October 2024 Observations and Discussion

[CentralNebWeather]

10 minutes ago, Tom said:

FWIW, this ULL system did not look anywhere near as exciting as it is turning out to be across the heartland of KS/NE.  I'm sure a few our NE members are enjoying this rainfall.  Anything is appreciated at this rate.

Thunderstorm warning. Rain approaching. It has already rained 3 different times today. This should be the heaviest. 

[CentralNebWeather]

14 minutes ago, Tom said:

@CentralNebWeather...nice lookin' storm knocking on your door...

Lots of lightning coming also. 

[CentralNebWeather]

 

 

[CentralNebWeather]

 

 

[Tom]

18 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

 

 

Did you get some small hail?  I thought I saw some laying on the deck.

[CentralNebWeather]

15 minutes ago, Tom said:

Did you get some small hail?  I thought I saw some laying on the deck.

Pea size. 0.50” so far, still raining. Boy is this beautiful. 

[CentralNebWeather]

58 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said:

Pea size. 0.50” so far, still raining. Boy is this beautiful. 

0.60” as of 7:30 pm. Still light rain and 49 degrees.  This feels like the 3rd week of October. 

[Bryan1117]

What is this liquid falling from the sky… could it actually be raining here for the first time in over a month. So far it’s been enough to wet the driveway and wash off some of the dust on everything outside, now I am just hoping for the heavier showers out west to make it here.

[jaster220]

On 10/20/2024 at 2:48 PM, westMJim said:

I don't know about in your area but here in west Michigan the color is the best it has been in a long time. I was up in Bay City on Thursday and the color there is good also. 

I think it's due to the moist spring & summer. The water had time to seep deep down to the roots where the trees "drink". This recent autumn dryness with a lower sun angle is too late to change that either. Colors have been stellar. We're peaking in Harrison, but I noticed heading home after work that outside of town, the Grayling and Higgins Lk regions are past peak. Still some color, but half bare trees as well after the breezy weekend. 

[Stormy]

13 hours ago, Niko said:

I saw a ladybug too trying to crawl outta my car window as I was opening up my window to enjoy that warm, fresh breeze. Poor thing was trap, so I helped it fly away. Man, that was strange, so late in the season. Am I thinking what you are?? Ma nature might have big surprises in stored for many. 

Just a day or two ago I even heard a cicada again.

[Iceresistance]

Not even a single drop of rain for WEEKS

[AquariusRadar]

The low pressure traversing Iowa and headed Northeast is not producing a lot of rain. Too much dry air along the path. But this could be a harbinger of good things to come. These systems that come out of the four corners region are traditionally good rain makers especially if they pull up lots of Gulf moisture ahead of the storm. But this one is not going to help the drought situation in Oklahoma Red River.

[chescowxman]

Another large spread in temperatures this early AM across the area. Upper 50's in East Nantmeal while lower 40's a few miles north at Warwick but 300 feet lower. Many spots except the highest ridges will touch the 80's today before we start cooling down tomorrow through the weekend. Of course, there is no chance of any rain in our future!

[westMJim]

It was a very warm late October day yesterday in fact Alpena and Sault Ste Marie set record highs for the day. It reached 81 at Alpena that broke the old record of 78 and at the Sault the high of 76 broke the old record there of 70.

[westMJim]

Yesterday was yet another warm, sunny late October day. The official H/L was 77/51 there was no rainfall the sun was out 100% of the possible time. For today the average H/L is 58/40 the record high of 82 was set in 1953 and 1979 the coldest high of 37 was set in 1969. The record low of 23 was set in 1944 the warmest low of 60 was set in 1971, 1900. The most rainfall of 1.40” fell in 1987 the most snowfall of 0.9” fell in 1987. Last year the H/L was 53/34.  

[Tom]

@OttumwaSnomow got a decent line of showers that rolled on through as this band of RN tracks through E IA...

 

[Madtown]

Storm next week is what I've been hearing

[Tom]

Some pretty hefty snowfall totals for the 4 corners region...Taos, NM takes the "cake" with up to 30" of snowfall...not a bad way to build a base and start off this cold season. 

[jaster220]

10 minutes ago, Madtown said:

Storm next week is what I've been hearing

Something scooting along the CAN/US border is what I've seen flashed. Could work out for yby

[Black Hole]

Weeklies as well as the medium range ensembles painting a cooler and wetter picture during week 2 still. We really should finally get some rain with this.

[Black Hole]

Looking a lot further ahead on the weeklies, they are showing a +PNA ridge with a favorable pattern for cold and snowy weather for many of us (in a general sense) as we enter December. Something to hope for anyway!

[OttumwaSnomow]

50 minutes ago, Tom said:

@OttumwaSnomow got a decent line of showers that rolled on through as this band of RN tracks through E IA...

 

I got .19" this am. Nice to settle the dust.  So I have 1.19" in October which is more than most thanks to that freak 1" on Oct 4th still extremely dry since late August. Is our worst October mowing ever despite the warm temps.

[Tom]

1 minute ago, OttumwaSnomow said:

I got .19" this am. Nice to settle the dust.  So I have 1.19" in October which is more than most thanks to that freak 1" on Oct 4th still extremely dry since late August. Is our worst October mowing ever despite the warm temps.

I think your going to do good again for the Thu-Fri system...this pattern is showing signs of breaking...my gut feeling is that the entire region will really amp up end of OCT with the big storm that will come out of the 4 corners region.  The Euro is showing a wound up storm and so do the ensembles.  Interesting time for a weather enthusiast out here in the desert of Arizona tracking storms that head your way!

[Hawkeye]

We got our first lightning and thunder since August, but still no measurable rain.  The line shot through very quickly and the air is way too dry.

[Clinton]

KC's dry spell ended overnight with .05 inches, however it continues for me.  Today is day #28 with no measurable precip. 

[Black Hole]

1 hour ago, Clinton said:

KC's dry spell ended overnight with .05 inches, however it continues for me.  Today is day #28 with no measurable precip. 

I think it's day 28 with no rain here as well. We have some small rain chances Thursday and Saturday but at this point the most likely outcome is no rain for another week or longer...but as I noted earlier, next week or weekend does look good. 

[MMike]

Yep, I missed that .005 Clinton....HAHAHAHA...like it would have helped. 

Maybe a better chance Thursday night and the CMC and EURO went bonkers for  a storm 7-8 days out with widespread heavy rains for our area. Let's see if we can get something going. 

[jaster220]

Meanwhile. zzzz

[Stormy]

Had quite a bit of lightning and thunder from a fast moving narrow line of storms this morning, but got only 0.08".

[westMJim]

The official H/L yesterday at Grand Rapids was 74/47 there as a trace of rainfall. The sun was out 65% of the possible time. For today the average H/L is 58/40 the record high of 83 was set in 1963 the coldest high of 39 was set in 1917. The record low of 19 was set in 1969 the warmest low of 64 was set in 1899. The most rainfall of 2.81” fell in 2017 the most snowfall of 1.0” fell in 1917. Last year the H/L was 59/30.

[chescowxman]

A couple of cold fronts will cross the area with the first one tonight and another on Saturday, but neither front will bring any much-needed rain to the area. Today will be our 5th straight above normal temperature day before we return to near normal temperatures tomorrow and Friday. We will fall to below normal temperatures by later in the weekend. We have a chance at a freezing morning by Monday morning for even some of the higher spots who have yet to see a sub 32 low this autumn.

[Tom]

It appears we are going to TORCH again over the next few days and peaking this SAT and SUN up to near 100F.  This will be the last Heat Wave of the season...I'm certain of it!  The good ol' fashioned "Southwest Flow" appears to be kicking into high gear next week and that will allow temps to plummet around these parts for an extended period.  Lets freakin' GOOO!!!

 

[jaster220]

3 hours ago, Tom said:

It appears we are going to TORCH again over the next few days and peaking this SAT and SUN up to near 100F.  This will be the last Heat Wave of the season...I'm certain of it!  The good ol' fashioned "Southwest Flow" appears to be kicking into high gear next week and that will allow temps to plummet around these parts for an extended period.  Lets freakin' GOOO!!!

 

NWS outlook calling wetter but AN temps over this way. Was surprised to see the level of official drought in NMI. Auto sprinklers keep the grass green at the condos so I can't tell tbh. We had the strong T-shower back on the 11th so that helped too, followed by the Upr Low and it's dousing. 

[Andie]

No Tx will have a week of beautiful 80’s. Next week will give us a small turn to low 80’s. 
We’re seeing a turn and it is very welcomed.  

[Niko]

Looks like a chilly weekend shaping up and by Sunday morning, my temps will be in the upper 20s. Brief warm-up early next week w 70s once again returning, but I think these are the last ones of the season, until next year. No 80s are expected, but 70s do look likely, b4 colder air arrives by late week.

[Niko]

This has been one heck of an beautiful autumn season so far. Truly, this has been a full foliage scenery for me, which hasn't occurred in years. Hard to believe no big rainstorms or windstorms this season. Great weather, no doubt.

[Niko]

16 hours ago, Stormy said:

Had quite a bit of lightning and thunder from a fast moving narrow line of storms this morning, but got only 0.08".

Tbh, I would luv to experience one more severe weather outbreak here IMBY, b4 we head into the colder months. Otherwise, I will have to wait till next spring. Oh well.

[Clinton]

It's great to have multiple chances of rain over the next 10 days for many of us.  The Euro and Euro Control showing a nice wound up storm that grabs onto some cold air to open November.   I'm so ready for this dry pattern to end!

[Niko]

9 minutes ago, Clinton said:

It's great to have multiple chances of rain over the next 10 days for many of us.  The Euro and Euro Control showing a nice wound up storm that grabs onto some cold air to open November.   I'm so ready for this dry pattern to end!

Me to amigo. I am so looking forward to big storms in November. I actually prefer rainy windy weather b4 Thanksgiving. After Thanksgiving, I am ready for he white stuff to arrive.

[MinnesotaSnow]

Could it be. Is there moisture showing up on the models in Minnesota? 
 

I’ll believe when I’m standing outside getting wet.