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September 2024 PNW Weather Discussion


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3 hours ago, Phil said:

No, those cold extratropical SSTAs have little if any effect on the pattern. They are merely a low frequency echo of atmospheric circulation tendencies driven by ocean-atmosphere coupling originating in the tropics (very different dynamical situation down there).

Agreed. And this is not mutually exclusive with the PDO being used as a predictive index.

A forum for the end of the world.

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1 hour ago, MossMan said:

And Randy along with Mr Lahey! (RIP 😞

image.gif

My buddy loves trailer park boys!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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16 hours ago, iFred said:

If it’s any consolation, the stuff out now is 10x the crap that I was exposed to in high school. With family and friends straight up addicted in a way that they try to pass off as blasé as the need for a morning cup of coffee but completely blind to how much of a mental wreck they are if they can’t get a hit of their weed pen.

Glad it’s legal, happy some people can be happy with it, but 99/100 potheads I’ve ever met were generally shitty people with some of the most insular worldviews I’ve encountered. Rick Steves is the exception, your unemployed neighbor with a brain of mush is not.

Laughable. I know so many people that HAVE to have a cup of coffee first in the morning otherwise they’re grouchy and pissy. Somehow coffee gets a pass. Also I don’t trust 99/100 stats people throw out. 

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Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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82F and mostly sunny. Really nice and much cooler than the depressing 90s over and over.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 62F (Oct 4, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 36F (Oct 3, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 0 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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15 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

For me I was just burying my anxiety and not growing. I could only do that for so long. I've watched weed completely dissolve the personalities of some of my high school friends... Though my roommate and his work friend smoke weed on a weekly basis, and he's a well rounded guy more or less, more so than me in many ways. Just depends. Everyone's different, and everyone's responsible for themselves. I wish anyone else struggling with addiction the very best.

Way too nuanced. Easier to just say it’s terrible for everyone. 

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Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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If this storm was coming on Thursday instead of Wednesday, Sunriver would have been in even bigger danger. I don’t think it’ll push 6 miles overnight, but if it had another 24 hours…

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Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

I like some Drake. Also Bryan Adams.

Mid '80s Bryan Adams was solid. Not a fan of the rest.

Drake definitely has a handful of good singles (amongst dozens of releases) but his rapping is pretty weak and hopefully Kendrick Lamar put at least a couple of nails in the career coffin.

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15 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

82F and mostly sunny. Really nice and much cooler than the depressing 90s over and over.

70 here.  The cooling has been way faster up here, but at least your getting into somewhat tolerable territory. 

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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1 hour ago, DareDuck said:

Laughable. I know so many people that HAVE to have a cup of coffee first in the morning otherwise they’re grouchy and pissy. Somehow coffee gets a pass. Also I don’t trust 99/100 stats people throw out. 

91.87% of statistics are made up on the spot.

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It's called clown range for a reason.

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Nice day! Wish today wasn’t so busy otherwise I would have headed to the lake to enjoy the last warm lovely day until next May. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Our cabernet sauvignon grapes are starting to turn purple.   We are usually able to harvest in late September.    Our vines are now 10 years old and very productive. 

20240910_155500.jpg

We hope to try grapes one day!

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PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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1 hour ago, DareDuck said:

Laughable. I know so many people that HAVE to have a cup of coffee first in the morning otherwise they’re grouchy and pissy. Somehow coffee gets a pass. Also I don’t trust 99/100 stats people throw out. 

Almost every study I've seen would support that coffee is at least substantially better for you than weed. Especially if you smoke weed.

But I agree that caffeine addiction is a real thing. When it comes to harmful vices, it's probably pretty far down the list.

A forum for the end of the world.

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27 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Nice day! Wish today wasn’t so busy otherwise I would have headed to the lake to enjoy the last warm lovely day until next May. 

We are holding out hope for late September and early October.   We have had some great boat days in October in recent years... including last year during the first weekend of the month.   It was hot out there.   

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Maybe this will start the green-up a lot of places.

gfs_apcpn_nwus_7.png

Already super green here! 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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5 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Maybe this will start the green-up a lot of places.

gfs_apcpn_nwus_7.png

The grass that was all dead brown here is now lush green like May.   It can't get any greener for mid September here.    Hope that means non-stressed trees putting on a fall color show in October. 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

The grass that was all dead brown here is now lush green like May.   It can't get any greener for mid September here.    Hope that means non-stressed trees putting on a fall color show in October. 

We're up to about 50% recovered now.  Still a lot of brown though.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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And the 18z GFS takes the death ridge away!

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 37

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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Just now, Front Ranger said:

The Willamette, Umpqua and Rogue Valleys are quite brown still.

That's pretty common for this time of year though. 

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Even heavier ash falling in Bend now. Hopefully this is the last day of this. 

IMG_6038.jpeg

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Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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71/53 here today…was some light rain out near port orchard and Bremerton on my way home but dry here at home. Some interesting looking skies on the drive home but the most noticeable thing was the very clear air. Could see rainier and Seattle well from the higher hills of silverdale. 

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1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

The grass that was all dead brown here is now lush green like May.   It can't get any greener for mid September here.    Hope that means non-stressed trees putting on a fall color show in October. 

Read somewhere last week that stressed trees actually put on the best color. Wish I saved the article, because I have observed the opposite. 

PWS: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWAPORTA220

2023-2024 Snow Total: 18" (6 events)

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6 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Read somewhere last week that stressed trees actually put on the best color. Wish I saved the article, because I have observed the opposite. 

Yeah... 2022 was a stark example of stressed trees not putting on any show at all.   Around here at least it seems like if we get decent rain early in the fall then its good.    Stressed trees tend to just turn brown and then the leaves fall off quickly.   Maybe its different in the Midwest and NE where they get regular summer rain every year.  

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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