September 2024 PNW Weather Discussion

[Front Ranger]

30 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Models are looking solidly cool next week.  Precip prospects are all over the place though.

Yeah Euro is very chilly. Looking like a fairly dynamic week coming up. Fall! More or less on time.

 

[iFred]

13 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Sorry pal...north of the butthole is the rectum. Actually the rectum is inland from the butthole. We're more like the gooch up here, maybe. Or just upper crack where scuzz collects. Anyways, thats enough of that. Sorry everyone

This is a family forum.

[Deweydog]

1 hour ago, iFred said:

This is a family forum.

Even families have buttholes.

[Deweydog]

Grade A day on the WD.

[ShawniganLake]

39 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Grade A day on the WD.

Looks nice other than that dead tree I see.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

I hope Rob is ok.

[Meatyorologist]

[SnowWillarrive]

15 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

Yeah....Sadly there are only a few winters where both the Wilamette Valley and most of Western WA score well.  It takes the kind of winter you are talking about here, but there are others that were pretty solid everywhere.

Will never see that again 

[Phishy Wx]

scored a new job this week.

 

need to make a beer run for the weekend.

 

Cougs game on the tube at 7pm

 

Cheers

[Snownerd3000]

43 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

scored a new job this week.

 

need to make a beer run for the weekend.

 

Cougs game on the tube at 7pm

 

Cheers

[TacomaWx]

64/53 here today. Looks like we may finally have something to track with a couple modest systems swinging through next week. Until then the weather continues to be a snooze fest. 

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

The ol' Friday afternoon redbull nature walk.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I hope Rob is ok.

He’s fine I talked to him last week. He made the OBA finals. Kind of a big deal. 

[Front Ranger]

1 hour ago, Phishy Wx said:

scored a new job this week.

 

need to make a beer run for the weekend.

 

Cougs game on the tube at 7pm

 

Cheers

Nice! My girlfriend finally did as well. Not making as much as she was before, but she thinks she'll enjoy this one more.

[DeepFriedEgg]

That eastern Canada ridge is ridiculous. Literally might end up being a month straight of strong ridging. The worm has turned for sure. Endless troughing for the PNW. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

10 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

He’s fine I talked to him last week. He made the OBA finals. Kind of a big deal. 

Ok good to hear. I haven't been able to communicate much for a while.

Got work tonight and my boys are over this weekend. Should be nice weather.

[DeepFriedEgg]

If the worm has turned that’s bad news for our winters.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

If the worm has turned that’s bad news for our winters.

I can tell you are going to add a lot to the discussion.

[Phishy Wx]

13 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Nice! My girlfriend finally did as well. Not making as much as she was before, but she thinks she'll enjoy this one more.

Congrats to her!  I managed to snag a 15% bump up on base.  Bigger bonus structure too, but no RSUs like last gig.  can't complain though, out of work for a total of 11 weeks, not bad in this tech market

[snow_wizard]

49 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

64/53 here today. Looks like we may finally have something to track with a couple modest systems swinging through next week. Until then the weather continues to be a snooze fest. 

At least it's cool.

[snow_wizard]

5 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said:

If the worm has turned that’s bad news for our winters.

The worm I'm worried about is when we change into a long running +PDO state.  Not sure what that is going to look like at this point.  We still have a while before that will happen, although it could be in the next few years.

[Thermal Trough]

On 9/19/2024 at 4:38 PM, snow_wizard said:

Well what have we here? 

 

 

9 hours ago, Slushy Inch said:

High hopes 

I’m been thinking we’re going to get a front loaded cold season. Will probably be more blocky than usual. November and December will be in play for Arctic Blasts but October could also be colder than normal.

[Thermal Trough]

21 hours ago, Slushy Inch said:

Hype!

 

20 hours ago, snow_wizard said:

The shape of that below normal anomaly field is a big deal.  That look is more favorable for snow in WA because it suggests a good battle line between cold air and Pacific moisture tracking just south of the cold air.  Situations where the cold anoms penetrate well south are often not as favorable for snow.

That has snow/ice written all over it for PDX Metro with the winter battle zone over the area. Better chances for snow further North. It’s all about being in the Goldilocks zone though. Too cold usually means too dry.

[Thermal Trough]

3 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Grade A day on the WD.

 

2 hours ago, Meatyorologist said:

Nothing like going for a nature walk on a nice sunny fall day!

[MossMan]

Came home early to start phase 1 of the fall yard trim up. Will probably be at least 3 phases so I have 2 to go! Also had to mow again. 
14 yards of wood-chip mulch being delivered tomorrow for the dog yard to cut down on the winter mud…Because it’s coming! 

[Cold Snap]

Dropped below 50 for the first time this month with a low of 48 yesterday morning. Had a low of 51 this morning.

[TacomaWx]

1 hour ago, snow_wizard said:

At least it's cool.

It’s been really really nice IMO overall I’ve enjoyed this month. I’m just ready for us to start getting some real fall storm trains rolling. We’ve definitely shifted into more cooler fall weather with occasional rains but I’m ready for some real stormy weather. 

[Chewbacca Defense]

4 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

scored a new job this week.

 

need to make a beer run for the weekend.

 

Cougs game on the tube at 7pm

 

Cheers

Congrats! do you have to move or is it local/remote?

[kokaneekidz]

2 hours ago, Thermal Trough said:

 

I’m been thinking we’re going to get a front loaded cold season. Will probably be more blocky than usual. November and December will be in play for Arctic Blasts but October could also be colder than normal.

I concur. Senses say early Nov snow for 500' or higher environs then a region wide event by Turkey Day. Summer just hits the brakes so hard this year and that gets us headed in the proper direction. Was really hopium for another heatwave , but as it gets closer the prognosis gets less and less likely. Now let's just focus on cold and snow  

[LowerGarfield]

Why does Tropical Tidbits only show up to the 18Z GFS? shouldn't we have had the 00Z?

[Chewbacca Defense]

3 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Nice! My girlfriend finally did as well. Not making as much as she was before, but she thinks she'll enjoy this one more.

There is certainly something to be said for this part.  Hopefully she is at least making enough to not be stressing over money.

[Chewbacca Defense]

3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

He’s fine I talked to him last week. He made the OBA finals. Kind of a big deal. 

OBA.....Oklahoma Bandmasters association?  LOL but that's the first thing that came up when I googled "OBA"

[LowerGarfield]

4 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

scored a new job this week.

 

need to make a beer run for the weekend.

 

Cougs game on the tube at 7pm

 

Cheers

Thrilled for you! Please tell me you are staying in Spokane / Liberty Lake area? Working from home or the office?

[LowerGarfield]

7 minutes ago, kokaneekidz said:

I concur. Senses say early Nov snow for 500' or higher environs then a region wide event by Turkey Day. Summer just hits the brakes so hard this year and that gets us headed in the proper direction. Was really hopium for another heatwave , but as it gets closer the prognosis gets less and less likely. Now let's just focus on cold and snow  

I didn't know you lived by Utsalady. We used to live in Lost Lake before moving to Stanwood for a few years then ID/SE WA.

[LowerGarfield]

Does anyone know the average date where somewhere like Wenatchee or Ellensburg (I.e. East side cold pool) develops and East of the Cascades becomes colder than West of it?

[kokaneekidz]

38 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

I didn't know you lived by Utsalady. We used to live in Lost Lake before moving to Stanwood for a few years then ID/SE WA.

I moved July 22nd. I was in Mukilteo for years. Now Utsalady(land of many berries ) lol Road. It's a big adjustment... The local brewery Ale Spike is awesome. Its in an airplane hanger on the so called camano airstrip.  

Did you enjoy Lost Lake? Good trout there  

[SilverFallsAndrew]

48 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

OBA.....Oklahoma Bandmasters association?  LOL but that's the first thing that came up when I googled "OBA"

He made the finals for the Oregon bowling association. I believe he snagged the final spot in the finals at the semis. He’s actually a really good bowler and this is basically his first season back in competitive bowling in almost two decades. 

[Slushy Inch]

9 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Yeah Euro is very chilly. Looking like a fairly dynamic week coming up. Fall! More or less on time.

 

Chance of wind too, but it probably miss north.

[snow_wizard]

38 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

He made the finals for the Oregon bowling association. I believe he snagged the final spot in the finals at the semis. He’s actually a really good bowler and this is basically his first season back in competitive bowling in almost two decades. 

I used to LOVE bowling.  I used to go to the local alley and do at least 4 games once a week.  I think my record was like 7 with the rent a lane option they had.

[snow_wizard]

1 hour ago, LowerGarfield said:

Does anyone know the average date where somewhere like Wenatchee or Ellensburg (I.e. East side cold pool) develops and East of the Cascades becomes colder than West of it?

That a great question.  I'm guessing early October.  The mins get a lot colder than ours at first.