I wouldn't say I'm out, but statistically our luck with landing favorable DJF (mostly D and F) patterns is bound to dry up sooner or later and I feel it's very likely nearing the end of its course. 

When you look back on how many smelly turds we had in the 1900-2015 period it puts into perspective that there's a pretty good chance we see something at least relatively close to that soon. I'm talking about a winter without any subfreezing highs or widespread significant lowland snowfall up and down the I-5 corridor. And it doesn't necessarily have to be an all-timer to be a meh winter. More like 30-40th percentile. 

You're forgetting we're in a NEW NORMAL.

[Positive PNA Enjoyoor]

Took advantage of the warmth to paddle out to an island in Thompson Lakes and have a mini-picnic.  Montana life ftw 

[MossMan]

Some crazy cloud formations at the lake a bit ago, when they passed over it got notably more humid and still! 
Oh and driving home just now my truck “Informed” me that I will be getting a 12” snowstorm this winter. 

Edited September 2, 2024 by MossMan

[T-Town]

A toasty 94 here in Suncadia as we pulled in a couple hours ago. Room is right above the pool filled with screaming kids. No offense to those with screaming kids, just not my thing anymore since my kids well beyond screaming age. Hopefully tomorrow will be a bit quieter as some of the kids head home to go back to school. 

[snow drift]

99 at Felts Field just like yesterday.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

84 at SLE today, 78 up here. Not bad at all. 

[The Blob]

Nice day out, hopefully we get another amazing sunset

[Phishy Wx]

hot as balls today 100 on the car therm.

 

hopefully this is it for nutsness 

[Deweydog]

SUNSET ALERT!!!

[Anti Marine Layer]

3 hours ago, LowerGarfield said:

Spotted yesterday at our resort near Spirit Lake.

Needs a car wash

[The Blob]

Caution, cloud and sunset pictures.

[Deweydog]

[TT-SEA]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

Some crazy cloud formations at the lake a bit ago, when they passed over it got notably more humid and still! 
Oh and driving home just now my truck “Informed” me that I will be getting a 12” snowstorm this winter. 

That same cloud band passed over us on Lake Sammamish around 2 p.m.   I mentioned we might feel a couple rain drops but it was so warm out there it would have felt nice.   I think the thickest part of the cloud lasted for about 10 minutes and then we had uninterrupted sun the rest of the day.  

[DeepFriedEgg]

Don’t worry Jesse, September will end up below average.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Don’t worry Jesse, September will end up below average.

Probably not. October looks progged to be near average though. 

[MossMan]

21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

That same cloud band passed over us on Lake Sammamish around 2 p.m.   I mentioned we might feel a couple rain drops but it was so warm out there it would have felt nice.   I think the thickest part of the cloud lasted for about 10 minutes and then we had uninterrupted sun the rest of the day.  

It’s been a fantastic holiday weekend! 

[Eastwind]

Happy Fall!  

May we get a big windstorm in October and an early season Arctic Blast in November!  

[BLI snowman]

Crepuscular ray action + crooked stop sign at Amaro's Table!

[Tanis Leach]

43 minutes ago, Thermal Trough said:

Happy Fall!  

May we get a big windstorm in October and an early season Arctic Blast in November!  

Plus a main course arctic blast and 35 inches of snow in January.

[snow_wizard]

9 hours ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

What happened to the grand solar minimum?

Disappointing.  It has still been a pretty good minimum, but this cycle is a lot higher than expectations.  I suppose this could be a brief crescendo before it really tanks though.