September 2024 PNW Weather Discussion

[kokaneekidz]

22 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I remember in 2020 people were saying smoke allows radiational cooling while effectively blocking sunlight during the day.  A very effective cooling agent.

Kinda how Nuclear Winter operates. Wishing we never get to experience such madness firsthand.

[kokaneekidz]

14 hours ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

Yeah NE side of the fire is probably done progressing, and it should be pretty hard for the current active area to get very far, but with a strong wind it will be able to.

Most of it looks something like this but a little more dead by now, this photo is from Google Street view from just a month ago. No photos of the area in my camera roll recently so Google will have to do lol.

The SMELL of Ponderosa is the best of any evergreen tree BARNONE! I hope some survived , they are much stronger and durable than west side evergreen trees at least, owing to the thicker bark I believe

[LowerGarfield]

35 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I love when recent events get brought up, I always pop into my pictures and relive them! 
That was a doozy of a weekend!! 

We did so well with that event 6 or 7 inches. It's my cover photo on my profile. 

[LowerGarfield]

For some reason SE WA  or at least South of Colfax and North Central Idaho did really well that winter. 

Lewiston even did very well in Feb 2021 and they sometimes get skunked. 

[Snownerd3000]

44 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I love when recent events get brought up, I always pop into my pictures and relive them! 
That was a doozy of a weekend!! 

Was a fun V Day with the fam.  That was some of the weirder snows I've experienced.  Very dry and blowing off of roofs. Must have had a good outflow with this storm.

[the_convergence_zone]

1 minute ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Was a fun V Day with the fam.  That was some of the weirder snows I've experienced.  Very dry and blowing off of roofs. Must have had a good outflow with this storm.

It's funny you call that storm weird because to me it was the only storm that ever felt "normal" to me (relative to what I grew up with in the Midwest). 

[Snownerd3000]

1 hour ago, Phil said:

1988 ended up being a near-perfect summer analog out this way, FWIW. Basically a genetic clone in terms of temps, lack of precip/convection, regional circulation pattern, etc.

1988 was also a rapidly maturing +QBO/Niña near solar maximum following a strong Niño. Has to be a leading analog, IMO.

Always fun to see the analogs for a given winter season.  I was too young to remember but looked up that winter and saw that was the blast the area got end of Jan into Feb 89.  One difference from an ENSO perspective is that was a strong nina and we'll probably end up moderate at best.

[Snownerd3000]

Just now, the_convergence_zone said:

It's funny you call that storm weird because to me it was the only storm that ever felt "normal" to me (relative to what I grew up with in the Midwest). 

All relative I guess.  I'm used to the cascade concrete but that first storm on the 13th I remember it being odd seeing roof tops in my neighborhood and mini snow drifts from the blowing snow.  I'm sure folks up north in Whatcom Co its a bit more normal at least for W WA.

[Tenochtitlan]

33 minutes ago, kokaneekidz said:

Kinda how Nuclear Winter operates. Wishing we never get to experience such madness firsthand.

Let’s hope not. Nuclear war wouldn’t be worth the epic winters! 

[Phishy Wx]

88-89 looks a pretty good winter around here. 66"

 

would be the snowiest winter i've experienced in Spokane by 4"

[Tyler Mode]

Euro control goes full on thermal trough/east wind/dry air NEXT weekend.

[MossMan]

It’s coming! 
 

Got your two-week supply ready? 

[Groundhog]

2 hours ago, kokaneekidz said:

The SMELL of Ponderosa is the best of any evergreen tree BARNONE! I hope some survived , they are much stronger and durable than west side evergreen trees at least, owing to the thicker bark I believe

I dunno know. Growing up we burned apple wood in our stove for a few winters. It had a gentle, sweet smell. I always slept with my window open. Having some of that smoke gently drifting in my room was a great way to fall asleep. 

[Cold Snap]

4 hours ago, iFred said:

Paging @joelgombiner

Looks like he hasn’t been on the forum in over a year. Wonder what he’s been up to. I occasionally see him comment on weather posts on Twitter.

[Cold Snap]

3 hours ago, TacomaWx said:

January 2012 was a pretty good one too, somewhat forgotten about since it’s mostly remembered for the devastating ice storm. That was about 10” of snow with over 1” of ice…we don’t typically get severe ice storms as often as western Oregon. One of the more memorable weather events in my lifetime. 

I remember the convergence zone the next day after the main event went through dropped like 6 inches of snow here. That was defiantly a good week for the puget sound region.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, MossMan said:

I love when recent events get brought up, I always pop into my pictures and relive them! 
That was a doozy of a weekend!! 

That one pic of your daughter looks like it could easily pass for Alaska.

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

I remember the convergence zone the next day after the main event went through dropped like 6 inches of snow here. That was defiantly a good week for the puget sound region.

That was the only time I've seen it go snow, freezing rain, snow since I've lived here.  The trees here looked downright scary from being so weighted down.  Thank God there was no wind when they were like that.

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

That one pic of your daughter looks like it could easily pass for Alaska.

Felt like Alaska that day, deep snow with snow falling and temps in the mid 20’s (maybe even low 20’s) if I remember correctly. 

Edited September 13 by MossMan

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Was a fun V Day with the fam.  That was some of the weirder snows I've experienced.  Very dry and blowing off of roofs. Must have had a good outflow with this storm.

There was indeed.  Too much of it here.

[snow_wizard]

9 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Felt like Alaska that day, deep snow with snow falling and temps in the mid 20’s (maybe even low 20’s) if I remember correctly. 

I remember there was snow falling with unusually low temps alright.  We have had some beastly quick hitting cold air masses in recent years.  Dec 2021 was nice in that the cold dug in for a while.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

88-89 looks a pretty good winter around here. 66"

 

would be the snowiest winter i've experienced in Spokane by 4"

In some ways that is my favorite winter here.  The one thing I did not like was the very mild autumn before it.

[Snownerd3000]

Just saw the most perfect x post for this forum but it was a little NSFW. Can I post? It will be good for a laugh or 3.

[snow_wizard]

15 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Just saw the most perfect x post for this forum but it was a little NSFW. Can I post? It will be good for a laugh or 3.

I think so, but Fred is the expert on that.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, Tyler Mode said:

Euro control goes full on thermal trough/east wind/dry air NEXT weekend.

 Pretty good cool shot going into it though.

[RentonHill]

[CloudJunkie]

Have you guys seen this yet?

 

[the_convergence_zone]

3 minutes ago, CloudJunkie said:

Have you guys seen this yet?

 

Looks like a generic climate change signal for the most part with a bit of -ENSO thrown in. 

[Snownerd3000]

1 minute ago, CloudJunkie said:

Have you guys seen this yet?

 

Ya I shared Ben's site earlier this week.  Saw that he just posted this as well.  Winter looks backloaded from a month by month basis.

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Just saw the most perfect x post for this forum but it was a little NSFW. Can I post? It will be good for a laugh or 3.

 

48 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I think so, but Fred is the expert on that.

Looks like a no go.

[snow_wizard]

6 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Looks like a generic climate change signal for the most part with a bit of -ENSO thrown in. 

Looks good for us.  Believe it or not winters like that happened decades ago.

[Snownerd3000]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

 

Looks like a no go.

Ya I shared and then. Understandably as there was language and a named lady butt lol. 

[snow_wizard]

7 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Ya I shared Ben's site earlier this week.  Saw that he just posted this as well.  Winter looks backloaded from a month by month basis.

Mid looks good too.

[snow_wizard]

Pretty fun seeing such a strong consensus for us to have a good winter.  As I've mentioned before Weatherbell shows it being an exceptionally cold winter here.  Beyond just typical ENSO forcing.  

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

12 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Ya I shared Ben's site earlier this week.  Saw that he just posted this as well.  Winter looks backloaded from a month by month basis.

Feb 2019

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Feb 2019

I'm happy to see January looking good.  That month has been tremendously underachieving this century so far.  Historically January far exceeds any other winter month for depth of cold, duration of cold, and snowfall.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Doing better on the rainfall with this system. Up to 0.18" so far. 56.8˚F, feels like an autumn afternoon.

[Deweydog]

First trip to the swamp in September since 1992!

[KeyPeninsula_Wx]

6 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

First trip to the swamp in September since 1992!

Gross

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

29 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Ya I shared and then. Understandably as there was language and a named lady butt lol. 

What account posted it? That way those of us who are curious can find it to get a good laugh 

[SnowWillarrive]

6 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Gross

I see they installed oil wells