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October 2024 PNW Weather Discussion


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Bet your day isn't as chill as mine

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 40

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40 minutes ago, Tenochtitlan said:

Portland’s pseudo-fall continues. It feels like the perfect Bellingham midsummer day, yet again. I have mixed feelings about it, but I’ve been taking long walks in the sun which is nice. 

Summer just doesn’t want to end down here. Tomorrow will probably be the last 80 🍔 of the year though. ☀️ 

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Nice day. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Beautiful October evening in the Wenatchee Valley. Needed a breather after that game…

Enlight385.png

Sorry ur team lost. But you have a beautiful view and life is good. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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3 minutes ago, SpaceRace22 said:

Looks like the aurora is out as far south as Virginia right now. Fingers crossed it keeps up after sunset here.

Wow, about the latitude equivalent of Northern California. Hopefully it works out, was kinda cloudy last night to the north anyways so glad it seems more likely tonight with much more clear conditions. 

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4 minutes ago, iFred said:

About to headline #WeatherFestPDX. Hope to see some of you here in Troutdale tonight.IMG_1967.jpeg

Your pick of Sean Nyberg and the Condescenders as an opener was a real turn off for me.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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34 minutes ago, Christensen87 said:

Columbia River. Lincoln Rock State Park, one of our favorite places to hang at since we moved to Cashmere. 

Great park! My favorite is Daroga since it’s almost always empty lol

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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23 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Great park! My favorite is Daroga since it’s almost always empty lol

IMG_8645.jpeg

Was that today? It was sunny here today!

Snowfall                                  Precip

2023-24: 39.5"                   2023-24: 76.88

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 73.43"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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29 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Was that today? It was sunny here today!

No this was from 2yrs ago. 

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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A beautiful 80F burger today. No end in sight to the summer weather. We're basically California with cooler nights up until the end of October anymore.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 51F (Oct 30, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 29F (Oct 25, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 2 (Most recent: Oct 25, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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Some chillier nights on the clown range GFS.

1.png

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2024-25 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 51F (Oct 30, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 29F (Oct 25, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 2 (Most recent: Oct 25, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 0 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Last ice storm accumulation: Jan 16, 2024 (2.25”)
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Total ice since joining TheWeatherForums: 2.25"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

Venmo

GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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21 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

 

 

 

10 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Whoever controls that weather machine just turned up the cooker on Milton. It will be a major hurricane by morning. 

The new NHC track has Milton making landfall as a major 🌀 just south of Tampa Bay on Wednesday evening. The cone of uncertainty is getting smaller but still pretty large. Landfall anywhere from as far north as Cedar Keys to as far south as Naples. But the good news is that once it exits Florida it looks like it won’t affect the East Coast. It’s going to become a 🐠 storm.

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15 minutes ago, Thermal Trough said:

 

The new NHC track has Milton making landfall as a major 🌀 just south of Tampa Bay on Wednesday evening. The cone of uncertainty is getting smaller but still pretty large. Landfall anywhere from as far north as Cedar Keys to as far south as Naples. But the good news is that once it exits Florida it looks like it won’t affect the East Coast. It’s going to become a 🐠 storm.

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The cone width is based on historical track error, it doesn’t take into account the model forecasts at all. The actual margin of error with this one is maybe half that width. Tampa needs to pray for a more southward track. 

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4 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

The cone width is based on historical track error, it doesn’t take into account the model forecasts at all. The actual margin of error with this one is maybe half that width. Tampa needs to pray for a more southward track. 

The 00z GFS just came in and it has a landfall north of Tampa Bay and just south of Cedar Keys. This is not looking good for the Tampa Metro area.

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25 minutes ago, Thermal Trough said:

The 00z GFS just came in and it has a landfall north of Tampa Bay and just south of Cedar Keys. This is not looking good for the Tampa Metro area.

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Yeah, unfortunately still seems like a 50/50 chance (or a bit higher) Tampa takes a direct hit from this cane, comparing models. 

Milton is quite small but the current thinking is that it will rapidly intensity before undergoing an ERC, then grow in size and weaken some before landfall.

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5 minutes ago, Tenochtitlan said:

Yeah, unfortunately still seems like a 50/50 chance (or a bit higher) Tampa takes a direct hit from this cane, comparing models. 

Milton is quite small but the current thinking is that it will rapidly intensity before undergoing an ERC, then grow in size and weaken some before landfall.

This is a one in the lifetime storm for them. There’s over 3 million people in the Tampa Metro area. They need to start evacuating as soon as tomorrow. For sure don’t wait until Wednesday.

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Just now, Thermal Trough said:

This is a one in the lifetime storm for them. There’s over 3 million people in the Tampa Metro area. They need to start evacuating as soon as tomorrow. For sure don’t wait until Wednesday.

Yeah…it could be a really bad situation with all the debris from Helene already piled up. I hope people there are taking this seriously. Of course it could still miss but it’s not worth betting on.

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Models are really trying to deliver some cold air to part so the US later in the month.  The GFS and the ECMWF AI seem to be the most emphatic about it.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2024-25 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.0

Coldest Low = 35

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

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