September 2024 PNW Weather Discussion

[Tenochtitlan]

I’ve posted about it in the other sub-forum but just posting it here because it’s so notable. Typhoon Yagi just made landfall at about 125 mph on the northern coast of Vietnam over the cities of Hai Phong and Ha Long. This is an area that hardly ever gets such strong typhoons and the videos of the high winds and damage are sobering. I hope people there are staying safe! 
 

ETA: a lot of tree damage in Hanoi, with thousands of trees down including one historic tree near a cathedral. Damage in Ha Long looks bad, lots of roofs torn up and a huge boat was overturned.

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

85/58 yesterday…72 here after a low of 58 again this morning. Smoke definitely put a damper on the heat the last couple days. Could’ve gotten close to or hit 90 yesterday and definitely hit 90 on Thursday. 

For me the dampness has been the worst part of it.  The air has just been noticeably wet.   My air conditioner has been putting out insane amounts of water the last couple of days.

[Anti Marine Layer]

Looks like the thermal trough is further inland than expected. 

[snow_wizard]

1 minute ago, Tenochtitlan said:

I’ve posted about it in the other sub-forum but just posting it here because it’s so notable. Typhoon Yagi just made landfall at about 125 mph on the northern coast of Vietnam over the cities of Hai Phong and Ha Long. This is an area that hardly ever gets such strong typhoons and the videos of the high winds and damage are sobering. I hope people there are staying safe! 

I saw video of that yesterday and it was ridiculous.  Stuff was just being destroyed by the wind.  One part of the video showed a guy who had fallen over literally being blown helplessly down the street along with the motorcycle he had just been blown off of.  This in the midst of one of the quietest hurricane / typhoon seasons on record globally speaking.

[Tenochtitlan]

1 minute ago, snow_wizard said:

I saw video of that yesterday and it was ridiculous.  Stuff was just being destroyed by the wind.  One part of the video showed a guy who had fallen over literally being blown helplessly down the street along with the motorcycle he had just been blown off of.  This in the midst of one of the quietest hurricane / typhoon seasons on record globally speaking.

Yeah, normally that area is somewhat protected by land masses to the east but Yagi took a perfect path to maintain strength just grazing the northern side of Hainan. The South China Sea is also extremely warm right now which contributed to Yagi becoming one of only a handful of Cat 5’s recorded there. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

11 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I saw video of that yesterday and it was ridiculous.  Stuff was just being destroyed by the wind.  One part of the video showed a guy who had fallen over literally being blown helplessly down the street along with the motorcycle he had just been blown off of.  This in the midst of one of the quietest hurricane / typhoon seasons on record globally speaking.

One thing about our obesity epidemic is most Americans don’t have to worry about being blown down the street. 

[snow_wizard]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

One thing about our obesity epidemic is most Americans don’t have to worry about being blown down the street. 

Always a silver lining.

Seriously though, I have never seen anything like it.  He managed to get into a sitting position and was still being blown down the street.  You could hear somebody laughing their azz off.

[ShawniganLake]

Could be a named storm in the gulf next week.  

[DeepFriedEgg]

80F, 65F DP in September. That’s kind of a wtf for the PNW

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Could be a named storm in the gulf next week.  

It had to happen eventually.  This season really has been an enigma.  They think they have figured out why long track storms haven't been happening, but the short track ones has to be something different.  

[snow_wizard]

Temps are way short of model projections.  Yet another high temp knocked down by smoke.  Kind of cheating, but I'll take it.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Always a silver lining.

Seriously though, I have never seen anything like it.  He managed to get into a sitting position and was still being blown down the street.  You could hear somebody laughing their azz off.

Sounds pretty terrifying!

[kokaneekidz]

31 minutes ago, Anti Marine Layer said:

Looks like the thermal trough is further inland than expected. 

Bring on those COLD northerlies. Time to stow the boat and batten down the hatches.

[kokaneekidz]

14 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Could be a named storm in the gulf next week.  

I think the probabilities put it at 1 in 10 chance. I love the long shot

[Groundhog]

We couldn’t make it to Baker today, but here’s some pics from a year ago this weekend. We had just received the kids’ passports, so it was their first time in the US despite us only being 13 miles from the Sumas border crossing. (Crossed it dozens of times prior to having kids). 

[T-Town]

I guess our hibiscus loves smoke. 75 here after a low of 61. 

[Thermal Trough]

1 hour ago, Tenochtitlan said:

I’ve posted about it in the other sub-forum but just posting it here because it’s so notable. Typhoon Yagi just made landfall at about 125 mph on the northern coast of Vietnam over the cities of Hai Phong and Ha Long. This is an area that hardly ever gets such strong typhoons and the videos of the high winds and damage are sobering. I hope people there are staying safe! 
 

ETA: a lot of tree damage in Hanoi, with thousands of trees down including one historic tree near a cathedral. Damage in Ha Long looks bad, lots of roofs torn up and a huge boat was overturned.

Based on the typhoon rules, a typhoon not recurving out to sea and making landfall in Asia means a west coast trough and east coast ridge. This is not 100% but it usually happens. Look for the downstream effects to produce a sustained trough out here.

[snow_wizard]

49 minutes ago, Groundhog said:

We couldn’t make it to Baker today, but here’s some pics from a year ago this weekend. We had just received the kids’ passports, so it was their first time in the US despite us only being 13 miles from the Sumas border crossing. (Crossed it dozens of times prior to having kids). 

Purdy!

When I was a kid, you could go over the border any time you wanted.  I can remember one time my older cousins decided to do that when we were all visiting our aunt in Everson.  They kind of looked like stoner types so the border agents completely tore the car apart looking for whatever.  When they didn't find anything they let us go through.  Fun times!

[snow_wizard]

20 minutes ago, Thermal Trough said:

Based on the typhoon rules, a typhoon not recurving out to sea and making landfall in Asia means a west coast trough and east coast ridge. This is not 100% but it usually happens. Look for the downstream effects to produce a sustained trough out here.

Excellent point.  Exactly what the models are showing as well!

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

6 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

I went to Leavenworth in December 2011 and there was snow on the ground, maybe 3-4”. It was dry with a cold inversion when we were there. 

Maybe leftover from December.  So perhaps the inversion made December dry.  I was in Bellingham then and I don't remember much from that month 

[FroYoBro]

A very humid 81 degrees here with no rain to show for it.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

A very humid 81 degrees here with no rain to show for it.

I think you can add a few more pukes to that.  The humidity has driven me nuts this summer.  Last night the drain plugged up our air conditioner and the floor got soaked with water it was sucking out of the air.  Just disgusting.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Smoke aloft is holding the temps down today, Running about 6˚F cooler than yesterday at this same time.

P.S. Max yesterday was 86.4 °F, so looks like no 90-burgers for me this time.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

8 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

A very humid 81 degrees here with no rain to show for it.

At least no C-note today.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, Groundhog said:

We couldn’t make it to Baker today, but here’s some pics from a year ago this weekend. We had just received the kids’ passports, so it was their first time in the US despite us only being 13 miles from the Sumas border crossing. (Crossed it dozens of times prior to having kids). 

Nice! In case you were unaware, the flat-topped peak, Table Mountain, is surprisingly easy to access, despite how daunting it looks from a distance. There is an established and marked trail all the way to the top.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

29 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

Maybe leftover from December.  So perhaps the inversion made December dry.  I was in Bellingham then and I don't remember much from that month 

Yeah it’s very possible it could have been leftover snow from late November. It was still winter like and nice due to the cold and frost from the ice fog on the old

crusty snow. 

[quackattack]

Very sticky out there today. Lots of DPs in mid 60s and even a few 70s on the map  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, quackattack said:

Very sticky out there today. Lots of DPs in mid 60s and even a few 70s on the map  

 

I’m getting 10 miles in at Silver Falls right now and it’s sticky! Go Ducks!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Not a bad GFS run. Not very wet, but as long as we get a little rain and cool down the big rains can wait until October.

[iFred]

@MossMan so what did you do?

[MossMan]

57 minutes ago, iFred said:

@MossMan so what did you do?

Shoot, I almost went over there earlier after the kids soccer games but decided to come home and mow instead since the grass is growing at an insane rate. Otherwise I could have reported live the situation with the smoke! 
 

Fun fact, Lake Goodwin and Lake Shoecraft are joined by a canal that runs under West Lake Goodwin Road. As a kid I would take my fishing boat through there to fish Shoecraft as well. It dries up in the summer though so you have to go through early in the spring and it’s still only about a foot deep. I always thought it was the coolest thing ever going under the road and go to a different lake without even getting out of the boat! 

[DeepFriedEgg]

18z is playing with fire!

[DeepFriedEgg]

87F and humid! 65F DP

[TacomaWx]

Not too bad here today besides the smoke…76/58 so far. 

[T-Town]

A couple orcas in the Narrows in front of the house this afternoon. Had to use the telescope to see them but still cool. Max of 77 here so far, currently 75. 

[Dave]

More thunderstorms in the area. There has been several new fire starts, unfortunately.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pray 4 Oregon 

[DeepFriedEgg]

Loving what the GEFS is showing past 300 hours

[Eugene-5SW]

Making a late run at 90 here. Only 0.2º to go.

EUG already sealed the deal for #36 of the year. I'm sure TWL will be right with us.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

9 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

Loving what the GEFS is showing past 300 hours

Another heat dome?