October 2024 PNW Weather Discussion

[Slushy Inch]

1 hour ago, RentonHill said:

So is the GEM. Hmmm!!

 

 

EPS looks chilly as well! I was not expecting this to show up so soon. Not perfect but better than what was shown before.

[ShawniganLake]

14 hours ago, MossMan said:

I forgot about that one! My drainage ditch was nearly running full that afternoon, then a few inches of snow a few hours later! 

We avoided a lot of the rain with that up here as it quickly changed to snow in the early morning hours. About 9-10” here

 

[Cloud]

Our first big rainfall of the season already caused a landslide at I-5 near Bellingham shutting down the freeway. I feel like this shouldn’t have happened and considering how dry it’s been, I think more geotechnical experts needs to be out there as we ramp up our rainy season. 

[umadbro]

24 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

As for Oregon, Roseburg is probably our worst non-coastal lowland microclimate. Hood River probably the best.

If I ever decide to move back to Oregon, (won’t happen) it would be to Hood River

[RentonHill]

[Front Ranger]

6 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Our first big rainfall of the season already caused a landslide at I-5 near Bellingham shutting down the freeway. I feel like this shouldn’t have happened and considering how dry it’s been, I think more geotechnical experts needs to be out there as we ramp up our rainy season. 

To be fair, sounds like some of the heaviest rain on record for that area.

[ShawniganLake]

9 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Our first big rainfall of the season already caused a landslide at I-5 near Bellingham shutting down the freeway. I feel like this shouldn’t have happened and considering how dry it’s been, I think more geotechnical experts needs to be out there as we ramp up our rainy season. 

Did the Big AR last weekend cutoff north of Bellingham?  Even the drier areas of Metro Vancouver had 5-6” of rain in advance of that deluge last night.  

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Did the Big AR last weekend cutoff north of Bellingham?  Even the drier areas of Metro Vancouver had 5-6” of rain in advance of that deluge last night.  

Pretty sure Bellingham area saw at least 3-4" with that. Unfortunately BLI is missing data from those days. Blaine got about 4.5".

[Cloud]

12 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Did the Big AR last weekend cutoff north of Bellingham?  Even the drier areas of Metro Vancouver had 5-6” of rain in advance of that deluge last night.  

That is an insane amount. Jeez 

[North_County]

24 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Our first big rainfall of the season already caused a landslide at I-5 near Bellingham shutting down the freeway. I feel like this shouldn’t have happened and considering how dry it’s been, I think more geotechnical experts needs to be out there as we ramp up our rainy season. 

Whatcom County got hit moderately hard a week ago from the AR that drenched Vancouver. So, while the fall hasn't been very wet overall, the soil up around the border was already pretty saturated heading into last night's rain.

[T-Town]

Looks like it’s coming. 

[Deweydog]

ALL TIME RECORD high gust this morning of 23.9 mph at the WD.

[SnarkyGoblin]

Starting to rain again in Seattle. 

Snow maps can't come soon enough.

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, SnarkyGoblin said:

Starting to rain again in Seattle. 

Snow maps can't come soon enough.

Here you go!

[Rubus Leucodermis]

23 minutes ago, Cloud said:

That is an insane amount. Jeez 

It was crazy rainy. Got around 8" IMBY and I was far from the wettest part of the metro area.

[ShawniganLake]

25 minutes ago, Cloud said:

That is an insane amount. Jeez 

One of the Coquitlam city gauges is at 17.6” of rain for October. 

[ShawniganLake]

Sticking snow level is around 3500ft on the Vancouver Island Range currently. Decently chilly for October 

[Front Ranger]

26 minutes ago, North_County said:

Whatcom County got hit moderately hard a week ago from the AR that drenched Vancouver. So, while the fall hasn't been very wet overall, the soil up around the border was already pretty saturated heading into last night's rain.

We know these maps skew dry due to missing data, but this captures where the AR cutoff was pretty well.

[North_County]

26 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

We know these maps skew dry due to missing data, but this captures where the AR cutoff was pretty well.

Yep. Excluding the peninsula, the cutoff was basically the Chuckanuts. (That sounds admittedly a bit odd out of context).

[Eugene-5SW]

1 hour ago, Omegaraptor said:

As for Oregon, Roseburg is probably our worst non-coastal lowland microclimate. Hood River probably the best.

Isn't Medford even worse than Roseburg?

[Slushy Inch]

It’s that time of day, new weeklies!

[Slushy Inch]

Very nice control. I assume this would one the coldest Novembers if it verified.

[Omegaraptor]

7 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Isn't Medford even worse than Roseburg?

Medford’s not really “lowland”, it’s at 1300’. It also gets colder than Roseburg in the winter, although gets quite a bit less precip/moisture as well.

[Doinko]

Pouring rain extremely hard on 26 near Cedar Mill

[FroYoBro]

Pouring here with a nice breeze under this heavy cell.

[Slushy Inch]

Looks like some nice downpours are coming

[Slushy Inch]

21 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Pouring rain extremely hard on 26 near Cedar Mill

Some rotation in many of the cells out there today 

[BLI snowman]

40 minutes ago, Eugene-5SW said:

Isn't Medford even worse than Roseburg?

Much hotter summers than even Roseburg.

Their elevation gives them a little bit of an advantage for nickel/dime type snow events though.

[Front Ranger]

Dumping at the Hawks game now.

[snow_wizard]

2 hours ago, Cloud said:

Our first big rainfall of the season already caused a landslide at I-5 near Bellingham shutting down the freeway. I feel like this shouldn’t have happened and considering how dry it’s been, I think more geotechnical experts needs to be out there as we ramp up our rainy season. 

They had a huge rain event up there about a week ago as well.

[ShawniganLake]

44 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

It’s that time of day, new weeklies!

I have been kind of liking the feel of late November this year.  

 

 

[ShawniganLake]

44 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Very nice control. I assume this would one the coldest Novembers if it verified.

Maybe one of the coldest!  November 1985 was pretty off the charts. 

[Front Ranger]

4 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Much hotter summers than even Roseburg.

Their elevation gives them a little bit of an advantage for nickel/dime type snow events though.

Yeah, Medford's long term snowfall average is actually a bit higher than PDX.

[snow_wizard]

44 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Very nice control. I assume this would one the coldest Novembers if it verified.

That would be impressive.  The bar is very high for coldest November though.  1896, 1955, and 1985 were insanely cold.  It appears the models are seeing some possibilities today.

[snow_wizard]

This is a 7 day average anomaly on the weeklies' control run.   That would be in 1955 territory I think.

[Slushy Inch]

4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

This is a 7 day average anomaly on the weeklies' control run.   That would be in 1955 territory I think.

Cfs 

[Doinko]

Not very experienced with radar but would this be some weak rotation? This is what I saw from the ground

 

[Slushy Inch]

Thunder! 5 miles away! You got to be lucky to get one of those one strike wonders. I am under a line of heavy showers, it’s going to be wet.

[Snownerd3000]

Eff the Hawks game. I'm watching the rain lol. That red cell just went over my house. 

[Slushy Inch]

6 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

Eff the Hawks game. I'm watching the rain lol. That red cell just went over my house. 

You’re less than a mile away from me. Did you hear the thunder? There’s probably some flooded streets at this point.