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October 2024 PNW Weather Discussion


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No idea who this guy is or why it’s on my FB feed…But here you go…

IMG_9109.jpeg

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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No doubt this airmass is more than good enough for a freeze tonight in many places.  We'll just have to see how long the clouds can hold off.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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5 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

I called a 11/4 first snow in Spokane back in early October.  might play out, or at least around that date

GEM, GFS, and Euro all show snow in central OR around Halloween. 

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Bend, OR

Elevation: 3550'

 

Snow History:

Nov: 1"

Dec: .5"

Jan: 1.9"

Feb: 12.7"

Mar: 1.0"

Total: 17.1"

 

2016/2017: 70"

2015/2016: 34"

Average: ~25"

 

2017/2018 Winter Temps

Lowest Min: 1F on 2/23

Lowest Max: 23F on 12/24, 2/22

Lows <32: 87

Highs <32: 13

 

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1 minute ago, MossMan said:

No idea who this guy is or why it’s on my FB feed…But here you go…

IMG_9109.jpeg

Is the not 4 u actually real?  

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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4 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wow! Which event was your last over 4” storm? 

I would guess Dec 2021.  Although that would only be less than 3 years ago.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

You’re one of the first people on here to get a freeze on the west side this season. 🎉 

Hopefully a good omen. If nothing else, we do a good job of getting the radiational cooling in a still airmass that can keep things cold at the surface.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 22, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 1 (Most recent: Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I would guess Dec 2021.  Although that would only be less than 3 years ago.

That was the last one here as well. Constant line of showers with very few breaks in between was able to accumulate several inches over 3 straight nights in cold "BSF".

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 58F (Oct 22, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 30F (Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 1 (Most recent: Oct 24, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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28 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Wow! Which event was your last over 4” storm? 

Man i think it was Feb 21 but i gotta look. Dec 21 was a really good Puget Sound event but the east winds really hurt the swamp. Ik places had 2-3in around me while Tacoma had a foot. 
 

At my new place in Fed I have had some nice 2-3in storms over the last 3 years. I’m just waiting for the Puget Sound to freeze over so we can all score😂😂😂

Edited by SouthHillFrosty
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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I haven’t had more than 4 inches of snow in 4 years from one storm. If I get more than this before my wife gives birth to our second child in Jan, I will let you guys name my child. MBG. 

I approve of naming your child MBG.

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A forum for the end of the world.

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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I haven’t had more than 4 inches of snow in 4 years from one storm. If I get more than this before my wife gives birth to our second child in Jan, I will let you guys name my child. MBG. 

Welcome to the world little Torchy Rugpull Southhillfrosty!!

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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

I haven’t had more than 4 inches of snow in 4 years from one storm. If I get more than this before my wife gives birth to our second child in Jan, I will let you guys name my child. MBG. 

As Supreme Forum Overlord, I am entitled to this right.

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1 hour ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Man i think it was Feb 21 but i gotta look. Dec 21 was a really good Puget Sound event but the east winds really hurt the swamp. Ik places had 2-3in around me while Tacoma had a foot. 
 

At my new place in Fed I have had some nice 2-3in storms over the last 3 years. I’m just waiting for the Puget Sound to freeze over so we can all score😂😂😂

Dec 2021 was not an east wind snowstorm.  Feb was.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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6 minutes ago, Port Angeles Foothiller said:

Comet on Tuesday IMG_4723.thumb.jpeg.6d7273de3685ae78022b9cfdc07d95c4.jpegIMG_4720.thumb.jpeg.656bbbbdb1881c014c72f5cd908221a4.jpeg_DSC1072.thumb.jpeg.bb12ffd668cd7c7381d22df5c9731fc8.jpeg

Nice shots.  The Milky Way showed up well too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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1 minute ago, snow drift said:

The palms are totally fake. I got the photo from the newspaper. They did a story on it.

They look like sheit IMO.  That would be the case if they were real too.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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Low of 40 here this morning. Nice to see some people on here got their first freezes.

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2024 Warm Season Stats

Number of 80+ days - 35

Number of 85+ days - 25

Number of 90+ days - 3

Number of 95+ days - 2 (Warmest - 96)

Number of 60+ lows - 6

 

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You know, I took a look at the EURO and the GEM, and I realized we are probably at least 2-3 weeks away from anything interesting in the models. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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16 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Last mow of the year for the yard. Y’all done in the yard yet?

I got rid of all my grass and don't miss it, but leaf and needle clean up will continue for weeks.  Lots of big maples and Doug firs behind my house.

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12 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You know, I took a look at the EURO and the GEM, and I realized we are probably at least 2-3 weeks away from anything interesting in the models. 

I need to bring back the weenie tag.

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15 minutes ago, iFred said:

I need to bring back the weenie tag.

February and March look epically cold on the CFS. Another backloaded winter on the way.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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50 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

You know, I took a look at the EURO and the GEM, and I realized we are probably at least 2-3 weeks away from anything interesting in the models. 

At least the 18z GFS looks better than the 12z.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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21 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

February and March look epically cold on the CFS. Another backloaded winter on the way.

I still think the first half is going to be good.  Maybe the back half as well.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

I still think the first half is going to be good.  Maybe the back half as well.

Check out the CFS for February and March.

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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6 hours ago, iFred said:

Made it down to 43º. Lime tree next to the house and illuminated got down to 49º. Fig tree has leaves that are finally starting to yellow.

I agree with @StormchaserChuck1, I think it is safe to say that it was over before it started, kind of like the Seahawks. To double down on that, I am ordering flagstone to get another yard project done next month. I should be able to get my starts going in the garage and ready to plant mid January as solar is at the bare minimum but I'm feeling confident that the air will be warm.

I'm glad you have figs! I lived off of them in Arizona one Summer. Sedona had 30-something yards with fig trees, hundreds of purple ripe figs lol. What a delicious fruit! That's probably what Adam and Eve ate in the garden of Eden. 

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5 hours ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Looks like we got down to 30F first freeze!!

By 2F too, not bad

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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54/41 here today. Lowest reading so far this fall is 38. Not too unusual to go well into November before our first freeze. If anything I’d say some of these recent years with lows in the mid 30s to below freezing in late October were unusual. 
 

Looking like some decent rain gets going but also nothing anything insane yet. It’s almost like this transition into fall has been exactly climo…little on the dry side depending on where you’re at but here we’re just a touch below average. Should make that up in the next week. 

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